@InProceedings{Fairbanks.ea2004:integrating, author = {Meredith Fairbanks and Alexandra Edward}, title = {Integrating software tools and seasonal climate outlooks to optimise wheat gross margin profits at Merredin, Western Australia}, booktitle = {4th International Crop Science Congress}, year = 2004, url = {http://www.cropscience.org.au/icsc2004/poster/2/6/1192_airbanksmm.htm} } @Article{Tonn2005:imprecise, author = {Bruce Tonn}, title = {Imprecise probabilities and scenarios}, journal = {Futures}, year = 2005, volume = 8, number = 37, pages = {767--775}, month = oct, doi = {10.1016/j.futures.2005.01.008 } } @InCollection{Halsnaes.ea2007:framing, author = {K. Halsnaes and P. Shukla and Dilip Ahuja and G. Akumu and R. Beale and Jae A. Edmonds and Christian Gollier and Arnulf Gr{\"u}bler and Minh Ha-Duong and A. Markandya and M. McFarland and E. Nikitina and T. Sugiyama and A. Villavicencio and J. Zou}, title = {Framing issues}, booktitle = {IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, Contribution of the Working Group III}, year = 2007, chapter = 2, url = {http://www.mnp.nl/ipcc/pages_media/ar4.html}, file = {IPCC-2007-AR4WGIIIchapter2.pdf}, gsi = 114427830228614496 } @InBook{UNFCCC2007:overview, author = {{UNFCCC}}, title = {An overview of investment and financial flows needed for adaptation}, chapter = 5, pages = {96--126}, publisher = {Climate Change Secretariat}, year = 2007, address = {Bonn}, booktitle = {Investment and Financial Flows to Address Climate Change}, url = {http://unfccc.int/cooperation_and_support/financial_mechanism/items/4053.php} } @Book{Agrawala.ea2008:economic, author = {Shardul Agrawala and Samuel Fankhauser}, title = {Economic Aspects of Adaptation to Climate Change: Costs, Benefits and Policy Instruments}, publisher = {OECD}, year = 2008, isbn = 9789264046030, url = {http://www.oecd.org/env/cc/ecoadaptation} } @Book{Parry.ea2009:assessing, author = {Martin Parry and Nigel Arnell and Pam Berry and David Dodman and Samuel Fankhauser and Chris Hope and Sari Kovats and Robert Nicholls and David Satterthwaite and Richard Tiffin and Tim Wheeler}, title = {Assessing the Costs of Adaptation to Climate Change: A Review of the UNFCCC and Other Recent Estimates}, publisher = {International Institute for Environment and Development and Grantham Institute for Climate Change}, year = 2009, address = {London}, url = {http://www.iied.org/pubs/pdfs/11501IIED.pdf}, isbn = {978-1-84369-745-9} } @TechReport{Margulis.ea2008:economics, author = {Sergio Margulis and Ana Bucher and David Corderi and Urvashi Narain and Hawanty Page and Kiran Pandey and Thi Trang Linh Phu and Carina Bachofen and Robin Mearns and Brian Blankespoor and Susmita Dasgupta and Siobhan Murray and Elizabeth Cushion and Lidvard Gronnevet and Laurent Cretegny and Prodipto Ghosh and Benoit Laplante and Larissa Leony and Robert Schneider and Philip Ward and David Wheeler}, title = {The economics of adaptation to climate change. Methology report}, year = 2008, month = dec, organization = {World Bank}, url = {http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTCC/Resources/MethodologyReport0209.pdf} } @Book{IPCC2007:SYR, author = {{Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change}}, title = {Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report}, year = 2007, bibkey = {IPCC2007:SYR}, url = {http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/ar4-syr.htm} } @Book{Lomborg2001:skeptical, author = {Bjorn Lomborg}, title = {The Skeptical Environmentalist: Measuring the Real State of the World}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2001, pages = 544 } @Book{Stavins.ea2007:architectures, author = {Robert N.Stavins and Joseph E.Aldy}, title = {Architectures for Agreement: Addressing Global Climate Change in the Post-Kyoto World}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2007 } @Misc{Fitting1997:theory, author = {Melvin C. Fitting}, title = {A theory of truth that prefers falsehood}, year = 1997, journal = {Journal of Philosophical Logic}, number = 26, url = {citeseer.ist.psu.edu/fitting94theory.html} } @InProceedings{Fitting1990:bilattices, author = {Melvin C. Fitting}, title = {Bilattices in Logic Programming}, booktitle = {20th International Symposium on Multiple-Valued Logic, Charlotte}, year = 1990, pages = {238--247}, publisher = {IEEE CS Press, Los Alamitos}, url = {citeseer.ist.psu.edu/fitting90bilattices.html} } @Article{Palmgren.ea2004:initial, author = {Claire Palmgren and W{\"a}ndi Bruine de Bruin and David W. Keith and M. Granger Morgan}, title = {Initial Public Perceptions of Deep Geological and Oceanic Disposal of Carbon Dioxide}, journal = {Environmental Science and Technology}, year = 2004, volume = 38, number = 24, pages = {6441--6450}, doi = {10.1021/es040400c} } @Article{Ginsberg1990:bilattices, author = {Matthew L. Ginsberg}, title = {Bilattices and Modal Operators.}, journal = {J. Log. Comput.}, year = 1990, volume = 1, number = 1, pages = {41--69}, bibsource = {DBLP, http://dblp.uni-trier.de} } @Article{Daniel2006:transformations, author = {Milan Daniel}, title = {On transformations of belief functions to probabilities.}, journal = {Int. J. Intell. Syst.}, year = 2006, volume = 21, number = 3, pages = {261--282}, doi = {10.1002/int.20134}, bibsource = {DBLP, http://dblp.uni-trier.de} } @InProceedings{Ginsberg1990:bilattices*1, author = {Matthew L. Ginsberg}, title = {Bilattices and Modal Operators.}, booktitle = {TARK}, year = 1990, pages = {273--287}, crossref = {Parikh1990:proceedings}, bibsource = {DBLP, http://dblp.uni-trier.de} } @Proceedings{Parikh1990:proceedings, title = {Proceedings of the 3rd Conference on Theoretical Aspects of Reasoning about Knowledge, Pacific Grove, CA, March 1990}, year = 1990, editor = {Rohit Parikh}, publisher = {Morgan Kaufmann}, booktitle = {TARK}, isbn = {1-55860-105-8}, bibsource = {DBLP, http://dblp.uni-trier.de} } @InCollection{Randall.ea2007:climate, author = {David A. Randall and Richard A. Wood and Sandrine Bony and Robert Colman and Thierry Fichefet and John Fyfe and Vladimir Kattsov and Andrew Pitman and Jagadish Shukla and Jayaraman Srinivasan and Ronald J. Stouffer and Akimasa Sumi and Karl E. Taylor}, title = {Climate Models and Their Evaluation}, booktitle = {Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H. L. Miller (eds.)]}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2007, chapter = 8, url = {http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/wg1-report.html} } @TechReport{Zadeh1979:validity, author = {L. A. Zadeh}, title = {On the validity of {D}empster's rule of combination of evidence}, year = 1979, number = {UCB/ERL Memo M79/24}, institutin = {University of California, Berkeley} } @Article{Miller.ea2007:public, author = {Evonne Miller and Lorraine Bell and Laurie Buys}, title = {Public Understanding of Carbon Sequestration in {A}ustralia: Socio-Demographic Predictors of Knowledge, Engagement and Trust}, journal = {Australian Journal of Emerging Technologies and Society}, year = 2007, volume = 5, number = 1, pages = {15--33} } @TechReport{Ruet1996:complete, author = {Paul Ruet}, title = {Complete Sets of Connectives and Complete Sequent Calculus for Belnap's Logic}, year = 1996, url = {citeseer.ist.psu.edu/ruet96complete.html} } @TechReport{Cooke.ea1999:procedures, author = {R. M. Cooke and L. J. H. Goossens}, title = {Procedures guide for structured experts judgment}, institution = {European Commission, Nuclear Science and Technology (EURATOM)}, year = 1999, number = {EUR 18820 EN}, note = {Project report produced by the Delft University of Technology}, url = {ftp://ftp.cordis.europa.eu/pub/fp5-euratom/docs/eur18820_en.pdf} } @Book{NRC1979:carbon, author = {{National Research Council}}, title = {Carbon Dioxide and Climate: A Scientific Assessment}, publisher = {National Academy Press}, year = 1979, address = {Washington, D.C.}, note = {Ad Hoc Study Group on Carbon Dioxide and Climate. Also known as `The Charney committee report'.}, pages = 22, bibkey = {NRC1979:carbon} } @Proceedings{Washington2003:estimating, title = {Estimating Climate Sensitivity: Report of a Workshop}, year = 2003, address = {Washington, D.C.}, organization = {Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division of Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council of the National Academies}, publisher = {The National Academies Press}, author = {{Steering Committee on Probabilistic Estimates of Climate Sensitivity}}, url = {http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=10787#toc}, bibkey = {Washington2003:estimating}, isbn = {0-309-09056-3 (Book)} } @TechReport{ADEME2005:representations, author = {{RCB Conseil}}, title = {Les repr{\'e}sentations sociales de l'effet de serre (6e vague d'enqu\^ete)}, institution = {ADEME}, year = 2005, url = {http://www.ademe.fr/etudes/Socio/Effet_de_serre.htm}, bibkey = {ADEME2005:representations} } @Article{Newman2004:coauthorship, author = {M. E. J. Newman}, title = {Coauthorship networks and patterns of scientific collaboration}, journal = {{PNAS}, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, year = 2004, volume = 101, number = 1, pages = {5200--5205}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.0307545100}, url = {http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/full/101/suppl_1/5200} } @Article{Nadai.ea2009:wind, author = {Alain Nada{\"i} and Olivier Labussi{\`e}re}, title = {Wind power planning in {F}rance ({A}veyron): from {S}tate regulation to local experimentation}, journal = {Land Use Policy}, year = 2009, volume = {in press} } @InCollection{Hegerl.ea2007:understanding, author = {Gabriele C. Hegerl and Francis W. Zwiers and Pascale Braconnot and Nathan P. Gillett and Yong Luo and Jose A. Marengo Orsini and Neville Nicholls and Joyce E. Penner and Peter A. Stott}, title = {Understanding and Attributing Climate Change}, booktitle = {Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2007, chapter = 9, url = {http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/wg1-report.html} } @Misc{IPCC2003:principles, author = {{IPCC} (The {I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange)}, title = {Principles Governing {IPCC} Work}, year = 2003, note = {Approved at the Fourteenth Session (Vienna, 1--3 October 1998) on 1 October 1998 and amended at the 21st Session (Vienna, 3 and 6--7 November 2003)}, bibkey = {IPCC2003:principles}, url = {http://www.ipcc.ch} } @Article{Newman2006:modularity, author = {M. E. J. Newman}, title = {Modularity and community structure in networks}, journal = {{PNAS}, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, year = 2006, number = 23, pages = {8577--8582}, month = jun # { 6}, vol = 103, doi = {10.1073/pnas.0601602103} } @Article{Dong.ea2002:adjustment, author = {B.-W. Dong and R.~T. Sutton}, title = {Adjustment of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system to a sudden change in the Thermohaline Circulation}, journal = {Geophysical Research Letters}, year = 2002, volume = 29, pages = {18--1}, month = aug, doi = {10.1029/2002GL015229} } @Article{Sandri.ea1995:elicitation, author = {Sandra A. Sandri and Didier Dubois and H. W. Kalfsbeek}, title = {Elicitation, Assessment, and Pooling of Expert Judgments Using Possibility Theory}, journal = {IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems}, year = 1995, volume = 3, number = 3, pages = {313--335}, note = {Corrections were published in the next issue 3(4) p. 479.}, doi = {10.1109/91.413236} } @Article{Sandri.ea1995:corrections, author = {S. A. Sandri and Didier Dubois and H. W. Kalfsbeek}, title = {Corrections to ``Elicitation, Assessment, and Pooling of Expert Judgments Using Possibility Theory''}, journal = {IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems}, year = 1995, volume = 3, number = 4, month = nov, page = 479, doi = {10.1109/TFUZZ.1995.481958} } @InProceedings{Denoeux2006:cautious, author = {Thierry Den{\oe}ux}, title = {The cautious rule of combination for belief functions and some extensions}, booktitle = {Proceedings of FUSION'2006}, year = 2006, address = {Florence, Italy}, month = jul, url = {http://www.hds.utc.fr/~tdenoeux/papers.htm#conf} } @Article{Denoeux2008:conjunctive, author = {Thierry Den{\oe}ux}, title = {Conjunctive and disjunctive combination of belief functions induced by non distinct bodies of evidence}, journal = {Artificial Intelligence}, year = 2008, volume = 172, number = {2--3}, pages = {234--264}, url = {http://www.hds.utc.fr/~tdenoeux/perso} } @InProceedings{Smets1995:canonical, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {The Canonical Decomposition of a Weighted Belief.}, booktitle = {International Joint Conference on AI}, year = 1995, pages = {1896--1901}, bibsource = {DBLP, http://dblp.uni-trier.de} } @InProceedings{Moussally2007:csc, author = {Jean-Pierre Moussally}, title = {Le {CSC} : une technologie providentielle~? {L}e point de vue du {RAC-F}}, booktitle = {Discussions sur l'Acceptabilit\'e Sociale de la Capture et du Stockage du CO$_2$ en France. Actes d'une Journ\'ee de travail entre les ONG, les industriels, les institutions officielles et le monde acad\'emique.}, year = 2007, address = {Nogent sur Marne}, month = apr # { 27}, organization = {CIRED et APESA}, url = {http://www.centre-cired.fr/spip.php?article498} } @Misc{Baillon.ea2007:combining, author = {Aur{\'e}lien Baillon and Laure Cabantous}, title = {Combining Imprecise or Conflicting Probability Judgments: A Choice-Based Study}, year = 2007, url = {http://people.few.eur.nl/baillon/research.htm} } @Article{Hansen.ea2006:global, author = {James Hansen and Makiko Sato and Reto Ruedy and Ken Lo and David W. Lea and Martin Medina-Elizade}, title = {Global temperature change}, journal = {{PNAS}, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, year = 2006, pages = {18--1}, month = sep # { 25}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.0606291103}, url = {http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/full/0606291103/DC1} } @Article{Hegerl.ea2006:climate, author = {Gabriele C. Hegerl and Thomas J. Crowley and William T. Hyde and David J. Frame}, title = {Climate sensitivity constrained by temperature reconstructions over the past seven centuries}, journal = {Nature}, year = 2006, volume = 440, pages = {1029--1032}, month = {20 } # apr, doi = {10.1038/nature04679} } @Article{Pielke.ea2008:dangerous, author = {R.Jr. Pielke and T. Wigley and C. Green}, title = {Dangerous assumptions}, journal = {Nature}, year = 2008, volume = 452, pages = {531--532}, month = apr } @Misc{Kelly.ea1998:learning, author = {David L. Kelly and Charles D. Kolstad and Michael E. Schlesinger and Natalia G. Andronova}, title = {Learning About Climate Sensitivity From the Instrumental Temperature Record}, year = 1998 } @TechReport{AFNOR2001:qualite, author = {{AFNOR}}, title = {D\'emarche qualit\'e en recherche. Principes g\'en\'eraux et recommandations}, year = 2001, number = {Norme FD X50-550}, month = oct, bibkey = {AFNOR2001:qualite}, issn = {0335-3931} } @Article{Troffaes2007:decision, author = {Matthias C. M. Troffaes}, title = {Decision making under uncertainty using imprecise probabilities}, journal = {International Journal of Approximate Reasoning}, year = 2007, volume = 45, number = 1, pages = {17--29}, month = may, doi = {10.1016/j.ijar.2006.06.001} } @Article{Wiener1999:global, author = {Jonathan B. Wiener}, title = {Global Environmental Regulation: Instrument Choice in Legal Context}, journal = {Yale Law Journal}, year = 1999, volume = 108, pages = {677--800}, url = {http://eprints.law.duke.edu/archive/00000983/} } @InProceedings{Destercke.ea2006:fusion, author = {Sebastien Destercke and Didier Dubois and Eric Chojnacki}, title = {Fusion d'opinions d'experts et th{\'e}ories de l'incertain}, booktitle = {LFA'06. Rencontres Francophones sur la Logique Floue et Applications}, year = 2006, month = oct # { 19--20}, oai = {oai:hal.archives-ouvertes.fr:irsn-00196474_v1} } @Article{Smets1992:transferable, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {The Transferable Belief Model for Expert Judgments and Reliability Problems}, journal = {Reliability Engineering and System Safety}, year = 1992, volume = 38, pages = {59--66}, url = {http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~psmets/AABPapers.html}, annote = {Early version published as The transferable belief model for expert judgements in the Proceedings of the First International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, 3-5 Dec 1990, pp. 625-627, College Park, MD, USA, ISBN: 0-8186-2107-9, doi:10.1109/ISUMA.1990.151327} } @Article{Ayoun.ea2001:data, author = {Andr{\'e} Ayoun and Philippe Smets}, title = {Data association in multi-target detection using the transferable belief model}, journal = {International Journal of Intelligent Systems}, year = 2001, volume = 16, number = 10, pages = {1167--1182}, url = {http://citeseer.ist.psu.edu/ayoun00data.html}, doi = {10.1002/int.1054} } @InProceedings{Schubert1995:cluster-based, author = {Johan Schubert}, title = {Cluster-based Specification Techniques in Dempster-Shafer Theory}, booktitle = {Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning and Uncertainty}, year = 1995, pages = {395--404}, url = {http://citeseer.ist.psu.edu/schubert94clusterbased.html} } @Book{Cooke1991:experts, author = {Roger M. Cooke}, editor = {Kristin Shrader-Frechette}, title = {Experts in Uncertainty. Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science}, publisher = {Oxford University Press}, year = 1991, series = {Environmental ethics and science policy series}, isbn = 9780195064650, pages = 336 } @Book{WMO1983:guide, author = {{World Meteorological Organization}}, title = {100 - Guide to climatological practices}, year = 1983, edition = {Second}, annote = {Contains information on practices and procedures including climatological data processing, statistics and publications, presentation and interpretation of climatological data and CLIMAT reports. Third edition May 2007 draft available online.}, isbn = {92-63-12100-1}, url = {http://www.wmo.ch/pages/prog/wcp/ccl/guide/guide_climat_practices.html}, bibkey = {WMO1983:guide} } @TechReport{Coussy.ea2009:potentiel, author = {Paula Coussy and Julie Heng and Geoffroy Hureau}, title = {Potentiel et sc{\'e}narios de d{\'e}ploiement du captage et stockage du {CO$_2$} en {F}rance sur la p{\'e}riode 2020-2050}, institution = {IFP}, year = 2009, number = {ANR/NTE/800} } @Article{Valor.ea2001:daily, author = {Enric Valor and Vicente Caselles}, title = {Daily Air Temperature and Electricity Load in Spain}, journal = {Journal of Applied Meteorology}, year = 2001, volume = 40, number = 8, pages = {1413--1421}, month = aug, doi = {10.1175%2F1520-0450%282001%29040%3C1413%3ADATAEL%3E2.0.CO%3B2} } @Article{Mitchell.ea1974:variability, author = {J. M. Mitchell and R. E. Felch and D. L. Gilman and F. T. Quinlan and R. M. Rotty}, title = {Variability of Seasonal Total Heating Fuel Demand in the United States}, journal = {Environ. Data. Service}, year = 1974, volume = 5, pages = {5--9}, note = {Based on 1973 report to the Energy Policy Office, Washington, DC.} } @InProceedings{Manning.ea2004:concept, author = {Martin Manning and Michel Petit}, title = {A Concept Paper for the AR4 Cross Cutting Theme: Uncertainties and Risk}, pages = {41--56}, crossref = {Manning.ea2004:ipcc} } @InProceedings{Schlesinger.ea2004:climate, author = {Michael E. Schlesinger and Natasha G. Andronova}, title = {Climate Sensitivity: Uncertainty and Learning}, pages = {109--112}, crossref = {Manning.ea2004:ipcc} } @Manual{R-Development-Core-Team2007:r, author = {{R Development Core Team}}, title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing}, organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing}, address = {Vienna, Austria}, year = 2007, note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0}, url = {http://www.R-project.org} } @Article{Lumley2004:analysis, author = {T. Lumley}, title = {Analysis of complex survey samples}, journal = {Journal of Statistical Software}, year = 2004, volume = 9, number = 1, pages = {1--19}, url = {http://faculty.washington.edu/tlumley/survey/} } @Proceedings{Manning.ea2004:ipcc, title = {IPCC Workshop on Describing Scientific Uncertainties in Climate Change to Support Analysis of Risk and of Options}, year = 2004, editor = {Martin Manning and Michel Petit and David Easterling and James Murphy and Anand Patwardhan and Hans-Holger Rogner and Rob Swart and Gary Yohe}, address = {National University of Ireland, Maynooth, Co. Kildare, Ireland}, month = may # { 11--13}, url = {http://URW:Maynooth@ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/meeting/URW/restricted/} } @Book{vonHans-Jonas-Suhrkamp1979:prinzip, author = {von Hans Jonas Suhrkamp}, title = {Das Prinzip Verantwortung. Versuch einer Ethik f{\"u}r die technologische Zivilisation.}, publisher = {Frankfurt/M. : Insel}, year = 1979, note = {The Imperative of Responsibility: In Search of an Ethics for the Technological Age}, isbn = {351837585-7 (1984 ed.)}, annote = {traduction: Le Principe responsabilit{\'e} : une {\'e}thique pour la civilisation technologique publi{\'e}e chez Flammarion (4 janvier 1999), Collection: Champs, Format : Poche - 450 pages, ISBN : 2080814028} } @Article{Ha-Duong.ea2009:zero, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Rodica Loisel}, title = {Zero is the only acceptable leakage rate for geologically stored {CO$_2$}: an editorial comment}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2009, volume = 93, number = 3, pages = {311--317}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2008-ZeroIsTheOnlyAcceptableLeakageRate.pdf}, oai = {oai:hal.archives-ouvertes.fr:hal-00348128_v1}, doi = {10.1007/s10584-009-9560-z} } @Article{Bell.ea2005:social-gap, author = {Derek Bell and Tim Gray and Claire Haggett}, title = {The {`Social gap'} in wind farm siting decisions: explanations and policy responses}, journal = {Environmental Politics}, year = 2005, volume = 14, number = 4, pages = {460--477}, key = {Bell.ea2005:socialgap}, doi = {10.1080/09644010500175833} } @Book{Borooah2002:logit, author = {Vani K. Borooah}, title = {LOGIT and PROBIT Ordered and Multinomial Models}, publisher = {SAGE Publications}, year = 2002, series = {Quantitative applications in the Social Sciences}, number = {07-138}, pages = 97, isbn = {2-7619-2242-3} } @Book{Desrosieres1993:politique, author = {Alain Desrosi{\`e}res}, title = {La politique des grands nombres. Histoire de la raison statistique}, publisher = {La D{\'e}couverte}, year = 1993, address = {Paris}, pages = 440 } @Book{Gauthier2003:recherche, editor = {Beno{\^\i}t Gauthier}, title = {Recherche Sociale. De la probl{\'e}matique {\`a} la collecte de donn{\'e}es}, publisher = {Presses de l'Universit{\'e} de Qu{\'e}bec}, year = 2003, edition = 4, pages = 632, isbn = {2-7605-1243-6} } @Book{Brooks1950:climate, author = {C. E. P. Brooks}, title = {Climate in Everyday Life}, publisher = {Ernest Benn Limited, London}, year = 1950, pages = 314 } @Book{Veyret2003:risques, editor = {Yvette Veyret}, title = {Les risques}, publisher = {SEDES}, year = 2003, series = {Dossiers des Images {\'E}conomiques du Monde (DIEM)}, isbn = {2-718-19441-3}, issn = {0290-3318} } @Book{Mucchielli1991:methodes, author = {Alex Mucchielli}, title = {Les m{\'e}thodes qualitatives}, publisher = {Presses Universitaires de France}, year = 1991, series = {Que sais-je ?}, pages = 128, isbn = {2-13-043750-8} } @Book{Renaud1986:statistique, author = {Alain Renaud}, title = {Statistique {\'E}pid{\'e}miologique}, publisher = {Presses Universitaires de France}, year = 1986, series = {Que sais-je ?}, pages = 128, isbn = {2-13-038878-7} } @Book{Ormerod1995:transport, author = {Bill Ormerod}, title = {Transport \& environmental aspects of carbon dioxide sequestration}, publisher = {IEA Greenhouse Gas R\&D Programme, Cheltenham}, year = 1995, month = feb, isbn = {1-898373-22-1} } @Book{Schelling1960:strategy, author = {Thomas C. Schelling}, title = {The Strategy of Conflict}, publisher = {Harvard University Press}, year = 1960, isbn = {0-674-84031-3} } @Book{Schelling1984:choice, author = {Thomas C. Schelling}, title = {Choice and Consequence. Perspectives of an errant economist}, publisher = {Harvard University Press}, year = 1984, isbn = {0-674-127771-4} } @Book{Charpak.ea2005:tchernobyl, author = {Georges Charpak and Richard L. Garwin and Venance Journ{\'e}}, title = {De {T}chernobyl en tchernobyls}, publisher = {Odile Jacob}, year = 2005, collection = {sciences}, isbn = {978-2-7381-1374-5} } @Article{Cobb.ea2006:plausibility, author = {Barry R. Cobb and Prakash P. Shenoy}, title = {On the plausibility transformation method for translating belief function models to probability models}, journal = {International Journal of Approximate Reasoning}, year = 2006, volume = 41, number = 3, pages = {314--330}, doi = {10.1016/j.ijar.2005.06.008} } @Article{Dubois.ea2008:definition, author = {Didier Dubois and Henri Prade and Philippe Smets}, title = {A definition of subjective possibility}, journal = {International Journal of Approximate Reasoning}, year = 2008, volume = {In Press, Corrected Proof}, doi = {10.1016/j.ijar.2007.01.005} } @Article{Jacob.ea2005:slowdown, author = {D. Jacob and H. Goettel and J. Jungclaus and M. Muskulus and R. Podzun and J. Marotzke}, title = {Slowdown of the thermohaline circulation causes enhanced maritime climate influence and snow cover over Europe}, journal = {Geophysical Research Letters}, year = 2005, volume = 32, pages = {L21711}, month = nov, doi = {10.1029/2005GL023286}, adsurl = {http://adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-bib_query?bibcode=2005GeoRL..3221711J&db_key=AST} } @Article{Bourdieu1973:lopinion, author = {Pierre Bourdieu}, title = {L'opinion publique n'existe pas}, journal = {Les Temps modernes}, year = 1973, volume = 318, pages = {1295--1309}, note = {Republished in Questions de Sociologie (1984), ed. Minuit.} } @Misc{IPCC2005:guidance, author = {{IPCC}}, title = {Guidance Notes for Lead Authors of the {IPCC} Fourth Assessment Report on Addressing Uncertainties}, year = 2005, month = jul, note = {Accessed online 2007-07-04}, url = {http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/Report/AR4_UncertaintyGuidanceNote.pdf} } @Article{Akerlof1970:market, author = {George A. Akerlof}, title = {The Market for ``Lemons'': Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism}, journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics}, year = 1970, volume = 84, number = 3, pages = {488--500} } @Article{Wolfers.ea2004:prediction, author = {Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz}, title = {Prediction Markets}, journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives}, year = 2004, volume = 18, number = 2, pages = {107--126}, note = {Previously published as NBER Working Paper 10504}, url = {http://www.nber.org/papers/w10504.pdf} } @Article{Sutton.ea1965:evoked, author = {S. Sutton and M. Braren and J. Zublin and E. John}, title = {Evoked potential correlates of stimulus uncertainty}, journal = {Science}, year = 1965, volume = 150, pages = {1187--1188} } @Article{deConinck2008:trojan, author = {Heleen de Coninck}, title = {Trojan horse or horn of plenty? Reflections on allowing {CCS} in the {CDM} }, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 2008, volume = 36, number = 3, pages = {929--936}, doi = {10.1016/j.enpol.2007.11.013} } @Article{Na.ea1998:international, author = {Seong-lin Na and Hyun Song Shin}, title = {International environmental agreements under uncertainty}, journal = {Oxford Economic Papers}, year = 1998, volume = 50, pages = {141--170} } @Article{Hunyadi2004:logique, author = {Mark Hunyadi}, title = {La logique du raisonnement de pr\'ecaution}, journal = {Revue europ\'eenne des sciences sociales (Cahiers Vilfredo Pareto)}, year = 2004, volume = {XLII}, number = 130, pages = {9--33} } @Misc{Quarantelli2005:catastrophes, author = {E. L. Quarantelli}, title = {Catastrophes are Different from Disasters: Some Implications for Crisis Planning and Managing Drawn from Katrina}, year = 2005, month = sep # { 26}, url = {http://understandingkatrina.ssrc.org/Quarantelli/} } @TechReport{Commission-of-the-European-Communities2000:communication, author = {{Commission of the European Communities}}, title = {Communication from the Commission on the precautionary principle}, year = 2000, number = {COM(2000) 1 final}, address = {Brussels}, month = feb # { 2}, url = {http://europa.eu.int/comm/environment/docum/20001_en.htm} } @Article{Mills2005:insurance, author = {Evan Mills}, title = {Insurance in a Climate of Change}, journal = {Science}, year = 2005, volume = 309, number = 5737, pages = { 1040--1044}, month = aug # { 12}, doi = {10.1126/science.1112121}, url = {http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/309/5737/1040} } @TechReport{Zanetti.ea2005:natural, author = {Aurelia Zanetti and Susanna Schwarz and Rudolf Enz}, title = {Natural and man-made catastrophes 2004: more than 300 000 fatalities, record insured losses}, year = 2005, number = {1/2005}, month = mar, publisher = {Swiss Reinsurance Company, Economic Research and Consulting}, series = {Sigma}, url = {www.swissre.com/sigma} } @TechReport{Curry.ea2007:survey, author = {Thomas E. Curry and Stephen Ansolabehere and Howard Herzog}, title = {A Survey of Public Attitudes towards Climate Change and Climate Change Mitigation Technologies in the {U}nited {S}tates: Analyses of 2006 Results}, institution = {Laboratory for Energy and the Environment, Massachusetts Institute of Technology}, year = 2007, number = {LFEE 2007-01 WP}, address = {77 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02139-4307}, month = apr, url = {http://sequestration.mit.edu/bibliography/} } @Article{Hall.ea2007:imprecise, author = {Jim W. Hall and Guangtao Fu and Jonathan Lawry}, title = {Imprecise probabilities of climate change: aggregation of fuzzy scenarios and model uncertainties}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2007, volume = 81, number = {3--4}, pages = {265--281}, abstract = { Whilst the majority of the climate research community is now set upon the objective of generating probabilistic predictions of climate change, disconcerting reservations persist. Attempts to construct probability distributions over socio-economic scenarios are doggedly resisted. Variation between published probability distributions of climate sensitivity attests to incomplete knowledge of the prior distributions of critical parameters in climate models. In this paper we address these concerns by adopting an imprecise probability approach. We think of socio-economic scenarios as fuzzy linguistic constructs. Any precise emissions trajectory (which is required for climate modelling) can be thought of as having a degree of membership in a fuzzy scenario. Rather than attempting to distribute an additive probability measure across scenarios a weaker assumption is adopted in monotonic (but non-additive) measures. We argue that this approach can capture some of the semantics of socio-economic scenarios that defy conventional probabilistic representation. It is demonstrated how fuzzy scenarios can be propagated through a low-dimensional climate model, MAGICC. Fuzzy scenario uncertainties and imprecise probabilistic representation of climate model uncertainties are combined using random set theory to generate lower and upper cumulative probability distributions for Global Mean Temperature. In a decision-making context this information will lead to identification of sets of options that are robust to uncertainty, avoiding the na{\"\i}ve optimizing behaviour that can be implied by conventional probabilistic decision theory.}, doi = {10.1007/s10584-006-9175-6} } @TechReport{NDU1978:climate, author = {{National Defence University}}, title = {Climate change to the year 2000}, year = 1978, address = {Fort Lesley J. McNair, Washington, DC 20319, USA}, bibkey = {NDU1978:climate} } @Article{Kolstad.ea1999:information, author = {Charles D. Kolstad and Rolando M. Guzman}, title = {Information and the Divergence between Willingness to Accept and Willingness to Pay}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, year = 1999, volume = 38, number = 1, pages = {66--80}, month = jul, url = {http://www.econ.ucsb.edu/papers/wp30-98.pdf} } @Article{Shackley.ea2005:public, author = {Simon Shackley and Carly McLachlan and Clair Gough}, title = {The public perception of carbon dioxide capture and storage in the {UK}: results from focus groups and a survey}, journal = {Climate Policy}, year = 2005, volume = 4, number = 4, pages = {377--398}, note = {See also Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, jan. 2004 Working Paper 44}, url = {http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/working_papers/wp44_summary.shtml} } @TechReport{Wellington.ea2005:framing, author = {Fred Wellington and Amanda Sauer}, title = {Framing Climate Change Risk in Portfolio Management}, year = 2005, pages = 16, series = {ISSUE BRIEF}, publisher = {World Resource Institute}, url = {http://climate.wri.org/pubs_description.cfm?PubID=4028} } @Book{Zonabend1989:presquile, author = {Fran{\c{c}}oise Zonabend}, title = {La presqu'{\^\i}le au nucl{\'e}aire}, publisher = {Odile Jacob}, year = 1989, isbn = 2738100740, bibkey = {Zonabend1989:presquile} } @Book{Douglas.ea1983:risk, author = {Mary Douglas and Aaron Wildavsky}, title = {Risk and Culture. An Essay on the Selection of Technical and Environmental Dangers}, publisher = {University Presses of California, Columbia and Princeton}, year = 1983, month = nov # { 1}, isbn = 0520050630 } @Book{Jaeger.ea2001:risk, author = {Carlo C. Jaeger and Ortwin Renn and Eugene A. Rosa and Thomas Webler}, title = {Risk, Uncertainty and Rational Action}, publisher = {Earthscan}, year = 2001, pages = 320, isbn = {1 85383 770 9 (paperback)} } @Book{Jaynes2003:probability, author = {E. T. Jaynes}, title = {Probability Theory. The Logic of Science}, publisher = {CUP}, year = 2003, month = apr, note = {Posthumous editor G. Larry Bretthorst.}, pages = 758, isbn = 0521592712, url = {http://books.cambridge.org/0521592712.htm}, annote = {This is not an ordinary text. It is an unabashed, hard sell of the Bayesian approach to statistics. (SIAM news). See also http://omega.albany.edu:8008/JaynesBook.html} } @InCollection{Haber.ea2002:application, author = {R. E. Haber and R. H. Haber and A. Alique and S. Ros}, title = {Application of knowledge-based systems for supervision and control of machining processes}, volume = {II}, crossref = {Chang2002:handbook} } @Book{Chang2002:handbook, editor = {S. K. Chang}, title = {Handbook of Software Engineering and Knowledge Engineering}, publisher = {World Scientific Pub. Co.}, year = 2002, month = may, note = {2 volume set. Vol. I 'Fundamentals' published dec. 2001, ISBN: 981-02-4973-X. Vol. II ISBN: 981-02-4974-8}, isbn = {981-02-4514-9}, url = {http://www.cse.dmu.ac.uk/~yangli/handbook.htm} } @Book{Graham.ea1995:risk, editor = {John D. Graham and Jonathan Baert Wiener}, title = {Risk Versus Risk: Tradeoffs in Protecting Health and the Environment}, publisher = {Harvard University Press}, year = 1995, month = nov, note = {2 volume set. Vol. I 'Fundamentals' published dec. 2001, ISBN: 981-02-4973-X. Vol. II ISBN: 981-02-4974-8}, isbn = {0-674-77304-7 (hardback), 0-674-77307-1 (paperback)} } @TechReport{Dinan.ea2005:uncertainty, author = {Terry Dinan and Robert Shackleton, Jr.}, title = {Uncertainty in Analyzing Climate Change: Policy Implications}, institution = {U.S. Congressional Budget Office (CBO)}, year = 2005, month = {jan}, url = {http://www.cbo.gov/showdoc.cfm?index=6061}, abstract = {(from the study's Preface:) This Congressional Budget Office (CBO) study--prepared at the request of the Ranking Member of the House Committee on Science--presents an overview of issues related to climate change, focusing primarily on its economic aspects. The study draws from numerous published sources to summarize the current state of climate science and provide a conceptual framework for addressing climate change as an economic problem. It also examines public policy options and discusses the potential complications and benefits of international coordination. In keeping with CBO's mandate to provide impartial analysis, the study makes no recommendations.} } @PhDThesis{Kriegler2005:imprecise, author = {Elmar Kriegler}, title = {Imprecise probability analysis for integrated assessment of climate change}, school = {University of Potsdam (Germany)}, year = 2005, type = {Doctoral Thesis}, month = jan, abstract = {The thesis presents an application of imprecise probability theory to the quantification of uncertainty in the integrated assessment of climate change. The work is motivated by the fact that uncertainty about climate change is pervasive, and therefore requires a thorough treatment in the integrated assessment process. Classical probability theory faces some severe difficulties in this respect, since it cannot capture very poor states of information in a satisfactory manner. A more general framework is provided by imprecise probability theory, which offers a similarly firm evidential and behavioural foundation, while at the same time allowing to capture more diverse states of information. An imprecise probability describes the information in terms of lower and upper bounds on probability. For the purpose of our imprecise probability analysis, we construct a diffusion ocean energy balance climate model that parameterises the global mean temperature response to secular trends in the radiative forcing in terms of climate sensitivity and effective vertical ocean heat diffusivity. We compare the model behaviour to the 20th century temperature record in order to derive a likelihood function for these two parameters and the forcing strength of anthropogenic sulphate aerosols. We identify two suitable imprecise probability classes for an efficient representation of the uncertainty about the climate model parameters and provide an algorithm to construct a belief function for the prior parameter uncertainty from a set of probability constraints that can be deduced from the literature or observational data. For the purpose of updating the prior with the likelihood function, we establish a methodological framework that allows us to perform the updating procedure efficiently for two different updating rules: Dempster's rule of conditioning and the Generalised Bayes' rule. Dempster's rule yields a posterior belief function in good qualitative agreement with previous studies that tried to constrain climate sensitivity and sulphate aerosol cooling. In contrast, we are not able to produce meaningful imprecise posterior probability bounds from the application of the Generalised Bayes' Rule. We can attribute this result mainly to our choice of representing the prior uncertainty by a belief function. We project the Dempster-updated belief function for the climate model parameters onto estimates of future global mean temperature change under several emissions scenarios for the 21st century, and several long-term stabilisation policies. Within the limitations of our analysis we find that it requires a stringent stabilisation level of around 450 ppm carbon dioxide equivalent concentration to obtain a non-negligible lower probability of limiting the warming to 2 degrees Celsius. We discuss several frameworks of decision-making under ambiguity and show that they can lead to a variety of, possibly imprecise, climate policy recommendations. We find, however, that poor states of information do not necessarily impede a useful policy advice. We conclude that imprecise probabilities constitute indeed a promising candidate for the adequate treatment of uncertainty in the integrated assessment of climate change. We have constructed prior belief functions that allow much weaker assumptions on the prior state of information than a prior probability would require and, nevertheless, can be propagated through the entire assessment process. As a caveat, the updating issue needs further investigation. Belief functions constitute only a sensible choice for the prior uncertainty representation if more restrictive updating rules than the Generalised Bayes' Rule are available.}, url = {http://pub.ub.uni-potsdam.de/volltexte/2005/561/} } @Article{Kriegler.ea2005:utilizing, author = {Elmar Kriegler and Hermann Held}, title = {Utilizing belief functions for the estimation of future climate change}, journal = {International Journal of Approximate Reasoning}, year = 2005, volume = 39, number = {2--3}, pages = {185--209}, month = jun } @Book{Bishop1967:foundations, author = {Errett Bishop}, title = {Foundations of Constructive Analysis}, publisher = {McGraw-Hill}, year = 1967, address = {New York} } @InProceedings{Carlsson.ea2003:possibility, author = {Christer Carlsson and Robert Full{\'e}r and P{\'e}ter Majlander}, title = {Possibility Distributions: A Normative View}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 1st Slovakian-Hungarian Joint Symposium on Applied Machine Intelligence, Herlany, Slovakia}, year = 2003, month = feb # {12-14}, isbn = {963-7154-140}, url = {http://citeseer.ist.psu.edu/595654.html} } @Article{Dubois.ea2001:possibility, author = {Didier Dubois and Henri Prade}, title = {Possibility Theory, Probability Theory and Multiple-Valued Logics: A Clarification.}, journal = {Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence}, year = 2001, volume = 32, number = {1-4}, pages = {35--66}, bibsource = {DBLP, http://dblp.uni-trier.de} } @Article{Mirrlees1999:theory, author = {James A. Mirrlees}, title = {The Theory of Moral Hazard and Unobservable Behaviour: Part I}, journal = {Review of Economic Studies}, year = 1999, volume = 66, number = 1, pages = {3--21}, month = jan, note = {Special Issue: Contracts}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0034-6527%28199901%2966%3A1%3C3%3ATTOMHA%3E2.0.CO%3B2-0}, abstract = {Principal-agent models are studied, in which outcomes conditional on the agent's action are uncertain, and the agent's behaviour therefore unobservable. For a model with bounded agent's utility, conditions are given under which the first-best equilibrium can be approximated arbitrarily closely by contracts relating payment to observable outcomes. For general models, it is shown that the solution may not always be obtained by using the agent's first-order conditions as constraint. General conditions of Lagrangean type are given for problems in which contracts are finite-dimensional.} } @Article{Ioannidis2005:most, author = {John P. A. Ioannidis}, title = {Why Most Published Research Findings Are False}, journal = {PLoS Medicine}, year = 2005, volume = 2, number = 8, month = aug # { 1}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pmed.0020124}, abstract = {There is increasing concern that most current published research findings are false. The probability that a research claim is true may depend on study power and bias, the number of other studies on the same question, and, importantly, the ratio of true to no relationships among the relationships probed in each scientific field. In this framework, a research finding is less likely to be true when the studies conducted in a field are smaller; when effect sizes are smaller; when there is a greater number and lesser preselection of tested relationships; where there is greater flexibility in designs, definitions, outcomes, and analytical modes; when there is greater financial and other interest and prejudice; and when more teams are involved in a scientific field in chase of statistical significance. Simulations show that for most study designs and settings, it is more likely for a research claim to be false than true. Moreover, for many current scientific fields, claimed research findings may often be simply accurate measures of the prevailing bias. In this essay, I discuss the implications of these problems for the conduct and interpretation of research.} } @TechReport{Barrieu.ea2003:paradox, author = {Pauline Barrieu and Bernard Sinclair-Desgagn{\'e}}, title = {The Paradox of Precaution}, institution = {CIRANO}, year = 2003, month = oct, note = {To appear in Management Sciences with revised title.}, series = {Scientific Series} } @Article{Bewley2002:knightian, author = {Truman F. Bewley}, title = {Knightian decision theory. Part {I}}, journal = {Decisions in Economics and Finance}, year = 2002, volume = 25, number = 2, pages = {79--110}, month = nov, note = {Previously released as Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper 807 (nov 1986)}, doi = {10.1007/s102030200006}, url = {http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/cd/d08a/d0807.pdf} } @TechReport{Bewley1986:knightian, author = {Truman F. Bewley}, title = {Knightian Decision Theory: Part {I}}, institution = {Yale University}, year = 1986, number = 807, month = nov, note = {Published in Decisions in Economics and Finance 25(2), 79--110, nov. 2002}, series = {Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper}, url = {http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/cd/d08a/d0807.pdf} } @Book{Morgenstern1963:accuracy, author = {Oskar Morgenstern}, title = {On the accuracy of economic observations}, publisher = {Princeton University Press}, year = 1963, edition = {Second, completely revised} } @Book{Kagan2002:surprise, author = {Jerome Kagan}, title = {Surprise, Uncertainty, and Mental Structures}, publisher = {Harvard University Press}, year = 2002, isbn = {0-674-00735-2}, pages = 272 } @Book{Heyting1955:fondements, author = {A. Heyting}, title = {Les fondements des math{\'e}matiques. Intuitionisme. Th{\'e}orie de la d{\'e}monstration.}, publisher = {Gauthier-Villars}, year = 1955, series = {Collection de Logique Math{\'e}matique, S{\'e}rie A, vol. IX.}, note = {{\'E}dition traduite et augment{\'e}e du texte original allemand publi{\'e} en 1934} } @Article{Abel.ea1997:exact, author = {A. B. Abel and J. C. Eberly}, title = {An Exact Solution for the Investment and Value of a Firm Facing Uncertainty, Adjustment Costs, and Irreversibility}, journal = {Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control}, year = 1997, volume = 21, number = {4-5}, pages = {1--1} } @Article{Rahmstorf.ea2005:thermohaline, author = {Stefan Rahmstorf and Kirsten Zickfeld}, title = {Thermohaline Circulation Changes: A Question of Risk Assessment}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2005, volume = 68, number = {1 -- 2}, pages = {241 -- 247}, month = jan, doi = {10.1007/s10584-005-4038-0}, url = {http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~stefan/} } @Article{Hall.ea2005:imprecise, author = {J. W. Hall and Guangtao Fu and Jonathan Lawry}, title = {Imprecise probabilities of climate change: aggregation of fuzzy scenarios and model uncertainties}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2005, abstract = {Whilst the majority of the climate research community is now set upon the objective of generating probabilistic predictions of climate change, disconcerting reservations persist. Attempts to construct probability distributions over socio-economic scenarios are doggedly resisted. Variation between published probability distributions of climate sensitivity attests to incomplete knowledge of the prior distributions of critical parameters in climate models. In this paper we address these concerns by adopting an imprecise probability approach. We think of socio-economic scenarios as fuzzy linguistic constructs. Any precise emissions trajectory (which is required for climate modelling) can be thought of as having a degree of membership in a fuzzy scenario. Rather than attempting to distribute an additive probability measure across scenarios a weaker assumption is adopted in monotonic (but non-additive) measures. We argue that this approach can capture some of the semantics of socio-economic scenarios that defy conventional probabilistic representation. It is demonstrated how fuzzy scenarios can be propagated through a low-dimensional climate model, MAGICC. Fuzzy scenario uncertainties and imprecise probabilistic representation of climate model uncertainties are combined using random set theory to generate lower and upper cumulative probability distributions for Global Mean Temperature. In a decision-making context this information will lead to identification of sets of options that are robust to uncertainty, avoiding the naive optimizing behaviour that can be implied by conventional probabilistic decision theory.} } @Article{Kosko1986:fuzzy, author = {Bart Kosko}, title = {Fuzzy Cognitive Maps}, journal = {International Journal of Man-Machine Studies}, year = 1986, volume = 24, number = 1, pages = {65--75} } @Misc{Ades.ea1993:rise, author = {Alberto Ades and Thierry Verdier}, title = {The Rise and Fall of Elites}, year = 1993, month = dec # { 28}, note = {Papier pr\'esent\'e au s\'eminaire \'etudiants du {DELTA}} } @InProceedings{IEA1997:technical, author = {IEA}, title = {Technical Background Paper}, crossref = {IEA1997:uncertainty} } @PhDThesis{Ahamer1993:influence, author = {Gilbert Ahamer}, title = {Influence of an enhanced use biomass for energy on the ${CO}_2$ concentration in the atmosphere}, school = {Graz University of Technology}, year = 1993, type = {Doctoral Thesis}, address = {Austria}, month = jan, note = {Executive summary} } @Proceedings{EOC1994:anticipating, publisher = {Aspen Global Change Institute}, note = {Part 2 - Anticipating Global Change Surprise}, booktitle = {Elements of Change 1994}, url = {http://www.agci.org/publications/eoc94/eoc94.html}, bibkey = {EOC1994:anticipating} } @Proceedings{EOC1996:characterizing, publisher = {Aspen Global Change Institute}, note = {Part 2 - Characterizing and Communicating Scientific Uncertainty}, booktitle = {Elements of Change 1999}, url = {http://www.agci.org/publications/eoc96/eoc96.html}, bibkey = {EOC1996:characterizing} } @Article{Loveridge2004:experts, author = {Denis Loveridge}, title = {Experts and foresight: review and experience}, journal = {International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy}, year = 2004, volume = 1, number = {1/2}, pages = {33--69}, note = {Working paper URL http://les.man.ac.uk/PREST/Publications/DP_PDFs/PRESTDP02-09.PDF}, url = {http://www.inderscience.com/filter.php?aid=4651} } @InProceedings{Borsuk.ea2004:uncertainty, author = {Mark E. Borsuk and Lorenzo Tomassini}, title = {Uncertainty, imprecision and the precautionary principle}, booktitle = {International Symposium: Uncertainty and Precaution in Environmental Management}, year = 2004, address = {Copenhagen}, month = jun # { 7--9}, url = {http://upem.er.dtu.dk/} } @Unpublished{Dumas.ea2008:optimal, author = {Patrice Dumas and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Optimal growth with adaptation to climate change}, year = 2008, file = {Dumas.ea-20080917-OptimalGrowthWithAdaptationToClimateChange.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00207621_v2} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2008:optimal, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Patrice Dumas}, title = {Optimal growth with adaptation to climate change}, crossref = {AFSE2008:thematic}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong2008:optimal}, file = {HaDuong-2008-OptimalGrowthWithAdaptationToClimateChange-Presentation.pdf} } @Article{Nguyen.ea2009:economic, author = {Nhan Thanh Nguyen and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Economic Potential of Renewable Energy in {V}ietnam's Power Sector}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 2009, volume = 37, pages = {1601--1613}, file = {Nguyen.ea-2009-RenewableEnergyPotential.pdf}, doi = {10.1016/j.enpol.2008.12.026}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00431250_v1} } @Article{Ha-Duong.ea2009:survey, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Alain Nada{\"{\i}} and {Ana Sof{\'{\i}}a} Campos}, title = {A survey on the public perception of {CCS} in {F}rance}, journal = {International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control}, year = 2009, volume = 3, pages = {633--640}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2009-SurveyPublicPerceptionCCSFrance.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00200894}, doi = {10.1016/j.ijggc.2009.05.003} } @InProceedings{Tello.ea2009:carbon, author = {R{\'e}my Tello and Fr{\'e}d{\'e}ric Ghersi and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Carbon capture and storage versus renewables, macroeconomic comparisons}, crossref = {Pau2009:advancesCCS}, bibkey = {Tello.ea2009:carbon}, file = {Tello.ea-2009-CCSvsRenewables.pdf} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2009:views, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Views on {CCS} risks acceptability}, crossref = {Pau2009:advancesCCS}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong2009:views}, file = {HaDuong-2009-ViewsCCSRisksAcceptability.pdf} } @InProceedings{Coussy.ea2009:carbon, author = {Paula Coussy and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Carbon capture and storage and international negociations}, crossref = {Pau2009:advancesCCS}, bibkey = {Coussy.ea2009:carbon}, file = {Coussy.ea-2009-CCSAndInternationalNegociations.pdf} } @Proceedings{Pau2009:advancesCCS, year = 2009, address = {Technopole Helioparc, Pau, France}, month = {9--10 } # apr, booktitle = {Recent advances in CCS economics and sociology}, bibkey = {Pau2009:advancesCCS}, url = {http://www.centre-cired.fr/spip.php?article830} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2009:aspects, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Aspects de la pr\'ecaution en th\'eorie de la d\'ecision rationnelle: choix r\'evisables, impr\'ecision, incompl\'etude et controverses}, booktitle = {Et si la pr\'ecaution n'\'etait pas qu'un principe ? Le principe de pr\'ecaution et les normes}, year = 2009, address = {Universit\'e de Paris Diderot - Paris 7}, month = {19 } # may, file = {HaDuong-20090519-AspectsDeLaPrecautionEnTheorieDeLaDecisionRationnelle.pdf}, url = {http://centrecanguilhem.net/?page_id=42} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2008:using, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Using maps of city analogues to display climate change scenarios and their uncertainty}, booktitle = {Atelier ``Changement climatique, sommes nous {\'a} un tournant ?''}, year = 2008, address = {Gif-sur-Yvette}, month = {2--3 } # oct, file = {Kopf.ea-2008-UsingMapsOfCityAnalogues-Presentation.pdf} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2009:social, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Social aspects of carbon capture, transport and storage: {T}otal's {L}acq project}, booktitle = {First Meeting of the IEA GHG Social Research Network}, year = 2009, address = {CIRED, Campus du Jardin Tropical de Paris}, month = {2--3 } # nov, file = {HaDuong-20091103-Lacq-SRNPresentation.pdf}, url = {http://www.ieagreen.org.uk/} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong.ea2008:emissions, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Nhan~Thanh Nguyen}, title = {{CO$_2$} emissions mitigation potential in {V}ietnam's power sector}, booktitle = {ANR Meeting Sustainable Development: Demographic, Energy and Inter-generational Aspects}, year = 2008, address = {Strasbourg}, month = {28--29 } # nov, file = {HaDuong.ea-20081128-CO2MitigationPotentialInVN-PresentationStrasbourg.pdf}, url = {http://cournot2.u-strasbg.fr/users/beta/SD/} } @InProceedings{Nguyen.ea2009:emissions, author = {Nhan~Thanh Nguyen and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {{CO$_2$} emissions mitigation potential in {V}ietnam's power sector}, editor = {Michael Rodi and Michael Mehling and J{\"o}rg Scharrer}, booktitle = {Realising the Paradigm Shift towards Energy Sustainability Climate Change, Technological Innovation, and the Challenge of an Optimal Instrument Mix}, year = 2009, note = {Proceedings of the Summer Academy `Energy and the Environment' 2008, Greifswald, Germany (in press). Best paper prize award.}, file = {HaDuong.ea-20081128-CO2MitigationPotentialInVN-PresentationStrasbourg.pdf}, url = {http://jura.uni-greifswald.de/index.php?id=gisa2008} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2008:fusion, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Fusion des opinions d'expert en situation de controverse}, booktitle = {S{\'e}minaire du {RTP M3D} Math{\'e}matiques et d{\'e}cision pour le d{\'e}veloppement durable}, year = 2008, address = {Paris}, month = {16 } # jun, file = {HaDuong-20080616-FusionExpertsControverse-RTPMaths.pdf}, url = {http://cermics.enpc.fr/~delara/RTP_CNRS_2007/RTP_CNRS_web/} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2008:sensibilite, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Sensibilit{\'e} climatique et fusion d'experts}, booktitle = {Rencontres ``Philosophie et D{\'e}cisions sur le Changement Climatique et l'Environnement''}, year = 2008, address = {La Baume, Aix en Provence}, month = {1--3 } # dec, file = {HaDuong-2008-SensibiliteClimatiqueEtFusionDExperts.pdf} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2008:gestion, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {La gestion de l'incertitude au {GIEC}}, booktitle = {Workshop Philosophie et D{\'e}veloppement Durable}, year = 2008, address = {Aix en Provence, France}, month = {30/1 -- 1/2}, file = {HaDuong-20080201-GestionIncertitudeGIEC.pdf} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2008:symmetric, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Symmetric and hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model, application on a climate sensitivity dataset}, booktitle = {{CIRED} research seminar}, year = 2008, address = {Nogent sur Marne, France}, month = jan # { 17}, file = {HaDuong-2008-SymmetricAndHierarchical.pdf} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2008:IPMU, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {A hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the {TBM}}, booktitle = {IPMU 08. Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems, 12th Intl Conference.}, year = 2008, address = {M{\'a}laga, Spain}, month = jun # { 22--27}, note = {Shorter version of the hierarchical fusion paper published in IJAR}, url = {http://www.gimac.uma.es/ipmu08/}, file = {HaDuong-2008-IPMU-Malaga-HierarchicalFusionPresentation.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00264124_v1}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong2008:IPMU} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2008:SMPS, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {A hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the {TBM}}, booktitle = {SMPS'08 - Soft Methods for Handling Variability and Imprecision.}, year = 2008, series = {Advances in Soft Computing}, pages = {361--368}, address = {Toulouse}, month = sep # { 8--10}, publisher = {Springer}, note = {Shorter version of the hierarchical fusion paper published in IJAR}, editors = {Didier Dubois and M. Asunci{\'o}n Lubiano and Henri Prade and Mar{\'\i}a {\'A}ngeles Gil and Przemyslaw Grzegorzewski and Olgierd Hryniewicz}, number = 48, isbn = {978-3-540-85026-7}, issn = {1615-3871}, file = {HaDuong-2008-SMPSPresentation.pdf}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong2008:SMPS} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2008:ccs, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {{CCS} communication actions and research in {F}rance}, booktitle = {4th FENCO-ERA Workshop jointly with ETP ZEP TF Communication}, year = 2008, address = {Lisboa, Portugal}, month = jan # { 15--16}, file = {HaDuong-2008-CCSCommunicationResearchInFrance.pdf} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong.ea2007:c2s2r, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and {Ana Sof{\'{\i}}a} Campos}, title = {{C2S2R} advances in {F}rance}, booktitle = {Carbon Capture and Storage Social Research Network (C2S2RN) Meeting}, year = 2007, address = {Banff}, month = sep # { 19--20}, url = {http://www.climatechangecentral.com/ccs/}, file = {HaDuong-20070921-BanffPresentation.pdf}, annote = {Working group wiki at http://ccsworkshop.stikipad.com/2007/} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2007:carbon, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Carbon Capture and Storage: socio-economic remarks}, booktitle = {Anglo-French scientific seminar}, year = 2007, address = {Imperial College, London}, month = sep # { 27}, institution = {Ambassade de France}, url = {http://www.ambascience.co.uk/}, file = {HaDuong-20070927-CCSSocioEconomicRemarks.pdf} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2007:etude, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Une {\'e}tude sur les perceptions sociales du captage et du stockage du {CO$_2$}}, booktitle = {S{\'e}minaire Captage et Stockage du CO$_2$}, year = 2007, address = {Pau}, month = dec # { 12--13}, institution = {Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR)}, file = {HaDuong-2007-EtudeSurLesPerceptionsSocialesCSC.pdf} } @Article{Streets.ea2000:exploring, author = {David G. 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J. J. Kreileman and M. Krol and G. Zuidema}, title = {Modelling the Global Society-Biosphere-Climate system: Part 1: Model Description and Testing}, year = 1993, month = aug, note = {Submitted for Publication in Journ. Water, Air, Soil Pollution, Special Issue -- IMAGE 2.0} } @Article{Alcamo.ea2003:development, author = {Joseph Alcamo and Petra D{\"o}ll and Thomas Henrichs and Frank Kaspar and Bernhard Lehner and Thomas R{\"o}sch and Stefan Siebert}, title = {Development and testing of the {W}ater{G}ap 2 global model of water use and availability}, journal = {Hydrological Sciences}, year = 2003, volume = 48, number = 3, pages = {317--337} } @TechReport{Hallegatte.ea2009:note, author = {St{\'e}phane Hallegatte and Patrice Dumas and Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {A note on the economic cost of climate change and the rational to limit it below 2K}, year = 2009, pages = 15 } @Article{Hallegatte.ea2007:economic, author = {St{\'e}phane Hallegatte and Jean-Charles Hourcade and Patrice Dumas}, title = {Why economic dynamics matter in assessing climate change damages: illustration on extreme events}, journal = {Ecological Economics}, year = 2007, volume = 62, pages = {330--340}, doi = {10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.06.006} } @Article{Hallegatte.ea2008:business, author = {St{\'e}phane Hallegatte and Jean-Charles Hourcade and Michael Ghil and Patrice Dumas}, title = {Business Cycles, Bifurcations and Chaos in a Neo-Classical Model with Investment Dynamics}, journal = {Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization}, year = 2008, volume = 67, number = 1, pages = {57--77}, doi = {10.1016/j.jebo.2007.05.001} } @Article{Hallegatte.ea2007:using, author = {St{\'e}phane Hallegatte and Jean-Charles Hourcade and Philippe Ambrosi}, title = {Using climate analogues for assessing climate change economic impacts in urban areas}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2007, volume = 82, number = {1--2}, pages = {47--60}, month = may, doi = {10.1007/s10584-006-9161-z}, url = {http://www.centre-cired.fr/spip.php?article238} } @Article{Hallegatte2006:cost-benefit, author = {St{\'e}phane Hallegatte}, title = {A cost-benefit analysis of the New Orleans Flood Protection System}, journal = {Regulatory Analysis}, year = 2006, number = {06-02}, month = mar, institution = {AEI-Brookings Joint Center} } @Article{Hallegatte.ea2008:natural, author = {St{\'e}phane Hallegatte and Michael Ghil}, title = {Natural disasters impacting a macroeconomic model with endogenous dynamics}, journal = {Ecological Economics}, year = 2008, volume = 68, number = {1--2}, pages = {582--592}, doi = {doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2008.05.022} } @Article{Hallegatte.ea2009:technical, author = {St{\'e}phane Hallegatte and Patrice Dumas}, title = {Can natural disasters have positive consequences? 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Hauglustaine and G{\'e}rard M{\'e}gie}, title = {Mod\'elisation de l'Impact {\'E}conomique des {R}\'egulations d'Emissions de Gaz \`a Effet de Serre}, year = 1995, month = {circa}, note = {Note dans le cadre du Programme ECLAT du Minist\`ere de l'Environnement} } @InProceedings{Chapuis.ea1996:diam, author = {Thierry Chapuis and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {{DIAM}: Un Mod\`ele Dynamique pour Etudier l'Inertie et l'Adaptabilit\'e dans le Probl\`eme de l'Effet de Serre}, crossref = {CNRS1996:tendances} } @InCollection{Chapuis1997:cas, author = {Thierry Chapuis}, title = {Le cas de l'ozone: le protocole de {M}ontr{\'e}al {\'e}tait-il rationnel ?}, booktitle = {{INASUD} Interim Report}, publisher = {CIRED}, year = 1997, note = {Published as part of the author's doctoral thesis} } @TechReport{Charlier1994:effer, author = {Christophe Charlier}, title = {Effer Irr\'eversibilit\'e et Information Endog\`ene}, institution = {LATAPSES}, year = 1994, type = {Document de travail du S\'eminaire d'Analyse Economi}, number = {94/11}, month = nov } @Article{Charlier1997:effet, author = {Christophe Charlier}, title = {Effet d'Irr\'eversibilit\'e et Information Endog\`ene. 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Includes a self-contained summary} } @Article{Gruszow1998:modeliser, author = {Sylvie Gruszow}, title = {Mod\'eliser le climat}, journal = {La Recherche}, year = 1998, volume = 306, pages = {16--16}, note = {Deux articles 'Quand on resserre la maille' et 'Le climat belge en haute r\'esolution'} } @Article{Guesnerie1992:exploration, author = {Roger Guesnerie}, title = {An Exploration of the Eductive Justifications of the Rational-Expectations Hypothesis}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1992, volume = 82, number = 5, pages = {1254--1278} } @Article{Guesnerie2004:calcul, author = {Roger Guesnerie}, title = {Calcul {\'e}conomique et d{\'e}veloppement durable}, journal = {Revue {\'E}conomique}, year = 2004, volume = 55, number = 3, pages = {363--82} } @Article{Gull.ea1993:imaginary, author = {Stephen Gull and Anthony Lasenby and Chris Doran}, title = {Imaginary Numbers are not Real. The geometric algebra of spacetime}, journal = {Found. Phys.}, year = 1993, volume = 23, number = 9, pages = 1175, note = {Available electronically} } @InProceedings{Gupta2000:effective, author = {Sujata Gupta}, title = {An effective allocation criterion for ${CO}_2$ emissions}, crossref = {Stanford2000:emfieaiew} } @Unpublished{Gurney1996:climate, author = {Robert Kevin Gurney}, title = {Climate Change and the Prospects for Action: Does Waiting have a Price ?}, year = 1996, month = sep, note = {Papier soumis pour commentaires} } @TechReport{Gusbin1997:packaging, author = {Dominique Gusbin}, title = {Packaging and Promotion of Community Climate Change Socio-Economic, Energy and Technology, and Scientific Research}, institution = {European Commission, DG XII}, year = 1997, type = {Project Summary}, number = {ENV4-CT97-0433} } @TechReport{Ha-Duong.ea1997:diam, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Thierry Chapuis and Michael J. Grubb}, title = {{DIAM}: a {M}odel for studying the {D}ynamics of {I}nertia and {A}daptability in the climate change issue}, year = 1997, note = {Published also as part of the author's doctoral thesis.}, booktitle = {Inasud Interim Report}, publisher = {CIRED} } @TechReport{Ha-Duong.ea2007:enquete, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Gilles Mardon}, title = {Enqu{\^e}te pilote sur la perception de la technologie ``capture et s{\'e}questration du {CO$_2$}'' en {F}rance}, institution = {CIRED}, year = 2007, number = {NA/PN 003}, month = jun, url = {http://www.centre-cired.fr/}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2007-EnquetePiloteSurLaTechnologieCCSEnFrance.pdf} } @TechReport{Ha-Duong.ea2004:communication, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Gilles Mardon}, title = {Sur la communication par le web d'un laboratoire de recherche}, year = 2004, url = {http://www.centre-cired.fr/spip.php?article168}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2004-SurLaCommunicationParLeWebDUnLaboratoireDeRecherche.pdf}, publisher = {CIRED} } @TechReport{Ha-Duong2006:spip, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {{SPIP} dans la recherche : la gestion avec {RSS} des listes de publications d{\'e}pos{\'e}es au Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe ({CCSD/HAL})}, year = 2006, month = jan, note = {Publi{\'e} dans {SPIP} Mag}, url = {http://mag.spip.net/article65.html}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00008414_v1} } @Misc{Ha-Duong2009:LeCSC, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Le {CSC} pas la {CSC}.}, howpublished = {Communication invit{\'e}e {\`a} la journ{\'e}e `Communication for CCS' du Global CCS Institute, Hotel M\'eridien \'Etoile, Paris}, year = 2009, month = nov # { 4}, url = {http://blog.captagestockageco2.eu/post/2009/10/23/Captage-pas-capture}, file = {HaDuong-2009-LeCSCpasLaCSC.pdf}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong2009:LeCSC} } @Misc{Ha-Duong2006:hal, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {{HAL} au {CIRED} : le point de vue d'un utilisateur}, howpublished = {Communication invit{\'e}e {\`a} la journ{\'e}e de pr{\'e}sentation de l'archive ouverte HAL {\`a} l'{\'E}cole des Ponts}, year = 2006, month = jun # { 12}, file = {HaDuong-20060612-HALauCIRED.pdf} } @Article{Haurie2003:integrated, author = {Alain Haurie}, title = {Integrated assessment modeling for global climate change: an infinite horizon optimization viewpoint}, journal = {Environmental Modeling and Assessment}, year = 2003, volume = 8, number = 3, pages = {117--132}, month = sep } @InProceedings{Hourcade.ea1996:uncertainties, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Uncertainties, Induced Technical Change and Timing of Actions}, crossref = {European1996:prospects} } @Article{Ha-Duong.ea1997:influence, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Michael J. Grubb and Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Influence of Socioeconomic Inertia and Uncertainty on Optimal {CO}$_2$-emission abatement}, journal = {Nature}, year = 1997, volume = 390, pages = {270--274}, annote = {Also available electronically as .pdf from Nature website, last accessed 1999}, file = {HaDuong.ea-1997-InfluenceInertiaUncertaintyAbatement.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00002452_v1}, gsi = 14770281021959217713 } @InCollection{Ha-Duong.ea1997:experience, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Pierre Matarasso}, title = {An experience with {M}athematica in the field of economics of the environment: {DIAM}}, file = {HaDuong.ea-1997-MathematicaDIAM.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00007465_v1}, crossref = {Keranen.ea1997:innovation} } @Article{Ha-Duong.ea1998:dynamic, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Jean-Charles Hourcade and Franck Lecocq}, title = {Dynamic Consistency Problems behind the {K}yoto Protocol}, journal = {International Journal of Environment and Pollution}, year = 1998, volume = 11, number = 4, pages = {426--446}, file = {HaDuong.ea-1998-DynamicConsistencyIssuesKyotoProtocol.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00002459_v1}, gsi = 13757233003382574090 } @Article{Ha-Duong.ea2003:pro-active, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and G{\'e}rard M{\'e}gie and Didier Hauglustaine}, title = {A pro-active stratospheric ozone protection scenario}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, year = 2003, volume = 13, number = 1, pages = {43--49}, month = apr, doi = {10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00087-0}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2003-ProActiveStratosphericOzoneScenario.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00001593_v1}, gsi = 8479183997314198364 } @TechReport{Ha-Duong1997:etude, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Une {\'e}tude de la prise en compte de l'irr{\'e}versibilit{\'e} et de l'incertitude dans quelques mod{\`e}les d'{\'e}valuation int{\'e}gr{\'e}e du changement climatique}, year = 1997, note = {Published also as part of the author's doctoral thesis.}, booktitle = {Inasud Interim Report}, publisher = {CIRED} } @PhDThesis{Ha-Duong1998:comment, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Comment tenir compte de l'irr{\'e}versibilit{\'e} dans l'{\'e}valuation int{\'e}gr{\'e}e du changement climatique ?}, school = {{\'E}cole des hautes {\'E}tudes en Sciences Sociales}, year = 1998, type = {Th{\`e}se de doctorat}, address = {Paris}, month = apr, url = {http://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/documents/archives0/00/00/35/05/}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00002456_v1}, gsi = 2776642437063567863 } @PhDThesis{Ha-Duong2005:modeles, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Mod{\`e}les de pr{\'e}caution en {\'e}conomie: introduction aux probabilit{\'e}s impr{\'e}cises}, school = {Universit{\'e} de Paris I}, year = 2005, type = {M{\'e}moire d'Habilitation {\`a} Diriger les Recherches en sciences {\'e}conomiques}, month = dec # { 7}, url = {http://www.centre-cired.fr/spip.php?article131}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00007520_v1} } @Misc{Ha-Duong1998:faut-il, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Faut-il mod{\'e}rer le changement climatique ?}, howpublished = {Synopsys soumis au Prix Le Monde de la recherche universitaire.}, year = 1998 } @InCollection{Ha-Duong1998:necessities, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Necessities and problems of coupling climate and socioeconomic models for integrated assessments studies from an economist's point of view}, pages = {39--54}, crossref = {Hacker.ea1998:goals}, file = {HaDuong-1997-NecessityProblemsIAM.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00007466_v1} } @InCollection{Toth.ea1998:climate, author = {F. 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Heintz and Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Schone Lucht -- De Vergeten Baten van Klimaatbeleid: Implicaties voor Joint Implementation}, journal = {Milieu, T{\"y}dschrift voor Milieukunde}, year = 1996, volume = 11, number = 4, pages = {192--198} } @Article{Hellstein1988:socially, author = {M. Hellstein}, title = {Socially optimal forestry}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, year = 1988, volume = 15, pages = {387--394} } @Article{Hellster1989:, author = {M. 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Wuebbles}, title = {Energy Implications of future stabilization of atmospheric ${CO}_2$ content}, journal = {Nature}, year = 1998, volume = 395, pages = {881--884} } @Article{Hofmann.ea1992:observation, author = {D. J. Hofmann and S. J. Oltmans and J. M. Harris and S. Solomon and T. Deshler and B. J. Johnson}, title = {Observation and Possible Causes of the New Ozone Depletion in Antarctica in 1991}, journal = {Nature}, year = 1992, volume = 359, pages = {283--287} } @Article{Hogan1992:oecd, author = {William W. Hogan}, title = {{OECD} Oil Demand Dynamics: Trends and Asymetries}, journal = {Energy Journal}, year = 1992, volume = 14, number = 1, pages = {125--157} } @InProceedings{Holtsmark1998:from, author = {Bjart J. Holtsmark}, title = {From the {K}yoto Protocol to the Fossil Fuel Markets}, crossref = {OCDE1998:experts} } @InProceedings{Hooss2000:cost-efficient, author = {Georg Hooss}, title = {A Cost-Efficient Projection of Complex Climate Models for ${CO}_2$ Forcing}, crossref = {Stanford2000:emfieaiew} } @Article{Hope.ea1993:policy, author = {Chris Hope and John Anderson and Paul Wenman}, title = {Policy Analysis of the Greenhouse Effect, an application of the {PAGE} model}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 1993, volume = 21, number = 3, pages = {327--338}, note = {Special issue on Policy Modelling for Global Climate Change} } @Article{Hope.ea1996:valuing, author = {Chris Hope and Philip Maul}, title = {Valuing the impact of ${CO}_2$ emissions}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 1996, volume = 24, number = 3, pages = {211--219} } @TechReport{Hope1992:fast, author = {Chris Hope}, title = {A Fast and Simple Model of Global Warming from Greenhouse Gas Emissions}, institution = {Cambridge University, Judge Institute of Management Sciences}, year = 1992, type = {Research papers in management studies}, number = {1992-1993 No 2}, month = nov } @Unpublished{Hope1998:incorporating, author = {Chris Hope}, title = {Incorporating sulfates into the calculation of impacts of of two almost identical climate change scenarios}, year = 1998, note = {In preparation}, pages = 9 } @Article{Hope2008:discount, author = {Chris Hope}, title = {Discount rates, equity weights and the social cost of carbon}, journal = {Energy Economics}, year = 2008, volume = 30, number = 3, pages = {1011--1019} } @Article{Hotelling1931:economics, author = {H. Hotelling}, title = {The economics of exhaustible resources}, journal = {Journal of Political Economy}, year = 1931, volume = 39, pages = {137--175} } @Article{Houghton1991:tropical, author = {R. A. Houghton}, title = {Tropical deforestation and atmospheric carbon dioxide}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1991, volume = 19, number = {1-2}, pages = {1--18} } @InProceedings{Houllier.ea1991:elements, author = {F. Houllier and D. Pelissie and Jean-Luc Peyron}, title = {Elements de r\'eflexion sur l'\'evaluation \'economique des \'eclaircies}, crossref = {Inconnu1991:seminaire} } @PhDThesis{Houllier1992:analyse, author = {F. Houllier}, title = {Analyse et Mod\'elisation de la Dynamique des Peuplements Forestiers. Application \`a la Gestion de les Ressources Foresti\`eres}, school = {{\'E}cole Nationale du G{\'e}nie Rural, des Eaux et For{\^e}ts}, year = 1992, type = {M\'emoire d'Habilitation \`a diriger les recherches}, address = {Nancy, France}, month = {5 } # mar, note = {Laboratoire de dynamique des syst\`emes forestiers} } @TechReport{Hourcade-coordinator.ea1998:inasud, title = {{INASUD} Final Report}, institution = {CIRED, with contribution from IVM, IIASA, SMASH and RIIA}, year = 1998, type = {Research report, international collaborative research project}, month = jul, note = {Delivered to the European Union, DG XII, available for consulation at CIRED.}, editor = {Jean-Charles Hourcade{ (coordinator)} and Minh Ha-Duong} } @Article{Hourcade.ea1989:politiques, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and G{\'e}rard M{\'e}gie and Jacques Theys}, title = {Politiques \'energ\'etiques et risques climatiques. {C}omment g\'erer l'incertitude ?}, journal = {Futuribles}, year = 1989, volume = 135, pages = {35--60} } @Unpublished{Hourcade.ea1991:economics, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Jean-Michel Salles}, title = {Economics and environmental issues: lessons from a recent controversy in europe}, year = 1991, month = mar, note = {Publi\'e finalement comme {\textquotedblleft}Ecological economics and scientific controversies.{\textquotedblright}, Ecological Economics 6(1992), 211--233} } @Article{Hourcade.ea1991:traitement, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Richard Baron}, title = {Traitement de l'Innovation et Evaluation des Co\^uts \`a Long Terme de la {R}\'eduction des Emissions de ${CO}_2$}, journal = {Revue de l'\'Energie}, year = 1991, volume = 426, pages = {42--52} } @Article{Hourcade.ea1992:ecological, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Jean-Michel Salles and Daniel Thery}, title = {Ecological economics and scientific controversies, lessons from some recent policy making in the {EEC}}, journal = {Ecological Economics}, year = 1992, volume = 6, pages = {211--233} } @Article{Hourcade.ea1995:no-regret, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Thierry Chapuis}, title = {No-regret potentials and technical innovation}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 1995, volume = 23, number = {4/5}, pages = {433--445} } @Unpublished{Hourcade.ea1996:cost, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Franck Lecocq and Naceur Chaabane}, title = {Cost of Inertia, Nature and Timing of Decisions: some Lessons from Numerical Experiments with {STARTS}}, year = 1996, month = {circa}, note = {Communication pr\'esent\'ee \`a Vienne} } @Article{Hourcade.ea1996:mitigating, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and John Robinson}, title = {Mitigating Factors - Assessing the Costs of Reducing {GHG} Emissions}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 1996, volume = 24, number = {10/11}, pages = {863--873} } @TechReport{Hourcade.ea1997:optimization, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Franck Lecocq and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Optimization models within a sequential decision making framework: a tool for hierarchizing uncertainties}, year = 1997, note = {In preparation (presented at the Optimization Days, Montreal, may 12-14, 1997).}, booktitle = {Inasud Interim Report}, publisher = {CIRED} } @TechReport{DEFRA2003:sustainable, author = {{DEFRA}}, title = {Sustainable Development in Government}, institution = {Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA)}, year = 2003 } @TechReport{Lepeltier2004:plan, title = {Plan Climat 2004. Face au changement climatique, agissons ensemble}, institution = {Minist\`ere de l'\'ecologie et du d\'eveloppement durable}, year = 2004, editor = {Serge Lepeltier}, publisher = {MEDD}, pages = 89 } @TechReport{deBoissieu2006:rapport, author = {Christian de Boissieu}, title = {Rapport du groupe {F}acteur 4: La division par quatre des \'emissions de gaz {\`a} effet de serre de la {F}rance {\`a} l'horizon 2050}, institution = {Minist\`ere de l'\'ecologie et du d\'eveloppement durable and Minist\`ere de l'\'economie des finances et de l'industrie}, year = 2006, month = nov, publisher = {La documentation fran{\c c}aise}, pages = 142, isbn = {2-11-006280-0}, url = {http://www.effet-de-serre.gouv.fr/} } @InProceedings{Hourcade.ea1998:determinants, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Khalil Helioui and Fr{\'e}d{\'e}ric Ghersi}, title = {Les {D}\'eterminants du Double-Dividende d'Ecotaxes: changement technique et r\'eduction du risque d'embauche en pr\'esence de rigidit\'es du travail}, crossref = {AFSE1998:journees} } @Unpublished{Hourcade.ea1998:organisation, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Olivier Godard}, title = {Organisation Administrative et Financi\`ere du {CIRED} Nogent}, year = 1998, month = {28 } # may } @Unpublished{Hourcade.ea2000:socio-economics, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Pierre Courtois and Thierry Lepesant}, title = {Socio-economics of policy formation and choices}, year = 2000, month = {12 } # apr, note = {Chapter 7 in a book to appear edited by IVM, Amsterdam} } @Article{Hourcade1992:gestion, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {La Gestion Collective de l'Incertitude}, journal = {Ecod\'ecision}, year = 1992, pages = {39--41} } @Unpublished{Hourcade1993:economic, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Economic background of the rise and fall of the {E}uropean tax proposals}, year = 1993, note = {Personnal communication} } @Article{Hourcade1993:modelling, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Modelling long-run scenarios: methodology lessons from a prospective study on a low ${CO}_2$ intensive country}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 1993, volume = 21, number = 3, pages = {309--326} } @Article{Hourcade1993:sciences, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Les Sciences entre Philosophie et Mass {M}\'edia ou l'Incertaine {L}\'egitimit\'e}, journal = {Natures - Sciences - Soci\'et\'es}, year = 1993, volume = 1, number = 4, pages = {316--321} } @Article{Hourcade1994:analyse, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Analyse \'economique et gestion des risques climatiques}, journal = {Natures - Sciences - Soci\'et\'es}, year = 1994, volume = 2, number = 3, pages = {202--211} } @Article{Hourcade1995:environnement, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Environnement : de {R}io \`a {B}erlin}, journal = {Projet}, year = 1995, volume = 242, pages = {109--114} } @Unpublished{Hourcade1995:integrated, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Integrated Assessment and integrated modelling : some insights}, year = 1995, month = may, note = {A working note for the Workshop on Integrated Assesment European Comission} } @Unpublished{Hourcade1995:quelques, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Quelques \'el\'ements de cadrage sur les \'ecotaxes et la r\'eforme fiscale}, year = 1995, month = may # { 9}, note = {Document interne CIRED} } @InProceedings{Hourcade1996:international, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {International harmonization of {GHG} emission policies}, booktitle = {Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association}, year = 1996, address = {San Francisco}, month = jan # { 5-7} } @InBook{Hourcade1996:principe, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Le principe de pr{\'e}caution dans la conduite des affaires humaines}, chapter = {Pr{\'e}caution et approche s{\'e}quentielle de la d{\'e}cision face aux risques climatiques de l'effet de serre}, publisher = {Co{\'e}dition INRA-MSH et association Natures, Sciences, Soci{\'e}t{\'e}s-Dialogues}, year = 1996 } @TechReport{Hourcade1997:compte, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Compte rendu ce la r\'eunion du 20 mars 1997, Autour de l'appui du {GDR} {OIKIA} \`a la n\'egociation de {K}yoto}, institution = {CIRED}, year = 1997, month = may } @TechReport{Hourcade1997:critical, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Critical policy issues and review of current trends in integrated assessment modelling}, year = 1997, booktitle = {Inasud Interim Report}, publisher = {CIRED} } @Article{Hourcade1998:analyse, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Analyse \'economique, mod\'elisation prospective et d\'eveloppement durable, ou comment faire remonter des informations du futur ?}, journal = {{\'E}conomie et Soci{\'e}t{\'e}}, year = 1998, volume = 36, number = 1, pages = {175--192}, note = {S\'erie F} } @PhDThesis{Hourcade1984:prospective, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Prospective de l'{\'e}nergie et strat{\'e}gies de d{\'e}veloppement dans le tiers monde}, school = {Universit{\'e} Paris VIII Vincennes {\`a} Saint-Denis}, year = 1984, type = {Th{\`e}se de Doctorat d'Etat en Sciences Economiques}, month = oct } @Article{Hourcade1985:signification, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Signification et impasses d'un concept banalis{\'e}~: les {\'e}conomies d'{\'e}chelle}, journal = {Communication}, year = 1985, number = 41 } @Unpublished{Lecocq.ea2005:sharing, author = {Franck Lecocq and Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Sharing the provision of long-term public goods: The role of negociation mandates}, year = 2005 } @Article{Howarth.ea1990:intergenerational, author = {Richard B. 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Jacoby and Ronald G. Prinn and Richard Schmalensee}, title = {{K}yoto's Unfinished Business}, journal = {Foreign Affairs}, year = 1998, volume = 77, number = 4, pages = {54--66}, note = {MIT Global Change Joint Program Report number 32}, url = {http://web.mit.edu/afs/athena.mit.edu/org/g/globalchange/www/MITJPSPGC_Rpt32.pdf} } @InProceedings{Jacoby1998:toward, author = {Henry D. Jacoby}, title = {Toward a Useful Architecture for Climate Change Negociations}, crossref = {OCDE1998:experts} } @Article{Jaeger.ea1997:procedural, author = {Carlo C. Jaeger and Terry Barker and Ottmar Edenhofer and Sylvie Faucheux and Jean-Charles Hourcade and Bernd Kasemir and Martin O'Connor and Martin Parry and Irene Peters and Jerry Ravetz and Jan Rotmans}, title = {Procedural Leadership in Climate Policy: a European Task}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, year = 1997, volume = 7, number = 3, pages = {195--203} } @InProceedings{Jaeger1996:scientific, author = {Carlo C. 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Y.}, title = {Some theorical results on the economics of forestry}, journal = {Review of Economic Studies}, year = 1985, volume = 52, pages = {263--282} } @InProceedings{Mocilnikar1998:evaluation, author = {Antoine-Tristan Mocilnikar}, title = {Evaluation Financi\`ere des Droits \`a Polluer}, crossref = {AFSE1998:journees} } @Article{Modigliani.ea1958:cost, author = {Franco Modigliani and Merton H. Miller}, title = {The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1958, volume = {XLVIII}, number = {Three}, pages = {261--296} } @Misc{Moen1999:fear, author = {Rick Moen}, title = {Fear of forking}, howpublished = {Linuxcare Featured Article published online}, year = 1999, month = nov # { 17} } @InProceedings{Mondial1991:declaration, author = {Congr{\`e}s Forestier Mondial}, title = {{D}\'eclaration de {P}aris}, pages = {251--263}, note = {tome 3, section 2}, crossref = {Centre1991:10e} } @Article{Mongin.ea1996:formalisation, author = {Philippe Mongin and Bernard Walliser}, title = {La formalisation des croyances en \'economie}, journal = {Le Courrier du CNRS}, year = 1996, volume = 79, pages = {113--114} } @InProceedings{Montfort1998:lanalyse, author = {Jean-Alain Montfort}, title = {{L}'analyse \'economique de l'environnement peut-elle \^etre parcimonieuse ?}, crossref = {AFSE1998:journees} } @InBook{deMontgolfier.ea1995:methode, title = {{M}\'ethode d'\'evaluation rapide des projets forestiers}, chapter = {Annexe}, crossref = {deMontgolfier.ea1995:patrimoine} } @InBook{deMontgolfier1986:prise, title = {Prise en compte dans les calculs \'economiques des ressources naturelles renouvelables}, chapter = {Annexe II}, pages = {98--104}, crossref = {deMontgolfier1986:gestion} } @Article{Morgan.ea1996:learning, author = {M. Granger Morgan and Hadi Dowlatabadi}, title = {Learning From Integrated Assessment of Climate Change}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1996, volume = 34, number = {3--4}, pages = {337--368} } @InProceedings{Morgenstern2000:baseline, author = {Richard D. Morgenstern}, title = {Baseline Issues in the Estimation of Ancillary Benefits of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Policies}, pages = 30, crossref = {Ressources2000:expert} } @InProceedings{Mori2000:multi-regional, author = {Shunsuke Mori}, title = {Multi-regional Asian Energy/Environment/Resource: Distribution Model for the Evaluation of Technology Strategies}, crossref = {Stanford2000:emfieaiew} } @Article{Morin.ea1992:consommation, author = {G. A. Morin and P. Laufer}, title = {La consommation de bois de feu en {F}rance}, journal = {Revue Foresti{\`e}re Fran{\c c}aise}, year = 1992, volume = {XLIV}, number = 3, pages = {255--265} } @InProceedings{Morita.ea1996:guide, author = {Tsuneyuki Morita and Mikiko Kainuma and Yuzuru Matsuoka}, title = {A guide to the {AIM/ENDUSE} Model - Technology Selection Program with Linear Programming}, crossref = {EMF1996:energy} } @InProceedings{Morita.ea1996:long, author = {Tsuneyuki Morita and Yuzuru Matsuoka and Mikiko Kainuma}, title = {Long term global scenarios based on the {AIM} model}, note = {AIM interim paper IP-95-03}, crossref = {EMF1996:energy} } @Article{Mormont1995:expertise, author = {Marc Mormont}, title = {Expertise Scientifique et Action Publique: Le Cas du Changement Climatique dans Trois Pays Europ\'eens}, journal = {Natures - Sciences - Soci\'et\'es}, year = 1995, volume = 3, number = 1, pages = {16--25} } @Article{Morrisette1989:evolution, author = {Peter M. Morrisette}, title = {The Evolution of Policy Responses to Stratospheric Ozone Depletion}, journal = {Natural Resource Journal}, year = 1989, volume = 29, pages = {793--820}, note = {Disponible en ligne au CIESIN} } @Article{Mortgat1998:effet, author = {Bruno Mortgat}, title = {Effet de serre - aux actes, citoyens !}, journal = {Environnement et Technique}, year = 1998, volume = 178, pages = {49--53}, comment = {Pr\'esente le plan national d'action fran\c cais.} } @Article{Mory1993:oil, author = {Javier F. Mory}, title = {Oil Prices and Economic Activity: Is the Relationship Symmetric ?}, journal = {Energy Journal}, year = 1993, volume = 14, number = 4, pages = {151--161} } @InProceedings{Mulder2000:effects, author = {Peter Mulder}, title = {The Effects of Environmental Policy and Learning on the Diffusion of Energy-Saving Technologies in a Vintage Framework}, crossref = {Stanford2000:emfieaiew} } @TechReport{Mullins.ea1997:international, author = {Fiona Mullins and Richard Baron}, title = {International {GHG} Emission Trading}, institution = {Agence Internationale de l'{\'E}nergie, OCDE}, year = 1997, type = {Policy {\&} Measures for Common Action Working Paper}, number = 9, month = mar } @Article{Munet1991:foret, author = {Munet}, title = {La for\^et fran\c caise. {E}xtrait d'un rapport du {C}onseil {E}conomique et {S}ocial}, journal = {Probl{\`e}mes {\'E}conomiques}, year = 1991, volume = 2, number = 215, pages = {1--7} } @Article{Munier1984:quelques, author = {Bertrand Munier}, title = {Quelques critiques de la rationalit\'e \'economique dans l'incertain}, journal = {Revue {\'E}conomique}, year = 1984, volume = 1, pages = {65--86} } @Article{Munier1995:decision, author = {Bertrand Munier}, title = {{D}\'ecision et Cognition}, journal = {Cahiers Fran{\c c}ais}, year = 1995, volume = 272, pages = {72--84}, note = {Cahiers sur Les Nouvelles Th\'eories Economiques} } @InProceedings{Murphy.ea1999:qualitative, author = {Frederic H. Murphy and Suvrajeet Sen}, title = {Qualitative Implications of Uncertainty in Economic Equilibrium Models}, crossref = {EPRI1999:workshop} } @Article{Myers1995:worlds, author = {Norman Myers}, title = {The world's Forests: Need for a Policy Appraisal}, journal = {Science}, year = 1995, volume = 268, pages = {823--824} } @Article{Nakicenovic.ea1996:financing, author = {Neboj{\v s}a Naki{\'c}enovi{\'c} and Hans-Holger Rogner}, title = {Financing Global Energy Perspectives to 2050}, journal = {OPEC Review}, year = 1996, volume = {XX}, number = 1, pages = {1--23} } @TechReport{Nakicenovic1979:software, author = {Neboj{\v s}a Naki{\'c}enovi{\'c}}, title = {Software Package for the Logistic Substitution Model}, institution = {International Institute of Applied System Analysis}, year = 1979, number = {RR-79-12}, month = dec } @TechReport{Nakicenovic1997:freeing, author = {Neboj{\v s}a Naki{\'c}enovi{\'c}}, title = {Freeing Energy from Carbon}, institution = {International Institute of Applied System Analysis}, year = 1997, number = {RR-97-1}, month = jan, note = {Reprinted from Daedalus, from the issue entitled {\textquotedblleft}The Liberation of the Environment{\textquotedblright}, Summer 1996, Volume 125, n. 3, pp. 95--112} } @InBook{Nao1974:ressources, title = {Les ressources foresti\`eres de l'Asie tropicale humide}, pages = {217--236, 22--23}, crossref = {Nao1974:ressources*1} } @InProceedings{Narain.ea1998:irreversibility, author = {Urvashi Narain and Anthony C. Fisher}, title = {Irreversibility and catastrophic global warming}, note = {Deposited electronically at the GNEE archive.}, crossref = {EAERE1998:first} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong1998:quasi, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Quasi-option value theory and the expected value of future information, illustrated by the Climate Change Issue}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong1998:quasi}, crossref = {EAERE1998:first} } @Article{Naslin1997:faut, author = {Pierre Naslin}, title = {Faut il craindre l'effet de serre ?}, journal = {La Jaune et la Rouge}, year = 1997, volume = 521, pages = {16--21} } @Article{delEducationNationale1996:emplois, author = {Minist{\`e}re de l'Education Nationale}, title = {Emplois d'enseignants du second degr\'e dans l'enseignement sup\'erieur - rentr\'ee 1996}, journal = {Bulletin Officel de l'Education Nationale}, year = 1996, volume = 5, pages = {340--370} } @Article{Negishi1960:welfare, author = {Takashi Negishi}, title = {Welfare Economics and Existence of an Equilibrium for a Competitive Economy}, journal = {Metroeconomica}, year = 1960, volume = 12, pages = {92--97} } @Article{Nelson1995:recent, author = {Richard R. Nelson}, title = {Recent evolutionary theorizing about economic change}, journal = {Journal of Economic Literature}, year = 1995, volume = {XXXIII}, pages = {48--90} } @InCollection{Newbery1990:ramsey, author = {David M. Newbery}, title = {Ramsey Model}, crossref = {Palgrave1990:palgrave} } @Unpublished{Newcomb.ea1993:mobilizing, author = {Ken Newcomb and Russel de Lucia}, title = {Mobilizing private capital against global warming : a business concept and policy issues}, year = 1993, month = feb, note = {Discussion draft prepared for the GEF Administrator's Office, Environment Department, World Bank} } @TechReport{Nguyen1989:summary, author = {Duy Thong Nguyen}, title = {A summary of some research results on planning rural energy, fuelwood and improved cooking stove}, institution = {Viet Nam Ministry of Energy, Institute of Energy}, year = 1989, month = oct } @InProceedings{Nielsen.ea2000:analysis, author = {Claus Kastberg Nielsen and Jesper Jensen and Thomas Rutherford}, title = {An Analysis of the {EU} Ceilings Proposal}, crossref = {Stanford2000:emfieaiew} } @InProceedings{Fujii.ea2000:analysis, author = {Yasumasa Fujii and Kenichiro Nishio and Kenji Yamaji}, title = {Analysis of the {K}yoto Mechanism Using a Global Energy System Model {DNE21}}, crossref = {Stanford2000:emfieaiew} } @InProceedings{deNooij.ea2000:international, author = {Michiel de Nooij and Daan P. van Soest and Ren{\'e} van der Kruk and Alex R. Hoen}, title = {International Comparison of Energy Use: the Usefulness of Structural Decomposition Analysis Across Countries}, crossref = {Stanford2000:emfieaiew} } @InProceedings{Nordhaus.ea1995:rice, author = {William D. Nordhaus and Zili Yang}, title = {{RICE}: a Regional Dynamic Equilibrium Model of Optimal Climate-Change Policy}, crossref = {IIASA1995:meeting} } @Article{Nordhaus1977:economic, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {Economic Growth and Climate: The Carbon Dioxide Problem}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1977, volume = 67, number = 1, pages = {341--346}, month = feb, note = {Papers and Proceedings of the Eighty-ninth Annual Meeting of the American Economic Assocation. URL refers to Cowles Foundation paper 443 reprint.}, url = {http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/cp/p04a/p0443.pdf} } @Article{Nordhaus.ea1996:regional, author = {William D. Nordhaus and Zili Yang}, title = {A Regional Dynamic General-Equilibrium Model of Alternative Climate-Change Strategies}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1996, volume = 86, number = 4, pages = {741--765} } @InProceedings{Nordhaus.ea1996:rice, author = {William D. Nordhaus and Zili Yang}, title = {{RICE}: a Regional Dynamic General Equilibrium Model of Optimal Climate Change Policy}, crossref = {EMF1996:energy} } @InProceedings{Nordhaus.ea1996:value, author = {William D. Nordhaus and David Popp}, title = {What is the value of Scientific Knowledge? {A}n application to Global Warming using the {PRICE} model}, note = {Publi\'e dans Energy Journal, Vol. 18, No. 1, pp 1-45, 1997.}, crossref = {EMF1996:energy} } @Article{Nordhaus.ea1997:value, author = {William D. Nordhaus and David Popp}, title = {What is the Value of Scientific Knowledge?}, journal = {Energy Journal}, year = 1997, pages = {1--23}, note = {Previously Yale University, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper 1117, March 1996}, abstract = {Governments must cope with the enormous uncertainties about both future climate change as well as the costs and benefits of slowing climate change. This study analyses the value of improved information about a variety of geophysical and economic processes. The value of information is estimated using the PRICE model which is a probabilistic extension of earlier models of the economics of global warming. The study uses five different approaches to estimating the value of information about all uncertain parameters and about individual parameters. It is estimated that the value of early information is between $1.5 and $2 billion for each year that resolution of uncertainty is moved toward the present. We estimate that the most important uncertain variables are the damages of climate change and the costs of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Resolving the uncertainties about these two parameters would contribute 75 percent of the value of improved knowledge.} } @Article{Nordhaus1991:cost, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {The Cost of Slowing Climate Change: a Survey}, journal = {Energy Journal}, year = 1991, volume = 12, number = 1, pages = {37--65} } @Article{Nordhaus1991:to, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {To slow or not to slow: the economics of the greenhouse effect}, journal = {Economic Journal}, year = 1991, volume = 101, pages = {920--937} } @Article{Nordhaus1992:optimal, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {An optimal transition path for controlling greenhouse gases}, journal = {Science}, year = 1992, volume = 258, pages = {1315--1319} } @TechReport{Nordhaus1993:reflections, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {Reflections on the Concept of Sustainable Economic Growth}, institution = {Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei}, year = 1993, type = {Nota di Lavoro}, number = {56.93} } @Article{Nordhaus1994:expert, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {Expert Opinion on Climate Change}, journal = {American Scientist}, year = 1994, volume = 82, number = 1, pages = {45--51} } @Unpublished{Nordhaus1995:notes, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {Notes on Scenarios for Uncertainty Subgroup}, year = 1995, note = {letter to the participants of the EMF 14} } @InProceedings{Nordhaus1999:biens, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {Biens Publics Globaux et Changement Climatique}, month = {14 } # jun, note = {Conf{\'e}rence annuelle de l'Institut d'{\'E}conomie Industrielle}, crossref = {FEEM1999:3rd} } @InBook{Nordhaus1999:discounting, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {Discounting and Public Policies That Affect the Distant Future}, chapter = 15, crossref = {Portney.ea1999:discounting} } @Article{Nordhaus2006:geography, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {Geography and Macroeconomics: New Data and New Findings}, journal = {{PNAS}, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, year = 2006, volume = 103, number = 10, pages = {3510--3517}, month = mar } @Article{Normandin.ea1998:substitution, author = {Michel Normandin and Pascal Saint-Amour}, title = {Substitution, Risk Aversion, Taste Shocks and Equity Premia}, journal = {Journal of Applied Econometrics}, year = 1998, volume = 13, number = 3, pages = {265--281} } @InProceedings{OConnor2000:ancilary, author = {David O'Connor}, title = {Ancilary Benefits Estimation in Developing Countries: {A} Comparative Assessment}, pages = 22, crossref = {Ressources2000:expert} } @Article{ODonoghue1998:refeco, author = {Marie-H{\'e}l{\`e}ne O'Donoghue}, title = {{REFECO}, Une Base Bibliographique Des Documents Hors Fonds}, journal = {Le Micro Bulletin}, year = 1998, volume = 75, pages = {162--171}, abstract = {Pour une gestion ais\'ee des commandes d'articles et des abonnements, \`a l'aide d'un logiciel accessible: File Maker Pro.} } @Article{Energy-Technology-Systems-Analysis-Program1997:germanys, author = {{Energy Technology Systems Analysis Program, IEA} OECD}, title = {Germany's Impact on {EU} Burden Sharing}, journal = {ETSAP News}, year = 1997, pages = {6--8} } @Article{Energy-Technology-Systems-Analysis-Program1997:multiregional, author = {{Energy Technology Systems Analysis Program, IEA} OECD}, title = {Multiregional {MARKAL}-{MACRO} Model of Emission Trading}, journal = {ETSAP News}, year = 1997, pages = {4--6} } @Article{Energy-Technology-Systems-Analysis-Program1997:probing, author = {{Energy Technology Systems Analysis Program, IEA} OECD}, title = {Probing an Uncertain Greenhouse Future ({II}): Stochastic Programming}, journal = {ETSAP News}, year = 1997, pages = {1--5} } @InBook{Oates1992:introduction, title = {Introduction and Table of Contents}, crossref = {Oates1992:economics} } @Unpublished{dOckham1350:prologue, author = {Guillaume d' Ockham}, title = {Prologue au Commentaire sur les huit livres de la physique d'Aristote}, year = 1350, month = {circa} } @Article{Oeschger.ea1975:box, author = {H. Oeschger and Ulrich Siegenthaler and U. Schotterer and A. Gugelmann}, title = {A box diffusion model to study the carbon dioxyde exchange in nature}, journal = {Tellus}, year = 1975, volume = {XXVII}, number = 2, pages = {168--192} } @Article{Oeschger.ea1983:uncertainties, author = {H. Oeschger and M. Heimann}, title = {Uncertainties of predictions of future atmospheric ${CO}_2$ concentrations}, journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research}, year = 1983, volume = {88 C}, number = 2, pages = {1258--1262} } @Article{Ogaki.ea1998:measuring, author = {Masao Ogaki and Carmen R. Reinhart}, title = {Measuring Intertemporal Substitution: The Role of Durable Goods}, journal = {Journal of Political Economy}, year = 1998, volume = 106, number = 5, pages = {1078--1098}, month = oct } @Manual{Olsen.ea1993:hfdf93, author = {Olsen and Associate}, title = {The {HFDF93} Data set {README} {FILE}}, year = 1993 } @InProceedings{Olson.ea1998:depletion, author = {Lars J. Olson and Richard Just and Sinaia Netanyahu}, title = {Depletion of Natural Resources, Technological Uncertainty, and the Adoption of Technological Substitutes}, crossref = {CIRANO1998:risques} } @Article{Olson1990:environmental, author = {Lars J. Olson}, title = {Environmental preservation with production}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, year = 1990, volume = 18, pages = {88--96} } @TechReport{Onigkeit.ea1998:workshop, author = {Janina Onigkeit and Marcel Berk}, title = {Workshop Report: Seventh International Workshop on Using Global Models to Suppport Climate Negotiations}, institution = {Center for Environmental Systems Research}, year = 1998, number = {P9901}, address = {University of Kassel, Germany}, month = dec } @Unpublished{Oravetz.ea1997:autonomous, author = {Matthew Oravetz and Hadi Dowlatabadi}, title = {Is there Autonomous Energy Efficiency Improvement ?}, year = 1997, month = {circa}, note = {Carnegie Mellon University} } @Manual{ISO1997:excerpts, author = {{International Standards Organization} ISO}, title = {Excerpts from {ISO} 690-2, Information and documentation - Bibliographic references - Part 2: Electronic documents and parts thereof}, organization = {International Standards Organization}, year = 1997, note = {accessed 10 dec 97, offline as of 23/10/2004}, url = {http://www.nlc-bnc.ca/International%20Standards%20Organization/tc46sc9/standard/690-2e.htm} } @TechReport{Syrota.ea2007:perspectives, author = {Jean Syrota and Jean Bergougnoux and Thierry Tuot and Philippe Hirtzman}, title = {Perspectives {\'e}nerg{\'e}tiques de la {F}rance {\`a} l'horizon 2020-2050. {R}apport de synth{\`e}se}, institution = {Commission ``{\'E}nergie'' du Centre d'Analyse Strat\'egique}, year = 2007, number = {12/1}, month = {sep } # 25, note = {Published at La Documentation Fran{\c c}aise}, url = {http://www.strategie.gouv.fr}, isbn = {978-2110-070807} } @Article{Orlean1991:desordres, author = {Andr{\'e} Orl{\'e}an}, title = {{D}\'esordres boursiers et comportement des investisseurs}, journal = {Probl{\`e}mes {\'E}conomiques}, year = 1991, volume = 2, number = 231, pages = {1--6} } @Unpublished{Ostertag1998:approaches, author = {Katrin Ostertag}, title = {Approaches to Quantification of Hidden Costs in Bottom-Up Analyses}, year = 1998, month = {28 } # may } @Unpublished{Ostertag1998:projet, author = {Katrin Ostertag}, title = {Projet de Th\`ese: Les co\^uts cach\'es de la ma\^{\i}trise de l'\'energie: Analyse de la Taille, de l'Importance et des facteurs d\'eterminants des potentiels dits {\textquotedblleft}sans-regret{\textquotedblright}}, year = 1998, month = {28 } # may } @InBook{Palgrave1990:computation, title = {Computation of General Equilibria, Herbert {E}. Scarf}, crossref = {Palgrave1990:palgrave} } @InProceedings{Pallage1998:enforcement, author = {St{\'e}phane Pallage}, title = {On the Enforcement of Cooperative Environmental Policies}, crossref = {CIRANO1998:risques} } @Manual{Parberry1993:how, author = {I. Parberry}, title = {How to present a paper in theorical computer {Science magazine} : a speaker's guide for students}, month = jul, year = 1993 } @Article{Parienty.ea1997:technologie, author = {Arnaud Parienty and Pascal Combemale}, title = {Technologie et Ch\^omage, un Couple \`a Histoires}, journal = {La Recherche}, year = 1997, volume = 301, pages = {56--62} } @TechReport{Parry.ea2000:how, author = {Ian W. H. Parry and William A. Pizer and Carolyn Fisher}, title = {How important is Technological Innovation in Protecting the Environment?}, institution = {Resources For the Future}, year = 2000, type = {Discussion Paper}, number = {00-15}, address = {1616 P Street, NW, Washington DC USA.}, month = mar, pages = 29 } @Article{Parry1993:estimates, author = {Ian W. H. Parry}, title = {Some estimates of the insurance value against climate change from reducing greenhouse gas emissions}, journal = {Resource and Energy Economics}, year = 1993, volume = 15, pages = {99--115} } @InProceedings{Parshotam.ea2000:multi, author = {Aroon Parshotam and Nicolas Robidoux and Peter Read}, title = {A Multi Region Development of the {FLAMES} Model to Simulate Trade in Biofuel and Conventional Timber Products Resulting from Policy Driven Land Use Change}, crossref = {Stanford2000:emfieaiew} } @Article{Parson1997:informing, author = {Edward A. Parson}, title = {Informing Global Environmental Policy-Making: {A} Plea for New Methods of Assessment and Synthesis}, journal = {Environmental Modeling and Assessment}, year = 1997, volume = 2, number = 4, pages = {267--279} } @Manual{Patashnik1988:bibtexing, author = {Oren Patashnik}, title = {BibTeXing}, month = feb # { 8}, year = 1988 } @InBook{Pearce.ea1990:discounting, title = {Discounting the future}, chapter = 14, crossref = {Pearce.ea1990:economics} } @InBook{Pearce.ea1990:renewable, title = {Renewable resources}, chapter = 16, crossref = {Pearce.ea1990:economics} } @InBook{Pearce.ea1993:property, title = {Property Rights Failure and Renewable Resources}, pages = {235--258}, crossref = {Pearce.ea1993:world} } @TechReport{Pearce.ea1995:social, author = {David Pearce and David Ulph}, title = {A Social Discount Rate for the United Kingdom}, institution = {Centre for Social and Economic Research on the Global Environment, University College London and University of East Anglia}, year = 1995, month = {circa}, issn = {0967-8875} } @Article{Pearce1992:economie, author = {David W. Pearce}, title = {{\'E}conomie et Environnement: Vers un {D}\'eveloppement Durable}, journal = {Probl{\`e}mes {\'E}conomiques}, year = 1992, volume = {2.278}, pages = {1--7}, note = {Traduction de {\textquotedblleft}Toward the Sustainable Economy : Environment and Economics{\textquotedblright}, the Royal Bank of Scotland Review (Edimbourg), dec 1991} } @Article{Pearce1997:economists, author = {David W. Pearce}, title = {Economists and Climate Change}, journal = {Environment and Planning A}, year = 1997, volume = 29, number = 1, pages = {1--1} } @Article{Pearce1997:leffet, author = {Fred Pearce}, title = {{L}'effet de serre, une lubie scientifique}, journal = {Courrier International}, year = 1997, volume = 356, pages = {33--35}, note = {Traduit de New Scientist} } @InProceedings{Pearce2000:policy, author = {David Pearce}, title = {Policy Frameworks for The Ancilary Benefits of Climate Change Policies}, pages = 56, crossref = {Ressources2000:expert} } @Article{Pearce2002:social, author = {David W. Pearce}, title = {The Social Cost of Carbon and its Policy Implications}, journal = {Oxford Review of Economic Policy}, year = 2002, volume = 19, number = 3, pages = {362--384} } @InProceedings{Peck.ea1992:summary, author = {Stephen C. Peck and Thomas J. Teisberg}, title = {Summary of Global Warming Uncertainties and the Value of Information: an Analysis using {CETA}}, crossref = {IIASA1992:workshop} } @InProceedings{Peck.ea1993:assessing, author = {Stephen C. Peck and Thomas J. Teisberg}, title = {Assessing Surprises and Nonlinearities in Greenhouse Warming}, editor = {Joel Darmstadter and Michael A. Toman}, booktitle = {Assessing Surprises and Nonlinearities in Greenhouse Warming}, year = 1993, month = may, organization = {Ressources For the Future} } @Article{Peck.ea1993:emissions, author = {Stephen C. Peck and Thomas J. Teisberg}, title = {${CO}_2$ Emissions Control}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 1993, pages = {222--230} } @Article{Peck.ea1993:global, author = {Stephen C. Peck and Thomas J. Teisberg}, title = {Global Warming Uncertainties and the Value of Information: An Analysis using {CETA}}, journal = {Resource and Energy Economics}, year = 1993, volume = 15, pages = {71--97} } @InProceedings{Peck.ea1993:importance, author = {Stephen C. Peck and Thomas J. Teisberg}, title = {The importance of nonlinearities in Global Warming Damage Costs}, crossref = {Ressources1993:assessing} } @Unpublished{Peck.ea1994:optimal, author = {Stephen C. Peck and Thomas J. Teisberg}, title = {Optimal ${CO}_2$ Control Policy with Stochastic Losses from Temperature Rise}, year = 1994, month = oct # { 14} } @InProceedings{Peck.ea1995:uncertainty, author = {Stephen C. Peck and Thomas J. Teisberg}, title = {Uncertainty and the value of information with stochastic losses from global warming}, crossref = {IIASA1995:meeting} } @Article{Peck.ea1996:uncertainty, author = {Stephen C. Peck and Thomas J. Teisberg}, title = {Uncertainty and the value of information with stochastic losses rom global warming}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 1996, volume = 16, number = 2, pages = {227--234} } @Unpublished{Peck1994:candidate, author = {Stephen C. 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Yohe}, title = {The {S}tern Report: a Deconstruction}, year = 2007, month = feb, note = {working paper} } @InProceedings{Tol1997:climate, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {The Climate {F}ramework for {U}ncertainty, {N}egotiation and {D}istribution}, editor = {O. K. Cameron and K. Fukuwatari and T. Morita}, booktitle = {{IPCC} Asia-Pacific Workshop on Integrated Assessment Models}, year = 1997, month = {10-12 } # mar, organization = {NIES-CGER}, note = {Published. Missing} } @PhDThesis{Tol1997:decision-analytic, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {A Decision-Analytic Treatise of the Enhanced Greenhouse Effect}, school = {Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam}, year = 1997, type = {Th\`ese}, month = {7 } # jan, note = {Sous la direction de prof. dr. H. Verbruggen et prof. dr. ir. P. Vellinga} } @Article{Tol1997:een, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Een Beslissingsanalytische Verhandeling over het Versterkte Broeikaseffect}, journal = {Nieuwsbrief Milieu \& Economie}, year = 1997, volume = 11, number = 2, pages = {9--10}, note = {Published. Missing} } @Article{Tol1997:het, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Het Verstekte Broeikaseffect}, journal = {Economenblad}, year = 1997, volume = 19, number = 6, pages = 8, note = {Published. Missing} } @Article{Tol1997:klimaatverandering, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Klimaatverandering Geen Onbegonnen Zaak}, journal = {Friesch Dagblad}, year = 1997, pages = {5--5} } @TechReport{Tol1997:marginal, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {The Marginal Costs of Greenhouse Gas Emissions}, institution = {Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam}, year = 1997, month = nov } @Article{Tol1997:optimal, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {On the Optimal Control of Carbon Dioxide Emissions -- An Application of {FUND}}, journal = {Environmental Modeling and Assessment}, year = 1997, volume = 2, pages = {151--163} } @TechReport{Tol1997:short-term, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Short-Term Decisions Under Long-Term Uncertainty}, institution = {Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei}, year = 1997, type = {Nota di Lavoro}, number = {90.97}, month = nov } @TechReport{Tol1997:spatial, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Spatial and temporal efficiency in climate policy: Applications of {FUND}}, institution = {Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam}, year = 1997, number = {D-97/8}, month = dec, note = {Published.}, pages = 15 } @Article{Tol1997:teveel, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Teveel Ambities Helpen her Milieu Ook Niet Vooruit}, journal = {Volkskrant}, year = 1997, pages = {9--9} } @TechReport{Tol1997:time, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Time Discounting and Optimal Emission Control}, institution = {Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam}, year = 1997, month = oct } @TechReport{Tol1998:climate-coalitions, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Climate Coalitions in an Integrated Assessment Model}, institution = {Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam}, year = 1998, number = {D97/05}, note = {Published.}, bibkey = {Tol1998:climate-coalitions}, pages = 8 } @Article{Tol1998:difference, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {On the Difference in Impact between Two Almost Identical Climate Scenarios'}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 1998, volume = 26, number = 1, pages = {13--20} } @TechReport{Tol1998:optimal, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {The Optimal Timing of Greenhouse Gas Emission Abatement, Individual Rationality and Intergenerational Equity}, institution = {Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei}, year = 1998, type = {Nota di Lavoro}, number = {3.98}, note = {20 pp.} } @TechReport{Tol1998:potential, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Potential slowdown of the thermohaline circulation and climate policy}, institution = {Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam}, year = 1998, number = {D98/05}, note = {Published. 7 pages. Missing} } @TechReport{Tol1998:safe, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Safe Policies in an Uncertain Climate: An Application of {FUND}}, institution = {Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam}, year = 1998, number = {D98/02}, note = {17 pp.} } @Article{Tol1998:spatial, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Spatial and Temporal Efficiency in Climate Policy: Applications of {FUND}}, journal = {Environmental and Resource Economics}, year = 1998, volume = {forthcoming}, pages = {1--1} } @TechReport{Tol1998:welfare, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Welfare Specifications and Optimal Control of Climate Change: An Application of {FUND}}, institution = {Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam}, year = 1998, number = {D98/04}, note = {8 pp.} } @Article{Tol1999:kyoto, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {{K}yoto, Efficiency and Cost-Effectiveness: Applications of {FUND}}, journal = {Energy Journal}, year = 1999, volume = {Forthcoming}, note = {In press} } @TechReport{Tol1999:new, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {New estimates of the damage costs of climate change -- {Part I}: Benchmark estimates}, institution = {IVM, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam}, year = 1999 } @TechReport{Tol1999:dynamic, author = {Richard S. J. 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S\'eminaire du PRISTE-CNRS} } @Proceedings{Centre1991:10e, title = {10e congr\`es forestier mondial}, year = 1991, month = {17-26 } # sep, organization = {Centre Technique Forestier Tropical}, booktitle = {10e congr\`es forestier mondial} } @Proceedings{CNRS1992:seminaire, title = {{S}\'eminaire {ECLAT}-{ESCG}-{PRISTE} {CNRS} {\textquotedblleft}Environnement et {D}\'eveloppement durable : un d\'ebat interdisciplinaire{\textquotedblright}}, year = 1992, month = {28-30 } # oct, organization = {CNRS}, booktitle = {S\'eminaire ECLAT-ESCG-PRISTE CNRS {\textquotedblleft}Environnement et D\'eveloppement durable : un d\'ebat interdisciplinaire{\textquotedblright}} } @Proceedings{CNRS1996:tendances, year = 1996, editor = {Blasco, Fran{\c c}ois (coordinateur)}, month = jan, organization = {CNRS}, publisher = {publi\'e chez Elsevier}, booktitle = {Tendances Nouvelles en Mod\'elisation pour l'Environnement} } @Proceedings{CNRS1997:temps, year = 1997, month = {5-7 } # nov, organization = {CNRS}, booktitle = {Les Temps de l'Environnement, Journ\'ees du Programme Environnement, Vie et Soci\'et\'es} } @Proceedings{CNRS1998:temps, year = 1998, month = nov # { 7-9}, organization = {CNRS}, booktitle = {Les Temps de l'Environnement} } @Proceedings{Conference1986:13e, year = 1986, month = {5-11 } # oct, organization = {Conf{\'e}rence Mondiale de l'{\'E}nergie}, booktitle = {13e Conf\'erence Mondiale de l'{\'E}nergie} } @Proceedings{EAERE1997:eighth, year = 1997, month = jun # { 26-28}, organization = {EAERE}, booktitle = {Eighth Annual Conference of the European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists} } @Proceedings{EMF1996:energy, year = 1996, month = mar # { 21-23}, organization = {EMF (Energy Modelling Forum)}, booktitle = {Energy Modelling Forum 14 - Meeting {\#}4 - Integrated assessment of climate change} } @Proceedings{EMF1998:joint, year = 1998, month = jun # { 17-19}, organization = {EMF (Energy Modelling Forum)}, booktitle = {Joint Meeting of IEW and EMF} } @Proceedings{European1991:eec, year = 1991, organization = {European Commission}, booktitle = {EEC 6th European Conference on Biomass for Energy Industry and Environment} } @Proceedings{European1992:7th, year = 1992, month = {5-9 } # oct, organization = {European Commission}, booktitle = {7th European conference on Biomass for Energy and Environment, Agriculture and Industry} } @Proceedings{European1995:workshop, year = 1995, month = may # { 18-20}, organization = {European Commission}, booktitle = {Workshop on Integrated Environmental Assessment} } @Proceedings{European1996:prospects, year = 1996, editor = {A. Sors and Angela Liberatore and S. Funtowicz and J.-C. Hourcade and J.-C. Felous}, month = {24-26 } # oct, organization = {European Commission, DG XII}, booktitle = {Prospects for Integrated Environmental Assessment: Lessons Learnt from the Case of Climate Change} } @Proceedings{FEEM1999:3rd, year = 1999, month = {14-16 } # jun, organization = {FEEM, IDEI and INRA}, booktitle = {3rd Toulouse Conference on Environment and Resource Economics -- Environment, Energy Uses and Climate Change} } @Proceedings{Groupement1994:seminaire, year = 1994, month = oct # { 26}, organization = {Groupement De Recherche OIKIA}, booktitle = {S\'eminaire du {GDR OIKIA} au Laboratoire d'{\'E}conomie des Transports, LYON} } @Proceedings{Pan.ea1999:ipcc, year = 1999, editor = {Jiahua Pan and Nico van Leeuwen and Hans Timmer and Rob Swart}, address = {The Hague, The Netherlands}, month = {27-28 } # may, url = {http://www.cpb.nl}, booktitle = {{IPCC} Expert Meeting on Economic Impacts of Mitigation Measures}, isbn = {90-5833-027-3} } @Proceedings{Harvard1994:50th, title = {50th congress of the International Institute of Public Finance}, year = 1994, month = {22-25 } # aug, organization = {Harvard University}, booktitle = {50th congress of the International Institute of Public Finance} } @Proceedings{IPCC1994:swiss, title = {Swiss Topical Workshop on Decision Making Under Uncertainty and Climate Change Risk Economics}, year = 1994, month = mar # { 3-6}, organization = {IPCC, Working Group III}, booktitle = {Swiss Topical Workshop on Decision Making Under Uncertainty and Climate Change Risk Economics} } @Proceedings{IPCC1997:ipcc, title = {{IPCC} Asia-Pacific Workshop on Integrated Assessment Models}, year = 1997, month = {10-12 } # mar, organization = {IPCC}, booktitle = {IPCC Asia-Pacific Workshop on Integrated Assessment Models} } @Proceedings{IPCC1998:expert, year = 1998, month = apr # { - } # may, organization = {IPCC, Working Group III}, booktitle = {Expert Meeting on Risk Management Methods} } @Proceedings{IPIECA1996:ipieca, year = 1996, editor = {Brian P. Flannery and Klaus R. Koblhase and Duane G. LeVine}, month = oct, organization = {IPIECA}, publisher = {IPIECA}, booktitle = {{IPIECA} Symposium on Critical Issues in the Economics of Climate Change}, isbn = {0-907252-06-0} } @Proceedings{IUFRO1991:iufro, year = 1991, month = sep, organization = {IUFRO}, booktitle = {{IUFRO} Symposium on {\textquotedblleft}Contrasts between biologically-based models and management oriented growth and yield models{\textquotedblright}} } @Proceedings{Inconnu1974:symposium, year = 1974, organization = {Inconnu}, booktitle = {Symposium on the economics of exhaustible resources} } @Proceedings{Inconnu1991:seminaire, year = 1991, month = jun # { 1991}, organization = {Inconnu}, booktitle = {S\'eminaire sur les \'eclaircies} } @Proceedings{Inconnu1993:geopolitique, year = 1993, month = jan # { 6-9}, organization = {Inconnu}, booktitle = {G\'eopolitique de l'Environnement et Nouvel Ordre Mondial : Limites, Conflits, Ins\'ecurit\'e ?} } @Proceedings{Inconnu1995:autumn, year = 1995, month = {29/9 - 5/10, ann\'ee inconnue}, organization = {Inconnu}, booktitle = {Autumn Worshop in Environmental Economics} } @Proceedings{IIASA1992:workshop, year = 1992, editor = {Y. Kaya and Neboj{\v s}a Naki{\'c}enovi{\'c} and William D. Nordhaus and Ferenc L. Toth}, month = sep # { 28-30}, organization = {IIASA (International Institute of Applied System Analysis)}, publisher = {IIASA}, booktitle = {Workshop on Costs, Impacts and Possible Benefits of ${CO}_2$ mitigation} } @InCollection{Grubb.ea1994:optimizing, author = {Michael J. Grubb and Thierry Chapuis and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Optimizing climate change abatement responses: On Inertia and Induced Technology Development}, editor = {N. Nakicenovic and W. D. Nordhaus and R. Richels and F. L. Toth}, booktitle = {Integrative Assessement of Mitigation, Impacts, and Adaptation to Climate Change}, publisher = {International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis}, year = 1994, number = {CP-94-9}, pages = {513--534}, address = {Laxenburg, Austria}, gsi = 10561841206152824571 } @Proceedings{IIASA1993:integrative, year = 1993, month = {13-15 } # oct, organization = {IIASA (International Institute of Applied System Analysis)}, booktitle = {Integrative Assessement of Mitigation, Impacts, and Adaptation to Climate Change} } @Proceedings{IIASA1993:international, year = 1993, month = {18-20 } # oct, organization = {IIASA (International Institute of Applied System Analysis)}, booktitle = {International Conference on Economic Instruments for Air Pollution Control} } @Proceedings{IAEE1994:iaee, year = 1994, month = may # { 25-27}, organization = {IAEE (International Association of Energy Economics)}, booktitle = {{IAEE} 17th Annual International Conference} } @Proceedings{IIASA1995:international, year = 1995, month = {20-22 } # jun, organization = {IIASA (International Institute of Applied System Analysis)}, booktitle = {International Energy Workshop} } @Proceedings{IIASA1995:meeting, year = 1995, month = {20-22 } # jun, organization = {IIASA (International Institute of Applied System Analysis)}, booktitle = {Meeting of the Inernational Energy Workshop} } @Proceedings{IIASA1997:induced, year = 1997, month = jun # { 25-27}, organization = {IIASA (International Institute of Applied System Analysis)}, booktitle = {Induced Technical Change and the Environment} } @Proceedings{IEA1997:uncertainty*1, title = {Uncertainty and Energy Policy Choices to Meet {UNFCCC} Objectives, Third {IEA} Modelling Seminar}, year = 1997, month = oct # {~17--18}, organization = {IEA} } @Proceedings{IIASA1997:workshop, year = 1997, month = jun # { 26-27}, organization = {IIASA (International Institute of Applied System Analysis)}, booktitle = {Workshop on Induced Technological Change and the Environment} } @Proceedings{Keranen.ea1997:innovation, year = 1997, editor = {Veikko Ker{\"a}nen and Peter Mitic and A. Hietam{\"a}ki}, month = {29/6/1997 - 4/7/1997}, publisher = {Computational Mechanics Publication}, booktitle = {Innovation in Mathematics: Proceedings of the Second International Mathematica Symposium}, page = 515, isbn = 1853125059 } @Proceedings{MATE1998:colloque, year = 1998, month = {13 } # may, organization = {MATE, DGAD, SRAE}, booktitle = {Colloque du {PIREE} {\textquotedblleft}R\'eforme fiscale verte et instruments \'economiques pour une coop\'eration internationale : le contexte post {K}yoto{\textquotedblright}} } @Proceedings{WRI1992:mathematica, year = 1992, address = {MathSource}, month = jun, organization = {WRI (World Ressource Institute)}, booktitle = {The Mathematica conference} } @Proceedings{NATO1995:integrated, year = 1995, editor = {R. Chen and D. Tuttle and C. Linville}, month = {15-19 } # oct, organization = {NATO Advanced Research Workshop}, booktitle = {Integrated assessment of Global Environmental Change: Science and Policy} } @Proceedings{National1997:climate, year = 1997, editor = {O. K. Cameron and K. Fukuwatari and T. Morita}, address = {United Nations University, Tokyo, Japan}, month = {10-12 } # mar, organization = {National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan}, note = {CGER Report Nr. 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T. Pool}, series = {Technical report CACR-160}, address = {Pasadena, California}, month = mar # { 25-27}, organization = {Center for Advanced Computing Research}, url = {http://www.cacr.caltech.edu/isda} } @Proceedings{Resources1996:discounting, title = {Discounting in Intergenerational Decision Making}, year = 1996, address = {RFF, Washington, D.C.}, month = nov # { 14-15}, organization = {Resources For the Future and Energy Modelling Forum}, note = {These notes form the analytical basis of an article being written in collaboration with Scott Barrett of the London Business School} } @Proceedings{Ressources1993:assessing, year = 1993, editor = {Joel Darmstadter and Michael A. Toman}, month = may, organization = {Ressources For the Future}, booktitle = {Assessing Surprises and Nonlinearities in Greenhouse Warming} } @Proceedings{Ressources1996:discounting, year = 1996, month = nov # { 14-15}, organization = {Ressources For the Future}, booktitle = {Discounting in Intergenerational Decisionmaking} } @Proceedings{Senate1997:u, title = {{U}.{S}. Senate Hearings on Climate Change}, year = 1997, month = jul # { 10}, organization = {Senate of the {U}nited {S}tates of America}, booktitle = {U.S. Senate Hearings on Climate Change} } @Proceedings{Technical1997:goals, year = 1997, editor = {Umwelt Management Beratung Hacker GMBH}, month = jul # { 20-26}, organization = {Technical University, Berlin}, publisher = {EC Environment and Climate Research Programme}, booktitle = {Goals and Instruments for the Achievement of Global Warming Mitigation in Europe} } @Proceedings{United1991:united, year = 1991, month = oct, organization = {United Nations University}, booktitle = {United Nations University Conference on {\textquotedblleft}Global Change and Modelling{\textquotedblright}} } @Proceedings{Universite1998:peut, year = 1998, month = may # {, 13-14}, organization = {Universit{\'e} Technologique de Troyes}, booktitle = {Peut on encore croire au Progr\`es ? De l'effondrement \`a la reconstruction de l'id\'ee de progr\`es} } @Proceedings{University1996:incorporating, year = 1996, month = {8-10 } # feb, organization = {University of Maryland, Center for Global Change}, booktitle = {Incorporating technology issues into the consideration of policy responses to human induced climate change} } @Proceedings{EAERE1998:first, year = 1998, address = {Venice, Italy}, month = jun # { 25-27}, organization = {EAERE, AERE}, note = {Proceedings deposited electronically at the GNEE archive.}, booktitle = {First World Congress of Environmental and Resource Economists} } @Proceedings{EAERE2002:second, year = 2002, address = {Monterey, California}, month = jun # { 24--27}, organization = {EAERE, AERE}, booktitle = {Second World Congress of Environmental and Resource Economists}, url = {http://weber.ucsd.edu/~carsonvs/} } @Proceedings{Viet1981:escapfaounep, title = {{ESCAP}/{FAO}/{UNEP} Expert group meeting on Fuelwood and Charcoal}, year = 1981, month = {5-11 } # may, organization = {Viet Nam Research Institute of Forest Industry}, booktitle = {ESCAP/FAO/UNEP Expert group meeting on Fuelwood and Charcoal} } @Proceedings{Ressources2000:expert, year = 2000, address = {Washington, DC}, month = {27-29 } # mar, organization = {Ressources For the Future}, booktitle = {Expert Workshop on Assessing the Ancillary Benefits and Costs of Greenhouse Gases Mitigation Strategy} } @Book{AFNOR1990:formation, author = {{Association Fran\c{c}aise de Normalisation} AFNOR}, title = {Formation des biblioth\'ecaires et documentalistes - Normes pour l'Epreuve de Catalogage}, publisher = {AFNOR}, year = 1990, series = {Normes pour l'Enseignement}, address = {Paris La D\'efense}, edition = {2\`eme}, isbn = {2-12-484421-0} } @Book{Anderson.ea1999:lapack, author = {E. Anderson and Z. Bai and C. Bischof and S. Blackford and J. Demmel and J. Dongarra and Du Croz, J. and A. Greenbaum and S. Hammarling and A. McKenney and D. Sorensen}, title = {{LAPACK} Users' Guide}, publisher = {Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics}, year = 1999, address = {Philadelphia, PA}, edition = {Third}, isbn = {0-89871-447-8 (paperback)} } @Book{Halpern2003:reasoning, editor = {Joseph Y. Halpern}, title = {Reasoning about Uncertainty}, publisher = {MIT Press}, year = 2003, isbn = {9 780262 083201} } @Book{Alcamo1994:image, editor = {Joseph Alcamo}, title = {{IMAGE} 2.0: Integrated Modeling of Global Climate Change, with papers by The {IMAGE} Project}, publisher = {Kluwer Academic Publisher}, year = 1994, note = {Reprinted from Water, Air, and Soil Pollution 76(1-2)}, booktitle = {IMAGE 2.0: Integrated Modeling of Global Climate Change}, isbn = {0-7923-2860-4} } @Book{Artus1990:theorie, author = {Patrick Artus}, title = {Th\'eorie et Pratique des Instruments Financiers}, publisher = {{\'E}cole Polytechnique}, year = 1990, series = {D\'epartement d'{\'E}conomie}, address = {Palaiseau}, note = {Cours de Majeure d'{\'E}conomie}, booktitle = {Th\'eorie et Pratique des Instruments Financiers} } @Book{Aubin1997:dynamic, author = {Jean-Pierre Aubin}, title = {Dynamic Economic Theory, {A} Viability Approach}, publisher = {Springer}, year = 1997, volume = 5, series = {Studies in Economic Theory}, booktitle = {Dynamic Economic Theory}, isbn = {3-540-62678-5} } @TechReport{Aubin1999:concise, author = {Jean-Pierre Aubin}, title = {A concise introduction to viability theory and optimal control}, institution = {Universit{\'e} de Paris Dauphine}, year = 1999, series = {Cahiers du Centre de Recherche Viabilit{\'e}. Jeux. Contr{\^o}le}, pages = 143 } @Book{Austin.ea1999:how, author = {Duncan Austin and Paul Faeth and Ronaldo Seroa Da Motta and Claudio Ferraz and Carlos E. F. Young and Zou Ji and Li Junfeng and Milind Pathak and Leena Srivastava and Sudhir Sharma}, title = {How much sustainable development can we expect from the Clean Development Mechanism?}, publisher = {World Resources Institute}, year = 1999, series = {Climate Notes}, address = {10 G Street NE, Washington, D.C. 20002 USA.}, month = nov, note = {16 pages leaflet. Studies about 40 potentially CDM projects in India, China and Brazil}, url = {http://www.wri.org/}, isbn = {1-56973-434-8} } @Book{Bank1994:world, author = {World Bank}, title = {World Development Report 1994}, publisher = {Oxford University Press}, year = 1994, address = {New York}, booktitle = {World Development Report 1994} } @Book{Barro.ea1995:economic, author = {Robert J. Barro and Xavier Sala-i-Martin}, title = {Economic Growth}, publisher = {McGraw Hill}, year = 1995, address = {Boston, MA}, booktitle = {Economic Growth} } @Book{Beauchamp1996:gerer, author = {Andr{\'e} Beauchamp}, title = {{G}\'erer le risque, vaincre la peur}, publisher = {Editions Bellarmin}, year = 1996, address = {Qu\'ebec}, booktitle = {G\'erer le risque, vaincre la peur}, isbn = {2-89007-823-X} } @Book{Beaud1985:lart, author = {Michel Beaud}, title = {{L}'art de la th{\`e}se, comment pr{\'e}parer et r{\'e}diger une th{\`e}se de doctorat, un m{\'e}moire de {DEA} ou de ma{\^\i}trise ou tout autre travail universitaire}, publisher = {La D{\'e}couverte}, year = 1985, note = {160 pages, 79 F} } @Book{Becker.ea1998:capital, author = {R. A. Becker and J. H. {Boyd, III}}, title = {Capital Theory, Equilibrium Analysis and Recursive Utility}, publisher = {Blackwell}, year = 1998 } @Book{Bellman1957:dynamic, author = {Richard E. Bellman}, title = {Dynamic Programming}, publisher = {Princeton University Press}, year = 1957 } @Book{Pearl2000:causality, author = {Judea Pearl}, title = {Causality : Models, Reasoning, and Inference}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2000, month = mar, url = {http://bayes.cs.ucla.edu/BOOK-2K/}, pages = 384, isbn = {052177362-8} } @Book{Bentley2000:programming, author = {Jon Bentley}, title = {Programming Pearls}, publisher = {Addison-Wesley}, year = 2000, edition = {Second}, isbn = {0-201-65788-0} } @Book{vandenBergh1998:handbook, editor = {Jeroen C. J. M. van den Bergh}, title = {Handbook on Environmental and Resource Economics}, publisher = {Elgar (?)}, year = 1998, booktitle = {Handbook on Environmental and Resource Economics} } @Book{Blanchard.ea1989:lectures, author = {Jean O. Blanchard and Stanley Fisher}, title = {Lectures on Macroeconomics}, publisher = {MIT press}, year = 1989, booktitle = {Lectures on Macroeconomics} } @Book{Bontems.ea1998:economie, author = {Philippe Bontems and Gillles Rotillon}, title = {{\'E}conomie de l'environnement}, publisher = {{\'E}ditions {L}a {D}\'ecouverte}, year = 1998, address = {Paris} } @Book{Bony1989:cours, author = {Jean-Michel Bony}, title = {Cours d'Analyse}, publisher = {{\'E}cole Polytechnique}, year = 1989, series = {D\'epartement de Math\'ematiques}, address = {Palaiseau}, edition = 1989, booktitle = {Cours d'Analyse}, isbn = {2-7302-0201-3} } @Book{Boserup1965:conditions, author = {Ester Boserup}, title = {The conditions of agricultural growth}, publisher = {Allen and Unwin}, year = 1965, address = {Londres}, booktitle = {The conditions of agricultural growth} } @Book{Bouchon-Meunier1990:logique, author = {Bernadette Bouchon-Meunier}, title = {La logique floue}, publisher = {J'ai lu}, year = 1990, month = {circa}, booktitle = {La logique floue} } @Book{Bourguignon1989:cours, author = {Jean-Pierre Bourguignon}, title = {Cours de Calcul Variationnel}, publisher = {{\'E}cole Polytechnique}, year = 1989, series = {D\'epartement de Math\'ematiques}, address = {Palaiseau}, booktitle = {Cours de Calcul Variationnel}, isbn = {2-7302-0200-5} } @Book{Boyer.ea1984:bayesian, editor = {Marcel Boyer and R. Kihlstr{\"o}m}, title = {Bayesian Models in Economic Theory}, publisher = {Elsevier {S}cience {P}ublishers {B.V.}}, year = 1984, booktitle = {Bayesian Models in Economic Theory} } @Book{Boyer.ea1991:figures, editor = {Robert Boyer and Bernard Chavance and Olivier Godard}, title = {Les figures de l'irr\'eversibilit\'e en \'economie}, publisher = {Editions de l'{\'E}cole des Hautes \'etudes en Sciences Sociales}, year = 1991, series = {Recherches d'histoire et de sciences sociales}, address = {Paris}, note = {Ouvrage issu d'un colloque international organis\'e par l'EHESS \`a Paris, en juin 1989.}, booktitle = {Les figures de l'irr\'eversibilit\'e en \'economie}, number = 47, isbn = {2-7132-0961-7} } @Book{Le-Bras1994:limites, author = {Herv{\'e} {Le Bras}}, title = {Les limites de la plan\`ete, Mythes de la nature et de la population}, publisher = {Flammarion}, year = 1994, address = {Paris}, month = may, booktitle = {Les limites de la plan\`ete} } @Book{Brette1995:courbes, editor = {Jean Brette}, title = {Courbes Math\'ematiques}, publisher = {Le Palais de la D\'ecouverte}, year = 1995, volume = {Num\'ero Sp\'ecial 45}, series = {Revue du Palais de la D\'ecouverte}, address = {Paris}, month = dec, booktitle = {Courbes Math\'ematiques}, isbn = {2-85607-032-9} } @Book{Bruce.ea1996:changement, editor = {James P. Bruce and Hoesung Lee and Erik F. Haites}, title = {Le Changement Climatique. Dimensions \'economiques et sociales}, publisher = {Dossiers et d\'ebats pour le d'eveloppement durable (4D) pour la France, Multimonde pour le reste.}, year = 1996, note = {Contribution du Groupe de Travail {III} au Deuxi\`eme Rapport d'\'evaluation du Groupe d'experts Intergouvernemental sur l'{\'E}volution du Climat. English edition published by Cambridge University Press.}, isbn = {2-921146-56-8} } @Book{Bruce.ea1996:climate, author = {James P. Bruce and Hoesung Lee and Erik F. Haites}, title = {Climate Change 1995 - Economic and Social Dimensions of Climate Change}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1996, address = {Cambridge, Massachussets}, note = {Contribution of Working Group {III} to the Second Assessment Report of the {I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange} } @Book{Bulatao1990:world, author = {Rodolfo A. Bulatao}, title = {World population projections, 1989-90 edition}, publisher = {World Bank}, year = 1990, address = {Washington, D.C.}, booktitle = {World population projections, 1989-90 edition} } @Book{CAPIE1992:proteger, editor = {PNUE. CAP/IE}, title = {Prot\'eger la Couche d'Ozone}, publisher = {Publication des Nations Unies}, year = 1992, volume = {1. Frigorig\`enes}, booktitle = {Prot\'eger la Couche d'Ozone}, number = {92 - III - D.7.}, isbn = {92-807-1343-4} } @Book{Carroll1895:pillow, author = {Lewis Carroll}, publisher = {Dover}, year = 1895, series = {Mathematical Recreations of Lewis Carroll in Two Volumes}, edition = {Dover edition first published 1958.}, note = {Original books by Macmillan and Company in 1895 and 1885 respectively.}, booktitle = {Pillow Problems and {A} Tangled Tale -- both books bound as one}, isbn = {0-486-20493-6} } @Book{Casti1988:alternate, author = {John L. Casti}, title = {Alternate Realities, Mathematical Models of Nature and Man}, publisher = {Wiley}, year = 1988, address = {New York}, booktitle = {Alternate Realities} } @Book{Chanrion.ea1992:valorisation, author = {Patrice Chanrion and Alain Davesne}, title = {La valorisation des produits connexes du bois}, publisher = {Centre Technique du Bois et de l'Ameublement - CTBA}, year = 1992, booktitle = {La valorisation des produits connexes du bois} } @Book{Clark1991:mathematical, author = {Colin W. Clark}, title = {Mathematical Bioeconomics}, publisher = {Wiley}, year = 1991, address = {New York}, edition = {2nd}, booktitle = {Mathematical Bioeconomics} } @Book{IPCC1990:climate, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {T. John Houghton and G. J. Jenkins and J. J. Ephraums}, title = {Climate Change - The {IPCC} Scientific Assessment}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1990, booktitle = {Climate Change - The {IPCC} Scientific Assessment}, isbn = {0-521-40720-6} } @Book{IPCC1990:premier, author = {{IPCC}}, title = {Premier rapport d'\'evaluation de l'{IPCC}, Aper\c cu g\'en\'eral, {R}\'esum\'es destin\'e aux d\'ecideurs - Groupe de travail {I}, {II}, {III} et comit\'e sp\'ecial pour la participation des pays en d\'eveloppement}, publisher = {OMM - PNUE}, year = 1990, volume = {I}, month = {aout}, booktitle = {Premier rapport d'\'evaluation de l'{IPCC}} } @Book{IPCC1992:climate, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {T. John Houghton and B. A. Callander and S. K. Varney}, title = {Climate Change 1992 - The Supplementary Report to the {IPCC} Scientific Assessment, Combined with Supporting Scientific Material}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1992, booktitle = {Climate Change 1992 - The Supplementary Report to the {IPCC} Scientific Assessment}, isbn = {0-521-43829-2} } @Book{IPCC1994:climate, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {T. John Houghton and L. G. Meiro Filho and James P. Bruce and E. Haites et al. {Hoesung Lee, B. A. Callander}}, title = {Climate Change 1994, Radiative Forcing of Climate Change and An Evaluation of the {IPCC} {IS92} Emission Scenarios}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1994, booktitle = {Climate Change 1994}, isbn = {0-521-55055-6} } @Book{IPCC1996:climate, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {James P. Bruce and Hoesung Lee and Erik F. Haites}, title = {Climate Change 1995 - Economic and Social Dimensions of Climate Change}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1996, address = {Cambridge, Massachussets}, note = {Contribution of Working Group {III} to the Second Assessment Report of the {I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange}, booktitle = {Climate Change 1995 - Economic and Social Dimensions of Climate Change}, isbn = {0-521-56051-9} } @Book{IPCC1996:deuxieme, author = {{IPCC}}, title = {Deuxi\`eme rapport d'\'evaluation du {GIEC}, Changements climatiques 1995. Un rapport du Groupe d'Experts Intergouvernemental sur l'\'evolution du climat}, publisher = {IPCC}, year = 1996, note = {Document de synth\`ese et trois r\'esum\'es. Disponible aussi en Anglais}, booktitle = {Deuxi\`eme rapport d'\'evaluation du {GIEC}} } @Book{IPCC1996:techniques, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {R. T. Watson and M. C. Zinyowera and R. H. Moss}, title = {Techniques, politiques et mesures d'att\'enuation du changement climatique}, publisher = {IPCC}, year = 1996, series = {Document technique du GIEC}, month = nov, booktitle = {Techniques, politiques et mesures d'att\'enuation du changement climatique}, number = {I}, annote = {Disponible aussi en anglais et dans d'autres langues.}, url = {http://www.ipcc.ch}, isbn = {92-91-69200-X} } @Article{Scott.ea1999:uncertainty, author = {M. J. Scott and R. D. Sands and Jae A. Edmonds and A. M. Liebertrau and D. W. Engel}, title = {Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment Models: Modeling with MiniCAM 1.0}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 1999, number = 27, pages = {855--879} } @Article{Schneider.ea1981:atmospheric, author = {S. H. Schneider and S. L. Thompson}, title = {Atmospheric {CO}$_2$ and climate: importance of the transient response}, journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research}, year = 1981, number = 86, pages = {3135--3147} } @InCollection{Moss.ea2000:uncertainties, author = {R. H. Moss and S. H. Schneider}, title = {Uncertainties in the {IPCC TAR}: Recommendations to lead authors for more consistent assessment and reporting}, editor = {R. Pachauri and T. Taniguchi and K. Tanaka}, booktitle = {Guidance Papers on the Cross Cutting Issues of the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC}, publisher = {World Meteorological Organization, Geneva}, year = 2000, pages = {33--51}, url = {http://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/Publications/Publications.html} } @Book{IPCC1997:introduction, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {T. John Houghton and Gylvan Meira L. Filho and David J. Griggs and Kathy Maskell}, title = {Introduction aux mod\`eles climatiques simples employ\'es dans le Deuxi\`eme Rapport d'\'evaluation du {GIEC}}, publisher = {IPCC}, year = 1997, series = {Document technique du GIEC}, month = feb, note = {Disponible aussi en anglais et dans d'autres langues}, booktitle = {Introduction aux mod\`eles climatiques simples employ\'es dans le Deuxi\`eme Rapport d'\'evaluation du GIEC}, number = {II}, isbn = {92-9169-201-8} } @Book{IPCC1997:stabilisationfr, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {R. A. Houghton and Gylvan Meira L. Filho and David J. Griggs and Kathy Maskell}, title = {Stabilisation des gaz atmosph\'eriques \`a effet de serre : cons\'equences physiques, biologiques et socio-\'economiques}, publisher = {IPCC}, year = 1997, series = {Document technique du GIEC}, month = feb, note = {Disponible aussi en anglais et dans d'autres langues}, booktitle = {Stabilisation des gaz atmosph\'eriques \`a effet de serre : cons\'equences physiques, biologiques et socio-\'economiques}, bibkey = {IPCC1997:stabilisationfr}, number = {III}, isbn = {92-9169-202-6} } @Book{Cline1992:economics, author = {William R. Cline}, title = {The Economics of global Warming}, publisher = {Institute for International Economics}, year = 1992, address = {Washington, DC}, month = jun, booktitle = {The Economics of global Warming} } @Book{Cohendet.ea1989:flexibilite, editor = {Patrick Cohendet and Patrick Llerena}, title = {Flexibilit\'e Information et {D}\'ecision}, publisher = {Economica}, year = 1989, series = {Recherches du BETA, Universit\'e de Strasbourg}, month = feb, booktitle = {Flexibilit\'e Information et D\'ecision}, isbn = {2-7178-1617-8} } @Book{Conrad.ea1987:natural, author = {Jon M. Conrad and Colin W. Clark}, title = {Natural Resource Economics, Notes and problems}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1987, booktitle = {Natural Resource Economics}, isbn = {0-521-33769-0} } @Book{Copeland1990:capital, author = {Copeland}, title = {Capital Structure and the Cost of Capital}, publisher = {?}, year = 1990, month = {circa}, booktitle = {Capital Structure and the Cost of Capital} } @Book{WEC1993:energy, author = {{World Energy Council} WEC}, title = {Energy for Tomorrow's World, The Realities, the Real Options and the Agenda for the Achievements}, publisher = {Kogan Page}, year = 1993, address = {London}, booktitle = {Energy for Tomorrow's World} } @Book{Culioli1994:mathematica, author = {Jean-Christophe Culioli}, title = {Introduction \`a {M}athematica}, publisher = {Ellipses}, year = 1994, address = {Paris}, month = {circa}, bibkey = {Culioli1994:mathematica}, booktitle = {Introduction \`a {M}athematica} } @Book{Dasgupta.ea1979:economic, author = {S. Dasgupta and Geoffrey Heal}, title = {Economic Theory and Exhaustible Resources}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1979, booktitle = {Economic Theory and Exhaustible Resources}, isbn = {0-7202-0312-0} } @Book{Davis.ea1999:urban, author = {Devra L. Davis and Paulo H. N. Saldiva}, title = {Urban Air Pollution Risks to Children: {A} Global Environmental Health Indicator}, publisher = {World Resources Institute}, year = 1999, series = {Environmental Health Notes}, month = sep, note = {20 pages leaflet. With 11 contributing authors.}, isbn = {1-56973-427-5} } @Book{Dixit.ea1994:investment, author = {Avinash K. Dixit and Robert S. Pindyck}, title = {Investment under uncertainty}, publisher = {Princeton University Press}, year = 1994, address = {Princeton, New Jersey}, booktitle = {Investment under uncertainty} } @Book{Dordan1995:analyse, author = {Olivier Dordan}, title = {Analyse Qualitative}, publisher = {Masson}, year = 1995, series = {Logique Math\'ematiques Informatique}, address = {Paris}, booktitle = {Analyse Qualitative}, isbn = {2-225-84717-7} } @Book{Dornbush1980:open, author = {Rudiger Dornbush}, title = {Open Economy Macroeconomics}, publisher = {Basic Books, Inc.}, year = 1980, address = {New York}, booktitle = {Open Economy Macroeconomics} } @Book{Dorst1965:nature, author = {Jean Dorst}, title = {La nature d\'e-natur\'ee}, publisher = {Delachaux et Niestl\'e}, year = 1965, series = {Points}, note = {Extraits de {\textquotedblleft}Avant que nature meure{\textquotedblright}, du m\^eme auteur.}, booktitle = {La nature d\'e-natur\'ee} } @Book{Dreyfus1983:these, author = {S. Dreyfus}, title = {La th{\`e}se et le m{\'e}moire de doctorat}, publisher = {Cujas}, year = 1983, note = {340 pages, 150 F} } @Book{Driver.ea1996:time-scales, editor = {Thackwray S. Driver and Graham P. Chapman}, title = {Time-scales and environmental change}, publisher = {Routledge}, year = 1996, address = {London}, booktitle = {Time-scales and environmental change}, isbn = {0-415-13253-3} } @Book{Dubois.ea1988:theorie, author = {Didier Dubois and Henri Prade}, title = {Th\'eorie des possibilit\'es}, publisher = {Masson}, year = 1988, address = {Paris}, booktitle = {Th\'eorie des possibilit\'es} } @Book{Duplessy.ea1990:gros, author = {Jean-Claude Duplessy and Pierre Morel}, title = {Gros temps sur la plan\`ete}, publisher = {Odile Jacob}, year = 1990, address = {Paris}, booktitle = {Gros temps sur la plan\`ete} } @Book{Duplessy1996:quand, author = {Jean-Claude Duplessy}, title = {Quand l'Oc\'ean se {F}\^ache, Histoire Naturelle du Climat}, publisher = {Editions Odile Jacob}, year = 1996, series = {Sciences}, address = {Paris}, month = sep, booktitle = {Quand l'Oc\'ean se F\^ache}, isbn = {2-7381-0417-7} } @Book{Duvigneaud1984:lecosysteme*1, author = {P. Duvigneaud}, title = {{L}'\'ecosyst\`eme for\^et}, publisher = {ENGREF NANCY}, year = 1984, booktitle = {L'\'ecosyst\`eme for\^et} } @Book{Faurre1989:cours, author = {Pierre Faurre}, title = {Cours d'Analyse, Optimisation et Filtrage Num\'eriques}, publisher = {{\'E}cole Polytechnique}, year = 1989, series = {D\'epartement de Math\'ematiques Appliqu\'ees}, address = {Palaiseau}, edition = {Edition 1989-90}, booktitle = {Cours d'Analyse, Optimisation et Filtrage Num\'eriques}, isbn = {2-7302-196-3} } @Book{Feiwel1985:issues, editor = {George R. Feiwel}, title = {Issues in Contemporary Microeconomics and Welfare}, publisher = {The Macmillan Press Ltd}, year = 1985, address = {London}, booktitle = {Issues in Contemporary Microeconomics and Welfare}, isbn = {0-333-35482-6} } @Book{Ferry1992:nouvel, author = {Luc Ferry}, title = {Le nouvel ordre \'ecologique, {L}'arbre, l'animal et l'homme}, publisher = {Grasset}, year = 1992, booktitle = {Le nouvel ordre \'ecologique}, isbn = {2-246-46811-6} } @Book{Feynman1985:vous, author = {Richard P. Feynman}, title = {Vous voulez rire, Monsieur {F}eynman !, Entretiens avec Ralf Leighton}, publisher = {Intereditions}, year = 1985, address = {87 avenue du Maine, 75014 Paris}, booktitle = {Vous voulez rire, Monsieur {F}eynman !}, isbn = {2-7296-0006-X} } @Book{Fisher1995:environmental, author = {Anthony C. Fisher}, title = {Environmental and Resource Economics: Selected Essays of Anthony {C}. Fisher}, publisher = {Edward Elgar}, year = 1995, isbn = {1-85278-974-3} } @Book{FAO1985:agriculture, author = {{Food and Agriculture Organisation} FAO}, title = {Agriculture : Horizon 2000}, publisher = {F.A.O.}, year = 1985, month = {circa}, booktitle = {Agriculture : Horizon 2000} } @Book{ofForestry1988:vietnam, author = {Viet Nam Ministry of Forestry}, title = {{V}ietnam Forestry : an action plan toward 2000}, publisher = {Centre of Technical Scientific and Economical Information}, year = 1988, address = {Ha Noi}, booktitle = {{V}ietnam Forestry : an action plan toward 2000} } @Book{Fron1994:programmation, author = {Annick Fron}, title = {Programmation par Contraintes}, publisher = {Addison-Wesley France}, year = 1994, month = apr, booktitle = {Programmation par Contraintes}, isbn = {2-87908-062-2} } @Book{Garfinkel1995:pgp, author = {Simson Garfinkel}, title = {{PGP}: Pretty Good Privacy, Encryption for Everyone}, publisher = {O'Reilly {\&} Associate}, year = 1995, booktitle = {PGP: Pretty Good Privacy}, isbn = {1-56592-098-8} } @Book{Georgescu-Roegen1971:entropy, author = {Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen}, title = {The Entropy Law and the Economic Process}, publisher = {Harvard University Press}, year = 1971, address = {Cambridge, Massachusetts}, booktitle = {The Entropy Law and the Economic Process} } @Book{Godard1997:principe, author = {Olivier Godard}, title = {Le Principe de Pr\'ecaution, dans la Conduite des Affaires Humaines}, publisher = {Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique et {\'E}ditions de la Maison des Sciences de l'Homme}, year = 1997, address = {Paris}, note = {. Cet ouvrage trouve son origine dans les Journ\'ees annuelles de l'Association {\textquotedblleft}Natures Sciences Soci\'et\'es-Dialogues{\textquotedblright} qui se sont d\'eroul\'ees en d\'ecembre 1994.}, booktitle = {Le Principe de Pr\'ecaution}, isbn = {2-7351-0740-X} } @Book{Goossens.ea1994:latex, author = {Michel Goossens and Frank Mittelbach and Alexander Samarin}, title = {The {\LaTeX} companion}, publisher = {Addison-Wesley}, year = 1994, booktitle = {The {\LaTeX} companion}, pages = 530, isbn = {0-201-54199-8} } @Book{Mittelbach.ea2004:latex, author = {Frank Mittelbach and Michel Goossens}, title = {The {\LaTeX} companion}, publisher = {Addison-Wesley}, year = 2004, edition = {Second}, booktitle = {The {\LaTeX} companion}, pages = 1087, isbn = {0-201-36299-6} } @Book{Gottinger1998:global, author = {Hans W. Gottinger}, title = {Global Environmental Economics}, publisher = {Kluwer}, year = 1998, booktitle = {Global Environmental Economics}, isbn = {0-7923-8092-4} } @Book{Gottwald1993:fuzzy, author = {Siegfried Gottwald}, title = {Fuzzy sets and fuzzy logic}, publisher = {Vieweg - Teknea}, year = 1993, address = {Wiesbaden}, booktitle = {Fuzzy sets and fuzzy logic} } @Book{Gould.ea1993:introductory, author = {Floyd Jerome Gould and C. P. Eppen and C. P. Schmidt}, title = {Introductory Management Science}, publisher = {Prentice-Hall}, year = 1993, edition = {Fourth}, booktitle = {Introductory Management Science}, isbn = {0-13-486440-9} } @Book{Gourou1938:lutilisation, author = {Pierre Gourou}, title = {{L}'utilisation du sol en Indochine Fran\c caise}, publisher = {Centre d'\'etudes de politique \'etrang\`ere, Paul Hartman \'editeur}, year = 1938, address = {Paris}, month = {post}, booktitle = {L'utilisation du sol en Indochine Fran\c caise} } @Book{Gourou1948:pays, author = {Pierre Gourou}, title = {Les pays tropicaux - principes d'une g\'eographie humaine et \'economique}, publisher = {Presses Universitaires de France}, year = 1948, address = {Paris}, booktitle = {Les pays tropicaux - principes d'une g\'eographie humaine et \'economique} } @Book{Gray.ea1992:guide, author = {Theodore W. Gray and Jerry Glynn}, title = {Guide d'initiation \`a {M}ath\'ematica}, publisher = {Addison Wesley}, year = 1992, booktitle = {Guide d'initiation \`a {M}ath\'ematica} } @Book{Gray1994:mastering, author = {John W. Gray}, title = {Mastering {M}athematica}, publisher = {Academic Press, Inc.}, year = 1994, address = {London}, booktitle = {Mastering {M}athematica} } @Book{HCRA2000:1999-2000, editor = {{Harvard Center for Risk Analysis} HCRA}, title = {1999-2000 Biennal Report}, publisher = {Harvard Center for Risk Analysis}, year = 2000 } @Book{Hanley.ea1993:cost-benefit, author = {Nick Hanley and Clive L. Spash}, title = {Cost-benefit Analysis and the Environment}, publisher = {Edward Elgar}, year = 1993, isbn = {1-85278-455-5} } @Book{Heimann1993:global, author = {M. Heimann}, title = {The global carbon cycle}, publisher = {Spriger Verlag}, year = 1993, series = {NATO ASI series}, address = {Berlin Heidelberg}, booktitle = {The global carbon cycle} } @Book{Hein1999:linux, author = {Jochen Hein}, title = {Linux Companion for System Administrators}, publisher = {Addison-Wesley}, year = 1999, booktitle = {Linux Companion for System Administrators}, isbn = {0-201-36044-6} } @Book{Henry1990:cours, author = {Claude Henry}, title = {Cours d'{\'E}conomie Publique}, publisher = {{\'E}cole Polytechnique}, year = 1990, series = {D\'epartement d'{\'E}conomie}, address = {Palaiseau}, booktitle = {Cours d'{\'E}conomie Publique} } @Book{Hildenbrand.ea1991:handbook, editor = {Werner Hildenbrand and Hugo Sonnenschein}, title = {Handbook of Mathematical Economics}, publisher = {North-Holland}, year = 1991, volume = {IV}, series = {Handbooks in Economics (ed. by K. J. Arrow and M. D. Intriligator)}, note = {Set of 4 volumes}, booktitle = {Handbook of Mathematical Economics}, isbn = {0-444-86O54-1} } @Book{Hirshleifer.ea1992:analytics, author = {J. Hirshleifer and J. G. Riley}, title = {The Analytics of Uncertainty and Information}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1992, booktitle = {The Analytics of Uncertainty and Information} } @Book{Hohmeyer.ea1996:social, editor = {Olav Hohmeyer and Richard L. Ottinger and Klaus Rennings}, title = {Social Costs and Sustainability - Valuation and Implementation in the Energy and Transport Sectors}, publisher = {Springer}, year = 1996, booktitle = {Social Costs and Sustainability - Valuation and Implementation in the Energy and Transport Sectors} } @Book{Hunter.ea1998:applications, editor = {Anthony Hunter and Simon Parsons}, title = {Applications of Uncertainty Formalisms}, publisher = {Springer}, year = 1998, series = {Lectures Notes in Artificial Intelligence}, note = {Subseries of Lecture Notes in Computer Science}, number = 1455 } @Book{IIASA.ea1995:global, author = {IIASA and WEC}, title = {Global energy perspectives to 2050 and beyond}, publisher = {WEC}, year = 1995, address = {London} } @Book{INSEE1993:environnement, editor = {{Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques} INSEE}, title = {Environnement et {\'E}conomie}, publisher = {INSEE}, year = 1993, series = {Insee M\'ethodes}, address = {Paris}, month = dec, booktitle = {Environnement et {\'E}conomie}, number = {39-40} } @Book{IPCC1995:second, author = {{IPCC}}, title = {Second Assessment Synthesis of Scientific-Technical Information Relevant to Interpreting Article 2 of the {UN} Framework Convention on Climate Change}, publisher = {UNEP/WMO}, year = 1995 } @Book{IPCC1997:stabilisation, author = {{IPCC}}, title = {Stabilisation of Atmospheric Greenhouse Gases: Physical, Biological and Socio-economic Implications ({IPCC} Technical paper {III})}, publisher = {UNEP/WMO}, year = 1997, note = {{W}orking Group I} } @Book{Inconnu1989:brookings, author = {Inconnu}, title = {Brookings Papers on Economic Activity}, publisher = {?}, year = 1989, month = {1:}, booktitle = {Brookings Papers on Economic Activity} } @Book{Inconnu1990:input, author = {Inconnu}, title = {Input Output Analysis}, publisher = {?}, year = 1990, month = {circa}, booktitle = {Input Output Analysis} } @Book{Institute1989:forest, author = {Vietnam Forest Science Institute}, title = {Forest Science Institute of {V}iet {N}am}, publisher = {?}, year = 1989, address = {Ha Noi}, booktitle = {Forest Science Institute of {V}iet {N}am} } @Book{WRI1993:world, author = {{World Ressource Institute} WRI}, title = {World Resource 1992-93, {A} guide to the global environment, Toward sustainable development}, publisher = {W.R.I.}, year = 1993, booktitle = {World Resource 1992-93} } @Book{Janssen1998:modelling, author = {Marco Janssen}, title = {Modelling Global Change, The Art of Integrated Assessment Modelling}, publisher = {Edward Elgar}, year = 1998, series = {Advances in Ecological Economics}, booktitle = {Modelling Global Change}, isbn = {1-85898-763-6} } @Book{Jarrow1990:finance, author = {Robert Jarrow}, title = {Finance Theory}, publisher = {?}, year = 1990, month = {circa}, booktitle = {Finance Theory} } @Book{Joule.ea1987:petit, author = {R. V. Joule and J. L. Beauvois}, title = {Petit trait\'e de manipulation \`a l'usage des honn\^etes gens}, publisher = {Presses Universitaires de Grenoble}, year = 1987, series = {Vies Sociales}, booktitle = {Petit trait\'e de manipulation \`a l'usage des honn\^etes gens}, number = 1, isbn = {2-7061-0291-8} } @Book{Kallio1990:global, author = {Markku Kallio}, title = {The Global Forest Sector}, publisher = {Wiley,}, year = 1990, month = {circa}, booktitle = {The Global Forest Sector} } @Book{Kamien.ea1991:dynamic, author = {Morton I. Kamien and Nancy L. Schwartz}, title = {Dynamic Optimization, The Calculus of Variations and Optimal Control in Economics and Management}, publisher = {North-Holland}, year = 1991, series = {Advanced Textbooks in Economics}, edition = {Second}, booktitle = {Dynamic Optimization}, number = 31, isbn = {0-444-01609-0} } @Book{Keeney.ea1993:decisions, author = {Ralph L. Keeney and Howard Raiffa}, title = {Decisions with Multiple Objectives, Preferences and Value Tradeoffs}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1993, note = {First published in 1976 by John Wiley and Sons}, booktitle = {Decisions with Multiple Objectives}, isbn = {0-521-43883-7} } @Book{Prima-Klima1992:yearbook, author = {Eurosolar {Prima Klima}}, title = {The yearbook of Renewable Energies - 1992}, publisher = {Eurosolar / Unesco}, year = 1992, booktitle = {The yearbook of Renewable Energies - 1992} } @Book{Kluth1999:faq, author = {Marie-Paule Kluth}, title = {{FAQ} {\LaTeX} fran{\c{c}}aise}, publisher = {Vuibert}, year = 1999, address = {Paris}, note = {FAQ du forum de discussion fr.comp.text.tex}, booktitle = {{FAQ} {\LaTeX} fran{\c{c}}aise}, isbn = {2-7117-8641-2}, pages = 440 } @Book{Knight1921:risk, author = {Frank H. Knight}, title = {Risk, Uncertainty and Profit}, publisher = {Houghton Mifflin}, year = 1921, address = {Boston}, url = {http://www.econlib.org/library/Knight/knRUP.html} } @Book{Knuth1984:texbook, author = {Donald E. Knuth}, title = {The TeXbook}, publisher = {Addison Wesley and American Mathematical Society}, year = 1984, note = {Incorporates the final corrections made in 1994.}, isbn = {0-201-13448-9} } @Book{Knuth1986:texbook, author = {Donald E. Knuth}, title = {The TeXbook}, publisher = {Addison Wesley and American Mathematical Society}, year = 1986, note = {Incorporates the final corrections made in 1994.}, booktitle = {The TeXbook}, isbn = {0-201-13448-9} } @Book{Kosko1992:neural, author = {Bart Kosko}, title = {Neural networks and fuzzy systems}, publisher = {Prentice Hall International}, year = 1992, booktitle = {Neural networks and fuzzy systems} } @Book{Laffont1991:economie, author = {Jean-Jacques Laffont}, title = {{\'E}conomie de l'Incertain et de l'Information, Cours de Micro\'economie Th\'eorique {II}}, publisher = {Economica}, year = 1991, series = {Collection {\textquotedblleft}{\'E}conomie et Statistiques Avanc\'ees{\textquotedblright}}, address = {Paris}, booktitle = {{\'E}conomie de l'Incertain et de l'Information, Cours de Micro\'economie Th\'eorique {II}}, isbn = {2-7178-1843-X} } @Book{Lamport1986:latex, author = {Leslie Lamport}, title = {{\LaTeX}: {A} Document Preparation System}, publisher = {Addison-Wesley}, year = {1986, 1994}, edition = {2nd.} } @Book{Landau.ea1967:physique, author = {L. Landau and E. Lifchitz}, title = {Physique statistique., Physique th\'eorique, Tome {V}}, publisher = {Editions MIR}, year = 1967, series = {Editions de moscou}, address = {Moscou}, note = {Traduction Anne Sokova}, booktitle = {Physique statistique} } @Book{deLara.ea1997:evaluation, author = {Michel Cohen de Lara and Dominique Dron}, title = {Evaluation \'economique et environnement dans les d\'ecisions publiques}, publisher = {La Documentation Fran\c caise}, year = 1997, series = {Collection des Rapports Officiels. Rapport au Ministre de l'Environnement}, address = {Paris}, booktitle = {Evaluation \'economique et environnement dans les d\'ecisions publiques}, isbn = {2-11-003897-7} } @Book{Laurent.ea1999:inside, author = {Simon St. Laurent and Robert Biggar}, title = {Inside {XML} {DTD}s, Scientific and Technical}, publisher = {McGraw-Hill}, year = 1999, isbn = {0-07-134621-X} } @Book{Lesourne1991:economie, author = {Jacques Lesourne}, title = {{\'E}conomie de l'ordre et du d\'esordre}, publisher = {Economica}, year = 1991, booktitle = {{\'E}conomie de l'ordre et du d\'esordre} } @Book{Lewis1961:rogets, editor = {Norman Lewis}, title = {Roget's New Pocket Thesaurus, In Dictionary Form}, publisher = {Pocket books}, year = 1961, edition = {39th printing}, booktitle = {Roget's New Pocket Thesaurus}, isbn = {671 77397 6} } @Book{Lutz1996:future, author = {Wolfgang Lutz}, title = {The Future Population of the World, What can we assume today ? Revised and Updated {\'E}dition}, publisher = {Earthscan in association with IIASA}, year = 1996, address = {London}, booktitle = {The Future Population of the World} } @Book{Maddala.ea1996:handbook, editor = {G. S. Maddala and C. R. Rao}, title = {Handbook of Statistics, Statistical Methods in Finance}, publisher = {Elsevier Science B. V.}, year = 1996, volume = 14, booktitle = {Handbook of Statistics} } @Book{Malthus1980:essai, author = {Thomas Robert Malthus}, title = {Essai sur le principe de population (ed. 1798)., en tant qu'il influe sur le progr\`es futur de la soci\'et\'e avec des remarques sur les th\'eories de {M}. Godwin, de {M}. Condorcet et d'autres auteurs}, publisher = {INED}, year = 1980, address = {Paris}, booktitle = {Essai sur le principe de population (ed. 1798)} } @Book{Malthus1992:essai, author = {Thomas Robert Malthus}, title = {Essai sur le Principe de Population (\'ed. 1803) {I}, ou expos\'e des effets pass\'es et pr\'esents de l'action de cette cause sur le bonheur du genre humain, suivi de quelques recherches relatives \`a l'esp\'erance de gu\'erir ou d'adoucir les maux qu'elle entra\^{\i}ne}, publisher = {GF-Flammarion}, year = 1992, volume = 1, address = {Paris}, edition = {Jean-Paul Mar\'echal}, note = {Traduction P. et G. Prevost.}, booktitle = {Essai sur le Principe de Population (\'ed. 1803) I}, isbn = {2-08-070708-6} } @Book{Manne.ea1992:buying, author = {Alan S. Manne and Richard Richels}, title = {Buying Greenhouse Insurance: The Economic Cost of ${CO}_2$ Emissions Limits}, publisher = {MIT Press}, year = 1992, booktitle = {Buying Greenhouse Insurance: The Economic Cost of ${CO}_2$ Emissions Limits} } @Book{Manoukian1986:guide, author = {Edouard B. Manoukian}, title = {Guide de Statistique Appliqu\'ee}, publisher = {Hermann}, year = 1986, series = {Collection M\'ethodes}, address = {Paris}, booktitle = {Guide de Statistique Appliqu\'ee}, isbn = {2-7056-6022-4} } @Book{Mather1990:global, author = {Alexander S. Mather}, title = {Global Forest Resources}, publisher = {Belhaven press}, year = 1990, address = {London}, booktitle = {Global Forest Resources} } @Book{Mathieu-Nicot1990:esperance, author = {Bernadette Mathieu-Nicot}, title = {Esp\'erance Math\'ematique de l'Utilit\'e Floue}, publisher = {Librairie de l'Universit\'e}, year = 1990, series = {Collection de l'I.M.E.}, address = {Dijon}, month = {circa}, note = {Pr\'eface de G.L.S. Shackle}, booktitle = {Esp\'erance Math\'ematique de l'Utilit\'e Floue}, number = 29 } @Book{McConnell1993:code, author = {Steve McConnell}, title = {Code Complete, {A} Practical Handbook of Software Construction}, publisher = {Microsoft Press}, year = 1993, address = {Redmond}, booktitle = {Code Complete}, isbn = {1-55615-484-4} } @Book{Meadows1972:limits, author = {D. H. Meadows}, title = {The limits to Growth}, publisher = {Universe Books}, year = 1972, booktitle = {The limits to Growth} } @Book{Michel1984:cours, author = {Philippe Michel}, title = {Cours de math\'ematiques pour \'economistes}, publisher = {Economica}, year = 1984, booktitle = {Cours de math\'ematiques pour \'economistes} } @Book{deMontbrial1989:cours, author = {Thierry de Montbrial}, title = {Cours d'Analyse {\'E}conomique}, publisher = {{\'E}cole Polytechnique}, year = 1989, series = {D\'epartement de Sciences Economiques}, address = {Palaiseau}, booktitle = {Cours d'Analyse {\'E}conomique}, isbn = {2-7302-0202-1} } @Book{deMontbrial1991:cours, author = {Thierry de Montbrial}, title = {Cours d'{\'E}conomie Internationale}, publisher = {{\'E}cole Polytechnique}, year = 1991, series = {D\'epartement d'{\'E}conomie}, address = {Palaiseau}, booktitle = {Cours d'{\'E}conomie Internationale} } @Book{deMontgolfier.ea1995:patrimoine, author = {Jean de Montgolfier and Jean-Marc Natali}, title = {Le patrimoine du futur}, publisher = {\'ed. INRA}, year = 1995, month = {circa}, booktitle = {Le patrimoine du futur} } @Book{deMontgolfier1986:gestion, author = {Jean de Montgolfier}, title = {La gestion publique des projets forestiers}, publisher = {OCDE}, year = 1986, address = {Paris}, booktitle = {La gestion publique des projets forestiers} } @Book{Morone.ea1986:avertiing, author = {Joseph G. Morone and Edward J. Woodhouse}, title = {Avertiing Catastrophe, Strategies for regulating risky technologies}, publisher = {University of California Press}, year = 1986, booktitle = {Avertiing Catastrophe}, isbn = {0-520-05754-6} } @Book{Nao1974:ressources*1, author = {Tran Van Nao}, title = {Ressources naturelles de l'Asie tropicale humide}, publisher = {UNESCO}, year = 1974, address = {Paris}, booktitle = {Ressources naturelles de l'Asie tropicale humide} } @Book{vonNeumann.ea1944:theory, author = {John von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern}, title = {Theory of Games and Economic Behavior}, publisher = {Princeton University Press}, year = 1944, address = {Princeton}, booktitle = {Theory of Games and Economic Behavior} } @Book{Nordhaus1994:managing, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {Managing the Global Commons: The Economics of Climate Change}, publisher = {MIT Press}, year = 1994, isbn = {978-0262-14055-3} } @Book{Nordhaus1998:economics, editor = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {Economics and Policy Issues in Climate Change}, publisher = {Ressources For the Future}, year = 1998, address = {Washington, DC}, note = {Results of a workshop held in Snowmass, Colorado, in August 1996.}, annote = {Nineteen authors assessing the IPCC SAR WGIII}, isbn = {0-915707-95-0} } @Book{Schukla.ea2003:climate, author = {P. R. Schukla and S. K. Sharma and N. H. Ravindranath and A. Garg and S. Bhattacharya}, title = {Climate Change and {I}ndia. Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation.}, publisher = {Universities Press, India.}, year = 2003 } @Book{Oates1992:economics, editor = {Wallace E. Oates}, title = {The Economics of the Environment}, publisher = {Elgar}, year = 1992, series = {The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics. An Elgar Reference Collection}, booktitle = {The Economics of the Environment}, isbn = {1-85278-360-5} } @Book{Oates1999:rff, editor = {Wallace E. Oates}, title = {The {RFF} reader in environmental and resource management}, publisher = {Resources For the Future}, year = 1999, address = {Washington, DC}, note = {Collection of articles previously published in The RFF Reader.}, isbn = {0-915707-96-9} } @Book{Palgrave1990:palgrave, author = {Palgrave}, title = {The {P}algrave Dictionnary of Economics}, publisher = {?}, year = 1990, month = {circa}, booktitle = {The {P}algrave Dictionnary of Economics} } @Book{Pearce.ea1990:economics, author = {David W. Pearce and Kerry R. Turner}, title = {Economics of Natural Resources and the Environment}, publisher = {Harvester Wheatsheaf}, year = 1990, booktitle = {Economics of Natural Resources and the Environment} } @Book{Pearce.ea1993:world, author = {David W. Pearce and Jeremy J. Warford}, title = {World without end}, publisher = {Oxford University Press}, year = 1993, series = {published for the World Bank}, booktitle = {World without end} } @Book{Penot1989:guide, author = {J. Penot}, title = {Le guide de la th{\`e}se}, publisher = {Erasme}, year = 1989, note = {120 pages, 50 F} } @Book{Penzias1995:digital, author = {Arno Penzias}, title = {Digital Harmony, Business, Technology and Life After Paperwork}, publisher = {HarperCollins}, year = 1995, address = {New York}, booktitle = {Digital Harmony}, isbn = {0-88730-724-8} } @Book{Peyrelevade1991:cours, author = {Jean Peyrelevade}, title = {Cours d'{\'E}conomie de l'Entreprise, Tome {I}}, publisher = {{\'E}cole Polytechnique}, year = 1991, volume = {Tome I}, address = {Palaiseau}, booktitle = {Cours d'{\'E}conomie de l'Entreprise, Tome I} } @Book{Piaget1967:logique, editor = {Jean Piaget}, title = {Logique et Connaissance Scientifique}, publisher = {Gallimard}, year = 1967, series = {Encyclop\'edie de la Pl\'eiade}, booktitle = {Logique et Connaissance Scientifique}, isbn = {2-07-010413-3} } @Book{Pierre1969:optimization, author = {Donald A. Pierre}, title = {Optimization Theory with Applications}, publisher = {This edition Dover, Originally John Wiler \& Sons.}, year = 1969, edition = {Unabridged, corrected and slightly enlarged Dover (1986) republication.}, isbn = {0-486-65205-X} } @Book{Plot1986:ecrire, author = {B. Plot}, title = {Ecrire une th{\`e}se ou un m{\'e}moire en sciences humaines}, publisher = {Champion}, year = 1986, note = {150 pages, 70 F} } @Book{Portney.ea1999:discounting, editor = {Paul R. Portney and John P. Weyant}, title = {Discounting and Intergenerational Equity}, publisher = {Resources for the Future}, year = 1999, address = {Washington, DC}, isbn = {0-915707-89-6} } @Book{Quadrat1991:decision, author = {J. P. Quadrat}, title = {{D}\'ecision et Commande en Pr\'esence d'Incertitudes, 2e Partie, Commande Optimale des Cha\^{\i}nes de Markov}, publisher = {{\'E}cole Polytechnique}, year = 1991, series = {D\'epartement de Math\'ematiques Appliqu\'ees}, address = {Palaiseau}, edition = 1991, note = {Cours de Majeure Statistique et Contr\^ole des Syst\`emes.}, booktitle = {D\'ecision et Commande en Pr\'esence d'Incertitudes, 2e Partie} } @Book{Raiffa1968:decision, author = {Howard Raiffa}, title = {Decision analysis}, publisher = {Addison-Wesley}, year = 1968 } @Book{Raiffa1973:analyse, author = {Howard Raiffa}, title = {Analyse de la {D}\'ecision, Introduction aux Choix en Avenir Incertain}, publisher = {Dunod}, year = 1973, series = {Collection SIGMA dirig\'ee par Henri Hierche}, address = {Paris}, note = {Traduit par Yann de Calan et Hubert de Carpentier}, booktitle = {Analyse de la D\'ecision}, number = 25 } @Book{Rawls1971:theory, author = {J. Rawls}, title = {A theory of justice}, publisher = {Harvard University Press}, year = 1971, booktitle = {A theory of justice} } @Book{Ricklefs1993:economy, author = {Robert E. Ricklefs}, title = {The Economy of Nature, {A} Textbook in Basic Ecology}, publisher = {W. H. Freeman}, year = 1993, edition = {Third}, booktitle = {The Economy of Nature}, isbn = {0-7167-2409-X} } @Book{Robert1972:abrege, author = {J. F. Robert}, title = {Abr\'eg\'e d'\'economie foresti\`ere}, publisher = {?}, year = 1972, booktitle = {Abr\'eg\'e d'\'economie foresti\`ere} } @Book{Rotmans1990:image, author = {Jan Rotmans}, title = {{IMAGE} : an Integrated Model to Assess the Greenhouse Effect}, publisher = {Kuwler Academic Publisher}, year = 1990, booktitle = {{IMAGE} : an Integrated Model to Assess the Greenhouse Effect} } @Book{Rouveyran1989:memoires, author = {Jean-Claude Rouveyran}, title = {{M}{\'e}moires et Th{\`e}ses. {L}'art et les m{\'e}thodes}, publisher = {Maisonneuve et Larose}, year = 1989, note = {200 pages, 98F} } @Book{Rouveyran1990:memoires, author = {Jean-Claude Rouveyran}, title = {{M}\'emoires et th\`eses, {L}'art et les m\'ethodes, Pr\'eparation, {R}\'edaction, Pr\'esentation}, publisher = {Maisonneuve et Larose}, year = 1990, address = {Paris}, month = {circa}, booktitle = {M\'emoires et th\`eses, L'art et les m\'ethodes} } @Book{Roy1985:methodologie, author = {Bernard Roy}, title = {{M}\'ethodologie Multicrit\`ere d'aide \`a la d\'ecision}, publisher = {Economica}, year = 1985, address = {Paris}, booktitle = {M\'ethodologie Multicrit\`ere d'aide \`a la d\'ecision} } @Book{Ruelle1991:hasard, author = {David Ruelle}, title = {Hasard et chaos}, publisher = {Editions Odile Jacob}, year = 1991, series = {Sciences}, address = {Paris}, month = aug, booktitle = {Hasard et chaos} } @Book{Russel1920:introduction, author = {Bertrand Russel}, title = {Introduction to Mathematical Philosophy}, publisher = {This edition Dover, Originally Macmillan}, year = 1920, edition = {Unabridged 1993 republication.}, isbn = {0-486-27724-0} } @Book{Salen-con1989:cours, author = {Jean Salen{\c c}on}, title = {Cours de {M}\'ecanique des Milieux Continus, Concepts g\'en\'eraux}, publisher = {{\'E}cole Polytechnique}, year = 1989, volume = {Tome I}, series = {D\'epartement de M\'ecanique}, address = {Palaiseau}, booktitle = {Cours de M\'ecanique des Milieux Continus}, isbn = {2-7302-0194-7} } @Book{Savage1954:foundations, author = {Leonard J. Savage}, title = {The Foundations of Statistics}, publisher = {Dover}, year = 1954, edition = {Second}, isbn = {0-486-62349-1} } @Book{Schubert.ea1998:lenvironnement, editor = {Kateline Schubert and Paul Zagam{\'e}}, title = {{L}'environnement, Une nouvelle dimension dans l'analyse \'economique}, publisher = {Vuibert}, year = 1998, series = {{\'E}conomie - Collection dirig\'ee par Lionel Fontagn\'e}, booktitle = {L'environnement}, isbn = {2-7117-7531-3} } @Book{Schutt.ea1984:avant, author = {Peter Sch{\"u}tt and Werner Koch and Helmut Blaschke and Klaus J{\"u}rgen Lang and Hans Joachim Schuck and Herber Summerer}, editor = {D. Perret and Y. Perret}, title = {Avant que For\^et ne Meure, Le d\'ep\'erissement de la for\^et, principaux d\'eg\^ats observ\'es et \'evolution}, publisher = {Delachaux {\&} Niestl\'e S.A.}, year = 1984, note = {So stirbt der Wald, Schadblider und Krankheitsverlayf, chez BLV Verlagsgesellschaft, Munich, RFA, 1983}, booktitle = {Avant que For\^et ne Meure}, isbn = {2-603-00499-9} } @Book{desSciences1994:leffet, author = {Acad{\'e}mie des Sciences}, title = {{L}'Effet de Serre, Mise \`a jour du rapport n. 25 de l'Acad\'emie des Sciences du 23 octobre 1990}, publisher = {Lavoisier}, year = 1994, series = {Technique {\&} Documentation}, address = {Paris}, note = {Rapport de l'Acad\'emie des Sciences n. 31.}, booktitle = {L'Effet de Serre}, issn = {1159-5590} } @Book{Siebert1992:economics, author = {Horst Siebert}, title = {Economics of the Environment, Theory and Policy}, publisher = {Springer-Verlag}, year = 1992, edition = {3rd revis. {\&} enlarg.}, note = {First ed. 1987.}, booktitle = {Economics of the Environment}, isbn = {0-387-54837-8} } @Book{Siegel1997:secrets, author = {David Siegel}, title = {Secrets des Sites {WEB} qui r\'eussissent, Gestion de projet sur le World Wide Web}, publisher = {Simon {\&} Schuster Macmillan}, year = 1997, address = {Paris}, booktitle = {Secrets des Sites WEB qui r\'eussissent}, isbn = {2-7440-0547-9} } @Book{Siegel1998:creer, author = {David Siegel}, title = {Cr\'eer des sites web spectaculaires, Le design des sites de troisi\`eme g\'en\'eration}, publisher = {Simon {\&} Schuster Macmillan (France)}, year = 1998, address = {Paris}, edition = {Seconde}, note = {Titre original: Creating killer Web sites. Traduit de l'am\'ericain par Gabriel Otman.}, booktitle = {Cr\'eer des sites web spectaculaires}, isbn = {0-568-30433-1} } @Book{Simon1982:models, author = {Herbert A. Simon}, title = {Models of bounded rationality, Economic analyses and Public Policy}, publisher = {MIT Press}, year = 1982, series = {vol 1}, booktitle = {Models of bounded rationality}, isbn = {0-262-19205-5} } @Book{Sindermann1982:winning, author = {Carl J. Sindermann}, title = {Winning the Games Scientists Play}, publisher = {Plenum Press}, year = 1982, address = {New York}, booktitle = {Winning the Games Scientists Play}, isbn = {0-306-41075-3} } @Book{Smith1776:inquiry, author = {Adam Smith}, title = {An Inquiry into the Nature And Causes of the Wealth of Nations}, year = 1776, address = {London}, booktitle = {An Inquiry into the Nature And Causes of the Wealth of Nations}, isbn = {0-14-043208-6}, url = {http://www.adamsmith.org/smith/won-index.htm} } @Book{Ricardo1810:high, author = {David Ricardo}, title = {The High Price of Bullion, a Proof of the Depreciation of Bank Notes}, publisher = {John Murray}, year = 1810, address = {London} } @Book{Smithson1988:ignorance, author = {Michael Smithson}, title = {Ignorance and Uncertainty - Emerging Paradigms}, publisher = {Springer-Verlag}, year = 1988, isbn = {3-540-96945-4} } @Book{Stroustrup1997:c, author = {Bjarne Stroustrup}, title = {The {C}++ Programming Language}, publisher = {Addison-Wesley}, year = 1997, edition = {Third}, booktitle = {The C++ Programming Language}, isbn = {0-201-88954-4} } @Book{Thisse.ea1993:discrete, author = {Thisse and De Palma and Anderson}, title = {Discrete choice theory in Industrial Economics}, publisher = {M.I.T. Press}, year = 1993, booktitle = {Discrete choice theory in Industrial Economics} } @Book{Thom1975:structural, author = {Ren{\'e} Thom}, title = {Structural Stability and Morphogenesis}, publisher = {W.A. Benjamin, Inc.}, year = 1975, address = {Reading, Massachusetts}, booktitle = {Structural Stability and Morphogenesis} } @Book{Tietenberg1996:environmental, author = {Tom Tietenberg}, title = {Environmental and Natural Resource Economics}, publisher = {HarperCollins College Publisher}, year = 1996, edition = {Fourth}, booktitle = {Environmental and Natural Resource Economics}, isbn = {0-673-99472-4} } @Book{Trabalka.ea1990:changing, author = {John R. Trabalka and David E. Reichle}, title = {The changing carbon cycle, {A} global analysis}, publisher = {Springer Verlag}, year = 1990, month = {circa}, booktitle = {The changing carbon cycle} } @Book{Trenberth1992:climate, editor = {Kevin E. Trenberth}, title = {Climate System Modeling}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1992, note = {Reprinted 1995.}, isbn = {0-521-43231-6} } @Book{Uzawa1995:global*1, author = {Hirofumi Uzawa}, editor = {Rudiger Dornbush and James M. Poterba}, title = {Global warming : economic policy responses}, publisher = {?}, year = 1995, month = {circa}, booktitle = {Global warming : economic policy responses} } @Book{Varian1992:introduction, author = {Hal R. Varian}, title = {Introduction \`a la micro\'economie}, publisher = {De Boeck-Wesmael s.a.}, year = 1992, series = {Ouvertures \'economiques - s\'erie Pr\'emisses}, edition = {Seconde}, note = {Traduit de l'anglais par Hal R. Varian}, booktitle = {Introduction \`a la micro\'economie}, isbn = {ERPI : 2-7613-0702-X} } @Book{Varian1996:intermediate, author = {Hal R. Varian}, title = {Intermediate Microeconomics, {A} Modern Approach}, publisher = {W. W. Norton {\&} Company}, year = 1996, address = {New York. London}, edition = {Fourth}, booktitle = {Intermediate Microeconomics}, isbn = {0-393-96842-1} } @Book{Weisbush1990:complex, author = {G{\'e}rard Weisbush}, title = {Complex systems dynamics}, publisher = {Addison-Wesley}, year = 1990, series = {Santa Fe Institute studies in the sciences of complexity. Lecture notes : v.2}, booktitle = {Complex systems dynamics} } @Book{vonWeizsacker.ea1997:facteur, author = {Ernst U. von Weizs{\"a}cker and Amory B. Lovins and L. Hunter Lovins}, title = {Facteur 4}, publisher = {Terre Vivante}, year = 1997, note = {Traduit de l'anglais par Pierre Bertrand}, isbn = {2-904082-67-0} } @Book{Kim.ea1992:economic, author = {Tran Hoang Kim and Le Thu}, title = {Economic sectors in {Viet Nam} - situation tendency and solutions}, publisher = {Statistical Publishing House}, year = 1992, address = {Ha Noi} } @MastersThesis{Ha-Duong.ea1991:etudes, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Caroline Maes and Pascale Mercier and Guypsy Michel}, title = {Etudes globales d'environnement relatives aux usages agricoles et ruraux de l'eau}, school = {{\'E}cole Nationale du G\'enie Rural, des eaux et des for{\^e}ts}, year = 1991, type = {Rapport du Travail en Equipe Semestriel}, month = dec } @MastersThesis{Ha-Duong1992:production, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Production et utilisation industrielle de biomasse {\'e}nerg{\'e}tique; risques pour l'environnement, nouvelles technologies}, school = {{\'E}cole Nationale du G\'enie Rural, des eaux et des for{\^e}ts}, year = 1992, type = {Rapport du stage en Mission pour l'entreprise}, address = {Institut National de l'Environnement Industriel et des Riques} } @Book{IPCC2000:summary, editor = {{Working Group III} {IPCC}}, title = {Summary for Policymakers of {IPCC} special report on emissions scenarios}, publisher = {UNEP - WMO}, year = 2000, isbn = {92-9169-113-5} } @Book{Bamberger1990:analyse, author = {Alain Bamberger}, title = {Analyse, Optimisation et Filtrage Num\'eriques - Compl\'ements}, publisher = {{\'E}cole Polytechnique, d\'epartement de math\'ematiques appliqu\'ees}, year = 1990 } @TechReport{CCISRVN1992:statistical, author = {{Chamber of Commerce {and} Industry of the Socialist Republic of {Viet Nam}} CCISRVN}, title = {Statistical Data of {Viet Nam} foreign trade}, institution = {Chamber of Commerce and Industry of S.R. {Viet Nam} (1989-1991)}, year = 1992, address = {Ha Noi} } @Article{vanAmstel.ea1999:editorial, author = {Andre van Amstel and Leon Janssen and Bo Lim}, title = {Editorial of the Special Issue on Greenhouse Gas Inventory Quality}, journal = {Environmental Science and Policy}, year = 1999, volume = 2, number = 3, pages = {219--220} } @TechReport{RIVM2000:integrated, author = {{Rijksintituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu} RIVM}, title = {Integrated Environmental Assessment at {RIVM} - Methods, Materials and Models}, institution = {National Institute of Public Health and the Environment}, year = 2000, address = {Bilthoven, The Netherlands}, note = {Part I. Organization and Methodology, Part II. The Environmental Balance} } @InBook{Binh1987:summaries, author = {Nguyen Ngoc Binh}, title = {Summaries of Forestry Research works for the period 1981-1985}, chapter = {Summing up existing experiences and research to establish new agroforestry systems}, pages = {48--55}, publisher = {Ministry of Forestry, Centre of Technical Scientific and Economical Information}, year = 1987 } @Article{England.ea1993:energy, author = {Sarah B. England and Daniel M. Kammen}, title = {Energy Resources and development in {Viet Nam}}, journal = {Annual Review of Energy and the Environment}, year = 1993, number = 18, pages = {137--167} } @Article{vanJaarsveld.ea1993:ops, author = {J. A. van Jaarsveld and F. A. A. M. de Leeuw}, title = {{OPS}: an operational atmospheric transport model for priority substances}, journal = {Environmental Software}, year = 1993, number = 8, pages = {91--100} } @Article{Aldenberg.ea2000:review, author = {Tom Aldenberg and Joana S. Jaworska}, title = {Review - Uncertainty of the Hazardous concentration and fraction affected for normal species sensitivity distributions}, journal = {Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety}, year = 2000, volume = 46, pages = {1--18} } @Article{Bio.ea1998:determining, author = {A. M. F. Bio and R. Alkemade and A. Barendregt}, title = {Determining alternative models for vegetation response analysis: a non-parametric approach}, journal = {Journal of Vegetation Science}, year = 1998, number = 9, pages = {5--16} } @MastersThesis{Ha-Duong1993:gestion, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Gestion de la ressource foresti{\`e}re et contrainte d'environnement global}, school = {{\'E}cole des Hautes {\'E}tudes en Sciences Sociales}, year = 1993, type = {M\'emoire de DEA} } @Article{Parry.ea1996:dangerous, author = {M. L. Parry and T. R. Carter and M. Hulme}, title = {What is dangerous climate change}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, year = 1996, volume = 6, number = 1, pages = {1--6} } @TechReport{Downing.ea1996:climate, author = {Thomas E. Downing and Alexander A. Olsthoorn and Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Climate change and extreme events - Altered risk, socio-economic impacts and policy responses}, institution = {IVM - Institute for Environmental Studies}, year = 1996, type = {R-96/4 and ECU Research Report Number 12}, address = {vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam}, month = mar, note = {Copyright European Commission, DG XII-D5. See also the Climate, Change and Risk book published at Routledge in 1999}, isbn = {90-5383-479-6} } @Book{Downing.ea1999:climate, editor = {Thomas E. Downing and Alexander A. Olsthoorn and Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Climate, Change and Risk}, publisher = {Routledge}, year = 1999, address = {London, United Kingdom}, pages = 407 } @InCollection{Downing.ea1999:introduction, author = {Thomas E. Downing and M. J. Gawith and Alexander A. Olsthoorn and Richard S. J. Tol and Piers Vellinga}, title = {Introduction}, year = 1999, pages = {1--18}, crossref = {Downing.ea1999:climate} } @Unpublished{Hauglustaine1998:developpement, author = {Didier Hauglustaine}, title = {{D}\'eveloppement \'economique et croissance d\'emographique au {XXI}e si{\`e}cle: cons\'equences pour l'environnement {\`a} l'\'echelle globale}, year = 1998, note = {R\'eponse {\`a} l'appel d'offre 'Action Th\'ematique Innovante' du 2 avril 1998} } @Article{Hansson1999:philosophical, author = {Sven Ove Hansson}, title = {A Philosophical Perspective on Risk}, journal = {Ambio}, year = 1999, volume = 28, number = 6, pages = {539--542}, month = sep } @Article{Sjoberg1999:risk, author = {Lennart Sj{\"o}berg}, title = {Risk Perception in Western Europe}, journal = {Ambio}, year = 1999, volume = 28, number = 6, pages = {543--549}, month = sep } @Article{Rootzen.ea1999:single, author = {Holger Rootz\'en and Claudia Kl{\"u}ppelberg}, title = {A single number can't hedge against economic catastrophes}, journal = {Ambio}, year = 1999, volume = 28, number = 6, pages = {550--555}, month = sep } @Article{Boholm.ea1999:issues, author = {{\.A}sa Boholm and Ragnar L{\"o}fstedt}, title = {Issues of risk, trust and knowledge: the Hallands{\.a}s tunnel case}, journal = {Ambio}, year = 1999, volume = 28, number = 6, pages = {556--561}, month = sep } @Article{Kasperson.ea1999:risk, author = {Roger E. Kasperson and Jeanne X. Kasperson and II B. L. Turner}, title = {Risk and criticality: trajectories of regional environmental degradation}, journal = {Ambio}, year = 1999, volume = 28, number = 6, pages = {562--568}, month = sep } @Article{Frewer1999:risk, author = {Lynn Frewer}, title = {Risk perception, social trust, and public participation in strategic decision making: implications for emerging technologies}, journal = {Ambio}, year = 1999, volume = 28, number = 6, pages = {569--573} } @Article{Norrby1999:reflections, author = {Erling Norrby}, title = {Some reflections on Risk Assessment}, journal = {Ambio}, year = 1999, volume = 28, number = 6, pages = 538, note = {Editorial to the proceedings of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences Seminar 17 March 1999, Assessment of Risk in a National and International Perspective} } @Article{Tol1998:climate-insurance, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {Climate change and insurance: a critical appraisal}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 1998, volume = 26, number = 3, pages = {257--262}, bibkey = {Tol1998:climate-insurance} } @InBook{Godard1997:integrating, author = {Olivier Godard}, title = {Integrating scientific expertise into regulatory decision making}, chapter = {Social decision making under conditions of scientific controversy, expertise and the precautionary principle}, publisher = {Nomos Verlagsgesellshaft}, year = 1997, volume = 23, series = {Schriftenreihe des Zentrums f{\"u}r Europ{\"a}ische reschtpolitik (ZERP)}, month = {Christian Joerges, Karls-Heinz Ladeur and Ellen Vos (eds.)}, isbn = {3-7890-4855-0} } @InBook{Aaheim.ea1998:mitigation, author = {Hans Asbj{\/o}rn Aaheim and Kristin Aunan and Hans M. Seip}, title = {Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change}, chapter = {Climate change and local pollution effects - an integrated approach}, pages = {1--21}, publisher = {Kluwer}, year = 1998 } @Article{Aunand.ea1998:health, author = {K. Aunand and G. P{\'a}tzay and H. Asbj{\/o}rn Aaheim and H. Martin Seip}, title = {Health and environmental benefits from air pollution reductions in {Hungary}}, journal = {The Science of the Total Environment}, year = 1998, volume = 212, pages = {245--268} } @TechReport{Baranzini.ea1999:uncertainty, author = {Andrea Baranzini and Marc Chesney and Jacques Morisset}, title = {Uncertainty, climate catastrophes and global warming policy}, institution = {International Academy of the Environement}, year = 1999, type = {Working Paper}, number = {W85}, address = {Conches, Switzerland} } @Article{Braaten.ea1998:opecs, author = {Jan Br{\aa}ten and Rolf Golombek}, title = {{OPEC}'s response to international climate agreements}, journal = {Environmental and Resource Economics}, year = 1998, volume = 12, pages = {425--442} } @Article{Cohen.ea1991:fossil-fuel, author = {Bruce C. Cohen and Jean-Michel Collette}, title = {Fossil-fuel use and sustainable development}, journal = {International Journal of Global Energy Issues}, year = 1991, volume = 3, number = 3, pages = {132--141} } @Article{Lave.ea1993:climate, author = {Lester B. Lave and Hadi Dowlatabadi}, title = {Climate change - the effects of personal beliefs and scientific uncertainty}, journal = {Environment Science and Technology}, year = 1993, volume = 27, number = 10, pages = {1962--1972} } @Article{Kirk-Davidoff.ea1999:effect, author = {Daniel B. Kirk-Davidoff and Eric J. Hintsa and James G. Anderson and David W. Keith}, title = {The effect of climate change on ozone depletion through changes in stratospheric water vapour}, journal = {Nature}, year = 1999, volume = 402, pages = {399--401}, month = nov # { 25} } @Article{Frankhauser1994:economic, author = {Samuel Frankhauser}, title = {The economic costs of global warming damage: a survey}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, year = 1994, volume = 4, number = 4, pages = {301--309} } @TechReport{Prinn.ea1998:integrated, author = {R. Prinn and H. Jacoby and A. Sokolov and C. Wang and X. Xiao and Z. Yang and R. Eckaus and P. Stone and D. Ellerman and J. Melillo and J. Fitzmaurice and D. Kicklighter and G. Holian and Y. Liu}, title = {Integrated global system model for climate policy assessment: feedbacks and sensitivity studies}, institution = {MIT Joint Program on the science and policy of global change}, year = 1998, type = {Report}, number = 36, note = {Supercedes Report No. 7, accepted for publication in Climatic Change} } @Article{Saint-Paul1995:high, author = {Gilles Saint-Paul}, title = {The high unemployment trap}, journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics}, year = 1995, pages = {527--550}, month = may } @Article{Shukla1995:greenhouse-models, author = {P. R. Shukla}, title = {Greenhouse gas models and abatement costs for developing nations - {A} critical assessment}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 1995, volume = 23, number = 7, pages = {1--11}, bibkey = {Shukla1995:greenhouse-models} } @TechReport{Shukla1995:greenhouse-mitigation, author = {P. R. Shukla}, title = {Greenhouse gas mitigation for {India}: future emissions, policy analysis and perspective on modelling developing country dynamics}, institution = {Indian Institute of Management}, year = 1995, address = {Ahmedabad, India 380015}, bibkey = {Shukla1995:greenhouse-mitigation} } @Article{Starmer2000:developments, author = {Chris Starmer}, title = {Developments in Non-Expected Utility Theory: The Hunt for a Descriptive theory of choice under risk}, journal = {Journal of Economic Literature}, year = 2000, volume = {XXXVIII}, pages = {332--382}, month = jun } @Article{Merton1973:theory, author = {Robert C. Merton}, title = {Theory of rational option pricing}, journal = {Bell Journal of Economic and Management Science}, year = 1973, volume = 4, pages = {141--183} } @PhDThesis{Baudry1999:options, author = {Marc Baudry}, title = {Les Options: applications {\`a} l'\'economie des ressources et de l'environnement}, school = {Universit\'e de Rennes 1, {\'E}cole doctorale de Sciences \'Economiques et de gestion}, year = 1999, type = {Th\`ese de Doctorat}, month = {11 } # jan } @Article{Samuelson1965:rational, author = {Paul A. Samuelson}, title = {Rational Theory of Warrant Pricing}, journal = {Industrial Management Review}, year = 1965, volume = 6, number = 2, pages = {13--40}, month = {spring}, note = {With Appendix by Henry P. {McKean Jr.}} } @Book{Wilmott.ea1995:mathematics, author = {Paul Wilmott and Sam Howison and Jeff Dewynne}, title = {The Mathematics of Financial Derivatives}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1995, isbn = {0-521-49699-3} } @Book{Oksendal1989:stochastic, author = {Bernt Oksendal}, title = {Stochastic Differential Equations - An introduction with applications}, publisher = {Springer-Verlag}, year = 1989, edition = 2, isbn = {0-540-51740-5} } @Article{Samuelson.ea1969:complete, author = {Paul A. Samuelson and Robert C. Merton}, title = {A Complete Model of Warrant Pricing that Maximizes Utility}, journal = {Industrial Management Review}, year = 1969, volume = 10, number = 2, pages = {17--46}, month = {winter} } @Article{Gao.ea2000:valuation, author = {Bin Gao and Jing-zhi Huang and Marti Subrahmanyam}, title = {The Valuation of American Barrier Options using the Decomposition Technique}, journal = {Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control}, year = 2000, volume = 24, number = {11-12}, pages = {1783--1827}, month = oct } @Unpublished{Haug2000:closed, author = {Espen Gaarder Haug}, title = {Closed Form Valuation of American Barrier Options}, year = 2000, month = feb # { 10}, note = {author is at ehaug@paloma.com} } @Article{Sarkar2000:investment-uncertainty, author = {Sudipto Sarkar}, title = {On the investment-uncertainty relationship in a real options model}, journal = {Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control}, year = 2000, volume = 24, pages = {219--225} } @Unpublished{Karatzas.ea2000:barrier, author = {Ioannis Karatzas and Hui Wang}, title = {A barrier option of american type}, year = 2000, month = apr # { 4}, note = {ik@math.columbia.edu and wanghui@stat.columbia.edu} } @Book{Dixit1993:art, author = {Avinash K. Dixit}, title = {The Art of Smooth Pasting}, publisher = {Harwood Academic Publisher}, year = 1993, volume = 55, series = {Fundamentals of Pure and Applied Economics (ISSN 0191 1708), Stochastic Method in Economic Analysis section}, isbn = {3-7186-5384-2} } @Article{Pelsser2000:pricing, author = {Antoon Pelsser}, title = {Pricing double barrier options using Laplace transforms}, journal = {Finance and Stochastics}, year = 2000, volume = 4, pages = {95--104} } @Article{Hui.ea2000:comment, author = {C. H. Hui and C. F. Lo and P. H. Yuen}, title = {Comment on 'Pricing double barrier options using Laplace transforms' by Antoon Pelsser}, journal = {Finance and Stochastics}, year = 2000, volume = 4, pages = {105--107} } @Article{Caballero1991:sign, author = {Richardo J. Caballero}, title = {On the sign of the Investment-Uncertainty relationship}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1991, volume = 81, number = 1, pages = {279--288}, month = mar } @Unpublished{Buchen2001:pricing, author = {Peter W. Buchen}, title = {Pricing European Barrier Options}, year = 2001, note = {buchen_p@maths.usyd.edu.au} } @Article{Casman.ea1999:mixed, author = {Elizabeth A. Casman and M. Granger Morgan and Hadi Dowlatabadi}, title = {Mixed levels of uncertainty in complex policy models}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 1999, volume = 19, number = 1, pages = {33--41} } @Article{Ha-Duong2000:perspectives, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Perspectives sur le Changement climatique}, journal = {Natures - Sciences - Soci\'et\'es}, year = 2000, volume = 8, number = 4, pages = {5--14}, issn = {1240-1307}, file = {HaDuong-2000-PerspectiveChangementClimatique.pdf}, doi = {10.1016/S1240-1307(01)80002-9}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00007467_v1}, gsi = 11051923008514442224 } @Article{Zvan.ea2000:pde, author = {R. Zvan and K. R. Vetzal and P. A. Forsyth}, title = {{PDE} Methods for pricing barrier options}, journal = {Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control}, year = 2000, volume = 24, pages = {1563--1590} } @Book{Taylor1911:principles, author = {Frederick Winslow Taylor}, title = {The Principles of Scientific Management}, publisher = {Harper and Brothers}, year = 1911, edition = {Dover, 1998}, isbn = {0-486-29988-0} } @Book{Stearns1995:world, author = {Peter N. Stearns}, title = {World History - Patterns of change and continuity}, publisher = {Harper Collins College}, year = 1995, edition = {Second}, isbn = {0-673-99153-9} } @Article{Keith2000:geoengineering, author = {David W. Keith}, title = {Geoengineering the Climate: History and Prospect}, journal = {Annual Review of Energy and the Environment}, year = 2000, volume = 25, pages = {245--84} } @Article{Keith2001:box, author = {David W. Keith}, title = {Box 1 Geoengineering}, journal = {Nature}, year = 2001, volume = 409, pages = 420, month = {18 } # jan } @Article{Parson.ea1998:fossil, author = {E. A. Parson and David W. Keith}, title = {Fossil Fuels without {CO$_2$} Emissions}, journal = {Science}, year = 1998, volume = 282, pages = {1053--1054}, month = {6 } # nov } @Article{Keith.ea2000:accurate, author = {David W. Keith and James G. Anderson}, title = {Accurate spectrally-resolved infrared radiance observation from space: implications for the detection of decade-to-century scale climatic change}, journal = {Journal of Climate}, year = 2000, note = {Accepted April 2000} } @Book{Clarke1989:optimization, author = {Franck H. Clarke}, title = {Optimization and nonsmooth analysis}, publisher = {Universit\'e de Montr\'eal, Centre de Recherche Math\'ematiques (CRM)}, year = 1989, annote = {Complete and unrevised reprinting of the original text first published in 1983 by John Wiley and Sons, as the initial volume in the Canadian Mathematical Society Series of Monographs and Advanced Texts}, pages = 310, isbn = {2-921120-01-1} } @Article{Kram2000:usiea, author = {Tom Kram}, title = {{USIEA} to Adopt {ETSAP} Models}, journal = {ETSAP News}, year = 2000, volume = 7, number = 4, pages = 1, month = dec } @TechReport{IPCC2001:summary, author = {{IPCC}}, title = {Summary for Policymakers. Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability}, institution = {{I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange}, year = 2001, url = {http://www.ipcc.ch} } @Book{IPCC2001:climate, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {Robert R. Watson and {the Core Writing Teams}}, title = {Climate Change 2001: Synthesis Report}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2001, note = {Available in French as ISBN 92-9169-215-8, also available in Arabic, Chinese, Spanish and Russian}, pages = 398, isbn = {0-521-01507-3}, url = {http://www.ipcc.ch} } @Book{IPCC2007:physical, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {Susan Solomon and Dahe Qin and Martin Manning and Melinda Marquis and Kristen Averyt and Melinda M.B. Tignor and Henry LeRoy Miller, Jr. and Zhenlin Chen}, title = {Climate Change 2007 The Physical Science Basis}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2007, note = {Contribution of the Working Group {I} to the Fourth Assessment Report of the {I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange}, pages = 996, bibkey = {IPCC2007:physical}, booktitle = {Climate Change 2007 The Physical Science Basis}, isbn = {978-0-521-88009-1}, url = {http://www.ipcc.ch/} } @Book{IPCC2007:mitigation, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {Bert Metz and Ogunlade Davidson and Leo Meyer and Peter Bosch and Rutu Dave}, title = {Climate Change 2007: Mitigation}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2007, note = {Contribution of the Working Group {III} to the Fourth Assessment Report of the {I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange}, pages = 851, bibkey = {IPCC2007:mitigation}, booktitle = {Climate Change 2007: Mitigation}, isbn = {978-0-521-88011-4}, url = {http://www.ipcc.ch/} } @Book{Broomley1995:handbook, editor = {Daniel W. Broomley}, title = {The Handbook of Environmental Economics}, publisher = {Blackwell Publishers}, year = 1995, series = {Blackwell Handbooks in Economics}, address = {Cambridge, MA}, booktitle = {The Handbook of Environmental Economics}, abstract = {Provides a comprehensive set of materials on environmental and natural resource economics based on 30 specially commissioned pieces by leading authorities in the field.}, contents = {Choices without prices without apologies (Vatn and Bromley), Benefits, costs and the safe minimum standard of conservation (Randall and Farmer), The environment and property rights issues (Schmid), Zoning and the urban environment (Fischel), Public policies for land conservation (Hodge), Intergenerational choices under global environmental change (Howarth and Norgaard), Neoclassical economic growth theory and sustainability (Toman et al), Measuring sustainable development (Pearce and Atkinson), Nonrenewable resource supply: theory and practice (Toman and Walls), Empirical consequences of the Hotelling Principle (Berck), Recycling programs (McClain), Nonconvexities and the theory of external costs (Burrows), Liability and penalty structures in policy design (Segerson), A bargaining framework for the global commons (Bromley and Cochrane), Transferable discharge permits and global warming (Tietenberg), Trade, pollution, and environmental protection (Runge), Optimal timber management policies (Montgomery and Adams), Bioeconomic models of the fishery (Conrad), Management regimes in ocean fisheries (Rettig), Privatization open access fisheries: individual transferable quotas (Anderson), Regulation, imperfect markets and transaction costs: the elusive quest for efficiency in water allocation (Colby), Issues in the conjunctive use of surface water and groundwater (Provencher), Minerals policy (Gordon), Valuation of environmental quality under certainty (Bishop and Woodward), Environmental valuation under uncertainty (Ready), Quasi-option value (Graham-Tomasi), Evaluating changes in risk and risk perceptions by revealed preference (Freeman), Contingent valuation (Bishop et al), Travel cost models (Bockstael), Hedonic pricing methods (Freeman).} } @Book{CMED1989:avenir, author = {{Commission Mondiale sur l'Environnement et le D\'eveloppement} CMED}, editor = {Gro Harlem Brundtland}, title = {Notre Avenir \`a Tous}, publisher = {Les \'Editions du Fleuve}, year = 1989, address = {Montr\'eal, Qu\'ebec, Canada}, month = dec, note = {Appel\'e ``Rapport Bruntland''. Publi\'e originellement en langue anglaise par Oxford University Press sous le titre Our Common Future, 1987.}, bibkey = {CMED1989:avenir}, booktitle = {Notre Avenir \`a Tous}, isbn = {2-89372-031-5} } @Article{Lahellec.ea2008:feedback, author = {Alain Lahellec and St{\'e}phane Hallegatte and Jean-Yves Grandpeix and Patrice Dumas and St{\'e}phane Blanco}, title = {Feedback characteristics of nonlinear dynamical systems}, journal = {Europhysics Letters}, year = 2008, volume = 81, pages = 6, doi = {10.1209/0295-5075/81/60001} } @InProceedings{Epaulard.ea1998:uncertainty, author = {Anne Epaulard and Aude Pommeret}, title = {Does Uncertainty Lead to a More Conservative Use of a Non Renewable Resource? {A} Recursive Utility Approach}, booktitle = {Journ{\'e}es de l'AFSE sur {\textquotedblleft}{\'E}conomie de l'Environnement et des Ressources Naturelles{\textquotedblright}}, year = 1998, month = {11-12 } # may, crossref = {AFSE1998:journees} } @Book{IPCC1996:changement, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {James P. Bruce and Hoesung Lee and Erik F. Haites}, title = {Le Changement Climatique. Dimensions \'economiques et sociales}, publisher = {Dossiers et d\'ebats pour le d\'eveloppement durable (4D)}, year = 1996, note = {Contribution du Groupe de Travail {III} au Deuxi\`eme Rapport d'\'evaluation du du Groupe d'Experts Intergouvernemental sur l'\'evolution du climat.}, isbn = {2-9511782-9-4 pour 4D, 2-921146-56-8 pour {\'E}ditions Multimondes}, annote = {English edition published by Cambridge University Press.}, url = {http://www.ipcc.ch} } @Article{Gollier2002:discounting, author = {Christian Gollier}, title = {Discounting an uncertain future}, journal = {Journal of Public Economics}, year = 2002, volume = 85, pages = {149--166} } @Article{Lave.ea2001:hybrid, author = {Lester B. Lave and Heather L. MacLean}, title = {Are Hybrid Vehicles Worth It?}, journal = {IEEE Spectrum}, year = 2001, pages = {47--50}, month = mar, note = {See also letters and response published in IEEE Spectrum, May 2001 issue as Hybrid Vehicles are worth it!, pp. 79-84} } @Article{Schneider2001:dangerous, author = {Stephen H. Schneider}, title = {What is `dangerous' climate change?}, journal = {Nature}, year = 2001, volume = 411, pages = {17--19}, month = may # { 3} } @Article{Dalton1997:welfare, author = {Michael G. Dalton}, title = {The Welfare Bias fom Omitting Climatic Variability in Economic Studies of Global Warming}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, year = 1997, volume = 33, pages = {221--239} } @InProceedings{Keller.ea2000:uncertain, author = {Klaus Keller and Benjamin M. Bolker and David F. Bradford}, title = {Uncertain climate tresholds and economic optimal growth}, booktitle = {Yale/NBER/IIASA workshop on potential catastrophic impacts of climate change. Snowmass, Colorado}, year = 2000, month = jul # { 24-25} } @Article{Keller.ea2004:uncertain, author = {Klaus Keller and Benjamin M. Bolker and David F. Bradford}, title = {Uncertain climate tresholds and economic optimal growth}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, year = 2004, volume = 48, number = 1, pages = {723--741}, month = jul, doi = {10.1016/j.jeem.2003.10.003 }, url = {http://www.geosc.psu.edu/~kkeller/Keller_jeem_03_submitted.pdf} } @Article{Yohe.ea1996:near, author = {Gary Yohe and Rodney Wallace}, title = {Near term mitigation policy for global change under uncertainty: minimizing expected cost of meeting unknown concentration tresholds}, journal = {Environmental Modeling and Assessment}, year = 1996, volume = 1, pages = {47--57} } @Book{Borodin.ea1996:handbook, author = {Borodin and Salminen}, title = {Handbook of Brownian Motion - Facts and Formulae}, publisher = {Birkhauser}, year = 1996 } @Book{Karlin.ea1981:second, author = {Karlin and Taylor}, title = {A Second Course in Stochastic Processes}, publisher = {Academic Press}, year = 1981 } @InCollection{Brock.ea1989:stochastic, author = {Rothschild Brock and Stiglitz}, title = {Stochastic Capital Theory}, editor = {G. R. Feiwel}, booktitle = {Joan Robinson and Modern Economic Theory}, publisher = {New York University Press}, year = 1989, chapter = 20, pages = {591--632}, note = {Revision of NBER tech. paper 23, May 1982} } @Article{Stephan.ea1997:overlapping, author = {Gunter Stephan and Georg M{\"u}ller-F{\"u}rstenberger and Pascal Previdoli}, title = {Overlapping Generations or Infinitely-Lived Agents: Intergenerational Altruism and the Economics of Global Warming}, journal = {Environmental and Resource Economics}, year = 1997, volume = 10, number = 1, pages = {27--40}, month = jul } @Book{Press.ea1992:numerical, author = {William H. Press and Saul A. Teukolsky and William T. Vetterling and Brian P. Flannery}, title = {Numerical Recipes in Fortran77: The Art of Scientific Computing}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1992, edition = 2, note = {Includes code in Fortran77}, isbn = {0-521-43064-X} } @Book{Press.ea1986:numerical, author = {William H. Press and Brian P. Flannery and Saul A. Teukolsky and William T. Vetterling}, title = {Numerical recipes -- the art of scientific computing}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1986, note = {Includes code in both Fortran and Pascal}, pages = 818, isbn = {0-521-30811-9} } @Article{Henderson.ea1995:empirical, author = {Norman Henderson and Ian Bateman}, title = {Empirical and Public Choice Evidence for Hyperbolic Social Discount Rates and the Implications for Intergenerational Discounting}, journal = {Environmental and Resource Economics}, year = 1995, volume = 5, number = 4, pages = {413--423}, month = jun } @TechReport{Rutenbar1997:issues, author = {Rob A. Rutenbar}, title = {Issues in Quality for University-Produced Software}, institution = {Carnegie Mellon University Center for Electronic Design Automation}, year = 1997, number = {Research Report No. CMUCAD-97-53} } @Book{Kit1995:software, author = {Edward Kit}, title = {Software testing in the real world: improving the process}, publisher = {ACM Press Books, Addison-Wesley}, year = 1995, pages = 252, isbn = {0-201-87756-2} } @Book{Jones2000:software, author = {Capers Jones}, title = {Software assessment, benchmarks, and best practices}, publisher = {Addison-Wesley}, year = 2000, pages = 659, isbn = {0-201-48542-7} } @Book{Crawley2005:statistics, author = {Michael J. Crawley}, title = {Statistics. An introduction using R}, publisher = {John Wiley \& Sons}, year = 2005, pages = 327, isbn = {0-470-02298-1}, url = {http://www3.imperial.ac.uk/lifesciences/research/statisticsusingr} } @Book{Dillman2007:mail, author = {Don A. Dillman}, title = {Mail and Internet Surveys - The tailored design method}, publisher = {John Wiley \& Sons}, year = 2007, edition = {Second}, pages = 523, isbn = {0-470-03856-X} } @Book{Scherer1984:upstreamdownstream, editor = {Donald Scherer}, title = {Upstream/downstream: issues in environmental ethics}, publisher = {Temple University Press}, year = 1984, pages = 242, isbn = {0-87722-747-0} } @Book{Melton1995:software, editor = {Austin Melton}, title = {Software Measurement}, publisher = {Thomson computer press}, year = 1995, pages = 244, isbn = {1-85032-178-7} } @Book{Hollocker1990:software, author = {Charles P. Hollocker}, title = {Software reviews and audits handbook}, publisher = {Wiley}, year = 1990, series = {Wiley series in software engineering practice}, pages = 240, isbn = {0-471-51401-2} } @Book{Hetzel1988:complete, author = {Bill Hetzel}, title = {The Complete Guide to Software Testing}, publisher = {QED Information Sciences}, year = 1988, edition = {Second}, pages = 280, isbn = {0-89435-242-3} } @Article{Begni.ea2000:linitiative, author = {G{\'e}rard Begni and Minh Ha-Duong and Jean-Pierre Lacaux and E. Lambin and Le Treut, Herv{\'e} and A. Morel and E. Raschke and B. Saugier and P. Vellinga and A. G. Dekker and H. Van Der Woerd and J. Gupta and S. Zerbini}, title = {L'initiative europ\'eenne ``{S}uivi global pour l'environnement et la s\'ecurit{\'e}'' et le protocole de {K}yoto}, journal = {Bulletin de la Soci\'et\'e Fran{\c{c}}aise de Photogramm\'etrie et de T\'el\'ed\'etection}, year = 2000, volume = 157, pages = {18--35}, file = {Begni.ea-2000-InitiativeEuropeenneSuiviGlobal.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00004174_v1}, gsi = 17004010255463999774 } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong.ea1999:uncertainty, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Nicolas Treich}, title = {Uncertainty and intergenerational equity in the global warming problem: recursive preferences approach}, crossref = {EAERE1999:ninth} } @Proceedings{EAERE1999:ninth, year = 1999, address = {Oslo, Norway}, month = {25-27 } # jun, organization = {EAERE}, booktitle = {Ninth Annual Conference of the {EAERE}} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong1999:approche, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Approche \'Economique de la gestion de l'incertitude}, booktitle = {{\'E}cole th\'ematique du CNRS: Incertitudes et d\'ecisions, le cas du changement climatique}, year = 1999, address = {Les Houches, France}, month = {19-5 } # oct, annote = {By invitation}, file = {HaDuong-2002-IntroductionApprochesEconomiquesIncertitude.pdf} } @Misc{Ha-Duong.ea2009:expected, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Rodica Loisel}, title = {Expected fatalities for one wedge of {CCS} mitigation}, howpublished = {Poster displayed at the IARU conference, ``Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges and Decisions''}, year = 2009, month = {10--12 } # mar, address = {Copenhaguen, Denmark}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2009-ExpectedFatalitiesForOneWedgeOfCCSMitigation-Poster.pdf}, url = {http://climatecongress.ku.dk/} } @Misc{Kopf.ea2007:using, author = {Sebastian Kopf and Minh Ha-Duong and St{\'e}phane Hallegatte}, title = {Using analogues to assess uncertainty in urban area climate relocation}, howpublished = {Poster displayed at the European Geosciences Union general assembly, session CL-19. Awarded YSOPP-CL.}, year = 2007, month = {15--20 } # apr, address = {Vienna, Austria}, file = {Kopf.ea-2007-UsingAnaloguesToAssessUncertaintyInUrbanAreaClimateRelocation-Poster.pdf}, url = {http://meetings.copernicus.org/egu2007/} } @InProceedings{Kopf.ea2008:berlin, author = {Sebastian Kopf and Minh Ha-Duong and St{\'e}phane Hallegatte}, title = {Using maps of city analogues to display climate change scenarios and their uncertainty}, booktitle = {Berlin conference on the Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change}, year = 2008, address = {Berlin}, month = {21--22 } # mar, file = {Kopf.ea-2008-UsingMapsOfCityAnalogues-Presentation.pdf}, bibkey = {Kopf.ea2008:berlin} } @Article{Kopf.ea2008:using, author = {Sebastian Kopf and Minh Ha-Duong and St{\'e}phane Hallegatte}, title = {Using maps of city analogues to display and interpret climate change scenarios and their uncertainty}, journal = {Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences}, year = 2008, volume = 8, number = 4, pages = {905--918}, month = aug, note = {NHESS is an open access journal of the European Geosciences Union.}, file = {Kopf.ea-20080515-UsingMapsOfCityAnaloguesToDisplayAndInterpretClimateChange.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00260190_v2}, url = {http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/8/905/2008/nhess-8-905-2008.html}, gsi = 6016404749323534626 } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2007:stockage, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Stockage g{\'e}ologique du {CO$_2$} en {F}rance: Connaissance commune sur l'acceptabilit{\'e} et Primeur sondage {TNS SOFRES-CIRED}}, booktitle = {Atelier de dialogue sur l'acceptabilit{\'e} sociale du captage et stockage du CO$_2$}, year = 2007, address = {Nogent sur Marne, France}, month = {27 } # apr, organization = {CIRED/APESA}, file = {HaDuong-20070427-AtelierDeDialogueEnjeuxSociauxCCS.pdf}, url = {http://www.centre-cired.fr} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong.ea2007:remarques, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and {Ana Sof{\'{\i}}a} Campos}, title = {Remarques socio-{\'e}conomiques sur la l{\'e}thalit{\'e} du {CO$_2$} et r{\'e}action citoyenne au concept de s{\'e}questration / stockage g{\'e}ologique}, booktitle = {Colloque NABILE 3 (Nouvelles Approches, Besoins et Innovations pour Limiter les {\'E}missions de CO$_2$)}, year = 2007, month = {14 mars}, organization = {ENSIC, Nancy}, annote = {By invitation}, url = {http://www.ensic.inpl-nancy.fr/nabile3/}, file = {HaDuong.ea-20070314-RemarquesSocioEconomiquesSurLaLethaliteDuCO2EtReactionCitoyenne.pdf} } @InProceedings{Dumas.ea2006:learning, author = {Patrice Dumas and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Learning as combining imprecise evidence}, booktitle = {Conference on Learning and Climate Change}, year = 2006, address = {Laxenburg, Austria}, month = {10--11 } # apr, organization = {IIASA}, annote = {By invitation}, file = {Dumas.ea-20060411Vienna-LearningAsCombiningImpreciseEvidence.pdf}, url = {http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/PCC/learn-conf/index.html?sb=11} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2006:challenges, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Challenges in decision making: Risk, uncertainty and time}, booktitle = {EPA Conference on Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Modeling}, year = 2006, address = {Washington, DC}, month = {5--6 } # may, organization = {EPA}, annote = {By invitation}, file = {HaDuong-2006-ChallengesInDecisionMaking.pdf} } @InProceedings{Dumas.ea2005:endogenous, author = {Patrice Dumas and Laurent Gilotte and St{\'e}phane Hallegatte}, title = {Endogenous climate variability and economic consequences of extreme events}, booktitle = {General assembly}, year = 2005, address = {Vienna, Austria}, month = apr, organization = {European Geosciences Union} } @InProceedings{Dumas2006:fixed, author = {Patrice Dumas}, title = {Fixed capital and bounded rationality effects on extreme global temperature impacts}, booktitle = {General assembly}, year = 2006, address = {Vienna, Austria}, month = {2--7 } # apr, organization = {European Geosciences Union} } @TechReport{Ha-Duong.ea2000:recursive, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Nicolas Treich}, title = {Recursive Intergenerational Utility in Global Climate Risk Modeling}, institution = {Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei}, year = 2000, type = {NOTA DI LAVORO}, number = {92.99}, note = {Also presented at EMF/IEW meeting in Stanford, July 2000, at Journees de l'IDEI, Toulouse, 16-17 juin 1999. Also presented at the EUREQUA, Paris environmental Economics seminar, 2 dec 1999.}, url = {http://www.feem.it/web/activ/wp/abs99/92-99.html} } @Proceedings{Stanford2000:emfieaiew, year = 2000, editor = {Alan S. Manne and Neboj{\v s}a Naki{\'c}enovi{\'c}}, address = {Palo Alto, California}, month = {20--22} # jun, organization = {Stanford University}, booktitle = {{EMF}/{IEA}/{IEW} Meeting}, url = {http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/ECS/june99/fc2000.html} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong.ea2000:modelisation, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Didier Hauglustaine and G\'erard M\'egie}, title = {Mod\'elisation int\'egr\'ee et pr\'ecaution: les le\c{c}ons du dossier Ozone}, booktitle = {S\'eminaire GICC-MATE}, year = 2000, address = {Toulouse, France}, month = {27-28 } # sep, note = {By invitation} } @TechReport{Ha-Duong.ea1999:enjeux, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Aicha Ouharon and Jean Baillon and Laure Lambrot}, title = {Les enjeux \'economiques et institutionnels du changement climatique. 2e partie: Mod\'elisation int\'egr\'ee des trajectoires technologiques et des impacts climatiques}, year = 1999, type = {Rapport du groupe de recherche OIKIA}, month = dec, note = {Remis au MATE, disponible pour consultation au CIRED} } @TechReport{Ha-Duong.ea2000:modelisationenvironnementale, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Nicolas Treich and Didier Hauglustaine}, title = {Mod\'elisation environnementale globale, variabilit\'e et d\'ecision}, institution = {CIRED}, year = 2000, type = {Rapport pour l'Aide {\`a} Projet Nouveau MEGVD}, month = jul, note = {Remis au CNRS, disponible pour consulation au CIRED}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong.ea2000:modelisationenvironnementale} } @Misc{Ha-Duong2000:results, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Results in Climate Change Risk Modeling}, howpublished = {Invited speaker at the Center for Integrated Study of the Human Dimensions of Global Change lunch seminar}, year = 2000, month = apr } @Article{Ha-Duong2000:should, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Should climatic change be mitigated?}, journal = {Thoi Dai}, year = 2000, volume = 4, pages = {144--161}, note = {Publication in Vietnamese langage.}, file = {HaDuong-2000-CoCanDieuTietNhieuLoanKhiHauHayKhong.pdf} } @TechReport{wikipedia2006:possibility, author = {{Wikipedia contributors} (including Minh Ha-Duong)}, title = {Possibility theory - {W}ikipedia{,} {T}he {F}ree {E}ncyclopedia}, note = {Online; accessed 20-November-2006}, url = {http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Possibility_theory}, bibkey = {wikipedia2006:possibility} } @InCollection{Ha-Duong.ea2002:policy, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Policy Framework and systems management of global climate change}, chapter = {1.4.7, in Theme `Natural Resource System Challenge II: Climate Change, Human Systems, and Policy', volume on `Global Issues and Sustainable Development'}, crossref = {Yotova2002:encyclopedia}, url = {http://www.eolss.net/eolss/E1-04-toc.asp}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2002-ClimateChangePolicyFramework.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00001125_v1} } @Book{Yotova2002:encyclopedia, editor = {Antoaneta Yotova}, publisher = {EOLSS Publisher Co.}, year = 2002, address = {Oxford, UK}, booktitle = {Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems} } @Article{Ha-Duong2001:transparency, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Transparency and control in engineering integrated assessment models}, journal = {Integrated Assessment}, year = 2001, volume = 2, number = 4, pages = {209--218}, file = {HaDuong-2001-TransparencyControlIntegratedAssessment.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00000681_v1}, doi = {10.1023/A:1013384932008}, gsi = 18162775512278788227 } @Article{Hourcade.ea2001:inasud, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Minh Ha-Duong and Arnulf Gr{\"u}bler and Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {{INASUD} project findings on Integrated Assessment of Climate Policies}, journal = {Integrated Assessment}, year = 2001, volume = 2, number = 1, pages = {31--35}, file = {Hourcade.ea-2001-INASUDfindings.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00004175_v1}, gsi = 5456757160880103283 } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong.ea2001:nonlinearity, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Patrice Dumas}, title = {Nonlinearity and uncertain climate impacts}, booktitle = {Challenges of a Changing Earth -- Global Change Open Science Conference}, year = 2001, address = {Amsterdam}, month = {10-13 } # jul, organization = {IGBP-IHCP-WCRP}, note = {Also presented at the EMF/IEW conference in Vienna, 15-18 June 2001} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong.ea2001:climate, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and David W. Keith}, title = {Climate Strategy with {CO}$_2$ capture from the air}, booktitle = {AGU Fall Meeting}, year = 2001, address = {San Francisco}, month = {10-14 } # dec, organization = {American Geophysical Union} } @TechReport{Dumas.ea2002:fonction, author = {Patrice Dumas and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {La fonction d'impact dans l'analyse co{\^u}t-b{\'e}n{\'e}fice du changement climatique}, institution = {CIRED}, year = 2002, note = {Rapport final, Programme GICC (ADEME/MATE/MIES)}, editor = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Le Treut, Herv{\'e}}, booktitle = {Mod{'e}lisation int{\'e}gr{\'e}e, {\'e}valuation des risques climatiques et des politiques de pr{\'e}caution} } @TechReport{Dumas.ea2001:towards, author = {Patrice Dumas and Pierre Courtois}, title = {Towards a dynamic approach of climate change impacts}, institution = {CIRED}, year = 2001, note = {Rapport pour la DGXII de la Communaut{\'e} Europ{\'e}enne, contrat ENG3-1999-00011 SIADCERO} } @TechReport{Dumas2001:stability, author = {Patrice Dumas}, title = {Stability of coalitions and rules for emission quota allocations}, institution = {CIRED}, year = 2001, note = {Rapport pour la DGXII de la Communaut{\'e} Europ{\'e}enne, contrat ENV4-CT98-0810 CLIMNEG} } @InBook{Rich1994:mathematical, author = {D. R. Rich}, title = {The Mathematical Foundations of Barrier Option Pricing Theory}, pages = {267--311}, year = 1994, volume = 7, booktitle = {Advances in Futures and Options Research}, editors = {D. M. Chance and R. R. Trippi} } @Book{Morgan.ea1990:uncertainty, author = {M. Granger Morgan and Max Henrion}, title = {Uncertainty: {A} guide to dealing with uncertainty in quantitative risk and policy analysis}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1990, pages = 332, isbn = {0-521-42744-4} } @Article{Treich2000:decision, author = {Nicolas Treich}, title = {{D}{\'e}cision s{\'e}quentielle et principe de pr{\'e}caution}, journal = {Cahiers d'\'Economie et de Sociologie Rurale}, year = 2000, volume = {55-56}, pages = {6--24}, url = {http://www.inra.fr/Internet/Departements/ESR/publications/cahiers/pdf/treich.pdf} } @Article{Elliott.ea2001:compensation, author = {S. Elliott and K. S. Lackner and H. J. Ziock and M. K. Dubey and H. P. Hanson and S. Barr and N. A. Ciszkowski and D. R. Blake}, title = {Compensation of Atmospheric {CO}$_2$ Buildup through Engineered Chemical Sinkage}, journal = {Geophysical Research Letters}, year = 2001, volume = 28, number = 7, pages = {1235--1238} } @Book{IPCC2001:mitigation, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {Bert Metz and Ogunlade Davidson and Rob Swart and Jiahua Pan}, title = {Climate Change 2001: Mitigation}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2001, note = {Contribution of Working Group III to the Third Assessment Report of the {I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange}, bibkey = {IPCC2001:mitigation}, pages = 752, booktitle = {Climate Change 2001: Mitigation}, isbn = {0-521-01502-2}, url = {http://www.ipcc.ch/} } @Book{IPCC2001:scientific, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {J. T. Houghton and Y. Ding and D. J. Griggs and P. J. Noguer and P. J. van der Linden and X. Dai and K. Maskell and C. A. Johnson}, title = {Climate Change 2001: the scientific basis}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2001, note = {Contribution of the Working Group {I} to the Third Assessment Report of the {I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange}, pages = 881, bibkey = {IPCC2001:scientific}, booktitle = {Climate Change 2001: the scientific basis}, isbn = {0521-01495-6}, url = {http://www.ipcc.ch/} } @Article{Azar1999:weight, author = {Christian Azar}, title = {Weight factors in cost-benefit analysis of climate change}, journal = {Environmental and Resource Economics}, year = 1999, volume = 13, pages = {249--268} } @TechReport{Berners-Lee.ea2001:scientific, author = {Tim Berners-Lee and James Hendler}, title = {Scientific publishing on the semantic web}, year = 2001, month = may # { 1}, organization = {Nature ebates} } @Article{Easterling.ea2000:climate, author = {David R. Easterling and Gerald A. Meehl and Camille Parmesan and Stanley A. Changnon and Thomas R. Karl and Linda O. Mearns}, title = {Climate extremes: observations, modeling and impacts}, journal = {Science}, year = 2000, volume = 289, pages = {2068--2074}, month = {20 } # sep } @Article{Morgan2000:managing, author = {M. Granger Morgan}, title = {Managing Carbon from the Bottom Up}, journal = {Science}, year = 2000, volume = 289, pages = 2285, month = {29 } # sep } @Article{Hamaide.ea2000:benefits, author = {Bertrand Hamaide and John J. Boland}, title = {Benefits, Costs and Cooperation in greenhouse gas abatement}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2000, volume = 47, pages = {239--258} } @Article{Katz.ea1992:extreme, author = {Richard W. Katz and Barbara G. Brown}, title = {Extreme events in a changing climate: variability is more important than averages}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1992, volume = 21, pages = {289--302} } @Article{Kauffman1991:antichaos, author = {Stuart A. Kauffman}, title = {Antichaos and Adaptation}, journal = {Scientific American}, year = 1991, month = aug, url = {http://www.sciam.com/explorations/062496kaufman.html} } @Article{Manne.ea2001:alternative, author = {Alan S. Manne and Richard G. Richels}, title = {An alternative approach to establishing trade-offs among greenhouse gases}, journal = {Nature}, year = 2001, volume = 410, pages = {675--677}, month = apr # { 5}, note = {Journal issue includes David Bradford comment titled Time, money and tradeoffs page 649-650} } @Article{Michaels.ea2001:way, author = {Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger and Robert E. Davis}, title = {The way of warming}, journal = {Regulation}, year = 2001, volume = 23, number = 3, pages = {10--16} } @Article{Morgan2001:neglected, author = {M. Granger Morgan}, title = {The neglected art of bounding analysis}, journal = {Environmental Science and Technology}, year = 2001, volume = 35, number = 7, pages = {162A-164A}, month = apr # {1} } @Unpublished{Morel2000:distribution, author = {Benoit Morel}, title = {The distribution of business firms size, stochasticities, and self-organized criticality}, year = 2000, organisation = {Carnegie Mellon University} } @Unpublished{deNeufville2001:real, author = {Richard de Neufville}, title = {Real Option Analysis: Dealing with Uncertainty in Systems Planning and Design}, year = 2001, note = {PRELIMINARY DRAFT}, url = {http://msl1.mit.edu/mib/dsp/curricula.mit.edu/~dsplan/Docs/Papers/delftjune01.pdf} } @Article{Neely.ea2001:hybrid, author = {James E. Neely and Richard de Neufville}, title = {Hybrid Real Options valuation of risky product development projects}, year = 2001, note = {PRELIMINARY DRAFT at}, url = {http://msl1.mit.edu/mib/dsp/curricula.mit.edu/~dsplan/Docs/Papers/ hybrid.pdf} } @InBook{Parson2002:protecting, author = {Edward A. Parson}, chapter = 9, publisher = {Oxford University Press}, year = 2002, booktitle = {Protecting the Global Ozone Layer: Science, Strategy and Negociation in the formation of a global environmental regime} } @Article{Sigman.ea2000:glacialinterglacial, author = {Daniel M. Sigman and Edward A. Boyle}, title = {Glacial/interglacial variations in atmospheric carbon dioxide}, journal = {Nature}, year = 2000, volume = 407, pages = {859--869}, month = oct # { 19} } @TechReport{Dooley.ea1998:role, author = {J. J. Dooley and Jae A. Edmonds and M. A. Wise}, title = {The role of carbon capture and sequestration in a long-term technology strategy of atmospheric stabilization}, year = 1998, number = {PNNL-SA-30206}, organization = {Global Technology Srategy Project at Batelle National Labs}, url = {http://www.pnl/gov/globalchange/pubs/gtsp/index.htm} } @InProceedings{McFarland.ea2001:economic, author = {Jim McFarland and Howard Herzog and John Reilly and Henry Jacoby}, title = {Economic Modeling of Carbon Capture and Sequestration Technologies}, booktitle = {First National Conference on Carbon Sequestration}, year = 2001, address = {Washington, DC}, month = may # {14-17} } @TechReport{Lackner.ea1999:carbon, author = {Klaus S. Lackner and Patrick Grimes and Hans-Joachim Ziock}, title = {Carbon dioxide extraction from air?}, institution = {Los Alamos National Labs}, year = 1999, number = {LA-UR: 99-5113}, url = {http://www.lanl.gov/energy/ecology/carbon/docs/AirExtraction.pdf} } @Unpublished{Keller.ea2002:economic, author = {Klaus Keller and Matt Hall and David F. Bradford}, title = {What is the economic optimal use of carbon dioxide sequestration?}, year = 2002, note = {Unpublished, cited with permission}, organization = {Princeton University}, url = {http://www.geosc.psu.edu/People/Faculty/FacultyPages/Keller/index.html} } @Unpublished{Keller.ea2002:carbon, author = {Klaus Keller and Matt Hall and David F. Bradford}, title = {Carbon dioxide sequestration: when and how much?}, year = 2002, note = {Unpublished, cited with permission}, organization = {Princeton University}, url = {http://www.geosc.psu.edu/People/Faculty/FacultyPages/Keller/index.html} } @Book{NAS2002:abrupt, author = {{National Academy of Science} NAS}, title = {Abrupt climate change: inevitables surprises}, publisher = {National Academy Press}, year = 2002, address = {Washington, D.C.}, bibkey = {NAS2002:abrupt}, isbn = {0-309-07434-7}, url = {http://books.nap.edu/books/0309074347/html/index.html} } @Book{IPCC2001:impacts, author = {{IPCC}}, editor = {James J. McCarthy and Osvaldo F. Canziani and Neil A. Leary and David J. Dokken and Kasey S. White}, title = {Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability}, publisher = {Published for the {I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange by GRID Arendal}, year = 2001, note = {Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the {I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange}, bibkey = {IPCC2001:impacts}, booktitle = {Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability}, pages = 1032, isbn = {0521-01500-6}, url = {http://www.ipcc.ch/pub/tar/wg2/index.htm} } @Book{Stern2006:economics, author = {Nicholas Stern}, title = {The Economics of Climate Change. The {S}tern Review}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2006, pages = 712, isbn = 9780521700801 } @Article{Sterner.ea2008:even, author = {Thomas Sterner and U. Martin Persson}, title = {An Even Sterner Review: Introducing Relative Prices into the Discounting Debate}, journal = {Review of Environmental Economics and Policy}, year = 2008, volume = 2, number = 1, pages = {61--76} } @Article{Anderson.ea2001:dynamic, author = {Dennis Anderson and William Cavendish}, title = {Dynamic Simulation and Environmental Policy Analysis: Beyond Comparative Statistics and the Environmental {K}uznets Curve}, journal = {Oxford Economic Papers}, year = 2001, volume = 53, number = 4, pages = {721--746}, month = oct } @TechReport{Borghesi1999:environmental, author = {Simone Borghesi}, title = {The Environmental {K}uznets Curve: a Survey of the Literature}, institution = {Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei}, year = 1999, number = {Nota do lavoro 85.99}, month = nov, url = {http://www.feem.it/web/resun/wp/85-99.html} } @InCollection{Bachu2001:geological, author = {S. Bachu}, title = {Geological Sequestration of Anthropogenic Carbon Dioxide: Applicability of Current Issues}, editor = {Lee C. Gerhard and William E. Harrison and Bernold M. Hanson}, booktitle = {Geological perspectives of global climate change}, publisher = {American Association of Petroleum Geologists}, year = 2001, number = 47, series = {AAPG Studies in Geology}, pages = {285--303}, isbn = {0-89181-054-4} } @Article{Cicerone.ea1992:global, author = {R. J. Cicerone and S. Elliott and others}, title = {Global Environmental Engineering}, journal = {Nature}, year = 1992, volume = 356, number = 6369, pages = {472--472} } @Article{Obersteiner.ea2001:managing, author = {M. Obersteiner and C. Azar and P. Kauppi and K. M{\"o}llersten and J. Moreira and S. Nilsson and P. Read and K. Riahi and B. Schlamadinger and Y. Yamagata and J. Yan and J.-P. van Ypersele}, title = {Managing Climate Risk}, journal = {Science}, year = 2001, volume = 294, number = 5543, pages = {786--787}, month = oct # {26} } @Article{Keith2001:sinks, author = {David W. Keith}, title = {Sinks, Energy Crops, and Land Use: Coherent Climate Policy Demands an Integrated Analysis of Biomass}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2001, volume = 49, pages = {1--10} } @Article{Metzger.ea2001:sequestering, author = {R. A. Metzger and G. Benford}, title = {Sequestering of atmospheric carbon through permanent disposal of crop residue}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2001, volume = 49, pages = {11--19} } @Article{Stevens.ea2000:geologic, author = {S. H. Stevens and J. Gale}, title = {Geologic {CO$_2$} sequestration}, journal = {Oil and Gas Journal}, year = 2000, pages = {40--44} } @Proceedings{Reimer.ea1999:greenhouse, title = {Greenhouse gas control technologies: Proceedings of the 4th international conference}, year = 1999, editor = {P. Reimer and B. Eliassed and others}, address = {Interlaken, Switzerland}, publisher = {Pergamon} } @InProceedings{Freund2001:progress, author = {P. Freund}, title = {Progress in understanding the potential role of {CO$_2$} storage}, year = 2001, pages = {272--277}, crossref = {Willams.ea2001:greenhouse} } @InProceedings{Biggs.ea2001:economic, author = {S. Biggs and H. Herzog and J. Reilly and H. Jacoby}, title = {Economic Modeling of {CO$_2$} Capture and Sequestration}, year = 2001, crossref = {Willams.ea2001:greenhouse}, url = {http://sequestration.mit.edu} } @InProceedings{Mimura.ea2001:development, author = {T. Mimura and K. Matsumoto and others}, title = {Development and application of flue gas carbon dioxide recovery technology}, year = 2001, pages = {138--142}, crossref = {Willams.ea2001:greenhouse} } @Proceedings{Willams.ea2001:greenhouse, title = {Greenhouse gas control technologies: Proceedings of the 5th international conference on greenhouse gas control technologies}, year = 2001, editor = {D. Willams and B. Durie and P. McMullan and C. Paulson and A. Smith}, address = {Collingwood, Australia}, publisher = {CSIRO Publishing}, booktitle = {Greenhouse gas control technologies: Proceedings of the 5th international conference on greenhouse gas control technologies} } @Article{Grubler.ea1999:dynamics, author = {Arnulf Gr{\"u}bler and Neboj{\v s}a Naki{\'c}enovi{\'c} and David G. Victor}, title = {Dynamics of energy technology and global change}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 1999, volume = 27, pages = {247--280} } @Article{Weyant.ea1999:issues, author = {John P. Weyant and Thomas Olavson}, title = {Issues in modeling induced technological change in energy, environmental, and climate policy}, journal = {Environmental Modeling and Assessment}, year = 1999, volume = 4, pages = {67--85} } @InCollection{Edmonds.ea1999:long-term, author = {Jae A. Edmonds and Jim J. Dooley and Sonny Kim}, title = {Long-term Energy Technology Needs and Opportunities for Stabilizing Atmospheric {CO$_2$} Concentrations}, booktitle = {Climate Change Policy: Practical Strategies to Promote Economic Growth and Environmental Quality}, publisher = {American Council for Capital Formation}, year = 1999, address = {Washington, DC} } @Article{Morgan.ea1995:subjective, author = {M. Granger Morgan and David W. Keith}, title = {Subjective Judgments by Climate Experts}, journal = {Environmental Science and Technology}, year = 1995, volume = 29, number = 10, pages = {468A-476A}, month = oct, url = {http://www.andrew.cmu.edu/user/dk3p/} } @Article{Hsu.ea2000:impact, author = {George J. Y. Hsu and Hong-Min Xu}, title = {Impact of Mitigating {CO$_2$} Emmissions on Taiwan's Economy: {A} Fuzzy Multiobjective Programming Approach}, journal = {Environmental Economics and Policy Studies}, year = 2000, volume = 3, number = 3, pages = {335--345} } @Article{Welsch1995:greenhouse, author = {Heinz Welsch}, title = {Greenhouse Gas Abatement under Ambiguity}, journal = {Energy Economics}, year = 1995, volume = 17, number = 2, pages = {91--100}, month = apr } @Article{Scherm2000:simulating, author = {H. Scherm}, title = {Simulating uncertainty in climate-pest models with fuzzy numbers}, journal = {Environmental Pollution}, year = 2000, volume = 108, pages = {373--379} } @Proceedings{RIVM2001:rivm, title = {{RIVM} expert workshop uncertainty}, year = 2001, address = {Utrecht, the Netherlands}, month = {25} # oct, organization = {RIVM}, note = {Organised by Jeroen van der Sluijs (Utrecht University)}, institution = {RijksInstituut vor Volksgezondheid en Milieu (National Institute of Public Health and the Environment)} } @Article{vanAsselt.ea1996:uncertainty, author = {M. B. A. van Asselt and J. Rotmans}, title = {Uncertainty in perspective}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, year = 1996, volume = 6, number = 2, pages = {121--157} } @TechReport{vanAsselt.ea1995:uncertainty, author = {M. B. A. van Asselt and J. Rotmans and M. G. J. Elzen and H. B. M. Hilderink}, title = {Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment Modelling. {A} Cultural Perspective Based Approach}, institution = {RIVM, Bilthoven, The Netherlands}, year = 1995, type = {RIVM Rapport - 461502009}, number = 9, note = {GLOBO report series}, pages = 115, url = {http://www.rivm.nl/bibliotheek/rapporten/461502009.html} } @Article{Rotmans.ea2001:uncertainty, author = {J. Rotmans and M. B. A. van Asselt}, title = {Uncertainty and Integrated Assessment Modeling: a Labyrinthic Path}, journal = {Integrated Assessment}, year = 2001, volume = 2, number = 2, pages = {43--57}, note = {Special issue edited by RMNO} } @Article{Haastrup.ea1995:analysis, author = {Palle Haastrup and Hans R{\o}mer}, title = {An analysis of the database coverage of industrial accidents involving hazardous materials in {E}urope}, journal = {Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries}, year = 1995, volume = 8, number = 2, pages = {79--86}, doi = {doi:10.1016/0950-4230(95)00008} } @Article{Rotmans.ea2000:uncertainty, author = {J. Rotmans and M. B. A. van Asselt}, title = {Uncertainty Management in Integrated Assessment Modelling: towards a pluralistic approach}, journal = {Environmental Monitoring and Assessment}, year = 2000, volume = 69, pages = {101--130} } @InCollection{Jager.ea2001:risk, author = {J. Jager and J. Cavender Bares and N. Dickson and A. Fenech and P. Haas and F. Hampson and P. Hughes and A. Liberatore and E. A. Parson and V. Sokolov and F. Toth and C. Waterton and J. P. van der Sluijs and J. C. M. van Eijndhoven and B. Wynne}, title = {Risk Assessment}, year = 2001, pages = {7--30}, crossref = {Social2001:learningvol2}, bibkey = {Jager.ea2001:risk} } @Book{Social2001:learningvol1, editor = {The Social Learning Group}, title = {Learning to Manage Global Environmental Risks: {A} Comparative History of Social Responses to Climate Change, Ozone Depletion and Acid Rain}, publisher = {MIT Press}, year = 2001, volume = 1, month = may, bibkey = {Social2001:learningvol1}, isbn = {0-262-69238-4}, pages = 361, url = {http://www.ksg.harvard.edu/sl/authors.htm} } @Book{Social2001:learningvol2, editor = {The Social Learning Group}, title = {Learning to Manage Global Environmental Risks: {A} Comparative History of Social Responses to Climate Change, Ozone Depletion and Acid Rain}, publisher = {MIT Press}, year = 2001, volume = 2, month = may, bibkey = {Social2001:learningvol2}, isbn = {0-262-19445-7}, pages = 222 } @TechReport{vanderSluijs1996:integrated, author = {Jeroen P. van der Sluijs}, title = {Integrated Assessment Models and the Management of Uncertainties}, year = 1996, type = {IIASA working paper}, number = {WP 96-119}, address = {Laxenburg, Austria}, pages = 80, url = {http://www.iiasa.ac.at/cgi-bin/pubsrch?WP96119} } @TechReport{vanAsselt.ea2001:uncertainty, author = {M. B. A. van Asselt and R. Langendonck and F. van Asten and A. van der Giessen and P. H. M. Janssen and P. S. C. Heuberger and I. Geuskens}, title = {Uncertainty and {RIVM}'s Environmental Outlooks --- Documenting a learning process}, institution = {RijksInstituut vor Volksgezondheid en Milieu (National Institute of Public Health and the Environment)}, year = 2001, type = {RIVM report}, number = 550002001, month = apr, pages = 156, url = {http://www.rivm.nl/bibliotheek/rapporten/550002001.html} } @Article{Svirezhev.ea1999:optimisation, author = {Yu M. Svirezhev and V. Brovkin and W. von Bloh and H.-J. Schellnhuber and G. Petschel-Held}, title = {Optimisation of reduction of global {CO}$_2$ emission based on a simple model of the carbon cycle}, journal = {Environmental Modeling and Assessment}, year = 1999, volume = 4, pages = {23--33} } @Article{Svirezhev.ea1999:climate, author = {Y. M. Svirezhev and W. von Bloh and H.-J. Schellnhuber}, title = {Climate impact on social systems: the risk assessment approach}, journal = {Environmental Modeling and Assessment}, year = 1999, volume = 4, pages = {287--294}, url = {http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~bloh/publications/svirezhev99b.html} } @Article{Petschel-Held.ea1999:syndromes, author = {G. Petschel-Held and A. Block and M. Cassel-Gintz and J. Kropp and M. K. B. L{\"u}deke and O. Moldenhauer and F. Reusswig and H. J. Schellnhuber}, title = {Syndromes of Global Change: a qualitative modeling approach to support global environmental management}, journal = {Environmental Modeling and Assessment}, year = 1999, volume = 4, pages = {295--314}, url = {http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~gerhard/paper_ema2.pdf} } @Article{WayneJr1991:possibility, author = {Wayne, Jr., George H.}, title = {Possibility Theory and Fuzzy Sets: Theory of Applications to Energy and Environmental Policy Analysis}, journal = {Journal of Energy and Development}, year = 1991, volume = 17, number = 1, pages = {47--64} } @Article{Pate-Cornell1996:uncertainties, author = {Elizabeth Pat{\'e}-Cornell}, title = {Uncertainties in global climate change estimates}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = {1996a}, volume = 33, pages = {145--149} } @Article{Petschel-Held.ea2001:integrating, author = {G. Petschel-Held and M. K. B. L{\"u}deke}, title = {Integrating case studies on Global Change by means of Qualitative Differential Equations}, journal = {Integrated Assessment}, year = 2001, volume = 3, number = 2, pages = {123--135} } @Article{Petschel-Held.ea1999:tolerable, author = {G. Petschel-Held and H. J. Schellnhuber and Th. Bruckner and K. Hasselmann and F. L. T{\'o}th}, title = {The {T}olerable {W}indows Approach: Theoretical and Methodological Foundations}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1999, volume = 41, pages = {303--331} } @Article{Jaeger.ea1996:climatic, author = {C. C. Jaeger and B. Kasemir}, title = {Climatic Risks and Rational Actors}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, year = 1996, volume = 6, number = 1, pages = {23--36} } @Article{Jaeger1998:risk, author = {C. C. Jaeger}, title = {Risk Management and Integrated Assessment}, journal = {Environmental Modeling and Assessment}, year = 1998, volume = 3, pages = {211--225} } @Article{Patt1999:extreme, author = {Anthony Patt}, title = {Extreme outcomes: The strategic treatment of low probability events in scientific assessments}, journal = {Risk, Decision, and Policy}, year = 1999, volume = 4, number = 1, pages = {1--15} } @TechReport{Patt1997:assessing, author = {Anthony G. Patt}, title = {Assessing Extreme Outcomes: The Strategic Outcome of Low Probability Impacts of Climate Change}, institution = {Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA)}, year = 1997, type = {Discussion Paper}, number = {E-97-10}, address = {Cambridge, MA: Environment and Natural Resources Program, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University}, note = {Also International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Interim Report IR-97-037/August}, url = {http://environment.harvard.edu/gea/pubs/e-97-10.html} } @Article{Tsur.ea1996:accounting, author = {Yacov Tsur and Amos Zemel}, title = {Accounting for Global Warming Risks: Resource Management under Event Uncertainty}, journal = {Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control}, year = 1996, volume = 20, number = {6--7}, pages = {1289--1305}, month = jun # {--} # jul, abstract = {Optimal management of atmospheric pollution is discussed with a special emphasis on the uncertainty concerning the occurrence of undesirable events associated with the greenhouse effect. The uncertainty considered here stems from our ignorance of the exact pollution level required to trigger the event rather than from the genuinely stochastic nature of the processes involved. Taking atmospheric pollution level as the state variable, it is found that uncertainty implies the existence of an equilibrium interval, within which the emission rate of the greenhouse gases should be kept equal to the natural removal rate of these gases. Processes initiated outside the equilibrium interval must converge monotonically to its nearest endpoint. The determination of the interval requires no knowledge of the optimal policy. In contrast, ignoring event occurrence risk implies a single equilibrium level, attracting the optimal process from any initial level.} } @Article{Dowlatabadi1999:climate, author = {Hadi Dowlatabadi}, title = {Climate Change Thresholds \& Guardrails for Emissions: an editorial}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1999, volume = 41, pages = {297--301} } @TechReport{Cash.ea1998:information, author = {David W. Cash and Susanne C. Moser}, title = {Information and Decision Making Systems for the Effective Management of Cross-Scale Environmental Problems: {A} Theoretical Concept Paper}, institution = {Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University}, year = 1998, type = {Global Environmental Assessment Project Working Paper}, url = {http://environment.harvard.edu/gea/pubs/jan98ws_concept.html} } @TechReport{Handmer2000:thinking, author = {John Handmer}, title = {Thinking About Residual Risk}, institution = {Societal and Institutional Responses to Climate Change and Climatic Hazards:Managing Flood and Drought Risks (SIRCH)}, year = 2000, type = {SIRCH Working Paper Series}, number = 8, address = {Flood Hazard Research Centre, Middlesex University, Queensway, Enfield, Middlesex EN3 4SF, UK}, url = {http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/sirch/working8.pdf} } @InCollection{Rotmans.ea1998:iamodeling, author = {J. Rotmans and H. Dowlatabadi}, title = {Integrated Assessment Modeling}, year = 1998, volume = {Tools for Policy Analysis}, pages = {291--377}, note = {in Vol. 3}, bibkey = {Rotmans.ea1998:iamodeling}, crossref = {Rayner.ea1998:human} } @InCollection{Rotmans.ea1998:iaclimate, author = {J. Rotmans and H. Dowlatabadi}, title = {Integrated assessment of climate change: evaluation of models and other methods}, year = 1998, bibkey = {Rotmans.ea1998:iaclimate}, crossref = {Rayner.ea1998:human} } @Book{Rayner.ea1998:human, editor = {Steve Rayner and Elizabeth L. Malone}, title = {Human Choice and Climate Change [4 Volume Set]}, publisher = {Battelle Press}, year = 1998, address = {Columbus, Ohio, USA}, month = feb, isbn = {1-57477-044-6} } @InProceedings{Pate-Cornell2001:risk, author = {Elizabeth Pat{\'e}-Cornell}, title = {Risk and uncertainty analysis in government safety decisions}, booktitle = {NCSU/USDA Workshop on Sensitivity Analysis Methods}, year = 2001, month = {11--12} # jun, organization = {North Carolina State University}, note = {With appendix: Ambiguity aversion vs. Risk aversion}, url = {http://www.ce.ncsu.edu/risk/index.html}, abstract = {Probabilistic risk analysis (PRA) can be an effective tool to assess risks and uncertainties and to set priorities among safety policy options. Based on systems analysis and on Bayesian probability, PRA has been applied to a wide range of cases, three of which are briefly presented here: the maintenance of the tiles of the space shuttle, the management of patient risk in anesthesia, and the choice of seismic provisions of building codes for the San Francisco Bay Area. In the quantification of a risk, a number of problems arise in the public sector where multiple stakeholders are involved. In this paper, I describe different approaches to the treatments of uncertainties in risk analysis, their implications for risk ranking, and the role of risk analysis results in the context of a safety decision process. I also discuss the implications of adopting conservative hypotheses before proceeding to what is, in essence, a conditional uncertainty analysis, and I explore some implications of different levels of conservatism for the ranking of risk mitigation measures.} } @Article{Cohen.ea2000:decision, author = {M. Cohen and J. M. Tallon}, title = {D{\'e}cision dans le risque et l'incertitude: l'apport des mod{\`e}les non additifs}, journal = {Revue d'{\'E}conomie Politique}, year = 2000, volume = 110, number = 5, pages = {631--681}, abstract = {Nous exposons dans cet article les avancees de la th{\'e}orie de la d{\'e}cision en environnement incertain au cours des vingt dernieres ann{\'e}es. plus precis{\'e}ment, nous partons des modeles d'esperance (objective et subjective) d'utilite pour ensuite en presenter les generalisations recentes.} } @InCollection{Dowlatabadi1999:integrated, author = {Hadi Dowlatabadi}, title = {Integrated Assessment: Implications of Uncertainty}, year = 1999, url = {http://hdgc.epp.cmu.edu/publications/abstracts/integrated3.htm}, crossref = {Yotova2002:encyclopedia} } @Article{Anderson1998:embracing, author = {J. L. Anderson}, title = {Embracing uncertainty: the interface of Bayesian statistics and cognitive psychology}, journal = {Conservation Ecology}, year = 1998, volume = 2, number = 1, url = {http://www.consecol.org/vol2/iss1/art2} } @Book{Gadrey.ea2005:nouveaux, author = {Jean Gadrey and Francoise Jany-Catrice}, title = {Les nouveaux indicateurs de richesse}, publisher = {La D{\'e}couverte}, year = 2005, series = {Rep{\`e}res}, pages = 128 } @Article{Davis.ea1998:making, author = {A. J. Davis and L. S. Jenkinson and J. H. Lawton and B. Shorrocks and S. Wood}, title = {Making mistakes in predicting responses to climate change}, journal = {Nature}, year = 1998, volume = 391, pages = 783 } @Article{Gigerenzer1996:narrow, author = {G. Gigerenzer}, title = {On narrow norms and vague heuristics: a rebuttal to Kahneman and Tversky}, journal = {Psychological Review}, year = 1996, volume = 103, pages = {592--596} } @Article{Gigerenzer.ea1991:probabilistic, author = {G. Gigerenzer and U. Hoffrage and H. Kleinb{\"o}lting}, title = {Probabilistic mental models: {A} Brunswikian theory of confidence}, journal = {Psychological Review}, year = 1991, volume = 98, pages = {506--528} } @Article{Jones2000:managing, author = {R. N. Jones}, title = {Managing uncertainty in climate change projections: Issues for impact assessment}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2000, volume = 45, number = {3-4}, pages = {(in press)} } @Article{Kahneman.ea1993:timid, author = {D. Kahneman and D. Lovallo}, title = {Timid choices and bold forecasts: a cognitive perspective on risk taking}, journal = {Management Science}, year = 1993, volume = 39, pages = {17--31} } @Article{Kahneman.ea1996:reality, author = {D. Kahneman and A. Tversky}, title = {On the reality of cognitive illusions: {A} reply to Gigerenzer's critique}, journal = {Psychological Review}, year = 1996, volume = 103, pages = {582--591} } @Article{Kahneman.ea1979:intuitive, author = {D. Kahneman and A. Tversky}, title = {Intuitive prediction: biases and corrective procedures}, journal = {Management Science}, year = 1979, volume = 12, pages = {313--327} } @Article{Morgan1998:uncertainty, author = {M. G. Morgan}, title = {Uncertainty analysis in risk assessment}, journal = {Human and Ecological Risk Assessment}, year = 1998, volume = 4, number = 1, pages = {25--39} } @Article{Peck.ea1995:optimal, author = {S. C. Peck and T. J. Teisberg}, title = {Optimal {CO}[2] control policy with stochastic losses from temperature rise}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1995, volume = 31, pages = {19--34} } @Article{Schneider.ea2000:costing, author = {S. H. Schneider and K. Kuntz-Duriseti and C. Azar}, title = {Costing non-linearities, surprises, and irreversible events}, journal = {Pacific and Asian Journal of Energy}, year = 2000, volume = 10, number = 1, pages = {81--106} } @Article{Schneider.ea1998:imaginable, author = {S. H. Schneider and B. L. Turner and H. Morehouse Garriga}, title = {Imaginable surprise in global change science}, journal = {Journal of Risk Research}, year = 1998, volume = 1, number = 2, pages = {165--185} } @Article{Schoemaker1991:when, author = {P. J. H. Schoemaker}, title = {When and how to use scenario planning: a heuristic approach with illustration}, journal = {Journal of Forecasting}, year = 1991, volume = 10, pages = {549--56} } @Article{Titus.ea1996:risk, author = {J. Titus and V. Narayanan}, title = {The risk of sea level rise: a delphic Monte Carlo analysis in which twenty researchers specify subjective probability distributions for model coefficients within their respective areas of expertise}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1996, volume = 33, number = 2, pages = {151--212} } @Article{Tversky.ea1974:judgment, author = {Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman}, title = {Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases}, journal = {Science}, year = 1974, volume = 185, pages = {1124--1131} } @Article{Yohe1997:uncertainty, author = {G. Yohe}, title = {Uncertainty, short term hedging and the tolerable window approach}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, year = 1997, volume = 7, pages = {303--315} } @Article{Yohe1996:exercises, author = {G. Yohe}, title = {Exercises in hedging against the extreme consequences of global change and the expected value of information}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, year = 1996, volume = 6, pages = {87--101} } @Article{Yohe.ea2000:adaptation, author = {G. Yohe and F. Toth}, title = {Adaptation and the guardrail approach to tolerable climate change}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2000, volume = 45, pages = {103--128} } @Book{Kahneman.ea1982:judgement, author = {D. Kahneman and P. Slovic and Amos Tversky (eds.)}, title = {Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1982, pages = 555 } @InProceedings{Toth2000:decision, author = {F. Toth}, title = {Decision analysis frameworks in {TAR}: a guidance paper for {IPCC}}, editor = {{Pachauri, R., T. Taniguchi} and K. Tanaka}, booktitle = {Guidance Papers on the Cross Cutting Issues of the Third Assessment Report of the {IPCC}}, year = 2000, pages = {53--68}, address = {Geneva, Switzerland}, publisher = {{I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange} } @InCollection{Fox1994:necessity, author = {J. Fox}, title = {On the necessity of probability: Reasons to believe and grounds for doubt}, pages = {75--104}, crossref = {Wright.ea1994:subjective} } @InCollection{McClell.ea1994:calibration, author = {A. G. R. McClell and F. Bolger}, title = {The calibration of subjective probabilities: theories and models 1980-1994}, pages = {453--482}, crossref = {Wright.ea1994:subjective} } @InCollection{Gigerenzer1994:distinction, author = {G. Gigerenzer}, title = {Why the distinction between single event probabilities and frequencies is important for psychology and vice-versa}, pages = {129--161}, crossref = {Wright.ea1994:subjective} } @Book{Wright.ea1994:subjective, editor = {G. Wright and P. Ayton}, title = {Subjective Probability}, publisher = {John Wiley and Sons}, year = 1994, address = {Chichester, United Kingdom} } @InCollection{Ravetz1986:usable, author = {J. R. Ravetz}, title = {Usable knowledge, usable ignorance: incomplete science with policy implications}, pages = {415--432}, crossref = {Clark.ea1986:sustainable} } @Book{Clark.ea1986:sustainable, editor = {W. Clark and R. E. Munn}, title = {Sustainable Development of the Biosphere}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1986 } @InCollection{Dubois.ea2000:possibility, author = {D. Dubois and H. Nguyen and H. Prade}, title = {Possibility theory, probability theory and fuzzy sets: misunderstanding, bridges and gaps}, pages = {344--438}, crossref = {Dubois.ea2000:handbook} } @Book{Dubois.ea2000:handbook, editor = {D. Dubois and H. Prade}, title = {The handbook of fuzzy sets series}, publisher = {Kluwer}, year = 2000 } @InProceedings{deCooman2001:belief, author = {Gert de Cooman}, title = {Belief models: an order-theoretic analysis}, crossref = {Cornell2001:second} } @InProceedings{Lins.ea2001:protocol, author = {Gertrudes Coelho Nadler Lins and Fernando Menezes Campello de Souza}, title = {A protocol for the elicitation of prior distributions}, crossref = {Cornell2001:second} } @InProceedings{Utkin.ea2001:different, author = {Lev V. Utkin and Igor O. Kozine}, title = {Different faces of the natural extension}, crossref = {Cornell2001:second} } @InProceedings{Maass2001:coherent, author = {Sebastian Maa{\ss}}, title = {Coherent lower previsions as exact functionals and their (sigma-)core}, crossref = {Cornell2001:second} } @InProceedings{Horowitz.ea2001:imprecise, author = {Joel L. Horowitz and Charles F. Manski}, title = {Imprecise Identification from Incomplete Data}, crossref = {Cornell2001:second} } @Misc{Smithson1997:human, author = {Michael E. Smithson}, title = {Human judgment and imprecise probabilities}, howpublished = {Part of the Imprecise Probabilities Project online documentation}, year = 1997, url = {http://ippserv.rug.ac.be} } @Book{Keynes1921:treatise, author = {John Maynard Keynes}, title = {A treatise on probability}, publisher = {McMillan}, year = 1921, address = {London}, note = {Unabridged republication, Dover Phoenix Edition, (2004) ISBN 0-486-49580-9} } @Article{Ellsberg1961:risk, author = {D. Ellsberg}, title = {Risk, ambiguity and the {S}avage axioms}, journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics}, year = 1961, volume = 75, pages = {643--669} } @Misc{Smets2000:belief, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {Belief functions and the {T}ransferable {B}elief {M}odel}, year = 2000, url = {http://ippserv.rug.ac.be} } @Article{Smets2007:analyzing, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {Analyzing the combination of conflicting belief functions}, journal = {Information fusion}, year = 2007, volume = 8, number = 4, pages = {387--412}, month = oct, doi = {10.1016/j.inffus.2006.04.003}, url = {http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~psmets} } @Misc{Walley2000:imprecise, author = {Peter Walley}, title = {Imprecise probabilities}, year = 2000, url = {http://ippserv.rug.ac.be} } @Article{Dempster1967:upper, author = {A. P. Dempster}, title = {Upper and lower probabilities induced by a multivalued mapping}, journal = {Annals of Mathematical Statistics}, year = 1967, volume = 38, number = 2, pages = {325--339}, url = {http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aoms/1177698950} } @Book{Shafer1976:mathematical, author = {Glenn Shafer}, title = {A Mathematical Theory of Evidence}, publisher = {Princeton University Press}, year = 1976, address = {Princeton (NJ)}, isbn = {0-691-10042-X (hardback), 0-608-02508-9 (reprint)}, pages = 297 } @Article{Zadeh1978:fuzzy, author = {L. A. Zadeh}, title = {Fuzzy sets as a basis for a theory of possibility}, journal = {Fuzzy Sets and Systems}, year = 1978, volume = 1, number = 1, pages = {3--38}, note = {Reprinted in Fuzzy Sets and Systems 100:9-34, 1999}, doi = {10.1016/S0165-0114(99)80004-9} } @Article{Zadeh1965:fuzzy, author = {L. A. Zadeh}, title = {Fuzzy sets}, journal = {Information and Control}, year = 1965, volume = 8, pages = {338--353} } @InCollection{deCooman1995:formal, author = {G. de Cooman}, title = {The formal analogy between possibility and probability theory}, editor = {G. de Cooman and D. Ruan and E. E. Kerre}, booktitle = {Foundations and Applications of Possibility Theory -- Proceedings of FAPT '95}, publisher = {World Scientific}, year = 1995, pages = {88--98}, address = {Singapore}, keywords = {Mathematical models::possibility measures} } @Article{Dubois.ea2003:definition, author = {Didier Dubois and Henri Prade and Philippe Smets}, title = {A definition of subjective possibility.}, journal = {Operations Research and Decisions}, year = 2003, volume = 4, pages = {7--22} } @InProceedings{Dubois.ea2001:new, author = {Didier Dubois and Henri Prade and Philippe Smets}, title = {New semantics for quantitative possibility theory}, note = {Also published in ECSQARU 2001 proceedings, without proofs}, crossref = {Cornell2001:second}, url = {http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~psmets/SemanticPossSubjObj.pdf} } @InProceedings{Dubois.ea2001:new*1, author = {Didier Dubois and Henri Prade and Philippe Smets}, title = {New Semantics for Quantitative Possibility Theory}, pages = {410--421}, note = {Also published in ISIPTA 2001 proceedings, with proofs}, crossref = {Benferhat.ea2001:symbolic} } @Proceedings{Benferhat.ea2001:symbolic, title = {Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty, 6th European Conference, {ECSQARU} 2001}, year = 2001, editor = {Salem Benferhat and Philippe Besnard}, volume = 2143, series = {Lecture Notes in Computer Science}, address = {Toulouse, France}, month = sep # {19--21}, publisher = {Springer}, booktitle = {ECSQARU}, isbn = {3-540-42464-4} } @Proceedings{Cornell2001:second, title = {Second International Symposium on Imprecise Probability and their Applications}, year = 2001, address = {New York, USA}, month = {26--29 } # jun, organization = {Cornell University}, booktitle = {Second International Symposium on Imprecise Probability and their Applications}, institution = {Ithaca University, NY, USA}, url = {http://ippserv.rug.ac.be/~isipta01/} } @Article{Choquet1953:theory, author = {G. Choquet}, title = {Theory of Capacities}, journal = {Annales de l'Institut Fourier}, year = {1953--1954}, volume = 5, pages = {131--295} } @Misc{Cozman1999:brief, author = {Fabio Cozman}, title = {A Brief Introduction to the Theory of Sets of Probability Measures}, year = 1999, url = {http://www-2.cs.cmu.edu/~qbayes/Tutorial/quasi-bayesian.html}, annote = {Preliminary version published as A derivation of quasi-Bayesian theory, tech. report CMU-RI-TR-97-24, Robotics Institute, Carnegie Mellon University, June, 1997} } @Misc{Cozman1999:theories, author = {Fabio Cozman}, title = {Theories of Sets of Probabilities (and related models) in a nutshell}, year = 1999, url = {http://www-2.cs.cmu.edu/~qbayes/Tutorial/quasi-bayesian.html} } @InProceedings{Giron.ea1980:quasi-bayesian, author = {F. J. Giron and S. Rios}, title = {Quasi-bayesian behaviour : {A} more realistic approach to decision making ?}, editor = {J. M. Bernardo and M. H. DeGroot and D. V. Lindley and A. F. M. Smith}, booktitle = {First International Meeting on Bayesian Statistics}, year = 1980, pages = {17--38}, address = {Valencia, Spain}, publisher = {University Press} } @Book{Tufte1983:visual, author = {Edward Rolf Tufte}, title = {The visual display of quantitative information}, publisher = {Graphics Press}, year = 1983, address = {Post Office Box 430, Cheshire, Connecticut 06410, USA}, isbn = {0-9613921-0-X} } @Book{Walley1991:statistical, author = {Peter Walley}, title = {Statistical Reasoning with Imprecise Probabilities}, publisher = {Chapman and Hall}, year = 1991, address = {London}, isbn = {0-412-28660-2}, pages = 706 } @TechReport{Parker.ea2001:netweaver, author = {J. Kathy Parker and Michael C. Saunders and Bruce J. Miller and Max W. McFadden}, title = {NetWeaver (tm) and GeoNetWeaver (tm): decision support tool for sustainable development}, institution = {The Heron Group, LLC}, year = 2001, type = {The Heron Group Report Series Annotated Briefing}, number = {HG-00-106}, month = may # {1}, pages = 53, url = {http://www.herongroupllc.com} } @Article{Barnett1991:calculating, author = {Jeffrey A. Barnett}, title = {Calculating Dempster-Shafer Plausibility}, journal = {IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence}, year = 1991, volume = 13, number = 6, pages = {599--602}, keywords = {belief functions, decision making} } @Misc{Harmanec1999:summary, author = {D. Harmanec}, title = {Summary measures of uncertainty}, howpublished = {Imprecise Probabilities Project}, year = 1999, url = {http://ippserv.rug.ac.be} } @Book{Gabbay.ea2000:handbook, editor = {Dov M. Gabbay and P. Smets}, title = {Handbook of defeasible reasoning and uncertainty management}, publisher = {Kluwer}, year = 2000, volume = {5: Algorithms for Uncertainty and Defeasible reasoning}, address = {Boston} } @InCollection{Wilson2000:algorithms, author = {N. Wilson}, title = {Algorithms for {D}empster-{S}hafer theory}, pages = {421--475}, crossref = {Gabbay.ea2000:handbook} } @Article{Dubois.ea1991:measuring, author = {Didier Dubois and Henri Prade}, title = {Measuring and updating information}, journal = {Information Sciences}, year = 1991, volume = {57-58}, pages = {181--195} } @InProceedings{Smets2000:data, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {Data fusion in the {T}ransferable {B}elief {M}odel}, note = {Keynote address}, crossref = {ISIF2000:fusion}, url = {http://irida.ulb.ac.be/~psmets/} } @Proceedings{ISIF2000:fusion, title = {Fusion 2000 Conference}, year = 2000, address = {Paris}, month = {10--13 } # jul, organization = {ISIF (International Society on Information Fusion)}, booktitle = {Fusion 2000 Conference}, url = {http://www.onera.fr/fusion2000/} } @Article{Walley.ea1990:uncertainty, author = {Peter Walley and F. M. Campello {d}e Souza}, title = {Uncertainty and indeterminacy in assessing the economic viability of energy options: a case study of solar heating systems in {B}razil}, journal = {Energy Systems and Policy}, year = 1990, volume = 14, pages = {281--304} } @InCollection{Smets2002:decision, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {Decision Making in a Context where Uncertainty is Represented by Belief Functions}, editor = {R. Srivastava and T. J. Mock}, booktitle = {Belief Functions in Business Decisions}, publisher = {Physica-Verlag}, year = 2002, pages = {17--61}, address = {Heidelberg, Germany}, url = {http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~psmets/} } @Article{Smets2005:decision, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {Decision Making in the TBM: the Necessity of the Pignistic Transformation.}, journal = {International Journal of Approximate Reasoning}, year = 2005, volume = 38, number = 2, pages = {133--147}, month = may, doi = {10.1016/j.ijar.2004.05.003}, url = {http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~smets} } @Article{Shafer.ea1985:languages, author = {G. Shafer and Amos Tversky}, title = {Languages and designs for probability judgment}, journal = {Cognitive Science}, year = 1985, volume = 9, pages = {309--339} } @Article{Mansfield1999:despairing, author = {Carol Mansfield}, title = {Despairing over disparities: Explaining the difference between willingness to pay and willingness to accept}, journal = {Environmental and Resource Economics}, year = 1999, volume = 13, number = 2, pages = {219--234}, month = mar } @Book{Nordhaus.ea2000:warming, author = {William D. Nordhaus and Joseph Boyer}, title = {Warming the World: Economics Models of Global Warming}, publisher = {MIT press}, year = 2000, url = {http://www.econ.yale.edu/~nordhaus/homepage/dice_section_I.html}, isbn = {978-0262640541} } @InProceedings{Bissig.ea1997:fast-division, author = {R. Bissig and J. Kohlas and N. Lehmann}, title = {Fast-division architecture for Dempster-Shafer belief functions}, pages = {198--209}, url = {http://www2-iiuf.unifr.ch/tcs/publications/ps/bkl97.pdf}, abstract = {Given a number of Dempster-Shafer belief functions there are different architectures which allow to do a compilation of the given knowledge. These architectures are the Shenoy-Shafer Architecture, the Lauritzen-Spiegelhalter Architecture and the HUGIN Architecture. We propose a new architecture called ``Fast-Division Architecture'' which is similar to the former two. But there are two important advantages: (i) results of intermediate computations are always valid Dempster-Shafer belief functions and (ii) some operations can often be performed much more efficiently.}, crossref = {Gabbay.ea1997:qualitative} } @TechReport{Henry.ea2002:formalization, author = {Claude Henry and Marc Henry}, title = {Formalization and applications of the Precautionary Principle}, institution = {Laboratoire d'Econom{\'e}trie de l'{\'E}cole Polytechnique}, year = 2002, type = {Cahier}, number = {2002-008}, month = feb } @Article{Mohanty.ea2002:importance, author = {Sitakanta Mohanty and Budhi Sagar}, title = {Importance of Transparency and Traceability in Building a Safety Case for High-Level Nuclear Waste Repositories}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 2002, volume = 22, number = 1, pages = {7--15} } @Article{Reilly.ea2001:uncertainty, author = {John Reilly and Peter H. Stone and Chris E. Forest and Mort D. Webster and Henry D. Jacoby and Ronald G. Prinn}, title = {Uncertainty and Climate Change Assessments}, journal = {Science}, year = 2001, volume = 293, pages = {430--433}, month = jul # { 20} } @Article{Wigley.ea2001:interpretation, author = {Tom M. L. Wigley and S. C. B. Raper}, title = {Interpretation of High Projections for Global-Mean Warming}, journal = {Science}, year = 2001, volume = 293, pages = {451--454}, month = jul # { 20} } @Article{Allen.ea2001:uncertainty, author = {Myles Allen and Sarah Raper and John Mitchell}, title = {Uncertainty in the {IPCC}'s Third Assessment Report}, journal = {Science}, year = 2001, volume = 293, pages = {430--433}, month = jul # { 20} } @Article{Grubler.ea2001:identifying, author = {Arnulf Gr{\"u}bler and Neboj{\v s}a Naki{\'c}enovi{\'c}}, title = {Identifying dangers in an uncertain climate}, journal = {Nature}, year = 2001, volume = 412, pages = 15, month = jul # { 5} } @Misc{Morita.ea2000:ipcc, author = {Tsuneyuki Morita and Hae-Cheol Lee}, title = {{IPCC} Emission Scenario Database}, year = 2000, url = {http://sres.ciesin.org/OpenProcess/htmls/MoritaDB.html} } @Article{deCooman.ea1999:supremum, author = {Gert de Cooman and Dirk Aeyels}, title = {Supremum preserving upper probabilities}, journal = {Information Sciences}, year = 1999, volume = 118, number = {1-4}, pages = {173--212}, url = {http://citeseer.nj.nec.com/decooman98supremum.html} } @Book{Deutsch1998:fabric, author = {David Deutsch}, title = {The Fabric of Reality: The Science of Parallel Universes-And Its Implications}, publisher = {Penguin Books}, year = 1998, pages = 390, isbn = {014027541X} } @Book{Shackle1952:expectation, author = {G. L. S. Shackle}, title = {Expectation in economics}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1952, edition = 2, pages = 144 } @Article{Shackle1953:logic, author = {G. L. S. Shackle}, title = {The Logic of Surprise}, journal = {Economica, New Series}, year = 1953, volume = 20, number = 78, pages = {112--117}, month = may } @Article{Shackle1949:non-additive, author = {G. L. S. Shackle}, title = {A Non-Additive Measure of Uncertainty}, journal = {Review of Economic Studies}, year = 1949, volume = 17, number = 1, pages = {70--74} } @Article{Gould.ea1957:odds, author = {Gerald Gould and G. L. S. Shackle}, title = {Odds, Possibility and Plausibility in Shackle's Theory of Decision}, journal = {Economic Journal}, year = 1957, volume = 67, number = 268, pages = {659--664}, month = dec } @Article{Keith.ea2006:climate, author = {David W. Keith and Minh Ha-Duong and Joshua K. Stolaroff}, title = {Climate strategy with {CO}$_2$ capture from the air}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2006, volume = 74, number = {1--3}, pages = {17--45}, file = {Keith.ea-2005-ClimateStrategyWithCO2CaptureFromTheAir.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00003926_v1}, doi = {10.1007/s10584-005-9026-x}, gsi = 2051815623132254539 } @InProceedings{Smets2000:quantified, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {Quantified Epistemic Possibility Theory seen as an Hyper Cautious {T}ransferable {B}elief {M}odel}, booktitle = {Rencontres Francophones sur la Logique Floue et ses Applications {(LFA 2000)}, {La Rochelle}, {France}}, year = 2000, pages = {343--353}, address = {Toulouse, France}, publisher = {Cepadues-Editions}, url = {http://www.iridia.ulb.ac.be/~psmets/} } @InProceedings{Klir1999:uncertainty, author = {George J. Klir}, title = {Uncertainty and Information Measures for Imprecise Probabilities: an Overview}, crossref = {Ghent1999:international} } @InProceedings{Walley1999:towards, author = {Peter Walley}, title = {Towards a Unified Theory of Imprecise Probabilities}, crossref = {Ghent1999:international} } @InProceedings{Abellan.ea1999:non-specificity, author = {Joaquin Abellan and Serafin Moral}, title = {A Non-specificity Measure for Convex Sets of Probability Distributions}, note = {Also in International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge-Based Systems 8(3): 357-368 (2000)}, crossref = {Ghent1999:international}, doi = {10.1142/S0218488500000253} } @InProceedings{Chaitin2002:intelligibility, author = {Gregory Chaitin}, title = {On the intelligibility of the universe and the notions of simplicity, complexity and irreducibility}, year = 2002, note = {Grenzen und Grenz{\"u}berschreitungen, XIX. Deutscher Kongress f{\"u}r Philosophie, Bonn, 23.-27. September 2002. Vortr{\"a}ge und Kolloquien, Herausgegeben von Wolfram Hogrebe in Verbindung mit Joachim Bromand, Akademie Verlag, Berlin, 2004, pp. 517-534}, url = {http://www.umcs.maine.edu/~chaitin/} } @Article{Abellan.ea2003:maximum, author = {Joaquin Abellan and Serafin Moral}, title = {Maximum of Entropy for Credal Sets}, journal = {International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge-Based Systems}, year = 2003, volume = 11, number = 5, pages = {587--598}, doi = {10.1142/S021848850300234X} } @Proceedings{Ghent1999:international, year = 1999, address = {Ghent, Belgium}, month = jun # { 29 - } # jul # {2}, organization = {Ghent University}, booktitle = {International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities and Their Applications}, url = {http://ippserv.rug.ac.be/~isipta99/} } @InProceedings{Loasby1990:use, author = {Brian J. Loasby}, title = {The Use of Scenarios in Business Planning}, pages = {46--63}, crossref = {Frowen1990:unknowledge} } @Proceedings{Frowen1990:unknowledge, year = 1990, editor = {Stephen F. Frowen}, publisher = {St. Martin's Press}, booktitle = {Unknowledge and Choice in Economics}, isbn = {0-312-02768-0} } @Misc{Nau1999:arbitrage, author = {Robert F. Nau}, title = {Arbitrage, Incomplete Models and interactive rationality}, year = 1999, url = {http://www.duke.edu/~rnau} } @TechReport{Best1991:probabilities, author = {Eric Best}, title = {Probabilities --- Help or Hindrance in Scenario Planning?}, institution = {The Global Business Network}, year = 1991, number = {Vol. 2, Num. 4}, series = {The Deeper News}, pages = 27, url = {http://www.gbn.com/ArticleDisplayServlet.srv?aid=500} } @Article{Joslyn1997:measurement, author = {Cliff Joslyn}, title = {Measurement of Possibilistic Histograms from Interval Data}, journal = {International Journal of General Systems}, year = 1997, volume = 26, number = {1-2}, pages = {9--33} } @Book{Young2001:uncertainty, author = {Richard A. Young}, title = {Uncertainty and the environment: implications for decision making and environmental policy}, publisher = {Edward Elgar}, year = 2001, series = {New horizons in environmental economics}, pages = 249, isbn = {1-84064-626-8} } @Article{Osei-Bryson2002:supporting, author = {Kweku-Muata Osei-Bryson}, title = {Supporting Knowledge Elicitation and Consensus Building for Dempster-Shafer Decision Models}, journal = {International Journal of Intelligent Systems}, year = 2002, volume = {in press} } @Article{Dubois.ea1992:when, author = {D. Dubois and H. Prade}, title = {When upper probabilities are possibility measures}, journal = {Fuzzy Sets and Systems}, year = 1992, volume = 49, pages = {65--74}, keywords = {Mathematical models::possibility measures,Mathematical models::upper and lower probabilities} } @Article{deCooman.ea1999:random, author = {G. de Cooman and D. Aeyels}, title = {A random set description of a possibility measure and its natural extension}, journal = {IEEE Transactions on systems, man and cybernetics}, year = 1999, url = {http://ippserv.rug.ac.be/~gert/annotated.html} } @Article{Higashi.ea1982:measures, author = {M. Higashi and G. J. Klir}, title = {Measures of uncertainty and information based on possibility distributions}, journal = {International Journal of General Systems}, year = 1982, volume = 9, pages = {43--58} } @Article{Shafer1990:perspectives, author = {Glenn Shafer}, title = {Perspectives on the theory and practice of belief functions}, journal = {International Journal of Approximate Reasoning}, year = 1990, volume = 4, pages = {323--362}, doi = {10.1016/0888-613X(90)90012-Q}, url = {http://www.glennshafer.com/assets/downloads/articles/article40.pdf} } @Article{Raiffa1961:risk, author = {Howard Raiffa}, title = {Risk, ambiguity, and the {S}avage axioms: Comment}, journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics}, year = 1961, volume = 75, number = 4, pages = {690--694} } @Article{Roberts1963:risk, author = {Harry V. Roberts}, title = {Risk, ambiguity, and the {S}avage axioms: Comment}, journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics}, year = 1963, volume = 77, number = 2, pages = {327--336} } @Article{Ellsberg1963:risk, author = {Daniel Ellsberg}, title = {Risk, ambiguity, and the {S}avage axioms: Reply}, journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics}, year = 1963, volume = 77, number = 2, pages = {336--342} } @InProceedings{Smets1992:nature, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {The nature of the unnormalized beliefs encountered in the {T}ransferable {B}elief {M}odel}, pages = {292--297}, crossref = {Dubois.ea1992:uncertainty} } @Proceedings{Dubois.ea1992:uncertainty, title = {Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence 92}, year = 1992, editor = {D. Dubois and M. P. Wellman and B. D'Ambrosio and Philippe Smets}, publisher = {Morgan Kaufman, San Mateo, Ca}, booktitle = {Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence 92} } @InProceedings{Kennes.ea1990:fast, author = {R. Kennes and Philippe Smets}, title = {Fast algorithms for {Dempster-Shafer} theory}, pages = {14--23}, crossref = {Bouchon-Meunier.ea1990:uncertainty} } @Proceedings{Bouchon-Meunier.ea1990:uncertainty, title = {Uncertainty in knowledge bases}, year = 1990, editor = {B. Bouchon-Meunier and R. R. Yager and L. A. Zadeh}, publisher = {Springer Verlag, Berlin}, booktitle = {Uncertainty in knowledge bases} } @Article{Klir1987:where, author = {G. J. Klir}, title = {Where do we stand on measures of uncertainty, ambiguity, fuzziness, and the like}, journal = {International Journal of Fuzzy Sets and Systems}, year = 1987, volume = 24, pages = {141--160} } @InProceedings{Smets1999:practical, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {Practical Uses of belief functions}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 14th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Stockholm, Sweden}, year = 1999 } @Article{Smets1998:application, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {The application of the {T}ransferable {B}elief {M}odel to diagnostic problems}, journal = {International Journal of Intelligent Systems}, year = 1998, volume = 13, pages = {127--157} } @Article{Dubois.ea2001:using, author = {D. Dubois and M. Grabisch and H. Prade and Philippe Smets}, title = {Using the {T}ransferable {B}elief {M}odel and a qualitative possibility theory approach on an illustrative example: the assessment of the value of a candidate}, journal = {International Journal of Intelligent Systems}, year = 2001, volume = {forthcoming} } @Article{Nau2002:aggregation, author = {Robert F. Nau}, title = {The aggregation of imprecise probabilities}, journal = {Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference}, year = 2002, volume = 105, number = 1, pages = {265--282}, url = {http://www.duke.edu/~rnau} } @Article{Nau1992:indeterminate, author = {Robert F. Nau}, title = {Indeterminate probabilities on finite sets}, journal = {Annals of Statistics}, year = 1992, volume = 20, number = 4, pages = {1737--1767}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0090-5364%28199212%2920%3A4%3C1737%3AIPOFS%3E2.0.CO%3B2-T} } @Article{Machina1982:expected, author = {Mark J. Machina}, title = {Expected Utility analysis without the independence axiom}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = 1982, volume = 50, number = 2, pages = {277--324} } @Article{Smets1991:varieties, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {Varieties of Ignorance and the Need for Well-founded Theories}, journal = {Information Sciences}, year = 1991, volume = {57-58}, pages = {135--144} } @Article{McCain1987:fuzzy, author = {Roger A. McCain}, title = {Fuzzy confidence intervals in a theory of economic rationality}, journal = {Fuzzy Sets and Systems}, year = 1987, volume = 23, pages = {205--218} } @Article{Denoeux2001:inner, author = {Thierry Den{\oe}ux}, title = {Inner and Outer approximation of belief structures using a hierarchical clustering approach}, journal = {International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge-Based Systems}, year = 2001, volume = 4, number = 2, pages = {437--460}, url = {http://www.hds.utc.fr/~tdenoeux/papers.htm} } @Article{Capotorti.ea2000:axiomatic, author = {Andrea Capotorti and Barbara Vantaggi}, title = {Axiomatic characterization of partial ordinal relations}, journal = {International Journal of Approximate Reasoning}, year = 2000, volume = 24, pages = {207--219} } @Article{Reichert1997:necessity, author = {Peter Reichert}, title = {On the necessity of using imprecise probabilities for modelling environmental systems}, journal = {Water Science Technology}, year = 1997, volume = 36, number = 5, pages = {149--156} } @Misc{Reichert.ea2001:bayesian, author = {Peter Reichert and David W. Keith}, title = {Bayesian combination of expert judgments: reinterpretation of the meaning and dependence of elicited distributions}, year = 2001 } @Article{Schultz2001:critique, author = {Martin T. Schultz}, title = {A critique of {EPA}'s index of watershed quality indicator}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Management}, year = 2001, volume = 62, pages = {429--442} } @Article{Sailor.ea2000:nuclear, author = {William C. Sailor and David Bodansky and Chaim Braun and Steve Fetter and Bob van der Zwaan}, title = {A Nuclear Solution to Climate Change}, journal = {Science}, year = 2000, volume = 288, pages = {1177--1178} } @Article{Friedlingstein.ea2001:positive, author = {Pierre Friedlingstein and Laurent Bopp and Philippe Ciais and Jean-Louis Dufresne and Laurent Fairhead and Le Treut, Herv\'e and Patrick Monfray and James Orr}, title = {Positive feedback between future climate change and the carbon cycle}, journal = {Geophysical Research Letters}, year = 2001, volume = 28, number = 8, pages = {1543--1546}, url = {http://www.lmd.jussieu.fr/~jldufres} } @Book{Miner.ea1993:proposal, author = {Lynn E. Miner and Jerry Griffith}, title = {Proposal planning and writing}, year = 1993, chapter = 4, isbn = {0-89774-726-7}, annote = {Carnegie Mellon University Hunt library: OVRSZ Q 658.15 M66P} } @Article{Bardossy.ea1990:krigingapplication, author = {Andr{\'a}s B{\'a}rdossy and Istv{\'a}n Bogardi and W. E. Kelly}, title = {Kriging with Imprecise (Fuzzy) Variograms. {II}: Application}, journal = {Mathematical Geology}, year = 1990, volume = 22, number = 1, pages = {81--94}, bibkey = {Bardossy.ea1990:krigingapplication} } @Article{Bardossy.ea1990:krigingtheory, author = {Andr{\'a}s B{\'a}rdossy and Istv{\'a}n Bog{\'a}rdi and W. E. Kelly}, title = {Kriging with Imprecise (Fuzzy) Variograms. {I}: Theory}, journal = {Mathematical Geology}, year = 1990, volume = 22, number = 1, pages = {63--79}, bibkey = {Bardossy.ea1990:krigingtheory} } @Article{Bardossy.ea1989:geostatistics, author = {Andr{\'a}s B{\'a}rdossy and Istv{\'a}n Bog{\'a}rdi and W. E. Kelly}, title = {Geostatistics utilizing imprecise (fuzzy) information}, journal = {Fuzzy Sets and Systems}, year = 1989, volume = 31, pages = {311--328} } @Article{Bardossy.ea1990:fuzzy, author = {Andr{\'a}s B{\'a}rdossy and Istv{\'a}n Bog{\'a}rdi and Lucien Duckstein}, title = {Fuzzy regression in hydrology}, journal = {Water Resources Research}, year = 1990, volume = 26, number = 7, pages = {1497--1508} } @TechReport{Duckstein.ea1989:fuzzy, author = {Lucien Duckstein and Istv{\'a}n Bog{\'a}rdi and Andr{\'a}s B{\'a}rdossy}, title = {Fuzzy set membership, prior probability and value function}, institution = {Department of Civil Engineering, University of Nebraska Lincoln}, year = 1989, number = {89-8}, address = {Lincoln, NE 68502 0531}, pages = 18 } @InBook{Bardossy.ea1991:fuzzy, author = {Andr{\'a}s B{\'a}rdossy and Roberta Hagaman and Lucien Duckstein and Istv{\'a}n Bog{\'a}rdi}, editor = {M. Fedrizzi and J. Kacprzyk}, title = {Fuzzy Least Square Regression: theory and applications}, publisher = {Omnitech Press}, year = 1991, address = {Warsaw, Poland}, booktitle = {Fuzzy Regression Models} } @InCollection{Bardossy.ea1989:application, author = {Andras B{\'a}rdossy and Gy. B{\'a}rdossy and Istv{\'a}n Bog{\'a}rdi}, title = {Application of geological information to kriging}, editor = {M. Armstrong}, booktitle = {Geostatistics - volume 2}, publisher = {Kluwer}, year = 1989, series = {Quantitative geology and geostatistics - Volume 4}, pages = {591--602}, isbn = {0-7923-0203-6} } @Article{Bardossy.ea1989:fuzzy, author = {Andr{\'a}s B{\'a}rdossy and Istv{\'a}n Bog{\'a}rdi}, title = {Fuzzy fatigue life prediction}, journal = {Structural Safety}, year = 1989, volume = 6, pages = {25--38} } @Article{Tanaka.ea1982:linear, author = {Hideo Tanaka and Satoru Uejima and Kiyoji Asai}, title = {Linear Regression Analysis with Fuzzy Model}, journal = {IEEE Transactions of systems, man and cybernetics}, year = 1982, volume = {SMC-12}, number = 6, pages = {903--906} } @Article{Bardossy1989:note, author = {Andra{\'a}s B{\'a}rdossy}, title = {Note on fuzzy regression}, journal = {Fuzzy Sets and Systems}, year = 1989, volume = 37, pages = {65--75} } @Article{Bellman.ea1970:decision-making, author = {R. E. Bellman and L. A. Zadeh}, title = {Decision-making in a fuzzy environment}, journal = {Management Science}, year = 1970, volume = 17, number = 4, pages = {B141--B161} } @InProceedings{Urli.ea1992:fuzzystochastic, author = {B. Urli and R. Nadeau}, title = {A Fuzzy/Stochastic Multiobjective Linear Programming Method}, editor = {Ambrose Goicoechea et al}, booktitle = {Multiple Criteria Decision Making - IX International Multicriteria Decision Making Conference}, year = 1992, pages = {283--296} } @InBook{Thoma1991:belief, author = {Mathis H. Thoma}, editor = {I. R. Goodman et al.}, title = {Belief Function Computations}, pages = {269--308}, publisher = {North Holland}, year = 1991, booktitle = {Conditional Logic in Expert Systems} } @Article{Rocha1997:relative, author = {Luis M. Rocha}, title = {Relative uncertainty and evidence sets: a constructivist framework}, journal = {International Journal of General Systems}, year = 1997, volume = 26, number = {1--2}, pages = {35--61} } @InProceedings{Yaghlane.ea2006:elicitation, author = {A. Ben Yaghlane and Thierry Den{\oe}ux and K. Melloui}, title = {Elicitation of expert opinions for constructing belief functions}, booktitle = {Proceedings of IPMU'2006, Vol. I}, year = 2006, pages = {403--411}, address = {Paris, France}, month = jul } @InProceedings{Yaghlane.ea2001:coarsening, author = {A. Ben Yaghlane and Thierry Den{\oe}ux and K. Melloui}, title = {Coarsening approximations of belief functions}, editor = {S. Benferhat and P. Besnard}, booktitle = {Proceedings of ECQSARU'2001, Toulouse}, year = 2001, pages = {362--373}, publisher = {Springer-Verlag}, url = {http://www.hds.utc.fr/~tdenoeux/software.htm} } @InBook{Padet.ea1995:note, author = {Colette Padet and Arthur Ramer and Ronald Yager}, title = {A note on multi-objective information measures}, pages = {70--76}, publisher = {Springer-Verlag}, year = 1995, series = {Lecture Notes in Computer Science 945}, booktitle = {Advances in Intelligent Computing}, editors = {Bernadette Bouchon-Meunier and Ronald R. Yager and Lofti A. Zadeh} } @InBook{Longo.ea1991:pragmatic, author = {Giuseppe Longo and Andrea Sgarro}, editor = {Bernadette Bouchon-Meunier and Ronald R. Yager and Lofti A. Zadeh}, title = {A Pragmatic Way Out of the Maze of Uncertainty Measures}, publisher = {Springer Verlag}, year = 1991, booktitle = {Uncertainty in Knowledge Bases} } @InProceedings{Cliff.ea1992:minimal, author = {Joslyn Cliff and George Klir}, title = {Minimal Information Loss Possibilistic Approximations of Random Sets}, editor = {Jim Bezdek}, booktitle = {Proc. 1992 FUZZ-IEEE Conference}, year = 1992, pages = {1081--1088}, publisher = {IEEE, San Diego}, url = {http://www.c3.lanl.gov/~joslyn/papers.html}, abstract = {An empirical measuring procedure which yields data governed by possibility theory. Set-based statistics are used to generate empirically derived random sets. Normal possibility distributions are available for all consistent random sets, and a set of ``consistent transformations'' are available for all inconsistent random sets. The Principle of Uncertainty Invariance is used in a modified form to select the consistent transformation with minimal information loss from the original random set.} } @Article{Walley2000:towards, author = {Peter Walley}, title = {Towards a unified theory of imprecise probability}, journal = {International Journal of Approximate Reasoning}, year = 2000, number = 24, pages = {125--148}, url = {http://decsai.ugr.es/~smc/isipta99/proc/055.html}, abstract = {Belief functions, possibility measures and Choquet capacities of order 2, which are special kinds of coherent upper or lower probability, are amongst the most popular mathematical models for uncertainty and partial ignorance. I give examples to show that these models are not sufficiently general to represent some common types of uncertainty. Coherent lower previsions and sets of probability measures are considerably more general but they may not be sufficiently informative for some purposes. I discuss two other models for uncertainty, involving sets of desirable gambles and partial preference orderings. These are more informative and more general than the previous models, and they may provide a suitable mathematical setting for a unified theory of imprecise probability.} } @Misc{Walley1998:coherent, author = {Peter Walley}, title = {Coherent Upper And Lower Previsions}, year = 1998, url = {http://ippserv.rug.ac.be/documentation/upper_lower_prev/upper_lower_prev.html} } @Misc{Harmanec1999:measures, author = {David Harmanec}, title = {Measures of uncertainty and information}, year = 1999, url = {http://ippserv.rug.ac.be/} } @Article{Smets2002:matrix, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {Matrix Calculus for Belief Functions}, journal = {International Journal of Approximate Reasoning}, year = 2002, volume = 31, number = 1, pages = {1--30}, month = oct, doi = {10.1016/S0888-613X(02)00066-X}, url = {http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~psmets/MatrixRepresentation.pdf} } @Article{Bardossy.ea1993:combination, author = {Andr{\'a}s B{\'a}rdossy and Lucien Duckstein and Istv{\'a}n Bog{\'a}rdi}, title = {Combination of fuzzy numbers representing expert opinions}, journal = {Fuzzy Sets and Systems}, year = 1993, volume = 57, number = 2, pages = {173--181} } @Article{Bardossy.ea1992:analysis, author = {Andr{\'a}s B{\'a}rdossy and Lucien Duckstein}, title = {Analysis of a Karstic Aquifer Management Problem by Fuzzy Composite Programming}, journal = {Water Resources Bulletin}, year = 1992, volume = 28, number = 1 } @Unpublished{Daniel2002:distribution, author = {Milan Daniel}, title = {Distribution of contradictive belief masses in combination of belief functions}, year = 2002 } @Unpublished{Daniel2002:associativity, author = {Milan Daniel}, title = {Associativity and contradiction incombination of belief functions}, year = 2002 } @InProceedings{Daniel2000:associativity, author = {Milan Daniel}, title = {Associativity in combination of belief functions}, booktitle = {WUPES 2000}, year = 2000, address = {Pragues}, month = jun # {20--25} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong.ea2008:GHGT, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Alain Nada{\"{\i}} and {Ana Sof{\'{\i}}a} Campos}, title = {A survey on the public perception of {CCS} in {F}rance}, crossref = {GHGT2008:Ninth}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong.ea2008:GHGT}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2008-SurveyCCS-NoLogo.pdf} } @InProceedings{Bonijoly2008:METSTOR, author = {Didier Bonijoly and Minh Ha-Duong and Aur{\'e}lien Leynet and Alain Bonneville and Daniel Broseta and Aude Fradet and Yves Le Gallo and G. Munier and B. N{\'e}delec and V. Lagneau}, title = {{METSTOR}: a {GIS} to look for potential storage zones in {F}rance}, crossref = {GHGT2008:Ninth}, bibkey = {Bonijoly2008:METSTOR}, file = {Bonijoly.ea-2008-METSTOR-GHGT9.pdf} } @Proceedings{GHGT2008:Ninth, year = 2008, address = {Washington, DC}, month = {16--20 } # nov, organization = {{MIT} and {IEA-GHG}}, publisher = {Elsevier}, booktitle = {GHGT-9: Ninth International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies}, url = {http://web.mit.edu/ghgt9/}, bibkey = {GHGT2008:Ninth} } @InProceedings{Daamen.ea2006:pseudo-opinions, author = {Dancker Daamen and Marjolein de Best-Waldhober and K.J. Damen and Andr{\'e} P.C. Faaij}, title = {Pseudo-opinions on {CCS} technologies}, crossref = {The-Gas-Technology-Center-NTNU-SINTEF2006:ghgt-8} } @InProceedings{Reiner2007:overview, author = {David M. Reiner}, title = {Overview of Public acceptance of {CCS}}, booktitle = {Overcoming Barriers to {CCS} Deployment Workshop}, year = 2007, address = {Paris}, month = 27 # { mar}, organization = {CSLF}, url = {http://www.cslforum.org/mar272007.htm} } @InProceedings{Reiner.ea2006:international, author = {David Reiner and Tom Curry and Mark de Figueiredo and Howard Herzog and Steven Ansolabehere and Kenshi Itaoka and Makoto Akai and Filip Johnsson and Mikael Odenberger}, title = {An international comparison of public attitudes towards carbon capture and storage technologies}, crossref = {The-Gas-Technology-Center-NTNU-SINTEF2006:ghgt-8} } @InProceedings{Itaoka.ea2006:path, author = {Kenshi Itaoka and Aya Saito and Makoto Akai}, title = {A path analysis for public survey data on social acceptance of {CO}$_2$ capture and storage technology}, crossref = {The-Gas-Technology-Center-NTNU-SINTEF2006:ghgt-8} } @Proceedings{The-Gas-Technology-Center-NTNU-SINTEF2006:ghgt-8, title = {GHGT-8: Eighth International Conference on Greenhouse gas control technologies}, year = 2006, editor = {NTNU}, address = {Trondheim, Norway}, month = {19--22 } # jun, organization = {{The Gas Technology Center NTNU-SINTEF}}, url = {http://www.ghgt8.no/} } @InProceedings{Reeves2002:coal-seq, author = {Scott Reeves}, title = {Coal-seq project update: field studies of {ECBM} recovery/{CO}$_2$ sequestration in coalseams}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6} } @InProceedings{Jimenez.ea2002:disused, author = {J. A. Jimenez and R. J. Chalaturnyk}, title = {Are disused hydrocarbon reservoirs safe for geological storage of {CO}$_2$ ?}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6} } @InProceedings{Celia.ea2002:geological, author = {Michael A. Celia and Stefan Bachu}, title = {Geological sequestration of {CO}$_2$: is leakage unavoidable and acceptable?}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6} } @InProceedings{Dooley.ea2002:injecting, author = {J. J. Dooley and M. A. Wise}, title = {Why injecting {CO$_2$} into various geologic formations is not the same as climate change mitigation: the issue of leakage}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6} } @InProceedings{Saripalli.ea2002:risk, author = {K. P. Saripalli and N. M. Mahasenan and E. M. Cook}, title = {Risk and Hazard assessment for projects involving the geological sequestration of {CO$_2$}}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6} } @InProceedings{Bock.ea2002:storage, author = {B. R. Bock and R. G. Rhudy and H. J. Herzog}, title = {{CO}$_2$ storage and sink enhancements: developing comparable economics}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6} } @InProceedings{Hawkins2002:passing, author = {David G. Hawkins}, title = {Passing gas: policy implications of leakage from geologic carbon storage sites}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6} } @InProceedings{Hepple.ea2002:implications, author = {Robert P. Hepple and Sally M. Benson}, title = {Implications of surface seepage on the effectiveness of geologic storage of carbon dioxide as a climate change mitigation strategy}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6} } @InProceedings{Pacala2002:global, author = {Stephen W. Pacala}, title = {Global constraints on reservoir leakage}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6} } @InProceedings{Gale.ea2002:transmission, author = {John Gale and John Davison}, title = {Transmission of {CO$_2$} -- Safety and economic considerations}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6} } @InProceedings{Beecy.ea2002:us, author = {David J. Beecy and Scott Klara}, title = {The {US} Department of Energy carbon sequestration research, development and demonstration program}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6} } @InProceedings{Maldal.ea2002:underground, author = {T. Maldal and I. M. Tappel}, title = {{CO$_2$} underground storage for {S}n{\o}hvit gas field development}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6} } @Misc{Ha-Duong.ea2007:soceco2, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and {Ana Sof{\'{\i}}a} Campos}, title = {The {SOCECO2} survey dataset}, year = 2007, url = {http://www.centre-cired.fr/spip.php?article515} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2009:soceco2, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {{SOCECO2}, \'Economie et Sociologie de la fili\`ere capture et stockage g\'eologique du {CO$_2$}}, booktitle = {S\'eminaire d'avancement des projets {ANR}, {P}rogramme captage et stockage du {CO$_2$}}, year = 2009, address = {Rueil-Malmaison}, month = jun # { 11}, file = {HaDuong-20090611-PresentationProjetSOCECO2ColloqueANR.pdf} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2009:zero, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Zero is the only {CCS} acceptable leakage rate}, booktitle = {5th Trondheim Conference on CO$_2$ Capture, Transport and Storage}, year = 2009, address = {Norway}, month = jun # { 16--17}, file = {HaDuong-20090617-ZeroIsTheOnlyAcceptableCCSLeakageRate.pdf} } @InProceedings{deFigueiredo.ea2002:ocean, author = {Mark A. de Figueiredo and David M. Reiner and Howard J. Herzog}, title = {Ocean {C}arbon {S}equestration: {A} Case Study in Public and Institutional Perceptions}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6}, url = {http://sequestration.mit.edu/pdf/ghgt6_paper_134.pdf}, annote = {Conclusion: if the project is to be public, better to start the outreach program at the beginning.} } @InProceedings{Dooley.ea2002:potential, author = {J. J. Dooley and M. A. Wise}, title = {Potential Leakage from Geologic Sequestration Formations: Allowable Levels, Economic Considerations and the Implications for Sequestration {R}\&{D}}, note = {Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. PNNL-SA-36876 \& PNWD-SA-5847}, crossref = {Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6} } @Proceedings{Kaya.ea2002:ghgt-6, title = {{GHGT}-6: Sixth International Conference on Greenhouse gas control technologies}, year = 2002, editor = {Yoichi Kaya and Kanji Ohyama and John Gale and Yutaka Suzuki}, address = {Kyoto, Japan}, month = sep # { 30--} # oct # { 4}, publisher = {Elsevier}, booktitle = {GHGT-6: Sixth International Conference on Greenhouse gas control technologies}, url = {http://www.rite.or.jp/GHGT6/} } @InProceedings{Wildenborg.ea2004:long-term, author = {Tom Wildenborg and Toon Leijnse and Eric Kreft and Manuel Nepveu and Arie Obdam}, title = {Long-term safety assessment of {CO}2 storage: the scenario approach}, year = 2004, crossref = {Wright.ea2004:ghgt-7} } @InProceedings{Bowden.ea2004:assessing, author = {A. R. Bowden and A. Rigg}, title = {Assessing reservoir performance risk in {CO}2 storage projects}, year = 2004, crossref = {Wright.ea2004:ghgt-7} } @InProceedings{Itaoka.ea2004:public, author = {Kenshi Itaoka and Aya Saito and Makoto Akai}, title = {Public acceptance of {CO}$_2$ capture and storage technology: a survey of public opinion to explore influential factors}, crossref = {Wright.ea2004:ghgt-7}, url = {http://uregina.ca/ghgt7/PDF/papers/peer/093.pdf}, doi = {10.1016/B978-008044704-9/50102-6} } @InProceedings{Jaud.ea2004:technico-economic, author = {Philippe Jaud and Ren{\'e} Gros-Bonnivard and Mohamed Kanniche and Eric Amantini and Taoufik Manai and Chakib Bouallou and Cathy Descamps}, title = {Technico-economic Feasibility Study Of {CO}$_2$ Capture, Transport And Geo-sequestration: A Case Study For France}, note = {Paper Id 33}, crossref = {Wright.ea2004:ghgt-7} } @Proceedings{Wright.ea2004:ghgt-7, year = 2004, editor = {John Wright and others}, address = {Vancouver, Canada}, month = sep # { 5--9}, booktitle = {{GHGT}-7: Seventh International Conference on Greenhouse gas control technologies}, url = {http://www.ghgt7.ca/main.html} } @Misc{Greenblatt.ea2002:ultimate, author = {Jeffery B. Greenblatt and Bryan K. Mignone and Jorge L. Sarmiento}, title = {Ultimate limits of the atmosphere-ocean carbon system}, year = 2002, month = jun # {14} } @TechReport{Smets1995:axiomatic, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {The axiomatic justification of the {Transferable Belief Model}}, institution = {IRIDIA}, year = 1995, number = {TR/IRIDIA/95-8}, address = {Bruxelles} } @Article{Roy1952:safety, author = {A. D. Roy}, title = {Safety First and the Holding of Assets}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = 1952, volume = 20, number = 3, pages = {431--449} } @Article{Holdridge1947:determination, author = {L. R. Holdridge}, title = {Determination of world plant formations from simple climatic data}, journal = {Science}, year = 1947, volume = 105, number = 2727, pages = {367--368}, month = apr # { 4}, doi = {10.1126/science.105.2727.367} } @Article{Markowitz1952:portfolio, author = {Harry Markowitz}, title = {Portfolio selection}, journal = {Journal of Finance}, year = 1952, volume = 7, number = 1, pages = {77--91} } @Article{Mahul.ea1999:irreversible, author = {Olivier Mahul and Alexandre Gohin}, title = {Irreversible decision making in contagious animal disease control under uncertainty: an illustration using {FMD} in Brittany}, journal = {European Review of Agricultural Economics}, year = 1999, volume = 26, number = 1, pages = {39--58} } @TechReport{Bouglet.ea2000:approche, author = {Tania Bouglet and Jean-Christophe Vergnaud}, title = {Une approche non-bay{\'e}sienne de la th{\'e}orie des irr{\'e}versibilit{\'e}s d{\'e}cisionnelles}, institution = {EUREQUA}, year = 2000, type = {Cahiers de la MSE}, number = {2000.107} } @TechReport{Erwidodo1998:impacts, author = {Erwidodo}, title = {The Impacts of Trade Liberalization on Food Production and Farm Income: a Multilevel Modelling Approach}, institution = {CIES, University of Adelaide, Australia}, year = 1998, number = {98.08}, series = {ACIAR Indonesia Research Project} } @InCollection{Knetsch2001:environmental, author = {Jack L. Knetsch}, title = {Environmental valuations and standard theory: behavioural findings, context dependance and implications}, booktitle = {The International Yearbook of Environmental and Resource Economics 2000/2001}, year = 2001, series = {New Horizons in Environmental Economics}, chapter = 7, pages = {267--299}, editors = {Tom Tietenberg and Henk Folmer} } @Article{Cawley2002:guide, author = {John Cawley}, title = {A guide (and advice) for economists on the {U}.{S}. junior academic job market}, journal = {Job Openings for Economists}, year = 2002, volume = sep, pages = 67, url = {http://www.eco.utexas.edu/joe/} } @InProceedings{Kivi.ea2002:ambiguity, author = {Paul Kivi and Jason Shogren}, title = {Ambiguity In Food Safety Valuation}, abstract = {We examine behavior in risky situations involving money lotteries and food safety risks. Decision-making in a food safety context is modeled in a Bayesian framework. Subjects faced both unambiguous and ambiguous situations, each with the same expected value. Respondents showed a clear preference for unambiguous situations as expected. Respondents were willing to pay to avoid ambiguity over urns and, to a lesser extent, in food safety contexts. An ambiguity premium, which shows how much more people are willing to pay to avoid an ambiguous situation than an equivalent unambiguous one, varies little as the odds of the risky event vary. In addition, only minor differences were seen for the ratio of ambiguity premium to risk premium over a 6-fold range of odds.}, crossref = {EAERE2002:second} } @Article{Senahoun.ea2000:impact, author = {Jean Senahoun and Franz Heidhues and Daniel Deybe}, title = {The Impact of Agricultural Policy on Food Security: An Agricultural Sector Modelling Approach for Benin}, journal = {AGRARWIRTSCHAFT, Zeitschrift f{\"u}r Betriebswirtschaft, Marktforschung und Agrarpolitik}, year = 2000, volume = 49, number = {9/10}, pages = {335--341} } @Article{Rao.ea2002:technical, author = {Anand B. Rao and Edwad S. Rubin}, title = {A technical, economic and environmental assessment of amine-based {CO$_2$} capture technology for power plant greenhouse gas control}, journal = {Environmental Science and Technology}, year = 2002, volume = 36, pages = {4467--4475} } @Article{Riahi.ea2004:technological, author = {Keywan Riahi and Edwad S. Rubin and Margaret R. Taylor and Leo Schrattenholzer and David Hounshell}, title = {Technological learning for carbon capture and sequestration technologies}, journal = {Energy Economics}, year = 2004, volume = 26, number = 4, pages = {539--564} } @Misc{Farrow.ea2002:pollution, author = {R. Scott Farrow and Martin T. Schultz and Pinar Celikkol and George L. VanHoutven}, title = {Pollution trading in water quality limited areas: use of benefits assessment and efficient trading ratios}, year = 2002, month = aug # {22} } @PhDThesis{Coolen1994:statistical, author = {Frank P. A. Coolen}, title = {Statistical modeling of expert opinions using imprecise probabilities}, year = 1994, publisher = {Eindhoven : Technische Universiteit Eindhoven}, pages = 121, isbn = {90-386-0482-3}, url = {http://alexandria.tue.nl/extra3/proefschrift/PRF9B/9305256.pdf} } @Article{Orr.ea1984:use, author = {F. M. Orr and J. J. Taber}, title = {Use of Carbon Dioxide in Enhanced Oil Recovery}, journal = {Science}, year = 1984, volume = 224, number = 4649, pages = {563--569}, month = may # {11}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0036-8075%2819840511%293%3A224%3A4649%3C563%3AUOCDIE%3E2.0.CO%3B2-R}, abstract = {Large volumes of oil will remain in U.S. oil reservoirs when standard recovery methods have been completed. Supercritical carbon dioxide can be used to recover part of that remaining oil. If carbon dioxide is dense enough, it extracts hydrocarbons from the oil to make a mixture miscible with crude oil. Such a mixture can recover 95 percent of the oil in controlled laboratory flow settings. Heterogeneity of reservoir rocks and the low viscosity of carbon dioxide reduce the fraction of oil recovered in projects to lower but still significant levels. With the construction of three pipelines to carry naturally occurring carbon dioxide from Colorado and New Mexico to Permian basin oil fields, large-scale implementation of enhanced oil recovery by carbon dioxide flooding is now beginning.} } @Article{Molina.ea1974:stratospheric, author = {Mario J. Molina and F. Sherwood Rowland}, title = {Stratospheric Sink for Chlorofluoromethanes: chlorine atom-catalysed destruction of Ozone}, journal = {Nature}, year = 1974, volume = 239, pages = {810--812} } @Booklet{UNEP1999:production, author = {Ozone Secretariat UNEP}, title = {Production and Consumption of Ozone Depleting Substances, 1986-1998}, year = 1999, url = {http://www.unep.org/ozone/home.htm} } @Misc{AFEAS1997:production, author = {AFEAS, {Alternative Fluorocarbons Environmental Acceptability Study}}, title = {Production, Sales and Atmospheric release of Fluorocarbons through 1995}, year = 1997, url = {http://www.afeas.org} } @Book{TEAP2001:teap, author = {{Technology and Economic Assessment Panel of the {UNEP} {M}ontreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer} TEAP}, title = {{TEAP} Report}, publisher = {United Nations Environement Programme, Ozone Secretariat}, year = 2001, month = apr, url = {http://www.teap.org}, isbn = {92-807-2034-1} } @Book{WMO1999:scientific, author = {{Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project} WMO}, title = {Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 1998}, publisher = {World Meteorological Organisation}, year = 1999, address = {Geneva}, number = {Report number 44}, url = {http://www.al.noaa.gov/WWWHD/Pubdocs/Assessment98.html} } @Book{WMO2003:scientific, author = {{Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project} WMO}, title = {Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 2002}, publisher = {World Meteorological Organisation}, year = 2003, address = {Geneva}, number = {Report number XX}, url = {http://www.unep.ch/ozone/unepwmo-sa2002.shtml} } @Article{Enfel.ea2002:estimate, author = {Andreas Enfel and Ulrich Schmidt}, title = {An estimate of the Trend of Stratospheric Chlorine loading based on in-situ balloon-borne observations}, journal = {Chlorine Newsletter}, year = 2002, volume = 13, url = {http://www.aero.jussieu.fr/~sparc/news13/13_Engel.html} } @Unpublished{Ha-Duong2006:scenarios, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Scenarios, probability and possible futures}, year = 2006, annote = {Submitted to Technical Forecasting and Social Change}, file = {HaDuong-2006-ScenariosProbabilityPossibleFutures.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00003925_v1} } @Article{Ha-Duong2009:price, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {What is the Price of Carbon? {F}ive definitions.}, journal = {Survey and Perspectives Integrating Environment \& Society}, year = 2009, url = {http://sapiens.revues.org/} } @Unpublished{Ha-Duong.ea2002:real, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Benoit Morel}, title = {The Real Option with an absorbing barrier}, year = 2002, file = {HaDuong.ea-2003-RealOptionBarrier.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00003976_v1} } @Article{Ha-Duong.ea2004:bounding, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Elizabeth A. Casman and M. Granger Morgan}, title = {Bounding poorly characterized risks: a Lung Cancer Example}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 2004, volume = 24, number = 5, pages = {1071--1083}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2003-BoundingAnalysis.pdf}, doi = {10.1111/j.0272-4332.2004.00508.x}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00003680_v1}, gsi = 13382315165139918963 } @Article{Casman.ea2004:response, author = {Elizabeth Casman and Minh Ha-Duong and M. Granger Morgan}, title = {Response to {S}ander {G}reenland's Critique on Bounding Analysis}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 2004, volume = 24, number = 5, pages = {1093--1095} } @Article{Ha-Duong.ea2003:carbon, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and David W. Keith}, title = {Carbon storage: the economic efficiency of storing {CO$_2$} in leaky reservoirs}, journal = {Clean Technology and Environmental Policy}, year = 2003, volume = 5, number = {2/3}, pages = {181--189}, month = oct, note = {Special issue on Technologies for Sustainable Development}, doi = {10.1007/s10098-003-0213-z}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2003-CarbonStorageEconomicEfficiencyStoringCO2LeakyReservoirs.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00003927_v1}, gsi = 1930978511142106741 } @InCollection{Ha-Duong.ea2004:carbon, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and David W. Keith}, title = {Carbon storage: the economic efficiency of storing {CO$_2$} in leaky reservoirs}, editor = {Subhas K. Sikdar and Ravi Jain and Peter Glavi{\v{c}}}, booktitle = {Technological Choices for Sustainability}, publisher = {Springer}, year = 2004, pages = {165--182}, note = {Updated from the article published in Clean Technology and Environmental Policy 5(2/3).}, isbn = {3-540-21131-4} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong.ea2002:strategy, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and David W. Keith}, title = {Climate strategy with {CO$_2$} capture from the air}, booktitle = {NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Technological Choices for Sustainability}, year = 2002, address = {Piramida Hotel, Maribor, Slovenia}, month = oct # {13--17}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong.ea2002:strategy} } @Article{Ambrosi.ea2003:optimal, author = {Philippe Ambrosi and Jean-Charles Hourcade and St{\'e}phane Hallegatte and Franck Lecocq and Patrice Dumas and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Optimal control models and elicitation of attitudes towards climate change}, journal = {Environmental Modeling and Assessment}, year = 2003, volume = 8, number = 3, pages = {135--147}, note = {Reprinted in J. A. Filar and A. Haurie (eds) ``Uncertainty and environmental decision making. Handbooks on OR/MS''}, annote = {Special Issue on Modeling the economic response to global climate change}, file = {Ambrosi.ea-2003-OptimalControlModels.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00000966_v1}, doi = {10.1023/A:1025586922143}, gsi = 12136746424043159755 } @Article{Ambrosi.ea2005:changement, author = {Philippe Ambrosi and St{\'e}phane Hallegatte}, title = {Changement climatiques et enjeux de s\'ecurit\'e}, journal = {Cahiers de la {S}\'ecurit\'e {I}nt\'erieure}, year = 2005, number = 58, pages = {297--318} } @Article{Ambrosi.ea2002:evaluer, author = {Philippe Ambrosi and Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Evaluer les risques climatiques : ambigu{\"i}t{\'e} de l'information et effets de croyance}, journal = {Risques}, year = 2002, volume = 50 } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2002:uncertainty, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Uncertainty theory and complex system scenario analysis}, crossref = {CASOS2002:computational}, file = {HaDuong-2002-UncertaintyTheoryAndComplexSystemScenarioAnalysis.pdf} } @InProceedings{Bankes2002:reasoning, author = {Steven Bankes}, title = {Reasoning with complex models using compound computational experiments and derived experimental contexts}, crossref = {CASOS2002:computational} } @Proceedings{CASOS2002:computational, year = 2002, address = {Pittsburgh, PA}, month = jun # { 21-23}, organization = {CASOS}, booktitle = {Computational and Mathematical Organisation Theory Conference - CASOS 2002} } @InProceedings{deCampos.ea1995:independence, author = {Luis M. de~Campos and Serafin Moral}, title = {Independence Concepts for Convex Sets of Probabilities}, booktitle = {Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence: Proceedings of the Eleventh Conference (UAI-1995)}, year = 1995, pages = {108--115}, address = {San Francisco, CA}, publisher = {Morgan Kaufmann Publishers}, url = {http://rome.exp.sis.pitt.edu/UAI/Abstract.asp?articleID=425&proceedingID=11} } @Book{Beck2000:extreme, author = {Kent Beck}, publisher = {Addison Wesley}, year = 2000, booktitle = {Extreme Programming Explained}, isbn = {0-201-61641-6} } @Book{Krug2000:dont, author = {Steve Krug}, publisher = {New Riders}, year = 2000, booktitle = {Don't make me think --- A common sense approach to web usability}, isbn = {0-7897-2310-7} } @Book{McConnel1998:software, author = {Steve McConnel}, publisher = {Microsoft}, year = 1998, booktitle = {Software project survival guide --- How to be sure your first important project isn't your last}, isbn = {1-57231-621-7} } @Book{Kelley1999:how, author = {Robert E. Kelley}, publisher = {Random House}, year = 1999, booktitle = {How to be a star at work}, isbn = {0-819-3169-6} } @Article{Archer.ea2000:errors, author = {V. E. Archer and J. L. Lyon}, title = {Errors and biases in the diagnosis of cancer of the lung and their influence on risk estimates}, journal = {Medical hypotheses}, year = 2000, volume = {54(3)}, pages = {400--407} } @Article{Combes.ea2001:publication, author = {Pierre-Philippe Combes and Laurent Linnemer}, title = {La publication d'articles de recherche en /'economie en {F}rance}, journal = {Annales d'{\'e}conomie et de statistique}, year = 2001, volume = 62, pages = {5--48} } @Book{BEIR1999:health, author = {{Committee on Health Risks of Exposure to Radon, Board on Radiation Effects Research, Commission on Life Sciences, National Research Council} {BEIR VI}}, title = {Health effects of exposure to radon}, publisher = {National Academy Press}, year = 1999, bibkey = {BEIR1999:health}, pages = 500, isbn = {0-309-05645-4} } @Article{Evans.ea1994:use, author = {John S. Evans and George M. Gray and Sielken, Jr., Robert L. and Andrew E. Smith and Ciriaco Valdez-Flores and John D. Graham}, title = {Use of probabilistic expert judgment in uncertainty analysis of carcinogenic potency}, journal = {Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology}, year = 1994, volume = 20, pages = {15--36} } @Article{Debreu1991:mathematization, author = {G\'erard Debreu}, title = {The Mathematization of Economic Theory}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1991, volume = 81, number = 1, pages = {1--7}, month = mar } @Article{Blank1991:effect, author = {Rebecca M. Blank}, title = {The Effect of Double-Blind versus Single-Blind Reviewing: Experimental Evidence from {The American Economic Review}}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1991, volume = 81, number = 5, pages = {1041--1067}, month = dec } @Article{Tversky.ea1990:causes, author = {Amos Tversky and Paul Slovic and Daniel Kahneman}, title = {The causes of preference reversal}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1990, volume = 81, number = 1, pages = {204--217}, month = mar } @Article{Mendelsohn.ea1994:impact, author = {Robert Mendelsohn and William D. Nordhaus and Daigee Shaw}, title = {The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: a Ricardian Analysis}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1994, volume = 84, number = 4, pages = {753--771}, month = sep } @Article{Shogren.ea1994:resolving, author = {Jason F. Shogren and Seung Y. Shin and Dermot J. Hayes and James B. Kliebenstein}, title = {Resolving differences in Wilingnes to Pay and Willingness to Accept}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1994, volume = 84, number = 1, pages = {255--270}, month = mar } @Article{Shogren.ea1997:resolving, author = {Jason F. Shogren and Dermot J. Hayes}, title = {Resolving differences in Wilingnes to Pay and Willingness to Accept: Reply}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1997, volume = 87, number = 1, pages = {241--244}, month = mar, note = {Reply to G. C. Morrison comment, same issue, pp. 236--240} } @Article{Morrison1997:resolving, author = {Gwendolyn C. Morrison}, title = {Resolving differences in Wilingnes to Pay and Willingness to Accept: Comment}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1997, volume = 87, number = 1, pages = {236--240}, month = mar } @Article{Hahn.ea1992:economic, author = {Robert W. Hahn and Robert N. Stavins}, title = {Economic Incentives for Environmental Protection: Integrating Theory and Practice}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1992, volume = 82, number = 2, pages = {464--468}, month = may } @Article{Cropper.ea1992:rates, author = {Maureen L. Cropper and Sema K. Aydede and Paul R. Portney}, title = {Rates of Time Preference for Saving Lives}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1992, volume = 82, number = 2, pages = {469--472}, month = may } @Article{Howarth.ea1992:environmental, author = {Richard B. Howarth and Richard B. Norgaard}, title = {Environmental Valuation under Sustainable Development}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1992, volume = 82, number = 2, pages = {473--481}, month = may } @Article{Leonard1995:from, author = {Robert J. Leonard}, title = {From Parlor Games to Social Science: von {N}euman, {M}orgenstern and the Creation of Game Theory 1928--1944}, journal = {Journal of Economic Literature}, year = 1995, volume = 33, pages = {730--761}, month = jun } @Article{Caldwell1997:hayek, author = {Bruce Caldwell}, title = {Hayek and Socialism}, journal = {Journal of Economic Literature}, year = 1997, volume = 35, pages = {1856--1890}, month = dec } @Article{Caldwell1991:clarifying, author = {Bruce J. Caldwell}, title = {Clarifying Popper}, journal = {Journal of Economic Literature}, year = 1991, volume = 29, pages = {1--33}, month = mar } @Article{Davidson1991:probability, author = {Paul Davidson}, title = {Is Probability Theory Relevant for Uncertainty? {A} Post Keynesian Perspective}, journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives}, year = 1991, volume = 5, number = 1, pages = {129--143} } @Article{Cameron.ea1997:welfare, author = {Trudy Ann Cameron and Jeffrey Englin}, title = {Welfare effects of changes in environmental quality under individual uncertainty about use}, journal = {{RAND} Journal of Economics}, year = 1997, volume = 28, number = 0, pages = {S45--S70} } @Article{Parmesan.ea2003:globaly, author = {Camille Parmesan and Gary Yohe}, title = {A globaly coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems}, journal = {Nature}, year = 2003, volume = 421, pages = {37--42}, month = {2} # jan } @Article{Travis.ea1990:background, author = {Curtis C. Travis and Sheri T. Hester}, title = {Background Exposure to Chemicals: What is the Risk?}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 1990, volume = 10, number = 4, pages = {463--4685} } @Article{Wartenberg.ea1990:fallacy, author = {Daniel Wartenberg and Michael A. Gallo}, title = {The Fallacy of Ranking Possible Carcinogen Hazards Using the {TD$_{50}$}}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 1990, volume = 40, number = 4, pages = {609--633}, note = {Includes 5 papers of following discussion} } @Article{Jayanty.ea1990:exposure, author = {R. K. M. Jayanty and Max R. Peterson and Dennis F. Naugle and Michael A. Berry}, title = {Exposure Assessment: Methods of Analysis for Environmental Carcinogens}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 1990, volume = 10, number = 4, pages = {587--595} } @Article{Hammitt1990:subjective-probability-based, author = {James K. Hammitt}, title = {Subjective-Probability-Based Scenarios for Uncertain Input Parameters: Stratospheric Ozone Depletion}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 1990, volume = 10, number = 1, pages = {93--102} } @Article{Puskin1992:analysis, author = {Jerome S. Puskin}, title = {An Analysis of the Uncertainties in Estimates of Radon-Induced Lung Cancer}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 1992, volume = 12, number = 2, pages = {277--285} } @Article{Samet.ea1990:review, author = {Jonathan M. Samet and Richard W. Hornung}, title = {Review of Radon and Lung Cancer Risk}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 1990, volume = 10, number = 1, pages = {65--75} } @Article{Patwardhan.ea1992:bayesian, author = {Anand Patwardhan and Mitchell Small}, title = {Bayesian Methods for Model Uncertainty Analysis with Application to Future Sea Level Rise}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 1992, volume = 12, number = 4, pages = {513--523} } @Article{Jasanoff1993:bridging, author = {Sheila Jasanoff}, title = {Bridging the Two Cultures of Risk Analysis}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 1993, volume = 13, number = 2, pages = {123--129} } @Article{Morgan.ea2001:elicitation, author = {M. Granger Morgan and Louis F. Pitelka and Elena Shevliakova}, title = {Elicitation of Experts Judgments of Climate Change Impact on Forest Ecosystems}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2001, volume = 49, pages = {279--307} } @InCollection{Clery.ea2003:faculty, author = {Suzanne B. Clery and John B. Lee}, title = {Faculty Salaries: 2001--2002}, booktitle = {The NEA 2003 almanac of higher education}, publisher = {National Education Association}, year = 2003, pages = {9--26}, url = {http://www.nea.org/he/almanac.html} } @TechReport{Deck.ea2003:survey, author = {Katherine A. Deck and Jeffery T. Collins and William P. Currington}, title = {Survey of the Labor Market for new Ph.{D}. Hires in Economics}, institution = {Sam M. Walton College of Business, University of Arkansas}, year = 2003, month = jan # {4}, url = {http://www.uark.edu/depts/cberinfo/aea} } @Article{Siegfried.ea1999:labor, author = {John J. Siegfried and Wendy A. Stock}, title = {The Labor Market for New Ph.{D}. Economists}, journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives}, year = 1999, volume = 13, number = 3, pages = {115--134} } @Article{Stock.ea2001:so, author = {Wendy A. Stock and John J. Siegfried}, title = {So you want to earn a Ph.{D}. in Economics: How Much Do You Think You'll Make?}, journal = {Economic Inquiry}, year = 2001, volume = 39, number = 2, pages = {320--335} } @InProceedings{Risbey.ea2002:application, author = {James Risbey and Jeroen van der Sluijs and Penny Kloprogge and Jerry Ravetz and Silvio Funtowicz and Serafin Corral Quintana}, title = {Application of a Checklist for Quality Assistance in Environmental Modelling to an Energy Model}, volume = 2, crossref = {iEMSs2002:iemss} } @Proceedings{iEMSs2002:iemss, year = 2002, editor = {Susan M. Cuddy and M. Bruce Beck}, address = {Lugano, Switzerland}, month = {24--27 } # jun, organization = {iEMSs (the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society)}, booktitle = {iEMSs 2002 Integrated Assessment and Decision Support}, url = {http://www.iemss.org/iemss2002/} } @Article{Wolfson.ea1996:bayesian, author = {Lara J. Wolfson and Joseph B. Kadane and Mitchell J. Small}, title = {Bayesian Environmental Policy Decisions: Two Case Studies}, journal = {Ecological Applications}, year = 1996, volume = 6, number = 4, pages = {1056--1066}, month = nov } @Article{Bigman1978:safety-first, author = {David Bigman}, title = {Safety-First Criteria and Their Measures of Risk}, journal = {American Journal of Agricultural Economics}, year = 1978, volume = 78, pages = {225--235}, month = feb } @Article{Agarwal.ea1998:climat, author = {Anil Agarwal and Sunita Narain}, title = {Climat: un dossier chaud}, journal = {Le Courrier de l'{UNESCO}}, year = 1998, pages = {10--13}, month = oct } @Article{Katz.ea2002:statistics, author = {Richard W. Katz and Marc B. Parlange and Philippe Naveau}, title = {Statistics of extremes in hydrology}, journal = {Advances in Water Resources}, year = 2002, volume = 25, pages = {1287--1304} } @Article{Emanuel2005:increasing, author = {Kerry Emanuel}, title = {Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years}, journal = {Nature}, year = 2005, volume = 436, number = 7051 } @Article{Giorgi.ea2002:calculation, author = {Filippo Giorgi and Linda O. Mearns}, title = {Calculation of Averages, Uncertainty Range, and Reliability of Regional Climate Changes from {AOGCM} Simulations via the ``Reliability Ensemble Averaging'' ({REA}) Method}, journal = {Journal of Climate}, year = 2002, volume = 15, pages = {1141--1158}, month = may # { 15} } @Article{Lempert.ea2002:confronting, author = {Robert Lempert and Steven Popper and Steven Bankes}, title = {Confronting Surprise}, journal = {Social Science Computer Review}, year = 2002, volume = 20, number = 4, pages = {420--440} } @TechReport{Gielen.ea1998:post-kyoto, author = {D. J. Gielen and P. R. Koutstaal and T. Kram and S. N. M. van Rooijen}, title = {Post-Kyoto Effects on the Climate Policy of the European Union}, institution = {ECN (Energieonderzoek Centrum Nederland)}, year = 1998, number = {ECN-C--98-040}, month = jun } @TechReport{Aaheim.ea2001:decision-making, author = {H. Asbj{\o}rn Aaheim and Camilla Bretteville}, title = {Decision-making frameworks for climate policy under uncertainty}, institution = {CICERO (Center for International Climate and Environmental Research)}, year = 2001, type = {Working Paper}, number = {2001:2}, month = feb # { 20}, url = {http://www.cicero.uio.no} } @TechReport{Bretteville.ea2003:option, author = { Camilla Bretteville and H. Asbj{\"o}rn Aaheim}, title = {Option value and the timing of climate policy}, institution = {CICERO (Center for International Climate and Environmental Research)}, year = 2003, type = {Working Paper}, number = {2003:04}, month = sep, url = {http://www.cicero.uio.no} } @TechReport{Berk.ea2002:climate, author = {M. M. Berk and J. G. van Minnen and B. Metz and W. Moomaw and M. G. J. den Elzen and D. P. van Vuuren and J. Gupta}, title = {Climate {O}pti{O}ns for the {L}ong term ({COOL}) Global Dialogue --- Synthesis Report}, institution = {RIVM}, year = 2002, type = {Report}, number = {490200 003|2001}, note = {Also {NOP} report 410 200 118 (2002)}, isbn = {90-5851-093-X} } @TechReport{vanVuuren.ea2000:mitigation, author = {D. P. van Vuuren and H. J. M. de Vries}, title = {Mitigation scenarios in a world oriented at sustainable development: the role of technology, efficiency and timing}, institution = {RIVM}, year = 2000, type = {Report}, number = {490200 001}, month = sep } @TechReport{Weller.ea1999:impacts, author = {G. Weller and M. Lange}, title = {Impacts of global change in the {A}rctic regions}, institution = {International arctic science committee, Center for global change and arctic system research, University of Alaska, Fairbanks (AK)}, year = 1999 } @TechReport{Lange2002:climate, author = {Andreas Lange}, title = {Climate Change and the Irreversibility Effect --- Combining Expected Utility and MaxiMin}, institution = {ZEW (Zentrum f{\"u}r Europ{\"a}ische Wirtschaftsforschung {G}mb{H})}, year = 2002, type = {Discussion Paper}, number = {02--29}, url = {ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp0229.pdf} } @TechReport{Farzin2002:sustainability, author = {Y. Hossein Farzin}, title = {Sustainability and Hamiltonian Value}, institution = {Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei}, year = 2002, type = {Nota di lavoro}, number = {28.2002}, month = jul, series = {SUST}, url = {http://www.feem.it/web/activ/_activ.html} } @TechReport{Jaeger.ea2002:integrated, author = {Carlo C. Jaeger and Marian Leimbach and Carlo Carraro and Klaus Hasselmann and Jean-Charles Hourcade and Andrew Keeler and Rupert Klein}, title = {Integrated Assessment Modeling: Modules for Cooperation}, institution = {Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei}, year = 2002, type = {Nota di lavoro}, number = {53.2002}, month = jul, series = {ETA}, url = {http://www.feem.it/web/activ/_activ.html} } @Article{Hindenoch--no-year--:agrandir, author = {Michel Hindenoch}, title = {Agrandir sa voix}, journal = {Dire}, pages = {47--50}, note = {Revue dirig{\'e}e par Olivier Poubelle, termin{\'e}e circa 2000.}, institution = {Association pour la promotion de la culture orale} } @Manual{BennettJr1998:users, author = {Bennett, Jr., Franck G.}, title = {User's guide to the {\LaTeX} Calendar Bundle}, year = 1998, pages = 17 } @Misc{Bonin--no-year--:principes, author = {Serge Bonin}, title = {Principes g\'en\'eraux de la graphique et applications}, pages = 12 } @Article{Hourcade.ea2003:monsieur, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Venance Journ{\'e}}, title = {Monsieur {H}omais, les guides de montagne et le ma{\^\i}tre nageur --- Variations sur la n{\'e}gation des risques climatiques}, journal = {Critique Internationale}, year = 2003, volume = 18 } @Article{Hammitt.ea1999:expected, author = {James K. Hammitt and A. I. Shlyakhter}, title = {The Expected Value of Information and the Probability of Surprise}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 1999, volume = 19, number = 1, pages = {135--152}, url = {http://sdg.lcs.mit.edu/~ilya_shl/alex/} } @Misc{Mearns.ea2001:weather, author = {Linda O. Mearns and Warren M. Washington}, title = {The Weather and Climate Impact Assessment Science Initiative}, year = 2001, url = {http://www.esig.ucar.edu/assessment/} } @Book{Yager.ea1994:advances, editor = {Ronald R. Yager and Mario Fedrizzi and Janusz Kacprzyk}, title = {Advances in the {D}emspter-{S}hafer theory of evidence}, publisher = {Wiley}, year = 1994, series = {Wiley Professional Computing}, isbn = {0-471-55248-8}, keywords = {belief functions}, pages = 600 } @Article{Nau2002:aggregation*1, author = {Robert Nau}, title = {The Aggregation of Imprecise Probabilities}, journal = {Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference}, year = 2002, volume = 105, number = 1, pages = {265--282}, abstract = {Two methods are presented for the aggregation of imprecise probabilities elicited from a group of experts in terms of betting rates. In the first method, the experts bet with a common opponent subject to limits on their personal betting stakes, and their individual and aggregate beliefs are represented by confidence-weighted lower and upper probabilities. This method is applicable to situations in which the events in question are discrete, few in number, and ambiguous in nature, where interest centers on the degree of consensus or dissensus and on the reconciliation of incoherence among a small group of experts. In the second method, the experts bet directly with each other as a means of reconciling incoherence, and their beliefs are represented by lower and upper risk neutral probabilities--i.e., products of probabilities and relative marginal utilities for money. The latter method is applicable to situations in which many individuals jointly assess probability distributions for large numbers of events or continuous random variables. In both methods, the fundamental concept of probability is an interpersonal one, with irreducible game-theoretic elements.}, keywords = {Lower and upper previsions; Confidence weighted probabilities; Risk neutral probabilities; Expert resolution; Coherence; Fuzzy sets} } @TechReport{Herzog1999:economics, author = {Howard J. Herzog}, title = {The economics of {CO$_2$} separation and capture}, institution = {MIT Energy Laboratory}, year = 1999, month = aug, note = {Presented at Second Dixy Lee Ray Memorial Symposium, Washington, DC}, url = {http://web.mit.edu/energylab/www/hjherzog/publications.html} } @Article{Herzog.ea2003:issue, author = {Howard Herzog and Ken Kaldera and John Reilly}, title = {An issue of Permanence: assessing the effectiveness of temporary carbon storage}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2003, volume = {Accepted}, url = {http://web.mit.edu/energylab/www/hjherzog/publications.html} } @Article{Holloway2001:storage, author = {Sam Holloway}, title = {Storage of fossil fuel-derived carbon dioxide beneath the surface of the earth}, journal = {Annual Review of Energy and the Environment}, year = 2001, volume = 26, pages = {145--166}, url = {http://energy.annualreviews.org/2001/} } @Article{Holloway2005:underground, author = {S. Holloway}, title = {Underground sequestration of carbon dioxide --- a viable greenhouse gas mitigation option}, journal = {Energy}, year = 2005, volume = 30, pages = {2318--2333} } @InProceedings{Wong.ea2000:economics, author = {Sam Wong and Bill Gunter}, title = {Economics of {CO$_2$} Sequestration in Coalbed Methane Reservoirs}, booktitle = {SPE/CERI Gas Technology Symposium}, year = 2000, address = {Calgary, Alberta Canada}, month = {3--5} # apr, organization = {Society of Petroleum Engineers Inc.} } @Article{Johnson.ea2003:fossil, author = {Tim L. Johnson and David W. Keith}, title = {Fossil Electricity and {CO$_2$} Sequestration: How Natural Gas Prices, Initial Conditions and Retrofits Determine the Cost of Controlling {CO$_2$} Emissions}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 2003, volume = {Proof available online (18 march 2003)}, url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com} } @Article{Herzog2001:future, author = {Howard Herzog}, title = {What future for carbon capture and sequestration?}, journal = {Environmental Science and Technology}, year = 2001, volume = 35, pages = {148A-153A}, url = {http://sequestration.mit.edu/} } @TechReport{Benson.ea2002:comparative, author = {Sally M. Benson and Robert Hepple and John Apps and Chin Fu Tsang and Marcelo Lippmann}, title = {Comparative Evaluation of Risk Assessment, Management and Mitigation Approaches for Deep Geologic Storage of {CO$_2$}}, institution = {Earth Sciences Division, E.O. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory}, year = 2002 } @Article{Clemen.ea1999:combining, author = {Robert T. Clemen and Robert L. Winkler}, title = {Combining Probability Distributions From Experts in Risk Analysis}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 1999, volume = 19, number = 2, pages = {187--203}, url = {http://faculty.fuqua.duke.edu/~clemen/bio}, doi = {10.1023/A:1006917509560} } @Book{Kuhn1962:structure, author = {Thomas Samuel Kuhn}, title = {The Structure of Scientific Revolutions}, publisher = {University of Chicago Press}, year = 1962, edition = {3rd, November 1996}, pages = 212, isbn = {0-226-45808-3} } @Article{Knutti.ea2002:constraints, author = {Reto Knutti and Thomas F. Stocker and Fortunat Joos and Gian-Kasper Plattner}, title = {Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles}, journal = {Nature}, year = 2002, volume = 416, pages = {719--723} } @TechReport{STAPPA2000:cancer, author = {{State and Territorial Air Pollution Program Administrators} and {the Association of Local Air Pollution Control Officials}}, title = {Cancer Risk from Diesel Particulate: National and Metropolitan Area Estimates for the {U}nited {S}tates}, year = 2000, month = mar # { 15}, bibkey = {STAPPA2000:cancer}, url = {http://www.4cleanair.org/comments/cancerriskreport.pdf} } @Book{Kadane.ea1999:rethinking, author = {Joseph B. Kadane and Mark J. Schervish and Teddy Seidenfield}, title = {Rethinking the foundations of statistics}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1999, series = {Cambridge studies in probability, induction and decision theory}, pages = 388, isbn = {2-521-64011-3 (hbk.) - 0-521-64975-7 (pbk.)} } @Article{Mosteller.ea1990:quantifying, author = {Frederick Mosteller and Cleo Youtz}, title = {Quantifying Probabilistic Expressions}, journal = {Statistical Science}, year = 1990, volume = 5, number = 1, pages = {2--12}, month = feb, note = {Published with comments.}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0883-4237%28199002%295%3A1%3C2%3AQPE%3E2.0.CO%3B2-%23} } @Article{Walley1996:inferences, author = {Peter Walley}, title = {Inferences from Multinomial Data: Learning about a Bag of Marbles}, journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological)}, year = 1996, volume = 58, number = 1, pages = {3--57}, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0035-9246%281996%2958%3A1%3C3%3AIFMDLA%3E2.0.CO%3B2-3} } @Article{Ha-Duong.ea2004:risk, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Nicolas Treich}, title = {Risk aversion, intergenerational equity and climate change}, journal = {Environmental and Resource Economics}, year = 2004, volume = 28, number = 2, pages = {195--207}, month = jun, file = {HaDuong.ea-2003-RiskAversionEquityClimateChange.pdf}, doi = {10.1023/B:EARE.0000029915.04325.25}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00000680_v2}, gsi = 17414884747974963227 } @Article{Diecidue.ea2001:intuition, author = {Enrico Diecidue and Peter P. Wakker}, title = {On the intuition of rank-dependant utility}, journal = {Journal of Risk and Uncertainty}, year = 2001, volume = 23, pages = {281--298}, url = {http://ideas.repec.org/p/dgr/kubcen/200074.html} } @Article{Gilboa.ea1989:maximin, author = {Itzhak Gilboa and David Schmeidler}, title = {Maximin expected utility with non-unique prior}, journal = {Journal of Mathematical Economics}, year = 1989, volume = 18, pages = {141--153} } @Book{Shafer.ea2001:probability, author = {Glenn Shafer and Vladimir Vovk}, title = {Probability and Finance: It's Only a Game!}, publisher = {John Wiley \& Sons, Inc.}, year = 2001, isbn = {0-471-40226-5}, url = {http://www.probabilityandfinance.com/} } @Article{Quiggin1993:testing, author = {John Quiggin}, title = {Testing Between Alternative Models of Choice Under Uncertainty -- Comment}, journal = {Journal of Risk and Uncertainty}, year = 1993, volume = 6, number = 2, pages = {161--4} } @Article{Nau2001:aggregation, author = {Robert F. Nau}, title = {The Aggregation of Imprecise Probabilities}, journal = {Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference}, year = 2001, volume = 105, number = 1, pages = {265--282}, url = {http://www.duke.edu/~rnau} } @Article{Epstein.ea1994:intertemporal, author = {Larry G. Epstein and Tan Wang}, title = {Intertemporal Asset Pricing under Knightian Uncertainty}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = 1994, volume = 62, number = 2, pages = {283--322}, month = mar } @TechReport{Diecidue.ea2000:intuition, author = {Enrico Diecidue and Peter P. Wakker}, title = {On the Intuition of Rank-Dependent Utility}, institution = {Center for Economic Research, Tilburg University}, year = 2000, number = {2000-74}, month = aug, issn = {0924-7815} } @Article{Horowitz.ea2002:review, author = {John K. Horowitz and Kenneth E. McConnel}, title = {A Review of {WTA}/{WTP} Studies}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, year = 2002, volume = 44, pages = {426--447} } @TechReport{ACI2003:cancer, author = {{American Cancer Institute} ACI}, title = {Cancer Facts \& Figures}, institution = {American Cancer Society, Inc. Surveillance Research}, year = 2003, url = {http://www.cancer.org/docroot/STT/stt_0.asp} } @Article{Alavanja.ea1995:attributable, author = {M. C. R. Alavanja and R. C. Brownson and J. Benichou and C. Swanson and J. D. Jr. Boice}, title = {Attributable risk of lung cancer in lifetime nonsmokers and long-term ex-smokers (Missouri, {U}nited {S}tates)}, journal = {Cancer Causes and Control}, year = 1995, volume = 6, pages = {209--216} } @Article{Axelson.ea1990:lung, author = {O. Axelson and D. L. Davis and F. Forestiere and M. Schneiderman and D. Wagener}, title = {Lung Cancer Not Attributable to Smoking}, journal = {Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences}, year = 1990, volume = 609, number = 78, pages = {165--178} } @Article{Lyon.ea1980:cancer, author = {J. L. Lyon and J. W. Gardner and D. W. West}, title = {Cancer in Utah: risk by religion and place of residence}, journal = {Journal of the National Cancer Institute}, year = 1980, volume = 65, number = 5, pages = {1063--71.}, abstract = {We compared cancer incidence during 1967--75 between Mormons and non- Mormons living in urban and rural areas of Utah. The non-Mormon urban men had a 34% higher risk of cancer compared with their rural counterparts. Most of this increase in risk occurred in sites associated with tobacco and for cancers of the stomach, colon, and prostate gland. Urban Mormon males had no significant increase in risk. The urban female population was at higher risk than was the rural regardless of religion. The increase was not as striking as that observed in non-Mormon men (8 vs. 34%); cancers of the respiratory and gastrointestinal tracts and female genitalia contributed to the elevated risk. We concluded that personal habits such as smoking and drinking and reproductive factors were possible explanations for the previously observed urban-rural gradients in cancer risk.} } @Article{Koo.ea1990:worldwide, author = {L. C. Koo and J. H. Ho}, title = {Worldwide epidemiological patterns of lung cancer in nonsmokers}, journal = {International Journal of Epidemiology}, year = 1990, volume = 19, number = {Suppl. 1}, pages = {s14--s23} } @Misc{Samet.ea1999:health, author = {J. M. Samet and D. Brenner and A. L. Brooks and W. H Ellett and E. S. Gilbert and D. T. Goodhead and E. J. Hall and P. K. Hopke and D. Krewski and J. H. Lubin and R. O. McClellan and P. L. Ziemer}, title = {Health Effects of Exposure to Radon}, year = 1999, publisher = {National Research Council, National Academy Press}, number = {BEIR VI} } @Misc{CDCP2002:smoking-attributable, author = {{Centers for Disease Control and Prevention} CDCP}, title = {Smoking-attributable mortality, morbidity, and economic costs ({SAMMEC}): adult {SAMMEC} and maternal and child health ({MCH}) {SAMMEC} software}, year = 2002, url = {http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/sammec} } @Article{Axelson2002:alternative, author = {O. Axelson}, title = {Alternative for estimating the burden of lung cancer from occupational exposures -- some calculations based on data from Swedish men}, journal = {Scandinavian Journal of Work, Environment, and Health}, year = 2002, volume = 28, number = 1, pages = {58--63} } @Book{Lempert.ea2003:shaping, author = {Robert J. Lempert and Steven Popper and Steven C. Bankes}, title = {Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis}, publisher = {RAND Pardee Center}, year = 2003, pages = 213, isbn = {0-8330-3275-5}, number = {MR-1626-CR}, url = {http://www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR1626/} } @Article{Schoenberg.ea1987:occupation, author = {J. B. Schoenberg and A. Stemhagen and T. J. Mason and J. Patterson and J. Bill and R. Altman}, title = {Occupation and lung cancer risk among New Jersey white males}, journal = {Journal of the National Cancer Institute}, year = 1987, volume = 79, number = 1, pages = {13--21} } @Article{Vineis.ea1991:proportion, author = {P. Vineis and L. Simonato}, title = {Proportion of lung and bladder cancers in males resulting from occupation: a systematic approach}, journal = {Archives of Environmental Health}, year = 1991, volume = 46, number = 1, pages = {6--15} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2005:remarques, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Remarques sur les co{\^u}ts et b{\'e}n{\'e}fices du stockage du carbone}, booktitle = {\'Ecole Interdisciplinaire sur la Recherche en Sciences Sociales pour l'Environnement}, year = 2005, address = {Carg{\`e}se}, month = {11--15 } # apr, organization = {CNRS}, file = {HaDuong-2005-RemarquesSurLesCoutsEtBeneficesDuStockageDuCarbone.pdf}, url = {http://www.obs-mip.fr/omp/actualites/cargese/cargese.htm} } @Unpublished{Ha-Duong2006:review, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Review of risk and uncertainty concepts for climate change assessments including human dimensions}, year = 2006, file = {HaDuong-2006-ReviewOfRiskAndUncertaintyConcepts.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00008089_v1} } @Article{Ha-Duong2008:HierarchicalApplication, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the {T}ransferable {B}elief {M}odel, application to climate sensitivity}, journal = {International Journal of Approximate Reasoning}, year = 2008, volume = 49, number = 3, pages = {555--574}, month = nov, file = {HaDuong-2008-HierarchicalFusionOfExpertOpinionInTheTBMApplicationToClimateSensitivity.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00112129_v3}, doi = {10.1016/j.ijar.2008.05.003}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong2008:HierarchicalApplication}, gsi = 13959055276985669471 } @Article{Swart.ea2008:agreeing, author = {Rob Swart and Lenny Bernstein and Minh Ha-Duong and Arthur Petersen}, title = {Agreeing to disagree: Uncertainty management in assessing climate change, impacts and responses by the {IPCC}}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2008, note = {Published online Aug. 15th}, file = {Swart.ea-2007-AgreeingToDisagree.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00086987_v2}, doi = {10.1007/s10584-008-9444-7}, gsi = 7558307971141157266 } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2006:fusion, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Fusion of experts' opinions with the {T}ransferable {B}elief {M}odel: application to climate sensitivity}, year = 2006, month = {12 } # dec, organization = {S{\'e}minaire de recherche ASTRID, Universit{\'e} Technologique de Compi{\`e}gne}, file = {HaDuong-20061204-UTC-FusionOfExpertsOpinion.pdf} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2005:human, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Human Dimensions of climate change related risks and uncertainty}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong2005:human}, crossref = {Bonn2005:HDGC}, file = {HDM-Bonn2005-main.pdf} } @Proceedings{Bonn2005:HDGC, year = 2005, address = {University of Bonn, Germany}, month = {9--12 } # oct, organization = {Jointly organized by IHDP, IIASA, CIESIN, UN University, University of Bonn and IGES}, bibkey = {Bonn2005:HDGC}, booktitle = {6th Open Meeting of the HDGC (Human Dimensions of Global Change) Research Community} } @InProceedings{Schervish.ea2003:extensions, author = {Mark J. Schervish and Teddy Seidenfield and Joseph B. Kadane and I. Levi}, title = {Extensions of Expected Utility Theory and Some Limitations of Pairwise Comparisons}, pages = {496--510}, crossref = {Lugano2003:isipta} } @InProceedings{Cattaneo2003:combining, author = {Marco E.G.V. Cattaneo}, title = {Combining Belief Functions Issued from Dependant Sources}, pages = {133--147}, crossref = {Lugano2003:isipta} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong.ea2003:bounding, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and M. Granger Morgan and Elizabeth Casman}, title = {Bounding analysis of lung cancer risk using imprecise probabilities}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2003Lugano-BoundingTheRiskOfLungCancer.pdf}, crossref = {Lugano2003:isipta} } @InProceedings{Budescu.ea2003:interpersonal, author = {David V. Budescu and T. M. Karelitz}, title = {Interpersonal communication of precise and imprecise subjective probabilities}, crossref = {Lugano2003:isipta} } @InProceedings{Klir2003:update, author = {George J. Klir}, title = {An Update on Generalized Information Theory}, crossref = {Lugano2003:isipta} } @Article{Kriegler.ea2003:forecasting, author = {Elmar Kriegler and H. Held and K. Zickfeld}, title = {Climate Forecasting on the Basis of Imprecise Probabilities - an Example with a Simple Model of the Thermohaline Circulation}, journal = {Geophysical Research Abstract}, year = 2003, volume = 5, number = 09094, bibkey = {Kriegler.ea2003:forecasting} } @InProceedings{Kriegler.ea2003:climate, author = {Elmar Kriegler and H. Held}, title = {Climate Projections for the 21st century using random sets}, crossref = {Lugano2003:isipta} } @Proceedings{Lugano2003:isipta, year = 2003, editor = {Jean-Marc Bernard and Teddy Seidenfeld and Marco Zaffalon}, number = 18, address = {University of Lugano, Switzerland}, month = {14--17 } # jul, organization = {Lugano University}, publisher = {Carleton Scientific Proceedings in Informatics}, booktitle = {ISIPTA '03: Third International Symposium on Imprecise Probability and their Applications}, url = {http://www.carleton-scientific.com/isipta/preface.html}, isbn = {1-894145-17-8} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2003:sequestration, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {{CO$_2$} Sequestration: Normative Economics of Leakage}, note = {Session 4C}, crossref = {EAERE2003:twelfth} } @Proceedings{EAERE2003:twelfth, year = 2003, address = {Bilbao, Portugal}, month = {27--29 } # jun, organization = {EAERE}, booktitle = {Twelfth Annual Conference of the {EAERE}}, url = {https://www.gruponahise.com/eaere2003/} } @InProceedings{Nguyen.ea2009:CO2emissions, author = {Nhan Than Nguyen and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {{CO$_2$} emissions mitigation potential in {V}ietnam's power sector}, bibkey = {Nguyen.ea2009:CO2emissions}, file = {HaDuong.ea-20091126-PresentationCO2MitigationPotentialVNPower.pdf}, crossref = {GMSARN2009:fourth} } @InProceedings{Nguyen.ea2009:CDM, author = {Nhan Than Nguyen and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {{C}lean {D}evelopment {M}echanism in {V}ietnam: potential and limitations}, bibkey = {Nguyen.ea2009:CDM}, file = {NhanNguyen-CDMpresentation-GMSARN-20091125.pdf}, crossref = {GMSARN2009:fourth} } @InProceedings{Nguyen.ea2009:barriers, author = {Nhan Than Nguyen and Minh Ha-Duong and Thanh C. Tran and Ram M. Shrestha and Franck Nadaud}, title = {Barriers to the adoption of cleaner and energy efficient technologies in {V}ietnam}, bibkey = {Nguyen.ea2009:barriers}, file = {NhanNguyen-Barrierspresentation-GMSARN-20091125.pdf}, crossref = {GMSARN2009:fourth} } @Proceedings{GMSARN2009:fourth, year = 2009, address = {Ha Long, Vietnam}, month = {25--27 } # nov, organization = {Greater Mekong Subregion Academic and Research Network}, booktitle = {The Fourth GMSARN International Conference: Energy security and climate change problems and issues in GMS}, url = {http://mpuhost04.ait.ac.th/gmsarn/gmsarn2009/index.html} } @InProceedings{Ha-Duong2003:imprecise, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Imprecise Probability Bridge Scenario-Forecast Gap}, crossref = {Jointly2003:annual}, file = {HaDuong-20030601-ImpreciseProbabilityBridgesScenarioForecastGap.pdf} } @InProceedings{Kriegler.ea2003:projections, author = {Elmar Kriegler and H. Held}, title = {Climate projections for the 21st century using random sets}, crossref = {Jointly2003:annual}, bibkey = {Kriegler.ea2003:projections} } @Proceedings{Jointly2003:annual, year = 2003, address = {Laxenburg, Austria}, month = {24--26 } # jun, organization = {Jointly organized by EMF/IEA/IIASA}, booktitle = {Annual Meeting of the International Energy Workshop}, url = {http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/ECS/IEW2003/papers.html} } @Book{Schwartz1996:art, author = {Peter Schwartz}, title = {The Art of the Long View: paths to strategic insight for yourself and your company}, publisher = {Currency Doubleday}, year = 1996, edition = {Paperback}, isbn = {0-385-26732-0} } @Book{vanderHeijden1996:scenarios, author = {Kees van der Heijden}, title = {Scenarios: the art of strategic conversation}, publisher = {Wiley}, year = 1996, isbn = {0-471-96639-8} } @Book{Georgantzas.ea1995:scenario-driven, author = {Nicolas C. Georgantzas and William Acar}, title = {Scenario-driven planning: Learning to manage strategic uncertainty}, publisher = {Quorum Books}, year = 1995, isbn = {0-89930-825-2} } @Book{Wendell1997:history, author = {Bell Wendell}, title = {Foundations of Futures Studies: human science for a new era}, publisher = {Transaction publishers}, year = 1997, volume = {1 - History, Purposes and Knowledge}, isbn = {1-56000-271-9}, bibkey = {Wendell1997:history} } @Book{Wendell1997:values, author = {Bell Wendell}, title = {Foundations of Futures Studies: human science for a new era}, publisher = {Transaction Publishers}, year = 1997, volume = {2 - Values, Objectivity, and the Good Society}, isbn = {1-56000-281-6}, bibkey = {Wendell1997:values} } @Article{Chermack2002:mandate, author = {Thomas J. Chermack}, title = {The mandate for theory in scenario planning}, journal = {Futures Research Quarterly}, year = 2002, volume = 18, number = 2, pages = {25--28}, month = {Summer} } @Article{Gaspar.ea2002:dilemnas, author = {Tam{\'a}s G{\'a}sp{\'a}r and Erzs{\'e}bet Nov{\'a}ky}, title = {Dilemnas for renewal of futures methodology}, journal = {Futures}, year = 2002, volume = 34, number = 5, pages = {365--379}, month = jun } @Article{Misani1997:scenari, author = {Nicola Misani}, title = {Scenari con le Mappe Cognitive Fuzzy: le dinamiche complesse al servizio dell analisi strategica}, journal = {Economia e Management}, year = 1997, volume = 3, pages = {51--65} } @InProceedings{Canarelli1997:fuzzy, author = {Patrick Canarelli}, title = {Fuzzy Scenarios}, editor = {Miguel Aguado-Monsonnet and Fabrice Roubelat}, booktitle = {Scenario Building: Convergences and differences}, year = 1997, organization = {Institute for Perspective Technological Studies}, publisher = {European Union}, note = {Report number EUR-17298-EN, proceedings of a Profuture Workshop held in Paris in September 1995}, url = {ftp://ftp.jrc.es/pub/EURdoc/eur17298.pdf} } @Book{Ayyub2001:elicitation, author = {Bilal M. Ayyub}, title = {Elicitation of expert opinions for uncertainty and risks}, publisher = {CRC press}, year = 2001, isbn = {0-8493-1087-3} } @Book{Ayyub2003:risk, author = {Bilal M. Ayyub}, title = {Risk Analysis in Engineering and Economics}, publisher = {Chapman \& Hall}, year = {|2003}, isbn = 1584883952 } @Article{Mannermaa2000:multidisciplinarity, author = {Mika Mannermaa}, title = {Multidisciplinarity, methodologies and futures studies}, journal = {Futures Research Quarterly}, year = 2000, volume = 16, number = 2, pages = {5--20}, month = {summer} } @Article{Hideg2002:implications, author = {Eva Hideg}, title = {Implications of two new paradigms for futures studies}, journal = {Futures}, year = 2002, volume = 34, number = {3--4}, pages = {283--294}, month = apr, doi = {10.1016/S0016-3287(01)00044-1} } @Article{Niiniluoto2001:futures, author = {Ilkka Niiniluoto}, title = {Futures studies: science or art?}, journal = {Futures}, year = 2001, volume = 33, number = 5, pages = {371--377}, month = jun, doi = {10.1016/S0016-3287(00)00080-X} } @Unpublished{Kim2002:optimal, author = {Seung-Rae Kim}, title = {Optimal Environmental Inversment and Taxation in a Model of Endogenous Growth with Distortionary Taxation: the Case of Global Warming}, year = 2002, institution = {Department of Economics, University of Texas at Austin} } @Unpublished{Fischbeck.ea199:epistemic, author = {Paul S. Fischbeck and Elisabeth Pat{\'e}-Cornel}, title = {Epistemic Uncertainties in Rational Risk Management Decisions with a Nuclear Reactor Illustration}, year = {199X}, institution = {Department of Engineering and Public Policy , Carnegie Mellon University} } @Article{Budescu.ea2000:confidence, author = {David V. Budescu and Adrian K. Rantilla}, title = {Confidence in aggregation of expert opinion}, journal = {Acta Psychologica}, year = 2000, volume = 104, number = 3, pages = {371--398}, month = jun, doi = {10.1016/S0001-6918(00)00037-8} } @Article{Azar.ea2002:economic, author = {Christian Azar and Stephen H. Schneider}, title = {Are the economic costs of stabilising the atmosphere prohibitive?}, journal = {Ecological Economics}, year = 2002, volume = 42, number = {1--2}, pages = {73--80}, month = aug, doi = {10.1016/S0921-8009(02)00042-3} } @Article{Azar.ea2003:catastrophic, author = {Christian Azar and Kristian Lindgren}, title = {Catastrophic events and stochastic cost-benefit analysis of climate change. An Editorial Comment}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2003, volume = 56, number = 3, pages = {245--255}, month = feb } @Article{Pate-Cornel.ea2002:probabilistic, author = {Elisabeth Pat{\'e}-Cornel and Seth Guikema}, title = {Probabilistic Modeling of Terrorist Threats: A Systems Analysis Approach to Setting Priorities Amon Counter-measures}, journal = {Military Operations Research}, year = 2002, volume = 7, number = 4, pages = {5--23} } @TechReport{Trigeorgis2002:real, author = {Lenos Trigeorgis}, title = {Real Options and Investment Under Uncertainty: What do we Know?}, institution = {National Bank of Belgium}, year = 2002, type = {Research Series}, number = 22, month = may, url = {http://www.bnb.be/sg/En/Produits/publication/working/WP22.pdf} } @Article{Denneberg2002:conditional, author = {Dieter Denneberg}, title = {Conditional expectation for monotone measures, the discrete case}, journal = {Journal of Mathematical Economics}, year = 2002, volume = 37, pages = {105--121} } @Article{Sarin.ea1992:simple, author = {Rakesh Sarin and Peter Wakker}, title = {A simple axiomatization of nonadditive expected utility}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = 1992, volume = 60, number = 6, pages = {1255--1272}, month = nov } @Article{Schmeidler1989:subjective, author = {David Schmeidler}, title = {Subjective probability and expected utility without additivity}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = 1989, volume = 57, number = 3, pages = {571--587}, month = may } @Article{Prelec1998:probability, author = {Drazen Prelec}, title = {The probability weighting function}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = 1998, volume = 66, number = 3, pages = {97--527}, month = may } @Article{Harless.ea1994:predictive, author = {David W. Harless and Colin F. Camerer}, title = {The Predictive Utility of Generalized Expected Utility Theories}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = 1994, volume = 62, number = 6, pages = {1251--1289}, month = nov } @Article{Hey.ea1994:investigating, author = {John D. Hey and Chris Orme}, title = {Investigating generalizations of expected utility theory using experimental data}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = 1994, volume = 62, number = 6, pages = {1291--1326}, month = nov } @Article{Epstein.ea1996:beliefs, author = {Larry G. Epstein and Tan Wang}, title = {Beliefs about Beliefs without probabilities}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = 1996, volume = 64, number = 6, pages = {1343--1373}, month = nov } @Article{Mangelsdorff.ea1994:testing, author = {Lukas Mangelsdorff and Martin Weber}, title = {Testing Choquet expected utility}, journal = {Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization}, year = 1994, volume = 25, number = 3, pages = {437--457} } @Article{Battalio.ea1990:testing, author = {Raymond C. Battalio and John H. Kagel and Komain Jiranyakul}, title = {Testing between alternative models of choice under uncertainty: some initial results}, journal = {Journal of Risk and Uncertainty}, year = 1990, volume = 3, pages = {25--50} } @TechReport{Ghirardato.ea2001:risk, author = {Paolo Ghirardato and Massimo Marinacci}, title = {Risk, Ambiguity and the Separation of Utility and beliefs}, institution = {California Institute of Technology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences}, year = 2001, type = {Social Science Working Paper}, number = 1085, month = jun } @TechReport{Ghirardato.ea2002:certainty, author = {Paolo Ghirardato and Fabio Maccheroni and Massimo Marinacci}, title = {Certainty Independance and the Separation of Utility and Beliefs}, institution = {International Center for Economic Research}, year = 2002, number = 40, month = dec, series = {Applied Mathematics Working Paper} } @InCollection{Dntsch.ea2000:rough, author = {I. Dntsch and G. Gediga}, title = {Rough set data analysis}, editor = {Marcel Dekker}, booktitle = {Encyclopedia of Computer Science and Technology}, year = 2000, url = {http://citeseer.nj.nec.com/dntsch00rough.html} } @Misc{Ha-Duong2008:ENSTA, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {La d{\'e}cision sous incertitude}, howpublished = {Lesson given at ENSTA, Paris}, year = 2008, month = dec # { 12}, note = {Slides of a 3 hours class given to master's level students in Engineering.}, file = {HaDuong-2008-CoursDecisionIncertitude.pdf}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong2008:ENSTA} } @Misc{Ha-Duong2008:IPGP, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {{CCS} economics and acceptability}, howpublished = {Lesson given at the Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris (IPGP)}, year = 2008, month = mar # { 21}, note = {Slides of a 2 hours class given to master's level students in geology. Also given at AgroParisTech, ENGREF building, nov. 21st 2008.}, file = {HaDuong-2008-CCSEconomicsAndAcceptability-MasterIPGP.pdf}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong2008:IPGP} } @Misc{Ha-Duong2002:economic, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {An economic perspective on information warfare and security}, howpublished = {Lesson given at Carnegie Mellon University}, year = 2002, month = feb # { 11}, note = {Annotated slides of a 2 hours talk to non-economist undergraduates.}, address = {Pittsburgh, PA}, url = {http://www.centre-cired.fr/spip.php?article182} } @Misc{Ha-Duong2003:modeling, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Modeling climate change uncertainty with imprecise probabilities}, howpublished = {Lesson given at the workshop on Integrated Climate Models: An interdisciplinary assessment of climate impacts and policies}, year = 2003, month = sep # { 30}, note = {Slides of a 3 1/2 hours, 3 parts tutorial to economist postdocs}, address = {ICTP, Trieste, Italy}, file = {HaDuong-2003-ClimateUncertaintyImpreciseProbabilities.pdf} } @Misc{Ha-Duong2005:techniques, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {Techniques de mod{\'e}lisation et analyse de l'incertitude}, howpublished = {Support du cours Prospective et D{\'e}cision sous incertitude du Master ParisTech Transport et D{\'e}veloppement Durable}, year = 2005, month = may # { 9-16}, file = {HaDuong-2005-TechniquesDeModelisationAnalyseIncertitude.pdf} } @Misc{Ha-Duong.ea2004:explorer, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and St{\'e}phane Hallegatte}, title = {Explorer les changements climatiques futurs. La m{\'e}thode des sc{\'e}narios coh{\'e}rents}, howpublished = {Affiche pour le Forum de l'ASTS.}, year = 2004, month = feb # { 1}, address = {Mairie du 19e, Paris}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2004-ExplorerChangementsClimatiquesFuturs.pdf} } @Misc{Ha-Duong2009:PosterSOCECO2, author = {Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {{SOCECO2}. {{\'E}conomie} et sociologie de la fili\`ere capture et stockage g\'eologique du {CO2}}, howpublished = {Affiche pour le colloque ANR ``Quelle recherche pour les \'energies du futur ?''}, year = 2009, month = nov # { 19--20}, address = {Cit\'e des sciences et de l’industrie, Paris}, file = {AfficheSOCECO2-2552x3402.png}, bibkey = {Ha-Duong2009:PosterSOCECO2} } @Misc{Ha-Duong.ea2007:who, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and {\'E}liane Daphy}, title = {Who archives who ?}, howpublished = {Poster displayed at the OAI 5 Workshop on Innovations in Scholarly Communications}, year = 2007, month = {18--20 } # apr, address = {CERN, Geneva}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2007-WhoArchivesWho.pdf}, url = {http://oai5.web.cern.ch/oai5/} } @Misc{Ha-Duong.ea2007:qui, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and {\'E}liane Daphy}, title = {Qui archive qui ?}, howpublished = {Poster pr{\'e}sent{\'e} aux Rencontres des professionnels de l'{IST}, 5e {\'e}dition}, year = 2007, month = {18--20 } # jun, address = {Nancy, France}, file = {HaDuong.ea-2007-QuiArchiveQui.pdf}, url = {http://rpist.inist.fr/} } @Misc{Ha-Duong.ea2007:faut-il, author = {Minh Ha-Duong and Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Faut-il agir aujourd'hui face au changement climatique ? {L}'apport des mod{\`e}les int{\'e}gr{\'e}s}, howpublished = {Dossier Recherche de l'{\'E}cole des Ponts, num{\'e}ro 10}, year = 2007, file = {HaDuong.ea-2007-DossierRechercheENPC10.pdf}, url = {http://www.enpc.fr/} } @Book{Schopenhauer1830:art, author = {Arthur Schopenhauer}, title = {The Art of Controversy}, publisher = {London: Swan sonnenschein and Co., New York: Macmillan}, year = 1830, note = {translated 1896 by T. Bailey Saunders, M.A.}, url = {http://coolhaus.de/art-of-controversy/} } @Article{Webster2002:curious, author = {M. Webster}, title = {The Curious Role of ``Learning'' in Climate Policy: Should We Wait For More Data?}, journal = {Energy Journal}, year = 2002, volume = 23, number = 2, pages = {97--119} } @Article{Gritsevskyi.ea2000:modeling, author = {Andrii Gritsevskyi and Neboj{\v s}a Naki{\'c}enovi{\'c}}, title = {Modeling uncertainty of induced technological change}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 2000, volume = 28, pages = {907--921} } @Article{Loschel2002:technological, author = {Andreas L{\"o}schel}, title = {Technological change in economic models of environmental policy: a survey}, journal = {Ecological Economics}, year = 2002, volume = 43, pages = {105--126} } @Book{Ausubel1994:technical, author = {J. H. Ausubel}, title = {Technical progress and climate change}, year = 1994, series = {Integrative assessment of mitigation, impacts, and adaptation to climate change} } @Misc{Ruttan1999:technology, author = {V. W. Ruttan}, title = {Technology, Growth and Development: an Induced Innovation Perspective}, year = 1999, pages = {1--14} } @Article{Grubler.ea1998:technological, author = {A. Gr{\"u}bler and S. Messner}, title = {Technological Change and the Timing of Mitigation Measures}, journal = {Energy Economics}, year = 1998, volume = 20, number = {5/6}, pages = {495--512.} } @Misc{Neilson.ea2002:value, author = {William Neilson and Michael McKee and Robert P. Berrens}, title = {Value and Outcome Uncertainty as (Further) Explanations for the WTA vs WTP Disparity}, year = 2002, month = jan, url = {http://econfloat.tamu.edu/neilson/Papers/WTA-WTP.pdf} } @Article{Alley.ea2003:abrupt, author = {Richard B. Alley and J. Marotzke and William D. Nordhaus and J. T. Overpeck and D. M. Peteet and R. A. Pielke, Jr. and R. T. Pierrehumbert and P. B. Rhines and T. F. Stocker and L. D. Talleyand and J. M. Wallace}, title = {Abrupt climate change}, journal = {Science}, year = 2003, volume = 299, pages = {2005--2010} } @Article{Nau2002:de-finetti, author = {Robert Nau}, title = {{De Finetti} Was Right: Probability Does Not Exist}, journal = {Theory and Decision}, year = 2002, volume = 51, number = {2--4}, pages = {89--124}, url = {http://faculty.fuqua.duke.edu/~rnau/definettiwasright.pdf} } @InBook{Arrow1990:values, author = {Kenneth J. Arrow}, title = {Values and collective decision making}, chapter = 14, pages = {337--353}, crossref = {Moser1990:rationality} } @Book{Moser1990:rationality, editor = {Paul K. Moser}, title = {Rationality in Action --- Contemporary Approaches}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1990, pages = 493, isbn = {0-521-38598-9} } @Book{vonMises1957:probability, editor = {Richard von Mises}, title = {Probability, Statistics and Truth}, publisher = {George Allen and Unwin Ltd}, year = 1957, edition = {Second}, note = {Originally published in German by J. Springer in 1928. This ISBN refers to 1981 Dover republication based on the third German edition.}, pages = 244, isbn = {0-486-24214-5} } @InBook{Ramsey1926:truth, author = {Franck Plumpton Ramsey}, editor = {R. B. Braithwaite}, title = {Truth and Probability}, chapter = {VII}, pages = {156--198}, publisher = {London: Kegan, Paul, Trench, Trubner and Co., New York: Harcourt, Brace and Company}, year = 1926, note = {1999 electronic edition}, booktitle = {The Foundations of Mathematics and other Logical Essays (1931)} } @Article{Chichilnisky1996:axiomatic, author = {Graciela Chichilnisky}, title = {An axiomatic approach to sustainable development}, journal = {Social choice and welfare}, year = 1996, volume = 13, number = 2, pages = {231--257} } @Article{Costanza.ea1997:value, author = {Robert Costanza and Ralph C. d'Arge and Rudolph de Groot and Stephen Farber and Monica Grasso and Bruce Hannon and Karin Limburg and Shahid Naeem and Robert V. O'Neill and Jose Paruelo and Robert G. Raskin and Paul Sutton and Marjan van den Belt}, title = {The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital}, journal = {Nature}, year = 1997, volume = 387, pages = {253--260}, month = may } @Article{Farzin.ea1996:global, author = {Y. Hossein Farzin and Olli Tahvonen}, title = {Global carbon cycle and the optimal time path of a carbon tax}, journal = {Oxford Economic Papers}, year = 1996, volume = 48, pages = {515--536} } @Article{Fankhauser.ea1997:aggregation, author = {Samuel Fankhauser and Richard S. J. Tol and David W. Pearce}, title = {The Aggregation of Climate Change Damages: {A} Welfare Theoretic Approach}, journal = {Environmental and Resource Economics}, year = 1997, volume = 10, pages = {249--266}, url = {http://www.uni-hamburg.de/Wiss/FB/15/Sustainability/ereaggregation.pdf} } @Article{Fankhauser.ea2005:climate, author = {Samuel Fankhauser and Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {On climate change and economic growth}, journal = {Resource and Energy Economics}, year = 2005, volume = 27, pages = {1--17} } @Article{Fankhauser.ea1998:extensions, author = {Samuel Fankhauser and Richard S. J. Tol and David W. Pearce}, title = {Extensions and alternatives to climate change impact valuation: on the critique of {IPCC} {W}orking {G}roup {III}'s impact estimates }, journal = {Environment and Development Economics}, year = 1998, volume = 3, pages = {59--81} } @Article{Kelly.ea1999:bayesian, author = {David L. Kelly and Charles D. Kolstad}, title = {Bayesian learning, growth, and pollution}, journal = {Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control}, year = 1999, volume = 23, pages = {491--518} } @Article{Kelly.ea2005:adjustment, author = {David L. Kelly and Charles D. Kolstad and Glenn T. Mitchell}, title = {Adjustment costs from environmental change}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, year = 2005, volume = 50, pages = {468--495}, doi = {10.1016/j.jeem.2005.02.003} } @Article{Tol1996:damage, author = {Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {The damage costs of climate change towards a dynamic representation}, journal = {Ecological Economics}, year = 1996, volume = 19, pages = {67--90} } @Book{Hirschman1958:strategy, author = {Albert O. Hirschman}, title = {The strategy of Economic Development}, publisher = {Yale University Press}, year = 1958 } @InCollection{Singer1951:development, author = {Singer, Hans W.}, title = {Development projects as part of National Development}, booktitle = {Formulation and Appraisal of Development Projects}, year = 1951 } @Book{Rostow1978:world, author = {Walt Whitman Rostow}, title = {World Economy History and Prospect}, publisher = {Mac Millan, London}, year = 1978 } @Article{Slutsky1927:summation, author = {Slutsky, E.}, title = {The summation of random causes as a source of cyclic processes, {III}(1)}, journal = {Conjuncture Institute, Moscow, Reprinted in Econometrica}, year = 1927, volume = 5, pages = {105--146} } @InCollection{Frisch1933:propagation, author = {Frisch, Ragnar}, title = {Propagation Problems and Impulse Problems in Dynamic Economics}, booktitle = {Economic Essay in honor of Gustav Cassel}, publisher = {George Allen and Unwin}, year = 1933, pages = {171--206}, address = {London} } @Article{Kydland.ea1982:time, author = {Kydland, F.E and Prescott, E.C.}, title = {Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = 1982, volume = 50, number = 6, pages = {1345--1370} } @Article{Samuelson1939:synthesis, author = {Samuelson, P.A.}, title = {A Synthesis of the Principle of Acceleration and the Multiplier}, journal = {Journal of Political Economy}, year = 1939, volume = 47, pages = {786--797} } @Article{Harrod1939:essay, author = {Harrod, R.}, title = {An essay on dynamic economic theory}, journal = {Economic Journal}, year = 1939, volume = 49, pages = 1433 } @InCollection{Hicks1950:cycle, author = {Hicks, J.R.}, title = {The Cycle in Outline}, booktitle = {A Contribution to the Theory of the Trade Cycle}, publisher = {Oxford University Press}, year = 1950, pages = {95--107}, address = {Oxford}, note = {Ch. 8} } @InCollection{King.ea2000:resuscitating, author = {R. King and S. Rebelo}, title = {Resuscitating real business cycles}, editor = {J. Taylor and M. Woodford}, booktitle = {Handbook of Macroeconomics}, publisher = {North-Holland}, year = 2000, pages = {927--1007}, address = {Amsterdam} } @Book{Chiarella.ea2000:dynamics, author = {Chiarella, C. and Flaschel}, title = {The Dynamics of Keynesian Monetary Growth}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2000 } @Book{Chiarella.ea2005:foundations, author = {Chiarella, C. and Flaschel, P. and Franke, R.}, title = {Foundations for a Disequilibrium Theory of the Business Cycle}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2005 } @Book{Chiarella.ea2006:quantitative, author = {C. Chiarella and R. Franke and P. Flaschel and W. Semmler}, title = {Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels}, publisher = {Elsevier}, year = 2006, pages = 277 } @Book{Flaschel.ea1997:dynamic, author = {P. Flaschel and R. Franke and W. Semmler}, title = {Dynamic Macroeconomics: Instability, Fluctuations and Growth in Monetary Economies}, publisher = {MIT Press}, year = 1997 } @Book{Nikaido1996:prices, author = {Nikaido, H.}, title = {Prices, Cycles, and Growth}, publisher = {MIT Press}, year = 1996, address = {Cambridge, MA}, pages = 285 } @Article{Goodwin1951:non-linear, author = {Goodwin, R.}, title = {The non-linear accelerator and the persistence of business cycles}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = 1951, volume = 19, pages = {1--17} } @InCollection{Goodwin1967:growth, author = {Goodwin, R.}, title = {A growth cycle}, editor = {C. Feinstein}, booktitle = {Socialism, Capitalism and Economic Growth}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1967, address = {Cambridge} } @Book{Hahn.ea1995:critical, author = {F. Hahn and R. Solow}, title = {A Critical Essay on Modern Macroeconomic Theory}, publisher = {The MIT Press}, year = 1995, address = {Cambridge, Massachussetts and London, England} } @Article{Jarsulic1993:nonlinear, author = {Jarsulic, M.}, title = {A nonlinear model of the pure growth cycle}, journal = {Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization}, year = 1993, volume = 22, number = 2, pages = {133--151} } @Book{Hillinger1992:cyclical, author = {C. Hillinger}, title = {Cyclical Growth in Market and Planned Economies}, publisher = {Oxford University Press}, year = 1992 } @Article{Kalecki1937:theory, author = {M. Kalecki}, title = {A theory of the business cycle}, journal = {Review of Economic Studies}, year = 1937, volume = 4, pages = {77--97} } @Article{Grandmont1985:endogenous, author = {Grandmont, J.-M.}, title = {On endogenous competitive business cycles}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = 1985, volume = 5, pages = {995--1045} } @Article{Ireland2003:endogenous, author = {P. N. 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Singh}, booktitle = {Risk Uncertainty and Agricultural Development}, publisher = {Agricultural Development Council}, year = 1979, address = {New-York} } @Article{Day1982:irregular, author = {R. Day}, title = {Irregular growth cycles}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1982, volume = 72, pages = {406--414} } @Article{Day.ea1985:keynesian, author = {R. Day and W. Shafer}, title = {Keynesian Chaos}, journal = {Journal of Macroeconomics}, year = 1985, volume = 7, number = 3, pages = {277--295} } @Article{Gitz.ea2003:amplifying, author = {Vincent Gitz and Philippe Ciais}, title = {Amplifying effects of land-use change on atmospheric ${CO}_2$ levels}, journal = {Global Biogeochemical Cycles}, year = 2003, volume = 17, number = 1, note = 1024, annote = {note is a number which has to appear in the citation.}, doi = {10.1029/2002GB001963} } @Misc{Gitz.ea2005:optimal, author = {Vincent Gitz and Philippe Ambrosi and Bertrand Magn{\'e} and Philippe Ciais}, title = {Is There an Optimal Timing for Sequestration to Stabilize Future Climate?}, year = 2005, note = {in revision}, journal = {{AGU} geophysical monograph} } @Article{Gitz.ea2006:timing, author = {Vincent Gitz and Jean-Charles Hourcade and Philippe Ciais}, title = {The timing of biological carbon sequestration and carbon abatement in the energy sector under optimal strategies against climate risks}, journal = {Energy Journal}, year = 2006, volume = 27, number = 3 } @Article{Nordhaus1992:how, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {How fast shall we graze the global commons ?}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 1992, volume = 72, pages = {242--246} } @Article{Nordhaus1993:rolling, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {Rolling the DICE: an optimal transition path for controlling greenhouse gases}, journal = {Resource and Energy Economics}, year = 1993, volume = 15, pages = {27--50} } @Article{Parry.ea2001:millions, author = {Martin Parry and Nigell Arnell and Tony McMichael and Robert Nicholls and Pim Martens and Sari Kovats and Matthew Livermore and Cynthia Rosenzweig and Ana Iglesias and Gunther Fischer}, title = {Millions at risk: defining critical climate change threats and targets}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, year = 2001, volume = 11, pages = {181--183} } @Article{Lave1991:formulating, author = {Lester B. Lave}, title = {Formulating greenhouse policies in a sea of uncertainties}, journal = {Energy Journal}, year = 1991, volume = 12, number = 1, pages = {9--21} } @Unpublished{Narain.ea2002:global, author = {Urvashi Narain and Anthony C. Fisher}, title = {Global warming, endogenous risk and irreversibility}, year = 2002, note = {Working paper, Department of agricultural and resource economics, UC Berkeley} } @InProceedings{European-Commission1996:communication, author = {{European Commission}}, title = {Communication on community Strategy on Climate Change, Council Conclusions}, year = 1996, organization = {European Commission} } @Misc{AIM1997:aim, author = {AIM}, title = {{AIM}: Asian-Pacific Integrated Model}, year = 1997, institution = {National Institute for Environmental Studies}, address = {Japan}, url = {http://www-iam.nies.go.jp/aim/} } @InCollection{Lecocq.ea2002:incertitude, author = {Franck Lecocq and Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Incertitude, irr\'eversibilit\'e et actualisation dans les calculs \'economiques sur l'effet de serre}, editor = {Roger Guesnerie}, booktitle = {Rapport au Conseil d'Analyse {\'E}conomique}, publisher = {La Documentation Fran\,{c}aise}, year = 2002, address = {Paris} } @InCollection{Ambrosi.ea2002:incertitudes, author = {Philippe Ambrosi and Jean-Charles Hourcade and Herv{\'e} Le Treut}, title = {Incertitudes sur la sensibilit\'e du climat : valeur de l'information et politique climatique optimale}, booktitle = {Mod{\'e}lisation int{\'e}gr{\'e}e, {\'e}valuation des risques climatiques et des politiques de pr\'ecaution, rapport final}, year = 2002, crossref = {Hourcade.ea2002:modelisation} } @TechReport{Hourcade.ea2002:modelisation, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Herv{\'e} Le Treut}, title = {Mod{\'e}lisation int{\'e}gr{\'e}e, {\'e}valuation des risques climatiques et des politiques de pr{\'e}caution, rapport final}, institution = {\textsc{cired}, \textsc{lmd}, \textsc{smash}}, year = 2002, note = {Rapport final. Remis au MATE, ADEME et MIES, disponible au CIRED}, organization = {Programme de recherche {\textquotedblleft}gestion et impacts du changement climatique{\textquotedblright}, convention \textsc{medias} 10/99}, publisher = {\textsc{cired}, \textsc{lmd}, \textsc{smash}} } @Book{Heal1998:valuing, author = {Geoffrey Heal}, title = {Valuing the Future, Economic Theory and Sustainability}, publisher = {Columbia University Press}, year = 1998, address = {New York} } @Book{Watson.ea2001:climate, editor = {R. T. Watson and {The Core Writing Team}}, title = {Climate Change 2001: synthesis report}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2001, pages = 398 } @Book{Nakicenovic.ea2000:special, editor = {Neboj{\v s}a Naki{\'c}enovi{\'c} and Rob Swart}, title = {Special Report on Emissions Scenarios}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2000, url = {http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/emission/} } @InBook{Keeling.ea2002:atmospheric, author = {C. D. Keeling and T. P. Whorf}, title = {Atmospheric {CO}$_2$ records from sites in the {SIO} air sampling network}, publisher = {Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, U.S. Department of Energy}, year = 2002, address = {Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A.}, booktitle = {Trends: A Compendium of Data on Global Change} } @Article{Munich-Re2003:natural, author = {{Munich Re}}, title = {Natural Catastrophes 2002}, journal = {topics}, year = 2003, pages = 48, editor = {{Munich Re}}, address = {Munich, Germany} } @Article{Munich-Re2004:annual, author = {{Munich Re}}, title = {Annual reviews: Natural Catastrophes 2003}, journal = {Topics Geo}, year = 2004, pages = 56, editor = {{Munich Re}}, address = {Munich, Germany} } @Article{Munich-Re2005:annual, author = {{Munich Re}}, title = {Annual reviews: Natural Catastrophes 2004}, journal = {Topics Geo}, year = 2005, pages = 60, editor = {{Munich Re}}, address = {Munich, Germany} } @Article{Mendelsohn.ea2000:country-specific, author = {Robert Mendelsohn and Wendy Morrison and Michael E. Schlesinger and Natalia G. Andronova}, title = {Country-specific market impacts of climate change}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2000, volume = 45, pages = {553--569} } @Article{Fisher2000:investment, author = {Anthony C. Fisher}, title = {Investment under uncertainty and option value in environmental economics}, journal = {Resource and Energy Economics}, year = 2000, volume = 22, pages = {197--204} } @Article{Manne1995:rate, author = {Allan S. Manne}, title = {The rate of time preference}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 1995, volume = 23, pages = {391--394} } @Article{Mastrandrea.ea2001:integrated, author = {Michael D. Mastrandrea and Stephen H. Schneider}, title = {Integrated assessment of abrupt climatic change}, journal = {Climate Policy}, year = 2001, pages = {433--449} } @Article{Elbasha.ea1996:endogenous, author = {Elamin H. Elbasha and Terry L. Roe}, title = {On Endogenous Growth: The Implications of Environmental Externalities}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, year = 1996, volume = 31, pages = {240--268} } @Article{Reilly.ea2000:irreversibility, author = {John Reilly and David Schimmelpfennig}, title = {Irreversibility, Uncertainty and Learning: Portraits of Adaptation to Long-Term Climate Change}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2000, volume = 45, pages = {253--278}, doi = {10.1023/A:1005669807945} } @Article{Fankhauser.ea1999:weathering, author = {Samuel Fankhauser and Joel B. Smith and Richard S.J. Tol}, title = {Weathering climate change: some simple rules to guide adaptation decisions}, journal = {Ecological Economics}, year = 1999, volume = 30, pages = {67--78} } @InProceedings{Callaway2002:adaptation, author = {John M. Callaway}, title = {Adaptation benefits and costs --- measurement and policy issues}, year = 2002, pages = 44, address = {Paris, France}, month = dec # { 12-13}, organization = {Environment Directorate, Environment Policy Committee, OECD}, note = {{ENV/EPOC/GSP(2003)10}} } @Article{Schneider.ea2000:adaptation, author = {Stephen H. Schneider and William E. Easterling and Linda O. Mearns}, title = {Adaptation: Sensitivity to Natural Variability, Agent Assumptions and Dynamic Climate Changes}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2000, volume = 45, pages = {203--221}, doi = {10.1023/A:1005657421149} } @Book{Ellsberg2001:risk, author = {Daniel Ellsberg}, title = {Risk, Ambiguity and Decision}, publisher = {Routledge}, year = 2001, series = {Studies in Philosophy}, month = mar, note = {Ph. D. thesis}, pages = 288, isbn = {0-8153-4022-2} } @InCollection{deFinetti1937:prevision, author = {Bruno de Finetti}, title = {La Pr{\'e}vision: Ses Lois Logiques, ses Sources Subjectives}, booktitle = {Annales de l'Institut Henri Poincar{\'e} 7}, publisher = {Paris}, year = 1937, pages = {1--68}, note = {Translated into English by Henry E. Kyburg Jr., Foresight: Its Logical Laws, its Subjective Sources. In Henry E. Kyburg Jr. and Howard E. Smokler (1964, Eds.), Studies in Subjective Probability, 53-118, Wiley, New York.}, url = {http://www.numdam.org/item?id=AIHP_1937__7_1_1_0} } @Article{Parascandola.ea2001:causation, author = {Mark Parascandola and Douglas L. Weed}, title = {Causation in epidemiology}, journal = {Journal of Epidemical Community Health}, year = 2001, volume = 55, pages = {905--912} } @Article{Murray.ea2003:comparative, author = {Christopher J. L. Murray and Majid Ezzati and Alan D. Lopez and Anthony Rodgers and Stephen Vander Hoorn}, title = {Comparative quantification of health risks: Conceptual framework and methodological issues}, journal = {Population Health Metrics}, year = 2003, volume = 1, number = 1, url = {http://www.pophealthmetrics.com/content/1/1/1} } @InBook{Rothman2002:causation, author = {Kenneth J. Rothman}, title = {What is causation?}, chapter = 2, year = 2002, month = mar, booktitle = {Epidemiology: An Introduction}, isbn = 0195135547, url = {http://www.us.oup.com/pdf/0195135547_ch2.pdf} } @InBook{Greenland2002:causality, author = {Sander Greenland}, editor = {Christopher J.L. Murray and Joshua A. Salomon and Colin D. Mathers and Alan D. Lopez}, title = {Causality theory for policy uses of epidemiological measures}, chapter = {6.2}, pages = {291--301}, publisher = {WHO}, year = 2002, booktitle = {Summary measures of population health}, isbn = {92 4 154551 8}, url = {http://www.who.int/pub/smph/en/} } @Article{Ostrogradsky1834:extrait, author = {Mikhail Vasilievich Ostrogradsky}, title = {Extrait d'un m{\'e}moire sur la probabilit{\'e} des erreurs des tribunaux}, journal = {Bulletin Scientifique (Acad{\'e}mie Imp{\'e}riale des Sciences de St. Petersbourg)}, year = 1834, volume = {M{\'e}m. V1. S{\'e}r. Sc. math., phys. et nat. T. III. 1re part.}, pages = {XIX--XXV} } @Article{Koopman1940:axioms, author = {B. O. Koopman}, title = {The Axioms and Algebra of Intuitive Probability}, journal = {The Annals of Mathematics, 2nd Ser.}, year = 1940, volume = 41, number = 2, pages = {269--292}, month = apr, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-486X%28194004%292%3A41%3A2%3C269%3ATAAAOI%3E2.0.CO%3B2-C} } @Article{Good1959:kinds, author = {Irving J. Good}, title = {Kinds of Probability. {A}lthough there are at least five kinds of probability, we can get along with just one kind}, journal = {Science}, year = 1959, volume = 129, number = 3347, pages = {443--447}, month = feb } @InProceedings{Dubois.ea1997:focusing, author = {Didier Dubois and Henri Prade}, title = {Focusing vs. Belief Revision: A Fundamental Distinction When Dealing with Generic Knowledge}, pages = {96--107}, crossref = {Gabbay.ea1997:qualitative} } @InProceedings{Kramosil1997:belief, author = {Ivan Kramosil}, title = {Belief Functions with Nonstandard Values}, pages = {380--391}, crossref = {Gabbay.ea1997:qualitative} } @InProceedings{Voorbraak1997:combining, author = {Frans Voorbraak}, title = {Combining evidence under partial ignorance}, pages = {574--588}, crossref = {Gabbay.ea1997:qualitative} } @InProceedings{Smets1997:combination, author = {Philippe Smets}, title = {The $\alpha$-junctions: combination operators applicable to belief functions}, pages = {131--153}, bibkey = {Smets1997:combination}, crossref = {Gabbay.ea1997:qualitative} } @Proceedings{Gabbay.ea1997:qualitative, title = {Qualitative and Quantitative Practical Reasoning, First International Joint Conference on Qualitative and Quantitative Practical Reasoning; ECSQARU--FAPR'97}, year = 1997, editor = {Dov M. Gabbay and Rudolf Kruse and Andreas Nonnengart and Hans J{\"u}rgen Ohlbach}, number = 1244, series = {Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence}, address = {Bad Honnef, Germany}, month = jun # {9--12}, publisher = {Springer}, booktitle = {Qualitative and Quantitative Practical Reasoning, First International Joint Conference on Qualitative and Quantitative Practical Reasoning; ECSQARU--FAPR'97}, isbn = {3-540-63095-3} } @InCollection{Dubois.ea1993:possibilityprobability, author = {D. Dubois and H. Prade and S. Sandri}, title = {On possibility/probability transformations}, booktitle = {Fuzzy Logic: State of the Art}, publisher = {Kluwer Academic Publ.}, year = 1993, pages = {103--112}, address = {Dordrecht}, editors = {R. Lowen and M. 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Granger Morgan}, title = {Quantitative Expert Subjective Judgment: Does It Have a Role in Future {IPCC} Assessments?}, editor = {Session Chairs: Dr. Richard H. Moss and Dr. Stephen H. Schneider}, booktitle = {AGCI Session II: Characterizing and Communicating Scientific Uncertainty}, year = 1996, month = jul # { 31 to } # aug # { 8}, publisher = {Aspen Global Change Institute}, url = {http://www.gcrio.org/ASPEN/science/eoc96/AGCIEOC96SSSII/AGCIEOC96MorganSSSII.html} } @Article{Birkhoff.ea1936:logic, author = {Garrett Birkhoff and John Von Neumann}, title = {The Logic of Quantum Mechanics}, journal = {The Annals of Mathematics, 2nd Ser.}, year = 1936, volume = 37, number = 4, pages = {823--843}, month = oct, url = {http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0003-486X%28193610%292%3A37%3A4%3C823%3ATLOQM%3E2.0.CO%3B2-Z} } @Article{Tol.ea1998:scope, author = {Richard S. J. Tol and Samuel Fankhauser and Joel B. 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Un bref guide m{\'e}thodologique}, journal = {Futuribles}, year = 1999, month = nov, note = {Pub. init. sep. 1993, revis. 2002}, url = {http://www.futuribles.com/revue.html} } @Article{Kahneman2003:maps, author = {Daniel Kahneman}, title = {Maps of bounded rationality. Psychology for behavioral economics}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 2003, volume = 93, number = 5, pages = {1--?}, month = dec } @TechReport{Godet.ea2002:scenarios, author = {Michel Godet and R{\'e}gine Monti and Francis Meunier and Fabrice Roubelat}, title = {Scenarios and strategies. A toolbox for scenario planning}, year = 2002, number = {3rd issue}, month = jan, note = {Disponible en Fran{\c{c}}ais, Anglais, Espagnol, Portugais}, series = {Cahiers du LIPSOR}, publisher = {Librairie des Arts et M{\'e}tiers}, url = {http://www.cnam.fr/lipsor/} } @InProceedings{Cheve.ea2002:managing, author = {Morgane Chev{\'e} and Ronan Congar}, title = {Managing environmental risks under scientific uncertainty and controversy}, crossref = {Wageningen2002:proceedings}, url = {http://econ.imingo.net/article.php3?id_article=17} } @Proceedings{Wageningen2002:proceedings, year = 2002, address = {Wageningen, The Netherlands}, month = jun # { 5-7}, organization = {Wageningen University}, editors = {E.C. van Ierland and H.P. Weikard and J. Wesseler}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the International Conference on Risk and Uncertainty in Environmental and Resource Economics} } @Misc{Weatherson--no-year--:decision, author = {Brian Weatherson}, title = {Decision making with imprecise probabilities}, url = {http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Philosophy/homepages/weatherson/vdt.pdf} } @Misc{Neilson.ea2002:value*1, author = {William Neilson and Michael McKee and Robert P. Berrens}, title = {Value and Outcome Uncertainty as (Further) Explanations for the WTA vs WTP Disparity}, year = 2002, month = jan, url = {http://econweb.tamu.edu/neilson/Papers/WTA-WTP.pdf} } @Article{Dubra.ea2004:expected, author = {Juan Dubra and Fabio Maccheroni and Efe A. Ok}, title = {Expected utility theory without the completeness axiom}, journal = {Journal of Economic Theory}, year = 2004, volume = 115, number = 1, pages = {118--133}, month = mar, note = {Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1294}, doi = {10.1016/S0022-0531(03)00166-2 S0022-0531(03)00166-2}, url = {http://ideas.repec.org/p/cwl/cwldpp/1294.html} } @Article{Epstein.ea2003:recursive, author = {Larry Epstein and Martin Schneider}, title = {Recursive multiple-priors}, journal = {Journal of Economic Theory}, year = 2003, volume = 113, number = 1, pages = {1--31}, month = nov, note = {Previously published as Univ. of Rocherster RCER Working Paper 485}, url = {http://www.econ.rochester.edu/Faculty/Epstein/rectang41.pdf}, doi = {10.1016/S0022-0531(03)00097-8} } @Article{Chichilnisky1996:fisher, author = {Graciela Chichilnisky}, title = {Fisher {B}lack; the mathematics of uncertainty}, journal = {Notices of the American Mathematical Society}, year = 1996, volume = 43, number = 3, pages = {319--322}, month = mar, url = {http://www.ams.org/notices/199603/comm-chichilnisky.pdf} } @Article{Gitz.ea2003:amplifying*1, author = {Vincent Gitz and Philippe Ciais}, title = {Amplifying effects of land-use change on future atmospheric {CO$_2$} levels}, journal = {Global Biogeochemical Cycles}, year = 2003, volume = 17, number = {1, 1024}, pages = {{24--1} -- {24--15}}, doi = {10.1029/2002GB001963} } @Article{Gitz.ea2004:future, author = {Vincent Gitz and Philippe Ciais}, title = {Future expansion of agriculture and pasture acts to amplify atmospheric {CO$_2$} levels in response to fossil fuel emissions}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2004, volume = {in press}, note = {Special issue on Quantifying Terrestrial Carbon Sinks, edited by J. Canadell, P. Ciais, P. Cox and P. Heimann} } @TechReport{Lecocq.ea2001:optimal, author = {Franck Lecocq and Kenneth Chomitz}, title = {Optimal use of carbon sequestration in a global climate change strategy}, institution = {World Bank}, year = 2001, number = 2635, month = jul, series = {Policy Research Working Paper}, pages = 27, url = {http://econ.worldbank.org/files/2314_wps2635.pdf} } @Article{Kirschbaum2003:trees, author = {Miko U. F. Kirschbaum}, title = {Can trees buy time? An assesment of the role of vegetation sinks as part of the global carbon cycle}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2003, volume = 58, pages = {47--71}, doi = {10.1023/A:1023447504860} } @Misc{Lecocq.ea2003:taux, author = {Franck Lecocq and Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Le taux d'actualisation contre le principe de pr{\'e}caution ? Le{\c{c}}ons {\`a} partir du cas des politiques climatiques}, year = 2003, url = {http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ccsd-00000967} } @InCollection{Mukerji.ea--no-year--:overview, author = {Sujoy Mukerji and Jean-Marc Tallon}, title = {An overview of economic applications of David Schmeidler's models of decision making under uncertainty}, editor = {Itzhak Gilboa}, booktitle = {Uncertainty in Economic Theory: A collection of essays in honor of {D}avid {S}chmeidler's 65th birthday}, publisher = {Routledge}, chapter = 13, note = {Eprint is for University of Oxford Department of Economics Working paper 172}, url = {http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/Research/wp/pdf/paper172.pdf} } @TechReport{Lecocq.ea2003:equitable, author = {Franck Lecocq and Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Equitable Provision of Long-Term Public Goods: The Role of Negotiation Mandates}, institution = {World Bank}, year = 2003, number = 3180, month = dec # { 24}, series = {Research Working Paper}, url = {http://econ.worldbank.org/files/32066_wps3180.pdf} } @TechReport{Ouchi2004:literature, author = {Fumika Ouchi}, title = {A Literature Review on the Use of Expert Opinion in Probabilistic Risk Analysis}, institution = {World Bank}, year = 2004, number = 3201, month = feb, series = {Research Working Paper}, url = {http://econ.worldbank.org/files/32873_wps3201.pdf} } @TechReport{Fay.ea2003:investing, author = {Marianne Fay and Tito Yepes}, title = {Investing in Infrastructures: What is Needed From 2000 to 2010?}, institution = {World Bank}, year = 2003, number = 3102, month = jul, series = {Policy Research Working Paper} } @Article{Cohen.ea2003:whatever, author = {A. J. Cohen and G. C. Harcourt}, title = {Whatever Happened to the Cambridge Capital Theory Controversies?}, journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives}, year = 2003, volume = 17, number = 1, pages = {199--214} } @TechReport{Jacoby2004:informing, author = {Henry D. Jacoby}, title = { Informing Climate Policy Given Incommensurable Benefits Estimates }, institution = {MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change}, year = 2004, number = 107, month = feb, url = {http://web.mit.edu/globalchange/www/MITJPSPGC_Rpt107.pdf} } @InProceedings{Bramoulle.ea2004:uncertainty, author = {Yann Bramoull{\'e} and Nicolas Treich}, title = {Can Uncertainty Alleviate the Commons Problem ?}, crossref = {EAERE2004:thirteenth}, url = {http://w3.toulouse.inra.fr/leerna/treich/externalityuncertaintyjune.pdf} } @Proceedings{EAERE2004:thirteenth, year = 2004, address = {Budapest, Hungary}, month = jun # { 25--28}, organization = {EAERE}, booktitle = {Thirteenth Annual Conference of the European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists}, url = {http://eaere2004.bkae.hu/eaere.php?id=1} } @InCollection{Dubois.ea1993:possibility, author = {Didier Dubois and Henri Prade and Sandra Sandri}, title = {On possibility / probability transformations}, booktitle = {Fuzzy Logic: State of the Art}, publisher = {Kluwer}, year = 1993, pages = {103--112}, editors = {R. Lowen and M. Roubens}, url = {http://citeseer.ist.psu.edu/dubois93possibilityprobability.html} } @Misc{Moatamri2004:identification, author = {Nader Moatamri and Corinne Curt and Gilles Trystram}, title = {Pilotage d'un d{\'e}canteur centrifuge en utilisant la connaissance humaine Partie 1: identification et formalisation des mesures}, howpublished = {UMR G{\'e}nie Industriel Alimentaire GEMAGREF-ENSIA-INAPG-INRA}, year = 2004, bibkey = {Moatamri2004:identification} } @Misc{Moatamri2004:developpement, author = {Nader Moatamri and Corinne Curt and Gilles Trystram}, title = {Pilotage d'un d{\'e}canteur centrifuge en utilisant la connaissance humaine Partie 2: D{\'e}veloppement d'un outil de contr{\^o}le}, howpublished = {UMR G{\'e}nie Industriel Alimentaire GEMAGREF-ENSIA-INAPG-INRA}, year = 2004, bibkey = {Moatamri2004:developpement,} } @Article{Schneider2002:editorial, author = {Stephen H. Schneider}, title = {Editorial Comment: Can we estimate the likelihood of climatic changes at 2100?}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2002, volume = 52, number = 4, pages = {441--451}, doi = {10.1023/A:1014276210717}, url = {http://cesp.stanford.edu/publications/20752/} } @Article{Webster.ea2003:uncertainty, author = {Mort Webster and Chris Forest and John Reilly and Mustafa Babiker and David Kicklighter and Monika Mayer and Ronald Prinn and Marcus Sarofim and Andrei Sokolov and Peter Stone and Chien Wang}, title = {Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change and Policy Response}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2003, volume = 61, number = 3, pages = {295--320}, month = dec, doi = {10.1023/B:CLIM.0000004564.09961.9f} } @Article{Donsimoni.ea1986:stable, author = {M.-P. Donsimoni and N. S. Economides and H. M. Polemarchakis}, title = {Stable Cartels}, journal = {International Economic Review}, year = 1986, volume = 27, number = 2, month = jun } @Article{dAspremont.ea1983:stability, author = {Claude d'Aspremont and Alexis Jacquemin and Jean Jaskold Gabszewicz}, title = {On the stability of collusive price leadership}, journal = {Canadian Journal of Economics}, year = 1983, volume = {XVI}, number = 1, month = feb } @Article{Greenberg1989:application, author = {Joseph Greenberg}, title = {An Application of te Theory of Social Situations to Repeated Games}, journal = {Journal of Economic Literature}, year = 1989, month = jan } @Book{Clarke1983:optimization, author = {F. H. Clarke}, title = {Optimization and non-smooth analysis}, publisher = {Wiley-Intersciences}, year = 1983 } @Book{Rockafellar.ea1998:variational, author = {R. T. Rockafellar and R. J. B. Wets}, title = {Variational analysis}, publisher = {Springer-Verlag}, year = 1998, address = {Berlin} } @Book{Lewis1986:optimal, author = {Franck L. Lewis}, title = {Optimal estimation. With an introduction to stochastic control theory}, publisher = {John Wiley \& Sons}, year = 1986, isbn = {0-471-83741-5} } @Book{Gelb1974:applied, editor = {A. Gelb}, title = {Applied Optimal Estimation}, publisher = {MIT press}, year = 1974, address = {Cambridge Mass}, pages = 374, isbn = {0 262 70008-5} } @Book{Crouzeix.ea1984:analyse, author = {M. Crouzeix and A. L. Mignot}, title = {Analyse num{\'e}rique des {\'e}quations diff{\'e}rentielles}, publisher = {Masson}, year = 1984, series = {Collection math{\'e}matiques appliqu{\'e}es pour la ma{\^\i}trise}, address = {Paris} } @Book{Demailly1991:analyse, author = {J.-P. Demailly}, title = {Analyse Num{\'e}rique et {\'E}quations Diff{\'e}rentielles}, publisher = {Presses Universitaires de Grenoble}, year = 1991, address = {Grenoble} } @Book{Cheney.ea1999:numerical, author = {D. Cheney and W. Kincaid}, title = {Numerical Mathematics and Computing}, publisher = {Brooks/Cole Publishing Company}, year = 1999, edition = {4th} } @Book{Isaacson.ea1994:analysis, author = {E. Isaacson and H. B. Keller}, title = {Analysis of Numerical Methods}, publisher = {Dover}, year = 1994, address = {New York} } @Book{Jordan.ea1999:nonlinear, author = {D. W. Jordan and Peter Smith}, title = {Nonlinear Ordinary Differential Equations. {A}n Introduction to Dynamical Systems}, publisher = {Oxford University Press}, year = 1999, edition = {third}, pages = 560, isbn = 0198565623 } @Book{Golub.ea1989:matrix, author = {Gene H. Golub and Van Loan, Charles F.}, title = {Matrix Computations}, publisher = {The John Hopkins University Press}, year = 1989, address = {Baltimore, Maryland 21218}, edition = {2nd} } @Book{Guckenheimer.ea1987:nonlinear, author = {J. Guckenheimer and P. Holmes}, title = {Nonlinear Oscillations, Dynamical Systems, and Bifurcations of Vector Fields}, publisher = {Springer-Verlag}, year = 1987, address = {New York/Berlin/Heidelberg/Tokyo}, edition = {2nd} } @Book{Soros2008:new, author = {George Soros}, title = {The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What It Means}, publisher = {BBS, PublicAffairs}, year = 2008, address = {New York} } @TechReport{Botteon.ea1998:environmental, author = {Michele Botteon and Carlo Carraro}, title = {Environmental Coalitions with Heterogeneous Countries: Burden-Sharing and Carbon Leakage}, institution = {Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei}, year = 1998, type = {Nota di lavoro}, number = {24.98}, month = mar, series = {ENV} } @Article{Findlay1978:relative, author = {Ronald Findlay}, title = {Relative Backwardness, Direct Foreign Investment, and the Transfer of Technology: a Simple Dynamic Model}, journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics}, year = 1978, volume = {XCII}, month = feb } @Book{Piketty1997:leconomie, author = {Thomas Piketty}, title = {L'{\'e}conomie des in{\'e}galit{\'e}s}, publisher = {La D{\'e}couverte}, year = 1997 } @Book{Krugman1998:mondialisation, author = {Paul R. Krugman}, title = {La mondialisation n'est pas coupable. Vertus et limites du libre {\'e}change}, publisher = {La D{\'e}couverte}, year = 1998 } @Book{Abdelmalki.ea1997:economie, author = {Lahsen Abdelmalki and Patrick Mundler}, title = {{\'E}conomie de l'environnement}, publisher = {Hachette Livre}, year = 1997 } @Book{Curien2000:economie, author = {Nicolas Curien}, title = {{\'E}conomie des r{\'e}seaux}, publisher = {La D{\'e}couverte}, year = 2000 } @Book{Stoleru1999:leconomie, author = {Lionel Stol{\'e}ru}, title = {L'{\'e}conomie. Comprendre l'avenir}, publisher = {Dunod}, year = 1999 } @Book{Clerc2001:dechiffrer, author = {Denis Clerc}, title = {D{\'e}chiffrer l'{\'e}conomie}, publisher = {Syros}, year = 2001 } @InProceedings{Watkins.ea1986:oil, author = {G. Watkins and L. Waverman}, title = {Oil Demand Elasticities : The Saviour as well as the Scourge of OPEC}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the Eighth North American Conference of the International Association for Energy Economics}, year = 1986, address = {Boston} } @Book{Maddison1995:leconomie, author = {A. Maddison}, title = {L'{\'e}conomie mondiale 1820-1992. Analyses et statistiques}, publisher = {{OECD}}, year = 1995, address = {Paris} } @Misc{Maddison2007:further, author = {David Maddison}, title = {Further Comments on the Stern Review}, year = 2007, note = {working paper} } @TechReport{AIE2002:emissions, author = {{AIE}}, title = {Emissions de {CO$_2$} dues {\`a} la combustion d'{\'e}nergie}, institution = {{OCDE}}, year = 2002, address = {Paris}, note = {{Agence Internationale de l'{\'E}nergie}} } @TechReport{IEA2002:emissions, author = {{IEA}}, title = {{CO}$_2$ Emissions from Fuel Combustion 1971-2000}, institution = {{OECD}}, year = 2002, address = {Paris}, note = {{International Energy Agency}} } @Article{Newell.ea2003:regulating, author = {Richard G. Newell and William A. Pizer}, title = {Regulating stock externalities under uncertainty}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, year = 2003, volume = 45, pages = {416--432} } @Article{Keller.ea2003:uncertain, author = {Klaus Keller and Benjamin M. Bolker and David F. Bradford}, title = {Uncertain climate thresholds and optimal economic growth}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, year = 2003, note = {Article in Press} } @TechReport{Keller.ea2003:carbon, author = {Klaus Keller and Zili Yang and Matt Hall and David F. Bradford}, title = {Carbon dioxide sequestration: when and how much?}, institution = {Princeton University}, year = 2003, type = {Center for {E}conomic {P}olicy {S}tudies {W}orking {P}aper}, number = 49, month = sep } @Article{Nordhaus.ea1999:requiem, author = {William D. Nordhaus and Joseph G. Boyer}, title = {Requiem for {K}yoto: an economic analysis of the {K}yoto Protocol}, journal = {Energy Journal}, year = 1999, volume = {Special Issue}, number = {The costs of the {K}yoto Protocol: a multi-model evaluation}, pages = {93--130} } @Unpublished{Nordhaus2007:stern, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {The {S}tern Review and the Economics of Climate Change}, year = 2007, note = {working paper, Yale University} } @Article{Dasgupta2007:comments, author = {Partha Dasgupta}, title = {Comments on the {S}tern Review's Economics of Climate Change}, journal = {National Institute Economic Review}, year = 2007, volume = 199, pages = {4--7} } @Article{Yohe2006:thoughts, author = {Gary Yohe}, title = {Some Thoughts on the Damage Estimates Presented in the {S}tern Review}, journal = {The Integrated Assessment Journal}, year = 2006, volume = 6, pages = {65--72} } @Article{Gerlagh.ea2003:gross, author = {Reyer Gerlagh and Bob van der Zwaan}, title = {Gross world product and consumption in a global warming model with endogenous technological change}, journal = {Resource and Energy Economics}, year = 2003, volume = 25, pages = {35--57} } @Article{Gerlagh.ea2004:sensitivity, author = {Reyer Gerlagh and Bob van der Zwaan}, title = {A sensitivity analysis of timing and costs of greenhouse gas emission reductions}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2004, volume = 65, pages = {39--71} } @Article{Popp2003:entice, author = {David Popp}, title = {{ENTICE}: endogenous techological change in the {DICE} model o f global warming}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, year = 2003, note = {Article in Press} } @Unpublished{Hallegatte.ea2008:demand, author = {St{\'e}phane Hallegatte and A. Boissonnade and M.-E. Schlumberger and R. Muir-Wood}, title = {Demand surge and worker migrations in disaster aftermaths: application to {F}lorida in 2004 and 2005}, year = 2008, note = {Submitted to Journal of Regional Science} } @Article{Hallegatte2008:adaptive, author = {St{\'e}phane Hallegatte}, title = {An adaptive regional input-output model and its application to the assessment of the economic cost of {K}atrina}, journal = {Risk Analysis}, year = 2008, note = {in press} } @Article{Hallegatte2005:long, author = {St{\'e}phane Hallegatte}, title = {The long time scales of the climate-economy feedback and the climatic cost of growth}, journal = {Environmental Modeling and Assessment}, year = 2005, volume = 10, number = 4, pages = {277--289}, month = oct } @TechReport{Hallegatte2005:accounting, author = {St{\'e}phane Hallegatte}, title = {Accounting for extreme events in the economic assessment of climate change}, institution = {FEEM}, year = 2005, type = {Nota di Lavoro}, number = {1.2005}, address = {Milano} } @Article{Hallegatte.ea2006:elicitation, author = {St{\'e}phane Hallegatte and Alain Lahellec and Jean-Yves Grandpeix}, title = {An Elicitation of the Dynamic Nature of Water Vapor Feedback in Climate Change Using a {1D} Model}, journal = {Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences}, year = 2006, volume = 63, number = 7, pages = {1878--1894}, doi = {10.1175/JAS3725.1} } @InCollection{Nordhaus2002:modeling, author = {William D. Nordhaus}, title = {Modeling induced innovation in climate-change policy}, chapter = 8, pages = {182--209}, crossref = {Grubler.ea2002:technological} } @InCollection{Clarke.ea2002:modeling, author = {Leon E. Clarke and John P. Weyant}, title = {Modeling Induced Technological Change: An Overview}, chapter = 12, pages = {320--363}, crossref = {Grubler.ea2002:technological} } @Book{Grubler.ea2002:technological, editor = {Arnulf Gr{\"u}bler and Neboj{\v s}a Naki{\'c}enovi{\'c} and William D. Nordhaus}, title = {Technological change and the environment}, publisher = {{R}esources {F}or the {F}uture}, year = 2002, booktitle = {Technological change and the environment} } @Article{Klemperer2002:really, author = {Paul D. Klemperer}, title = {What really matters in auction design}, journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives}, year = 2002, volume = 16, pages = {169--190} } @Article{Newberry1998:competition, author = {David M. Newberry}, title = {Competition, contracts, and entry in the electricity spot market}, journal = {{RAND} Journal of Economics}, year = {Winter 1998}, volume = 29, number = 4, pages = {726--749} } @Misc{Bloom2002:investments, author = {Anette Bloom}, title = {Investments in electricity generation capacity under different market structures with price responsive demand}, year = 2002, month = sep, note = {mimeo, {F}reie {U}nivesit{\"a}t {B}erlin} } @Article{Bar-Shalom.ea1976:caution, author = {Yaakov Bar-Shalom and Edison Tse}, title = {Caution, probing, and the value of information in the control of uncertain systems}, journal = {Annals of Economic and Social Measurement}, year = 1976, volume = 5, number = 3, pages = {323--337} } @Book{Perrot1997:reglementation, editor = {Anne Perrot}, title = {R{\'e}glementation et concurrence}, publisher = {Economica}, year = 1997 } @Misc{Joskow2003:electricity, author = {Paul L. Joskow}, title = {Electricity sector restructuring and competition: lessons learned}, year = 2003, month = aug, note = {mimeo} } @Article{Green2001:markets, author = {Richard Green}, title = {Markets for electricity in Europe}, journal = {Oxford Review of Economic Policy}, year = 2001, volume = 17, number = 3, pages = {329--345} } @Article{Klemperer.ea1989:supply, author = {Paul D. Klemperer and Margaret A. Meyer}, title = {Supply function equilibria in oligopoly under uncertainty}, journal = {Econometrica}, year = 1989, volume = 57, number = 6, pages = {1243--1277}, month = nov } @Article{Leautier2001:electricity, author = {Thomas-Olivier L{\'e}autier}, title = {Electricity auctions}, journal = {Journal of economics and management strategy}, year = 2001, volume = 10, number = 3, pages = {331--358}, month = {Fall} } @Book{Crew.ea1986:economics, author = {M. A. Crew and P. R. Kleindorfer}, title = {The economics of public utility regulation}, publisher = {{MacM}illan {P}ress}, year = 1986, address = {London} } @Book{Babusiaux1990:decision, author = {Denis Babusiaux}, title = {D{\'e}cision d'investissement et calcul {\'e}conomique dans l'entreprise}, publisher = {Economica}, year = 1990 } @TechReport{Joskow2002:resource, author = {Paul L. Joskow}, title = {Resource adequacy obligations}, institution = {MIT}, year = 2002, type = {Documents de pr{\'e}sentation}, month = {6} # dec, note = {Disponible sur la page de P. Joskow}, url = {http://econ-www.mit.edu/faculty/?prof_id=pjoskow&type=paper} } @TechReport{Ekins2005:note, author = {Paul Ekins}, title = {A Note on the Impossibility of Deriving a Scientifically Valid, Ethically Sound or Policy-Useful Estimate of the Social Cost of Carbon }, institution = {Policy Studies Institute}, year = 2005, type = {technical note} } @Misc{Finon2003:incitations, author = {Dominique Finon}, title = {Les incitations {\`a} l'investissement dans les industries {\'e}lectriques lib{\'e}ralis{\'e}es du {N}ord et du{S}ud: les n{\'e}cessit{\'e} d'arrangements institutionnels ad{\'e}quats}, year = 2003, note = {Pr{\'e}sentation au colloque{\textquotedblleft}{E}nergie, d{\'e}veloppement et r{\'e}formes institutionnelles{\textquotedblright}, {UNAM}, Mexico, 5--7 Novembre 2003} } @Article{Joskow1997:restructuring, author = {Paul L. Joskow}, title = {Restructuring, competition and regulatory reform in the {U.S.}\ electricity sector}, journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives}, year = 1997, volume = 11, number = 3, pages = {119--138} } @InCollection{Dijan1993:partage, author = {Jean-Pierre Dijan}, title = {Partage des responsabilit{\'e}s et des risques entre les partenaires}, pages = {77--91}, crossref = {Martinand1993:lexperience} } @Book{Martinand1993:lexperience, editor = {Claude Martinand}, publisher = {Economica}, year = 1993, booktitle = {L'exp{\'e}rience fran{\c{c}}aise du financement priv{\'e} des {\'e}quipements publics} } @Article{Fabra.ea2002:modeling, author = {Nathalie Fabra and Nils-Henrik von der Fehr and David Harbord}, title = {Modeling Electricity Auctions}, journal = {The Electricity Journal}, year = 2002, month = aug # {/} # sep } @Book{Tirole1989:theory, author = {Jean Tirole}, title = {The Theory of industrial organization}, publisher = {{M.I.T.} Press}, year = 1989 } @Unpublished{Fabra.ea2002:designing, author = {Nathalie Fabra and Nils-Henrik von der Fehr and David Harbord}, title = {Designing Electricity auctions: uniform, discriminatory and Vickrey}, year = 2002, month = {9} # nov, note = {Draft} } @TechReport{Joskow2002:investment, author = {Paul L. Joskow}, title = {Investment in new generating capacity}, institution = {MIT}, year = 2002, type = {Documents de pr{\'e}sentation.}, month = {30} # may, note = {Disponible sur la page de P. Joskow} } @TechReport{Joskow2001:electricity, author = {Paul L. Joskow}, title = {Electricity competition in the {U.S.} Where do we go from here?}, institution = {MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy and Research}, year = 2001, type = {Documents de pr{\'e}sentation}, month = nov, note = {Disponible sur la page de P. Joskow}, url = {http://econ-www.mit.edu/faculty/?prof_id=pjoskow&type=paper} } @TechReport{Credit-Suisse-First-Boston2003:regulatory, author = {{Credit Suisse First Boston}}, title = {Regulatory concerns easing}, institution = {{Credit Suisse First Boston}}, year = 2003, type = {Equity Research}, month = {oct}, note = {Sector Review. Americas/Brazil. Electric Utilities} } @Misc{Bouttes.ea2003:marches, author = {Jean-Paul Bouttes and Jean-Michel Trochet}, title = {March{\'e}s de gros et bourses de l'{\'e}lectricit{\'e} en {E}urope et aux {E}tats-{U}nis: o{\`u} en sommes nous?}, year = 2003, month = {10} # jan, note = {Pr{\'e}sentation pour la Conf{\'e}rence Jules Dupuit du 5 d{\'e}cembre 2002. Version du 10 janvier 2003} } @TechReport{Ministerio-de-Minas-e-Energia2003:proposta, author = {{Minist{\'e}rio de Minas e Energia}}, title = {Proposta de Modela Institucional do Setor El{\'e}trico}, institution = {Governo Federal. Brasil}, year = 2003, type = {Julho de 2003} } @InProceedings{Gilotte2001:risk, author = {Laurent Gilotte}, title = {Risk of schizophrenia in negotiating fair burden sharing: how to define acceptable emission rights?}, note = {Chapter 3}, crossref = {Directorate-General2001:adopting} } @Proceedings{Directorate-General2001:adopting, year = 2001, editor = {Commission of the European Communities}, organization = {Directorate-General for science, research and development}, note = {CIRED, IVM, FEEM, SMASH}, booktitle = {Adopting and distributing climate targets and policies: an integrated assessment of {E}uropean interests and strategies in the climate negotiations process beyond {K}yoto ({CLIMNEG})} } @InProceedings{Gilotte.ea2004:optimal, author = {Laurent Gilotte and Emeric Fortin}, title = {Optimal policy and inertia of carbon intensity trends}, year = 2004, crossref = {IAEE2004:6th} } @Proceedings{IAEE2004:6th, year = 2004, address = {Z{\"u}rich, Suisse}, month = sep # { 1--3}, organization = {{IAEE}}, note = {International Association for Energy Economics}, booktitle = {6th IAEE European Conference} } @Book{Chichilnisky.ea2000:environmental, editor = {Graciela Chichilnisky and Geoffrey Heal}, title = {Environmental markets. Equity and efficiency}, publisher = {Columbia University Press}, year = 2000 } @InCollection{Hourcade.ea2000:differentiated, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Laurent Gilotte}, title = {Differentiated or Uniform international carbon taxes: theoretical evidence and procedural constraints}, chapter = 8, pages = {135--155}, crossref = {Chichilnisky.ea2000:environmental} } @Book{Laffont1989:economics, author = {Jean-Jacques Laffont}, title = {The economics of uncertainty and information}, publisher = {{MIT} Press }, year = 1989, address = {Cambridge}, note = {Published in France under the title {\em {C}ours de th{\'e}orie micro{\'e}conomique. {II.} {{\'E}}conomie de l'incertain et de l'information} by {E}conomica, {P}aris, 1986. {T}ranslated by {J}ohn P.\ {B}onin and H{\'e}l{\`e}ne Bonin} } @Book{Latour.ea1979:laboratory, author = {Bruno Latour and Steve Wooglar}, title = {Laboratory Life: the Social Construction of Scientific Facts}, publisher = {Sage }, year = 1979, address = {Los Angeles, Londres}, pages = 260 } @Book{Latour1987:science, author = {Bruno Latour}, title = {Science in Action. How to Follow Scientists and Engineers through Society}, publisher = {Harvard University Press }, year = 1987 } @Book{Latour1999:politiques, author = {Bruno Latour}, title = {Politiques de la nature. Comment faire entrer les sciences en d{\'e}mocratie}, publisher = {La D{\'e}couverte}, year = 1999, address = {Paris} } @Book{Latour1999:pandoras, author = {Bruno Latour}, title = {Pandora's Hope. Essays on the Reality of Science Studies}, publisher = {Harvard University Press}, year = 1999, address = {Cambridge} } @Article{Topkis1978:minimizing, author = {Donald M. Topkis}, title = {Minimizing a submodular function on a lattice}, journal = {Operations Research}, year = 1978, volume = 26, pages = {305--321} } @Article{Gollier.ea2000:scientific, author = {Christian Gollier and Bruno Jullien and Nicolas Treich}, title = {Scientific Progress and Irreversibility: an Economic Interpretation of the {\textquotedblleft}Precautionary Principle{\textquotedblright}}, journal = {Journal of Public Economics}, year = 2000, volume = 75, pages = {229--253} } @TechReport{Gilotte.ea2003:responsabilisation, author = {Laurent Gilotte and Cherryl {Andr{\'e} de la Porte} and Nicolas Buclet and Damien Demailly}, title = {Responsabilisation des collectivit{\'e}s locales et lutte contre l'effet de serre}, institution = {\textsc{cired}}, year = 2003, address = {Nogent-sur-Marne}, month = {feb}, note = {Rapport pr{\'e}par{\'e} pour l'\textsc{ademe}} } @Book{Orfeuil2001:levolution, author = {Jean-Pierre Orfeuil}, title = {L'{\'e}volution de la mobilit{\'e} quotidienne: comprendre les dynamiques, {\'e}clairer les controverses}, publisher = {INRETS}, year = 2001, series = {Synth{\`e}se INRETS}, address = {Arcueil}, number = 37 } @TechReport{Energy-Information-Administration2003:annual, author = {{Energy Information Administration}}, title = {Annual Energy outlook 2003. {W}ith projections to 2025}, institution = {U.S. Department of Energy}, year = 2003, address = {Washington DC}, month = {Jan} } @InCollection{Cros.ea2003:marches, author = {Christine Cros and Sylviane Gastaldo}, title = {March{\'e}s de droits, exp{\'e}riences et perspectives pour l'effet de serre}, editor = {Roger Guesnerie}, year = 2003, pages = {217--232}, note = {Compl{\'e}ment F}, crossref = {Guesnerie2003:kyoto} } @InCollection{Champsaur2003:commentaire, author = {Paul Champsaur}, title = {Commentaire}, editor = {Roger Guesnerie}, year = 2003, pages = {91--92}, crossref = {Guesnerie2003:kyoto} } @Book{Guesnerie2003:kyoto, author = {Roger Guesnerie}, title = {Kyoto et l'{\'e}conomie de l'effet de serre}, publisher = {La documentation fran{\c{c}}aise}, year = 2003, note = {Conseil d'analyse {\'e}conomique}, booktitle = {Kyoto et l'{\'e}conomie de l'effet de serre} } @Article{Rouillon2001:catastrophe, author = {S{\'e}bastien Rouillon}, title = {Catastrophe Climatique Irr{\'e}versible, Incertitude et Progr{\`e}s de la Connaissance}, journal = {Revue {\'E}conomique}, year = 2001, volume = 52, number = 1, pages = {61--90}, month = jan } @Unpublished{Godard2001:transports, author = {Olivier Godard}, title = {Transports et effet de serre: l'{\'e}quation fran{\c{c}}aise}, year = 2001, month = may, note = {Non publi{\'e}} } @Manual{desComptes2001:rapport, author = {{C}our des {C}omptes}, title = {{R}apport au {P}r{\'e}sident de la {R}{\'e}publique}, year = 2001 } @PhDThesis{Gallez1994:modeles, author = {Caroline Gallez}, title = {Mod{\`e}les des projection {\`a} long terme de la structure du parc et du march{\'e} de l'automobile}, school = {Universit{\'e} de Paris~{I}-Panth{\'e}on-Sorbonne}, year = 1994, type = {Th{\`e}se de doctorat en sciences {\'e}conomiques} } @Book{Gollier2001:economics, author = {Christian Gollier}, title = {The economics of risk and time}, publisher = {MIT Press}, year = 2001, address = {Cambridge} } @Misc{vanSteenberghe2002:abatement, author = {Vincent van Steenberghe}, title = {\textsc{co2} abatement costs and permit's price: exploring the impact of banking and the role of future commitments}, year = 2002, month = jul, note = {Travail r{\'e}alis{\'e} dans le cadre du projet europ{\'e}en \textsc{climneg}. vansteenberghe@core.ucl.ac.be} } @TechReport{Observatoire-de-lEnergie1999:tableaux, author = {{Observatoire de l'{\'E}nergie}}, title = {Tableaux des consommations d'{\'e}nergie en France}, institution = {Minist{\`e}re de l'{\'E}conomie des Finances et de l'Industrie --- Secr{\'e}tariat d'{\'E}tat {\`a} l'Industrie --- Direction G{\'e}n{\'e}rale de l'{\'E}nergie et des Mati{\`e}res Premi{\`e}res}, year = 1999, type = {{\'E}nergies et mati{\`e}res premi{\`e}res} } @TechReport{Observatoire-de-lEnergie2001:fiscalite, author = {{Observatoire de l'{\'E}nergie}}, title = {La fiscalit{\'e} de l'{\'e}nergie}, institution = {Minist{\`e}re de l'{\'e}conomie des finances et de l'industrie}, year = 2001, type = {{\'E}nergies et mati{\`e}res premi{\`e}res}, month = jul, note = {Rapport r{\'e}alis{\'e} par Hugo Hanne, version 2} } @Unpublished{Peck.ea1992:global, author = {Stephen C. Peck and Thomas J. Teisberg}, title = {Global Warming Uncertainties and the Value of Information: AnAnalysis Using {CETA}}, year = 1992, note = {Draft 8/4/92} } @Article{Peck.ea1992:ceta, author = {Stephen C. Peck and Thomas J. Teisberg}, title = {{CETA}: A model for carbon emissions trajectory assessment}, journal = {Energy Journal}, year = 1992, volume = 13, pages = {55--77} } @TechReport{Gjerde.ea1998:optimal, author = {Jon Gjerde and Sverre Grepperud and Snorre Kverndokk}, title = {Optimal climate policy under the possibility of a catastrophe}, institution = {Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei}, year = 1998, type = {Nota di Lavoro}, number = {11.98}, month = {jan} } @TechReport{Cros.ea1996:trajectoires, author = {Christine Cros and Olivier Godard}, title = {Trajectoires institutionnelles et choix des instruments de politique publique. les march{\'e}s de droits {\`a} polluer aux {\'E}tats-unis et en France. Le cas de la pollution atmosph{\'e}rique}, institution = {\textsc{cired}}, year = 1996, type = {Programme {\textquotedblleft}Prospective et veille scientifique{\textquotedblright} du Minist{\`e}re de l'Environnement} } @Unpublished{Meriau:permis, author = {Emmanuelle Meriau}, title = {Des permis n{\'e}gociables pour lutter contre la pollution: quelles potentialit{\'e}s pour les transports}, note = {Laboratoire d'{\'e}conomie des transports, Lyon. Document provisoire non dat{\'e}, post{\'e}rieur {\`a} 1997.}, bibkey = {Meriau:permis} } @Article{Hourcade.ea2002:economics, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Fr{\'e}d{\'e}ric Ghersi}, title = {The economics of a lost deal: Kyoto - {T}he {H}ague - {M}arrakesh}, journal = {Energy Journal}, year = 2002, volume = 23, number = 3, pages = {1--26} } @Article{Henry1984:microeconomie, author = {Claude Henry}, title = {La micro{\'e}conomie comme langage et enjeu de n{\'e}gociations}, journal = {Revue {\'E}conomique}, year = 1984, number = 35, pages = {177--197} } @InCollection{Matarasso2001:integrated, author = {Pierre Matarasso}, title = {Integrated assessment models of global change}, volume = 4, crossref = {Munn2001:encyclopedia} } @InCollection{Ghil2001:natural, author = {Michael Ghil}, title = {Natural Climate Variability}, volume = 1, crossref = {Munn2001:encyclopedia} } @Book{Munn2001:encyclopedia, editor = {Ted Munn}, publisher = {John Wiley and Sons}, year = 2001, booktitle = {Encyclopedia of Global Environmental Change} } @Article{Kondrashov.ea2005:oscillatory, author = {Dmitri Kondrashov and Y. Feliks and Michael Ghil}, title = {Oscillatory modes of extended {N}ile {R}iver records ({A}. {D}. 622--1922)}, journal = {Geophysical Research Letters}, year = 2005, volume = 32 } @InProceedings{Ghil.ea2003:intraseasonal, author = {Michael Ghil and Dmitri Kondrashov and Fran{\c{c}}pos Lott and Andrew W. Robertson}, title = {Intraseasonal Oscillations in the Mid-Latitudes: Observations, Theory and {GCM} Results}, month = dec # 18, crossref = {ECMWF2003:simulation} } @Article{Ghil.ea1998:recent, author = {Michael Ghil and Ning Jiang}, title = {Recent forecast skill for the {E}l {N}i{\~n}o/{S}outhern {O}scillation}, journal = {Geophysical Research Letters}, year = 1998, volume = 25, number = 2, pages = {171--174}, month = jan # 15 } @Article{Beniston2004:2003, author = {M. Beniston}, title = {The 2003 Heat Wave in Europe: A shape of things to come? An analysis based on Swiss climatological data and model simulations}, journal = {Geophysical Research Letters}, year = 2004, volume = 31, number = 2, pages = {L02202}, doi = {10.1029/2003GL018857} } @Proceedings{ECMWF2003:simulation, title = {Simulation and Prediction of Intra-Seasonal Variability}, year = 2003, address = {Readings, U.K.}, month = nov # {3--6}, organization = {ECMWF and CLIVAR} } @Article{Barsugli.ea1998:basic, author = {J. J. Barsugli and D. S. Battisti}, title = {The basic effects of Atmosphere-Ocean Thermal Coupling on Midlatitude Variability}, journal = {J. Atmos. Sci.}, year = 1998, volume = 55, pages = {477--493} } @Book{Baumol.ea1982:contestable, author = {William J. Baumol and John C. Panzar and Robert D. Willig }, title = {Contestable Markets and the Theory of Industry Structure}, publisher = {Harcourt Brace Jovanovich}, year = 1982, address = {New York} } @Book{Cour-des-Comptes1997:gestion, author = {{Cour des Comptes}}, title = {La gestion des services publics d'eau et d'assainisement}, publisher = {Les {\'E}ditions du Journal Officiel}, year = 1997, address = {Paris} } @Book{Defeuilley1999:gestion, author = {Christophe Defeuilley}, title = {Gestion des d{\'e}chets m{\'e}nagers en {F}rance et en {G}rande-{B}retagne. {{\'E}}tude du march{\'e}, strat{\'e}gies des op{\'e}rateurs et jeux concurrentiels}, publisher = {{\'E}ditions de l'ADEME}, year = 1999, address = {Paris} } @Article{Defeuilley2000:delegation, author = {Christophe Defeuilley}, title = {D{\'e}l{\'e}gation de service public et th{\'e}ories des contrats}, journal = {{\'E}conomie et Soci{\'e}t{\'e}}, year = 2000, number = 6, pages = {171--192}, note = {S{\'e}rie {\'E}conomie et Gestion des Services} } @Article{Poupeau2001:liberalisation, author = {Fran{\c{c}}ois-Mathieu Poupeau}, title = {Lib{\'e}ralisation du service public et action publique locale. {L}e d{\'e}partement dans la recomposition du syst{\`e}me de distribution {\'e}lectrique fran{\c{c}}ais}, journal = {Sociologie du travail}, year = 2001, number = 43, pages = {179--195} } @Article{Graham2000:concurrence, author = {Stephen Graham}, title = {Concurrence dans les services publics et ville {\'e}clat{\'e}e: l'exp{\'e}rience britannique}, journal = {{\'E}lectricit{\'e} et Soci{\'e}t{\'e}}, year = 2000, number = 31, pages = {11--17}, month = jan } @Unpublished{Godard2002:bjorn, author = {Olivier Godard}, title = {Bj{\o}rn {L}omborg ou {T}intin au pays de l'{\'e}cologie. {U}ne revue critique du livre de {B}j{\o}rn Lomborg, {T}he skeptical environmentalist --- measuring the Real state of the world, Cambridge University Press, 2001}, year = 2002, month = oct, note = {Non publi{\'e}} } @Book{Boiteux1993:haute, author = {Marcel Boiteux}, title = {Haute tension}, publisher = {{\'E}ditions Odile Jacob}, year = 1993 } @InProceedings{Hourcade1991:calcul, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Calcul {\'e}conomique et construction sociale des irr{\'e}versibilit{\'e}s. {L}e{\c{c}}ons de l'histoire {\'e}nerg{\'e}tique r{\'e}cente}, year = 1991, crossref = {Boyer.ea1991:figures} } @Proceedings{aparis2002:1, title = {{\`a} Paris}, year = 2002, number = 1, month = {Septembre/Octobre}, note = {Magazine d'information de la Ville de Paris}, bibkey = {aparis2002:1} } @Article{Artstein1999:gains, author = {Zvi Artstein}, title = {Gains and costs of information in stochastic programming}, journal = {Annals of Operations Research}, year = 1999, volume = 85, pages = {128--152} } @Manual{GART2000:pdu, author = {{GART, CERTU}}, title = {\textsc{pdu} : o{\`u} en est-on? Synth{\`e}se de l'analyse de 27 PDU}, month = jul, year = 2000, note = {Synth{\`e}se r{\'e}alis{\'e}e avec l'appui des CETE et la collaboration de la DTT, la DSCR et l'ADEME. Acc{\'e}d{\'e} le le 3 octobre 2002}, url = {http://www.gart.org/divers_docs/pduoueneston.htm} } @TechReport{INSEE1997:transports, author = {INSEE}, title = {Les transports en 1996}, institution = {Minist{\`e}re de l'{\'E}conomie et des Finances, Institut national de la statistique et des {\'e}tudes {\'e}conomiques}, year = 1997, type = {{\'E}conomie g{\'e}n{\'e}rale}, number = 150, month = jul } @Book{Newman.ea1989:cities, author = {Newman, Peter and Jeffrey Kenworthy}, title = {Cities and Auto Dependency}, publisher = {Grower Publishing Co}, year = 1989 } @Manual{Mate2002:production, author = {{\textsc{Mate}}}, title = {La production des d{\'e}chets en France}, organization = {Minist{\`e}re de l'Am{\'e}nagement du Territoire et de l'Environnement}, year = 2002, note = {Acc{\'e}d{\'e} le 19 avril 2002}, url = {http://www.environnement.gouv.fr/actua/cominfos/dosdir/DIRPPR/dechetfr.htm} } @Manual{Ademe2002:brochure, author = {{\textsc{Ademe}}}, title = {Opatb : brochure de pr{\'e}sentation de l'appel {\`a} projet}, organization = { Agence de l'Environnement et de la Ma{\^\i}trise de l'{\'E}nergie }, year = 2002, note = {Acc{\'e}d{\'e} le 30 avril 2002}, url = {http://www.ademe.fr/collectivites/OPATB/documents/OPATB_Broch_1.pdf}, bibkey = {Ademe2002:brochure} } @Manual{pnlcc2000, title = {Programme national de lutte contre le changement climatique 2000/2010}, organization = {R{\'e}publique Fran{\c{c}}aise}, year = 2000, note = {Document {\'e}labor{\'e} sous la direction de la Mission Interminist{\'e}rielle de l'Effet de Serre en collaboration avec le Minist{\`e}re de l'Am{\'e}nagement du Territoire et de l'Environnement}, bibkey = {pnlcc2000} } @Manual{Ademe1995:energie, author = {{\textsc{Ademe}}}, title = {Energie et patrimoine communal, enqu{\^e}te 1995}, organization = {Agence de l'Environnement et de la Ma{\^\i}trise de l'{\'E}nergie}, address = {Paris}, year = 1995 } @Manual{RAC.ea2001:programme, author = {{R{\'e}seau Action Climat France} RAC and others}, title = {Un programme en panne d'{\'e}cotaxe. {\'E}valuation du {\textsc{pnlcc}}}, address = {Montreuil, France}, month = jun, year = 2001, note = {Acc{\'e}d{\'e} le 20 Septembre 2002}, url = {http://www.rac-f.org/DocuFixes/Evaluation_bilan_PNLCC.doc} } @Manual{RAC2002:synthese, author = {{R{\'e}seau Action Climat France} RAC}, title = {Synth{\`e}se g{\'e}n{\'e}rale. Un programme en panne d'{\'e}cotaxe}, year = 2002, note = {Acc{\'e}d{\'e} le 18 avril 2002}, url = {http://www.rac-f.org/documents/Synthese_evaluation_PNLCC.doc} } @Manual{RAC2002:bilan, author = {{R{\'e}seau Action Climat France} RAC}, title = {Bilan de COP7 (Marrakech) : Les m{\'e}canismes de fl{\'e}xibilit{\'e}}, year = 2002, note = {Acc{\'e}d{\'e} le 14 mai 2002}, url = {http://www.rac-f.org/COP7/Bilan{\%}20COP7/p5.htm} } @Book{Henry1997:concurrence, author = {Claude Henry}, title = {Concurrence et services publics dans l'Union europ{\'e}enne}, publisher = {PUF}, year = 1997 } @Book{Godard.ea2002:traite, author = {Olivier Godard and Claude Henry and Patrick Lagadec and Erwann Michel-Kerjan}, title = {Trait{\'e} des nouveaux risques. Pr{\'e}caution, crise, assurance.}, publisher = {Gallimard}, year = 2002, volume = 100, series = {Folio Actuel}, pages = 620, isbn = {978-2-07-042103-9} } @Book{Commissariat-General-du-Plan1998:energie, author = {{Commissariat G{\'e}n{\'e}ral du Plan}}, title = {Energie 2010--2020. Les chemins d'une croissance sobre}, publisher = {La Documentation fran{\c{c}}aise}, year = 1998, address = {Paris}, note = {Rapport du groupe pr{\'e}sid{\'e} par Pierre Boisson} } @TechReport{Lepeltier1999:maitriser, author = {Serge Lepeltier}, title = {Ma{\^\i}triser les {\'e}missions de gaz {\`a} effet de serre : quels instruments {\'e}conomiques?}, institution = {D{\'e}l{\'e}gation du S{\'e}nat pour la planification}, year = 1999 } @Manual{Wwf2002:changements, author = {\textsc{Wwf} }, title = {Changements Climatiques / PNLCC}, year = 2002, note = {Acc{\'e}d{\'e} le 19 juin 2002 }, url = {http://www.wwf.fr} } @Book{Baron.ea1993:instruments, author = { Richard Baron and Jean-Charles Hourcade and Olivier Godard}, title = { Les instruments {\'e}conomiques internationaux et le changement climatique}, publisher = {OCDE}, year = 1993 } @Manual{Amorce2000:mobilisation, author = {{\textsc{Amorce}}}, title = {Mobilisation des partenaires territoriaux pour int{\'e}grer la dimension effet de serre dans la planification territoriale}, year = 2000 } @Manual{Datar2002:contrats, author = {{\textsc{Datar}}}, title = {Les contrats de plan {\'E}tat-R{\'e}gion}, organization = { D{\'e}l{\'e}gation {\`a} l'am{\'e}nagement du territoire et {\`a} l'action r{\'e}gionale }, year = 2002, note = {Acc{\'e}d{\'e} le 24 juin 2002}, url = {http://www.datar.gouv.fr} } @TechReport{Pintat2000:rapport, author = {Xavier Pintat}, title = {Rapport 355 (1999--2000)}, institution = {Commission des affaires {\'e}trang{\`e}res du S{\'e}nat}, year = 2000 } @Manual{CNT2001:leffet, author = {\textsc{CNT}}, title = {L'effet de serre et les transports : les potentialit{\'e}s des permis d'{\'e}mission n{\'e}gociables}, organization = {\textsc{CNT}}, address = {Paris}, month = jun, year = 2001, note = {Rapport au {C}onseil {N}ational des {T}ransports. {B}onnafous, {A}. (pr{\'e}sident), {R}aux, {C}., {F}ricker, {E}. (rapporteurs)} } @Manual{Prevot2000:recuperation, author = {Henri Pr{\'e}vot}, title = {La r{\'e}cup{\'e}ration de l'{\'e}nergie issue du traitement des d{\'e}chets}, organization = {Conseil G{\'e}n{\'e}ral des Mines. Minist{\`e}re de l'{\'e}conomie, des finances et de l'industrie}, year = 2000 } @Manual{Ademe2002:dechets, author = {{\textsc{Ademe}}}, title = {D{\'e}chets municipaux : les chiffres cl{\'e}s --- Donn{\'e}es et estimations 98 en millions de tonnes (Mt)}, organization = {Agence de l'Environnement et de la Ma{\^\i}trise de l'{\'E}nergie}, year = 2002, note = {Acc{\'e}d{\'e} le 19 avril 2002}, url = {http://www.ademe.fr/collectivites/Dechets-new/Mots-chiffres/chiffres-cles/dec01.htm} } @Manual{Ademe1998:dechets, author = {{\textsc{Ademe}}}, title = {D{\'e}chets municipaux : les chiffres cl{\'e}s - deuxi{\`e}me {\'e}dition}, organization = {Agence de l'Environnement et de la Ma{\^\i}trise de l'{\'E}nergie}, address = {Paris}, year = 1998 } @Manual{Mies1999:memento, author = {{\textsc{Mies}}}, title = { Memento des d{\'e}cideurs : Les collectivit{\'e}s territoriales engag{\'e}es dans la lutte contre les gaz {\`a} effet de serre}, organization = { Mission Interminist{\'e}rielle de l'Effet de Serre}, month = jun, year = 1999 } @Manual{CNE2002:politique, author = {{Conseil National de l'{\'E}valuation} CNE}, title = {Politique du service public des d{\'e}chets m{\'e}nagers}, year = 2002, note = {Acc{\'e}d{\'e} le 18 avril 2002}, url = {http://www.plan.gouv.fr/organismes/cne/cahierdescharges-10.html} } @Article{ATEE2001:edf, author = {{Association Technique {\'E}nergie Environnement} ATEE}, title = {\textsc{edf} : 89g de \textsc{co}$_2$ par kWh}, journal = {Energie Plus}, year = 2001, number = 265, pages = {4--5} } @Article{Weitzman1974:prices, author = {Martin L. Weitzman}, title = {Prices vs. Quantities}, journal = {Review of Economic Studies}, year = 1974, volume = 41, number = 4, pages = {477--491}, mon = oct } @TechReport{Citepa2001:inventaire, author = {{\textsc{Citepa}}}, title = {Inventaire des {\'e}missions de gaz {\`a} effet de serre en France au titre de la convention cadre des nations unies sur le changement climatique}, institution = {Centre Interprofessionnel Technique d'Etudes de la Pollution Atmosph{\'e}rique}, year = 2001, address = {Paris} } @TechReport{Comeliau.ea1999:mobilisation, author = {Laurent Comeliau and Nathalie Holec}, title = {Mobilisation des collectivit{\'e}s locales fran{\c{c}}aises pour lutter contre l'effet de serre}, institution = {Minist{\`e}re de l'Am{\'e}nagement du Territoire et de l'Environnement}, year = 1999 } @TechReport{Lienemann.ea2002:plan, author = {{Secr{\'e}tariat d'{\'E}tat au Logement}}, title = {Plan national Habitat-Construction D{\'e}veloppement durable}, institution = {Minist{\`e}re de l'Equipement, des Transports et du Logement}, year = 2002, bibkey = {Lienemann.ea2002:plan} } @Manual{Ademe2002:projet, author = {{\textsc{Ademe}}}, title = {Opatb : un projet environnemental pour la collectivit{\'e} et ses partenaires locaux}, organization = {Agence de l'Environnement et de la Ma{\^\i}trise de l'{\'E}nergie }, year = 2002, note = {Acc{\'e}d{\'e} 30 avril 2002}, url = {http://www.ademe.fr/collectivites/OPATB/documents/OPATB_Plaquette.pdf}, bibkey = {Ademe2002:projet} } @Manual{SEL2002:projet, author = {{Secr{\'e}tariat d'{\'E}tat au Logement}}, title = {Projet de loi de finances pour 2001 : recueil des principales r{\'e}ponses aux questionnaires parlementaires logement}, organization = {Minist{\`e}re de l'{\'E}quipement, des Transports et du Logement}, year = 2002, note = {Acc{\'e}d{\'e} le 3 mai 2002}, url = {http://www.logement.equipement.gouv.fr/logt/default.htm}, bibkey = {SEL2002:projet} } @Misc{Godard2000:transports, author = {Olivier Godard}, title = {Des permis n{\'e}gociables pour les transports en France ?}, year = 2000, note = {Colloque fiscalit{\'e}, accords volontaires, permis n{\'e}gociables : Quels outils pour le d{\'e}veloppement durable ? Assembl{\'e}e Nationale}, bibkey = {Godard2000:transports} } @Manual{Bourgain.ea2002:collectivites, author = {Michel Bourgain and Alain Cabane}, title = {Les collectivit{\'e}s locales face {\`a} l'effet de serre }, year = 2002, note = {Acc{\'e}d{\'e} le 14 mai 2002}, url = {http://ecorev.free.fr/rev03/dos-bourgain.html} } @Misc{Godard2000:permis, author = {Olivier Godard}, title = {Les permis n{\'e}gociables, un instrument pour le d{\'e}veloppement durable}, year = 2000, note = {Communication au s{\'e}minaire d{\'e}veloppement durable et am{\'e}nagement du territoire : les villes et les r{\'e}gions du futur, Gen{\`e}ve} } @Book{Laffont1977:effets, author = {Jean-Jacques Laffont}, title = {Effets externes et th{\'e}orie {\'e}conomique}, publisher = {Editions du Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique}, year = 1977 } @Book{Picard1990:elements, author = {Pierre Picard}, title = {El{\'e}ments de micro{\'e}conomie}, publisher = {Montchrestien}, year = 1990, edition = {2e} } @Article{Jaffe.ea1994:energy, author = {Adams B. Jaffe and Robert N. Stavins}, title = {The energy paradox and the diffusion of conservation technology}, journal = {Resource and Energy Economics}, year = 1994, volume = 16, pages = {91--122} } @Book{Nakicenovic.ea1998:global, editor = { Neboj{\v s}a Naki{\'c}enovi{\'c} and Arnulf Gr{\"u}bler and A. Mc Donald}, title = {Global energy perspectives}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1998, institution = {IIASA - WEC} } @Misc{Morita.ea1997:emission, author = {Tsuneyuki Morita and H.-S. Lee }, title = {Emission scenario database prepared for {IPCC} Special Report on Emission Scenarios}, year = 1997, note = {Consult{\'e} le 6 janvier 2000}, url = {http://sres.ciesin.org/index.html} } @Misc{Bosello.ea2001:equity, author = {Francesco Bosello and Barbara Buchner and Carlo Carraro and Davide Raggi}, title = {Can equity enhance efficiency? Lessons from the {K}yoto Protocol}, year = 2001, month = oct, note = {Revised draft} } @Book{Nordhaus.ea1999:warming, author = {William D. Nordhaus and J. Boyer}, title = {Warming the world: economic models of climate change}, publisher = {{MIT} {P}ress}, year = 1999 } @Book{Nordhaus.ea1998:roll, author = {William D. Nordhaus and J. Boyer}, title = {Roll the DICE Again: The Economics of Global Warming}, year = 1998, note = {Yale University}, url = {http://www.econ.yale.edu/~nordhaus/homepage/dicemodels.htm} } @InProceedings{Hourcade.ea2001:equity, author = {Jean-Charles Hourcade and Franck Lecocq and Thierry Le Pesant}, title = {Equity issues in the climate negotiation. {R}ules for the initial quota allocation beyond {K}yoto}, booktitle = {Adopting and distributing climate targets and policies}, year = 2001, month = jun, organization = {Commission of the European Communities} } @PhDThesis{Lecocq2000:distribution, author = {Franck Lecocq}, title = {Distribution spatiale et temporelle des co{\^u}ts de politiques publiques sous incertitudes. Th{\'e}orie et pratique dans le cas de l'effet de serre}, school = {ENGREF}, year = 2000, type = {Th{\`e}se de doctorat}, address = {Paris} } @Article{Carraro.ea1992:international, author = {C. Carraro and D. Siniscalco}, title = {The international protection of the environment}, journal = {Journal of Public Economics}, year = 1992, number = 52, pages = {309--328} } @Article{Rose.ea1998:international, author = {A. Rose and B. Stevens and Jae A. Edmonds and M. Wise}, title = {International Equity and Differentiation in Global Warming Policy}, journal = {Environmental and Resource Economics}, year = 1998, volume = 12, pages = {25--51} } @Misc{Agarwal.ea1991:global, author = {A. Agarwal and S. Narain}, title = {Global Warming in an Unequal World: a Case of Environmental Colonialism}, year = 1991, note = {Centre for Science and Environment} } @TechReport{Eyckmans.ea1999:simulating, author = {J. Eyckmans and H. Tulkens}, title = {Simulating with {RICE} Coalitionally Stable Burden Sharing Agreements for the Climate Change Problem}, institution = {FEEM}, year = 1999, type = {Nota di Lavoro}, number = {71.99}, address = {Milano} } @TechReport{De-Bruin.ea2007:ad-dice, author = {De Bruin, Kelly C. and Rob Dellink and Richard S. J. Tol}, title = {{AD-DICE}: An Implementation of Adaptation in the {DICE} Model}, institution = {FEEM}, year = 2007, type = {Nota di Lavoro}, number = {51.2007} } @Article{Chao.ea2000:greenhouse, author = {Hung-po Chao and Stephen C. Peck}, title = {Greenhouse gas abatement: how much? And who pays?}, journal = {Resource and Energy Economics}, year = 2000, volume = 22, number = 1, pages = {1--20} } @Misc{Helioui2001:dynamic, author = {Khalil Helioui}, title = {On the dynamic efficiency and environmental integrity of {GHG}s tradable quotas}, year = 2001, note = {CIRED (Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le D{\'e}veloppement)} } @InCollection{Prat2000:efficiency, author = {A. Prat}, title = {Efficiency Properties of a Constant-Ratio Mechanism for the distribution of Tradable Emission Permits}, editor = {Graciela Chichilnisky and Geoffrey Heal}, booktitle = {Environmental markets: equity and efficiency}, publisher = {Columbia University Press}, year = 2000, address = {New York} } @InCollection{Chichilnisky.ea2000:equity, author = {Graciela Chichilnisky and Geoffrey Heal and David Starett}, title = {Equity and Efficiency in Environmental Markets}, editor = {Graciela Chichilnisky and Geoffrey Heal}, booktitle = {Environmental markets: equity and efficiency}, publisher = {Columbia University Press}, year = 2000, address = {New York} } @Book{Toth1999:fair, editor = { F. Toth}, title = {Fair Weather? Equity Concerns in Climate Change}, publisher = {Earthscan}, year = 1999, address = {London} } @Article{Yang2003:reevaluation, author = {Zili Yang}, title = {Reevaluation and renegotiation of climate change coalitions --- a sequential closed-loop game approach}, journal = {Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control}, year = 2003, volume = 27, pages = {1563--1594} } @Misc{Yang2001:welfare, author = {Zili Yang}, title = {Welfare Weights, {L}indahl Price, and Core property of environmental coalitions}, year = 2001, note = {Presented at the Applied Economics and Economic Policy Workshop, Binghamton University, Fall 2001}, url = {http://www.binghamton.edu/econ/papers/yangz.pdf} } @Book{Grubb.ea1999:kyoto, author = {Michael J. Grubb and Christiaan Vrolijk and Duncan Brack}, title = {The Kyoto Protocol: A Guide and Assessment}, publisher = {Royal Institute for International Affairs}, year = 1999, address = {London}, booktitle = {The Kyoto Protocol: A Guide and Assessment} } @Book{Grubb1989:greenhouse, author = {Michael J. Grubb}, title = {The greenhouse effect: negotiating targets}, publisher = {Royal Institute for International Affairs}, year = 1989, address = {London}, booktitle = {The Kyoto Protocol: A Guide and Assessment} } @Book{Bertsekas.ea1996:stochastic, author = {Dimitri P. Bertsekas and Steven E. Shreve}, title = {Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete Time Case}, publisher = {Athena Scientific}, year = 1996, address = {Belmont, Mass.}, booktitle = {Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete Time Case} } @Unpublished{Bolker.ea2000:decision, author = {Benjamin M. Bolker and Klaus Keller}, title = {Decision making in nonlinear and uncertain climate systems}, year = 2000, note = {In preparation for EMA, January 11, 2000} } @Book{Culioli1994:introduction, author = {Jean-Christophe Culioli}, title = {Introduction \`a l'optimisation}, publisher = {Ellipses}, year = 1994, address = {Paris}, booktitle = {Introduction \`a l'optimisation} } @TechReport{Edmonds.ea2000:technology, author = {Jae A. Edmonds and Joseph M. Roop and Michael J. Scott}, title = {Technology and the economics of climate change policy}, institution = {Pew Center on Global Climate Change}, year = 2000, month = sep } @InBook{Sweeney1993:handbook, author = {James L. Sweeney}, title = {Handbook of Natural Resource and Energy Enconomics. Vol. III}, chapter = {17 Economic Theory of Depletable Ressources: An Introduction}, pages = {759--854}, publisher = {Elsevier Science}, year = 1993, address = {Amsterdam}, note = {Book ed. by Allen V. Kneese and James L. Sweeney} } @Book{Baumol.ea1988:theory, author = {William J. Baumol and Wallace E. Oates}, title = {The Theory of Environmental Policy}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1988, note = {Second {\'E}dition}, booktitle = {The Theory of Environmental Policy} } @Manual{Gilotte.ea2000:prospective, author = {Laurent Gilotte and Beno{\^\i}t Simon}, title = {Prospective du syst{\`e}me des transports terrestres face aux objectifs et mesures du Protocole de {K}yoto}, organization = {\textsc{cired}}, year = 2000, note = {Etude r{\'e}alis{\'e}e pour l'\textsc{ADEME} dans le cadre du \textsc{PREDIT} ``Recherches strat{\'e}giques''. Centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le d{\'e}veloppement} } @TechReport{Courrege.ea1999:schemas, author = {Philippe Courr{\`e}ge and Pascal Gourdel and Pierre Loridan and Pierre Matarasso}, title = {Sch{\'e}mas intertemporels de la mod{\'e}lisation macro{\'e}conomique et th{\'e}orie du contr{\^o}le : Simulation, Optimisation Anticipations et R{\'e}gulation}, institution = {CNRS}, year = 1999, type = {Cahiers de la MSE}, number = {99.49}, month = jul } @Manual{code.env, title = {Code de l'environnement}, bibkey = {code.env} } @Manual{code.urb, title = {Code de l'urbanisme}, bibkey = {code.urb} } @Book{Lamy2000:vade-mecum, author = {D. Lamy}, title = {Vade-mecum de l'action municipale, 2{\`e}me {\'e}dition}, publisher = {Le Moniteur}, year = 2000, address = {Paris} } @Book{Moreau1999:administration, author = {J. Moreau}, title = {Administration r{\'e}gionale, d{\'e}partementales et municipale}, publisher = {Dalloz}, year = 1999, address = {Paris}, edition = {12{\`e}me} } @Booklet{Ademe.ea1995:energie, author = {{\textsc{Ademe}} and {\textsc{AIVF}} and {\textsc{ATTF}} and {\textsc{DGCL}} and {\textsc{EDF}} and {GDF} and {UIFP}}, title = {Energie et patrimoine communal}, year = 1995, note = {Enqu{\^e}te 1995} } @Manual{Observatoire-de-lEnergie2001:lenergie, author = {{Observatoire de l'{\'E}nergie}}, title = {L'{\'e}nergie en France}, organization = {R{\'e}publique Fran{\c{c}}aise}, year = 2001, note = {Chiffres cl{\'e}s} } @Manual{Datar2000:schemas-services, author = {{\textsc{Datar}}}, title = {Sch{\'e}ma des services collectifs de l'{\'E}nergie}, organization = {Minist{\`e}re de l'{\'E}conomie des Finances et de l'Industrie, R{\'e}publique Fran{\c{c}}aise}, year = 2000, note = {Document soumis {\`a} la consultation}, bibkey = {Datar2000:schemas-services} } @Manual{Datar2000:schemas-multimodaux, author = {{\textsc{Datar}}}, title = {Sch{\'e}mas multimodaux de services collectifs de transport de voyageurs et de transport de marchandises}, organization = {Minist{\`e}re de l'{\'E}quipement des Transports et du Logement, R{\'e}publique Fran{\c{c}}aise}, year = 2000, note = {Document soumis {\`a} la consultation}, bibkey = {Datar2000:schemas-multimodaux} } @Manual{Mate2001:rapport, author = {{\textsc{Mate}}}, title = {Rapport 2001 de la France {\`a} la commission du d{\'e}veloppement durable des nations unies}, organization = {Minist{\`e}re de l'Am{\'e}nagement du Territoire et de l'Environnement}, year = 2001, url = {http://www.environnement.gouv.fr/dossiers/developpementdurable/rapport-cdd-2001.htm} } @Manual{Jouve.ea2001:politiques, author = {Bernard Jouve and Anna{\"\i}ck Purenne}, title = { Des politiques locales de d{\'e}placements urbains en qu{\^e}te de coh{\'e}rence et de coordination : le \textsc{pdu} de Lyon}, month = { jan}, year = 2001 } @TechReport{Narain.ea2000:irreversibility, author = {Urvashi Narain and Anthony C. Fisher}, title = {Irreversibility, uncertainty, and catastrophic global warming}, institution = {University of California, Departement of Agricultural and Resources Economics}, year = 2000, type = {Gianni Fundation Working Paper}, number = 843, address = {Berkeley, CA} } @TechReport{Narain.ea2002:uncertainty, author = {Urvashi Narain and Michael Hanemann and Anthony Fisher}, title = {Uncertainty, learning, and the irreversibility effect}, institution = {University of California, Departement of Agricultural and Resources Economics and Policy}, year = 2002, type = {Working Paper}, number = 935, address = {Berkeley, CA} } @Article{Pindyck2000:irreversibilities, author = {Robert S. Pindyck}, title = {Irreversibilities and the timing of environmental policy}, journal = {Resource and Energy Economics}, year = 2000, volume = 22, pages = {233--259} } @InCollection{Kelly.ea1999:integrated, author = {David L. Kelly and Charles D. Kolstad}, title = {Integrated Assessment Models for Climate Change Control}, editor = {H. Folmer and T. Tietenberg}, booktitle = {The International Yearbook of Environmental and Resource Economics 1999/2000}, publisher = {Edward Elgar}, year = 1999, chapter = 4, pages = {171--97}, address = {Cheltenham, UK} } @InCollection{Bohm.ea1999:transportation, author = {Peter Bohm and Per-Ove Hesselborn}, title = {Transportation and Environmental Policy}, editor = {H. Folmer and T. Tietenberg}, booktitle = {The International Yearbook of Environmental and Resource Economics 1999/2000}, publisher = {Edward Elgar}, year = 1999, chapter = 1, address = {Cheltenham, UK} } @InCollection{Segerson.ea1999:voluntary, author = {Kathleen Segerson and Na Li}, title = {Voluntary Approaches to Environmental Protection}, editor = {H. Folmer and T. Tietenberg}, booktitle = {The International Yearbook of Environmental and Resource Economics 1999/2000}, publisher = {Edward Elgar}, year = 1999, chapter = 7, address = {Cheltenham, UK} } @Article{Kalman1960:new, author = {Kalman, Rudolph, Emil}, title = {A New Approach to Linear Filtering and Prediction Problems}, journal = {Transactions of the ASME--Journal of Basic Engineering}, year = 1960, volume = 82, number = {Series D}, pages = {35--45} } @Article{Kalman.ea1961:new, author = {Kalman, Rudolph, Emil and R. S. Bucy}, title = {New Results in Linear Filtering and Prediction Theory}, journal = {Transactions of the ASME--Journal of Basic Engineering}, year = 1961, volume = 83, pages = {95--108} } @Article{Ghil1997:advances, author = {Michael Ghil}, title = {Advances in Sequential Estimation for Atmospheric and Oceanic Flows}, journal = {Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan}, year = 1997, volume = 75, number = {1B}, pages = {289--303} } @Article{Talagrand1997:assimilation, author = {Olivier Talagrand}, title = {Assimilation of Observations, an Introduction}, journal = {Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan}, year = 1997, volume = 75, number = {1B}, pages = {191--209} } @Article{Ghil.ea1991:data, author = {Michael Ghil and Paola Malanotte-Rizzoli}, title = {Data assimilation in meteoroloy and oceanography}, journal = {Advances in Geophysics}, year = 1991, volume = 33, pages = {141--266} } @Article{Lemoine.ea2004:introduction, author = {Matthieu Lemoine and Florian Pelgrin}, title = {Introduction aux mod{\`e}les espace-{\'e}tat et au filtre de {K}alman}, journal = {Revue de l'{OFCE}}, year = 2004, volume = 86, month = jul } @Book{Harvey1989:forecasting, author = {A. C. Harvey}, title = {Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the {K}alman Filter}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 1989 } @InCollection{Schneider.ea2002:uncertainty, author = {Stephen H. Schneider and Kristin Kuntz-Duriseti}, title = {Uncertainty and Climate Change Policy}, editor = {Stephen H. Schneider and Armin Rosencranz and John O. Niles}, booktitle = {Climate Change Policy --- A Survey}, publisher = {Island Press}, year = 2002, isbn = {1-55963-880-X (hardcover), 1-55963-881-8 (pbk.)}, url = {http://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/Publications/Publications.html} } @InBook{Breslow.ea19:measures, author = {N. E. Breslow and N. E. Day}, title = {Measures of disease}, chapter = 2, pages = {69--81}, year = {19XX} } @Misc{vonKrauss.ea2003:elicitation, author = {Martin Krayer von Krauss and Elizabeth A. Casman and Michael J. Small}, title = {Elicitation of Expert Judgements of Uncertainty in the Risk Assessment of Herbicide Tolerant Oilseed Crops}, year = 2003, month = {Spring} } @TechReport{Dessai.ea2003:climate, author = {Suraje Dessai and Mike Hulme}, title = {Does climate policy need probabilities?}, institution = {Tyndall Centre}, year = 2003, number = 34, month = aug, series = {Working Paper}, url = {http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/working_papers/wp34_summary.shtml} } @PhDThesis{Dessai2005:robust, author = {Suraje Dessai}, title = {Robust adaptation decisions amid climate change uncertainties}, school = {University of East Anglia}, year = 2005, type = {PhD}, address = {Norwich} } @Article{Dessai.ea2007:assessing, author = {Suraje Dessai and Mike Hulme}, title = {Assessing the robustness of adaptation decisions to climate change uncertainties: A case study on water resources management in the East of {E}ngland}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, year = 2007, volume = 17, pages = {59--72} } @TechReport{Connell.ea2003:climate, title = {Climate adaptation: risk, uncertainty and decision-making}, institution = {{UK} Climate Impact Programme}, year = 2003, month = may, editor = {Richenda Connell and Robert Willows}, url = {http://www.ukcip.org.uk/resources/publications/pub_dets.asp?ID=4} } @Article{Berliner.ea2000:bayesian, author = {L. Mark Berliner and Richard A. Levine and Dennis J. Shea}, title = {Bayesian Climate Change Assessment}, journal = {Journal of Climate}, year = 2000, volume = 13, pages = {3805--3820}, month = nov } @Article{Smit.ea2000:anatomy, author = {Barry Smit and Ian Burton and Richard J.T. Klein and J. Wandel}, title = {An Anatomy of Adaptation to Climate Change and Variability}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2000, volume = 45, pages = {223--251}, doi = {10.1023/A:1005661622966}, annote = {Smit without `h' is correct.} } @Article{Reilly.ea1999:agricultural, author = {J. M. Reilly and D. Schimmelpfennig}, title = {Agricultural Impact Assessment, Vulnerability, and the Scope for Adaptation}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1999, volume = 43, pages = {745--788} } @Article{West.ea2001:storms, author = {J. Jason West and Mitchell J. Small and Hadi Dowlatabadi}, title = {Storms, Investor Decisions, and The Economic Impacts of Sea Level Rise}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2001, volume = 48, pages = {317--342}, doi = {10.1023/A:1010772132755} } @Article{Yohe.ea1996:economic, author = {Gary Yohe and J. Neumann, P. Marshall and H. Ameden}, title = {The Economic Cost of Greenhouse Induced Sea Level Rise for Developed Property in the {U}nited {S}tates}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1996, volume = 32, pages = {387--410} } @Article{Rosenzweig.ea1994:potential, author = {C. Rosenzweig and M. Parry}, title = {Potential impact of climate change on world food supply}, journal = {Nature}, year = 1994, volume = 367, pages = {133--138} } @TechReport{Darwin.ea1995:world, author = {Roy Darwin and Marinos Tsigas and Jan Lewandrowski and Anton Raneses}, title = {World Agriculture and Climate Change: Economic Adaptations}, institution = {U.S. Department of Agriculture}, year = 1995, number = {AER-703}, month = jun, pages = 100, url = {http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/aer703/} } @InProceedings{Yohe2002:estimating, author = {Gary W. Yohe}, title = {Estimating benefits: other issues concerning market impacts}, note = {{ENV/EPOC/GSP(2003)8}}, crossref = {OECD2002:benefits} } @InProceedings{Smith.ea2002:estimating, author = {Joel B. Smith and Sam Hitz}, title = {Estimating Global Impacts from Climate Change}, year = 2002, pages = 94, address = {Paris, France}, month = nov # {18--19}, organization = {Environment Directorate, Environment Policy Committee, OECD}, note = {{ENV/EPOC/GSP(2002)12}} } @InBook{Peck.ea1996:analytic, author = {Stephen C. Peck and Y. Steve Wan}, title = {Analytic Solutions of Simple Optimal Greenhouse Gas Emission Models}, chapter = 6, pages = {113--121}, crossref = {vanIerland.ea1996:economics} } @Book{vanIerland.ea1996:economics, editor = {Ekko C. van Ierland and Kazimierz G{\'o}rka}, title = {Economics of Athmospheric Pollution}, publisher = {Springer Verlag}, year = 1996, volume = 14, series = {NATO ASI series}, address = {Berlin Heidelberg}, booktitle = {Economics of Athmospheric Pollution} } @Article{Smit.ea1999:science, author = {Barry Smit and Ian Burton and Richard J.T. Klein and R. Street}, title = {The science of adaptation: a framework for assessment}, journal = {Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change}, year = 1999, volume = 4, pages = {199--213} } @Article{Klein.ea1999:assessment, author = {Richard J.T. Klein and Robert J. Nicholls}, title = {Assessment of Coastal Vulnerability to Climate Change}, journal = {Ambio}, year = 1999, volume = 28, number = 2, pages = {182--187}, month = mar } @InProceedings{Fukui1979:climate, author = {H. Fukui}, title = {Climate variability and agriculture in tropical moist regions}, crossref = {WMO1979:proceedings} } @Proceedings{WMO1979:proceedings, year = 1979, number = 537, address = {Geneva, Switzerland}, month = feb, organization = {WMO}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the World Climate Conference: a conference of experts on climate and mankind}, isbn = {92-63-10537-5} } @Book{Hewitt.ea1971:hazardousness, author = {Kenneth Hewitt and Ian Burton}, title = {The hazardousness of a place: a regional ecology of damaging events}, publisher = {University of Toronto Press}, year = 1971, address = {Toronto, Canada}, pages = 154, isbn = 0802032818 } @TechReport{Morita.ea1994:global, author = {Tsuneyuki Morita and Yuzuru Matsuoka and Ian Penna and Mikiko Kainuma}, title = {Global carbon dioxide carbon emission scenarios and their basic assumptions -- 1994 survey}, institution = {Center for Global Environmental Research, National Institue for Environmental Studies, Environment Agency of Japan}, year = 1994, number = {CGER-I011-'94}, address = {Tsukuba, Japan}, month = mar, pages = 77 } @TechReport{Picard.ea2004:adaptation, author = {Delphine Picard and Joseph Mulligan and Le Roy, Edouard and R{\'e}da Souirgi}, title = {Adaptation aux {\'e}v{\'e}nements m{\'e}t{\'e}orologiques extr{\^e}mes~: la crue centennale {\`a} Paris}, institution = {{\'E}cole Nationale des Ponts et Chauss{\'e}es}, year = 2004, series = {Atelier Changement Climatique}, url = {http://www.enpc.fr/fr/formations/ecole_virt/trav-eleves/cc/cc0304/crue/crue.htm}, annote = {Rapport pour l'Atelier changement climatique, cours ENPC} } @TechReport{Smith.ea1998:proactive, author = {Joel B. Smith and Richard S.J. Tol and Shannon Ragland and Samuel Fankhauser}, title = {Proactive adaptation to climate change: Three case studies on infrastructure investments}, institution = {IVM (Institute for Environmental Studies), Vrije Universiteit}, year = 1998, number = {D-98/03}, address = {Amsterdam, The Netherlands}, month = apr, publisher = {Institute for Environmental Studies}, pages = 14 } @Article{Salagnac2007:lessons, author = {Jean-Luc Salagnac}, title = {Lessons from the 2003 heat wave: a {F}rench perspective}, journal = {Building Research and Information}, year = 2007, volume = 35, number = 4, pages = {450--457} } @Misc{Roche2004:inondations, author = {Pierre-Alain Roche}, title = {Les inondations de la {S}eine {\`a} {P}aris. {E}njeux op{\'e}rationnels d'une politique de pr{\'e}vention. {Q}uels d{\'e}bats autour du changement climatique?}, year = 2004, month = mar, note = {Transparents pr{\'e}sent{\'e}s {\`a} la troisi{\`e}me session du s{\'e}minaire ``{\'E}valuer les risques climatiques'' organis\'e par l'{IDDRI}: Changement climatique et risque d'inondation en Ile de France: vuln{\'e}rabilit{\'e}, gestion de crise et adaptation {\`a} long-terme}, address = {Paris, France}, institution = {IDDRI (Institut du D{\'e}veloppement Durable et des Relations Internationales)}, url = {http://www.iddri.org/iddri/telecharge/climat/risques_climatiques/s3_roche.pdf} } @PhDThesis{Ambrosi2004:amplitude, author = {Philippe Ambrosi}, title = {Amplitude et calendrier des politiques de r{\'e}duction des {\'e}missions face aux risques climatiques: le{\c{c}}ons des mod{\`e}les int{\'e}gr{\'e}s}, school = {{\'E}cole des Hautes {\'E}tudes en Sciences Sociales}, year = 2004, type = {Th{\`e}se de doctorat}, address = {Paris}, month = may # { 28} } @PhDThesis{Hallegatte2005:interactions, author = {St{\'e}phane Hallegatte}, title = {Interactions d'{\'e}chelles en {\'e}conomie~: application {\`a} l'{\'e}valuation des dommages {\'e}conomiques du changement climatique et des {\'e}v{\'e}nements extr{\^e}mes}, school = {{\'E}cole des Hautes {\'E}tudes en Sciences Sociales}, year = 2005, type = {Th{\`e}se de doctorat}, address = {Paris}, month = jun # { 13} } @PhDThesis{Dumas2006:levaluation, author = {Patrice Dumas}, title = {L'{\'e}valuation des dommages du changement climatique en situation d'incertitude: l'apport de la mod{\'e}lisation des co{\^u}ts de l'adaptation}, school = {{\'E}cole des Hautes {\'E}tudes en Sciences Sociales}, year = 2006, type = {Th{\`e}se de doctorat}, address = {Paris}, month = jan # { 5} } @InBook{IPCC2007:regional, title = {Regional Climate Projections}, crossref = {IPCC2007:physical}, bibkey = {IPCC2007:regional} } @Article{Mimikou.ea1991:resources, author = {M. A. Mimikou and Y. S. Kouvopoulos}, title = {regional climate change impacts: {I} impacts on water resources}, journal = {Hydrological Sciences}, year = 1991, volume = 36, number = 3, pages = {247--258}, bibkey = {Mimikou.ea1991:resources} } @Article{Mimikou.ea1991:works, author = {M. A. Mimikou and P. S. Hadjisavva and Y. S. Kouvopoulos and H. Afrateos}, title = {regional climate change impacts: {II} impacts on water management works}, journal = {Hydrological Sciences}, year = 1991, volume = 36, number = 3, pages = {259--270}, bibkey = {Mimikou.ea1991:works} } @TechReport{Kiparsky.ea2003:climate, author = {M. Kiparsky and P. H. Gleick}, title = {climate change and california water resources: a survey and summary of the literature}, institution = {Pacific Institute}, year = 2003, pages = {1--46} } @TechReport{Benoit.ea2005:perspectives, author = {G. Benoit and A. Comeau}, title = {Les perspectives du Plan Bleu sur l'environnement et le d{\'e}veloppement}, institution = {Plan Bleu}, year = 2005, pages = {1--32} } @Article{Mehrotra1999:sensitivity, author = {R. Mehrotra}, title = {sensitivity of runoff, soil moisture and reservoir design to climate change in central indian river basins}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1999, volume = 42, pages = {725--757} } @Article{Oki.ea2001:global, author = {T. Oki and Y. Agata and S. Kanae and T. Saruhashi and D. Yang and K. Musiake}, title = {Global assessement of current water resources using {T}otal {R}unoff {I}ntegrating {P}athways}, journal = {Hydrological Sciences}, year = 2001, volume = 46, number = 6, pages = {983--995} } @Article{Hanasaki.ea2006:reservoir, author = {Naota Hanasaki and Shinjiro Kanae and Taikan Oki}, title = {A reservoir operation scheme for global river routing models}, journal = {Journal of Hydrology}, year = 2006, volume = 327, pages = {22--41}, doi = {doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.11.011} } @Article{Koutsoyiannis.ea2003:evaluation, author = {Demetris Koutsoyiannis and Athanasia Economou}, title = {Evaluation of the parameterization-simulation-optimization approach for the control of reservoir systems}, journal = {Water Resources Research}, year = 2003, volume = 39, number = 6, doi = {doi:10.1029/2003WR002148} } @Article{Nalbantis.ea1997:parametric, author = {I. Nalbantis and Demetris Koutsoyiannis}, title = {A parametric rule for planning and management of multiple-reservoir systems}, journal = {Water Resources Research}, year = 1997, volume = 33, number = 9, pages = {2165--2177} } @Article{Quinn.ea2001:integrated, author = {N. W. T. Quinn and N. L. Miller and J. A. Dracup and L. Brekke and L. F. Grober}, title = {An integrated modeling system for environmental impact analysis of climate variability and extreme weather events in the san {J}oaquin basin, {C}alifornia}, journal = {Advances in Environmental Research}, year = 2001, volume = 5, pages = {309--317} } @Book{Hubert1984:eaupuscule, author = {P. Hubert}, title = {Eaupuscule}, publisher = {Ellipses}, year = 1984 } @Book{Aftias1992:ydreuseis, author = {M. Aftias}, title = {Ydreuseis}, publisher = {Ecole Polytechnique d'Ath{\`e}nes Gr{\`e}ce}, year = 1992 } @Article{Shiau2003:water, author = {J.T. 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Droogers}, title = {adaptation to climate change to enhance food security and preserve environmental quality: example for southern {S}ri {L}anka}, journal = {Agricultural Water Management}, year = 2004, volume = 66, pages = {15--33} } @TechReport{WaterStrategyMan2004:waterstrategyman, author = {{WaterStrategyMan}}, title = {The {WaterStrategyMan} {DSS} A comprehensive Decision Support System for the Development of Sustainable Water Management Strategies}, institution = {Office International de l'eau, Hebrew University of Jerusalem,Water development departement Cyprus, INSULA, Aeoliki Ltd, Facultande de engenharia da universidade do Porto}, year = 2004, month = sep, publisher = {ProGEA} } @Article{Islam.ea2005:development, author = {M. S. Islam and T. Aramaki and K. Hanaki}, title = {Development and application of an integrated water balance model to study the sensitivity of the {T}okyo metropolitan area water availability scenario to climatic changes}, journal = {Agricultural Water Management}, year = 2005, volume = 19, pages = {423--445} } @Article{Degaetano1999:temporal, author = {A.T. Degaetano}, title = {A temporal comparison of drought impacts ans responses in the new york city metropolitan area}, journal = {Agricultural Water Management}, year = 1999, volume = 42, pages = {539--560} } @Article{Mimikou.ea1997:climate, author = {M. A. Mimikou and E. Baltas}, title = {Climate change impacts on the reliability of hydroelectric energy production}, journal = {Hydrological Sciences}, year = 1997, volume = 45, number = 5, pages = {661--678} } @Article{Mimikou.ea1999:regional, author = {M. A. Mimikou and E. Baltas and E. Varanou and K. Pantazis}, title = {regional impacts of climate change on water resources quality and quantity indicators}, journal = {Journal of Hydrology}, year = 1999, volume = 234, pages = {95--109} } @Book{ICOLD2000:dams, author = {{ICOLD}}, title = {Dams and development a new framework for decision making}, year = 2000 } @Book{ICOLD1990:cost, author = {{ICOLD}}, title = {Cost impact on futur dam design}, year = 1990, volume = 83 } @Article{McMahon.ea2007:revisiting, author = {Thomas A. McMahon and Geoffrey G.S. Pegram and Richard M. Vogel and Murray C. Peel}, title = {Revisiting reservoir storage-yield relationships using a global streamflow database}, journal = {Advances in Water Resources}, year = 2007, volume = 30, pages = {1858--1872}, doi = {doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2007.02.003} } @Proceedings{Le-Delliou.ea2003:barrages, title = {Barrages et D{\'e}veloppement Durable en {F}rance}, year = 2003, editor = {Le Delliou, Patrick and Paul Royet and Jacques Lavabre and Catherine Fouchier}, publisher = {Comit{\'e} Fran{\c c}ais des Grands Barrages, Minist{\`e}re de l'{E}cologie et du D{\'e}veloppement Durable et Cemagref}, booktitle = {Barrages et D{\'e}veloppement Durable en {F}rance}, pages = {1--317}, isbn = {2-85362-624-5} } @Article{Kirshen.ea2005:global, author = {P. Kirshen and M. Mccluskey and R. Vogel R. and K. Strzepek}, title = {Global analysis of changes in water supply yields and costs under climate change: a case study in {C}hina}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2005, volume = 68, number = 3, pages = {303--330}, doi = {10.1007/s10584-005-1148-7} } @Article{Jiang.ea2007:comparison, author = {T. Jiang and Y.D. Chen and C.Y. Xu and X. Chen and Xi. Chen and V.P. Singh}, title = {Comparison of hydrological impacts of climate change simulated by six hydrological models in the {D}ongjiang {B}asin, {S}outh {C}hina}, journal = {Journal of Hydrology}, year = 2007, volume = 336, pages = {316--333}, month = jan } @Article{Schaefli.ea2007:climate, author = {B. Schaefli and B. Hingray and A. Musy}, title = {Climate change and hydropower production in the Swiss Alps: quantification of potential impacts and related modelling uncertainties}, journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences}, year = 2007, volume = 11, number = 3, pages = {1191--1205} } @Article{Venkatesh.ea1999:analyzing, author = {Boddu N. Venkatesh and Benjamin F. Hobbs}, title = {Analyzing investments for managing {L}ake {E}rie levels under climate change uncertainty}, journal = {Water Resources Research}, year = 1999, volume = 35, number = 5, pages = {1671--1683} } @Article{Ducharne.ea2007:long, author = {A. Ducharne and C. Baubion and N. Benoit and G. Billen and N. Brisson and J. Garnier and H. Kieken and S. Lebonvallet and E. Ledoux and B. Mary and C. Mignolet and X. Poux and E. Sauboua and C. Schott and S. Th{\'e}ry and P. Viennot}, title = {Long term prospective of the {S}eine {R}iver system: Confronting climatic and direct anthropogenic changes}, journal = {Science of the Total Environment}, year = 2007, volume = 375, pages = {292--311} } @Article{Purkey.ea2008:robust, author = {D. R. Purkey and B. Joyce and S. Vicuna and M. W. Hanemann and L. L. Dale and D. Yates and J. A. Dracup}, title = {Robust analysis of future climate change impacts on water for agriculture and other sectors: a case study in the {S}acramento {V}alley}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2008, volume = {87 (Suppl 1)}, pages = {S109--S122} } @Article{Wood.ea1997:assessing, author = {Andrew W. Wood and Dennis P. Lettenmaier and Richard N. Palmer}, title = {Assessing climatic change implications for water resources planning}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1997, volume = 37, pages = {203--228} } @Article{Medellin-Azuara.ea2008:adaptability, author = {Josu{\'e} Medell{\'i}n-Azuara and Julien J. Harou and Marcelo A. Olivares and Kaveh Madani and Jay R. Lund and Richard E. Howitt and Stacy K. Tanaka and Marion W. Jenkins and Tingju Zhu}, title = {Adaptability and adaptations of {C}alifornia's water supply system to dry climate warming}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2008, volume = {87 (Suppl 1)}, pages = {S75--S90} } @TechReport{Callaway.ea2007:berg, author = {John M. Callaway and Dani{\"e}l B. Louw and Jabavu C. Nkomo and Molly E. Hellmuth and Debbie A. Sparks}, title = {The {B}erg River Dynamic Spatial Equilibrium Model: A New Tool for Assessing the Benefits and Costs of Alternatives for Coping With Water Demand Growth, Climate Variability, and Climate Change in the {W}estern {C}ape}, year = 2007, type = {AIACC Working Paper}, number = 31, publisher = {AIACC} } @Article{Cook.ea2006:coupled, author = {Kerry H. Cook and Edwards K. Vizy}, title = {Coupled Model Simulations of the West African Monsoon: Twentieth- and Twenty-First-Century Simulations}, journal = {Journal of Climate}, year = 2006, volume = 19, number = 15, pages = {3681--3703} } @TechReport{deSardan2007:analyse, author = {Jean-Pierre Olivier de Sardan}, title = {Analyse r{\'e}trospective de la crise alimentaire au {N}iger en 2005}, institution = {Agence Fran{\c{c}}aise de D{\'e}veloppement (AFD)}, year = 2007, issn = {1954-3131} } @Article{Giannini.ea2003:oceanic, author = {A. Giannini and R. Saravanan and P. Chang}, title = {Oceanic Forcing of {S}ahel Rainfall on Interannual to interdecadal Time Scales}, journal = {Science}, year = 2003, volume = 302, pages = {1027--1030}, doi = {10.1126/science.1089357} } @InProceedings{Hanemann2002:market, author = {Michael Hanemann}, title = {Market benefits/impacts of climate change}, annote = {There should be note like note = {{ENV/EPOC/GSP(2003)}}}, crossref = {OECD2002:benefits} } @Proceedings{OECD2002:benefits, title = {Benefits of Climate Policy: Improving Information for Policy Makers}, year = 2002, address = {Paris, France}, month = dec # {12--13}, organization = {OECD, Environment Directorate, Environment Policy Committee} } @InCollection{Dumas.ea2005:abrupt, author = {Patrice Dumas and Minh Ha-Duong}, title = {An abrupt stochastic damage function to analyse climate policy benefits}, editor = {Alain Haurie and Laurent Viguier}, booktitle = {The coupling of climate and economic dynamics. Essays on Integrated Assessment}, publisher = {Springer}, year = 2005, volume = 22, series = {Advances in Global Change Research}, pages = {97--112}, isbn = {1-4020-3424-5}, file = {Dumas.ea-2004-AbruptStochasticDamage.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00002451_v1}, doi = {10.1007/1-4020-3425-3_4}, dsi = 3707815518936083102 } @PhDThesis{Gitz2004:usage, author = {Vincent Gitz}, title = {Usage des terres et politiques climatiques globales}, school = {{\'E}cole nationale du g{\'e}nie rural et des eaux et for{\^e}ts}, year = 2004, type = {Th{\`e}se de doctorat}, address = {Paris} } @Article{Rosendahl2004:cost-effective, author = {Knut Einar Rosendahl}, title = {Cost-effective environmental policy: implications of induced technological change}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, year = 2004, volume = 48, pages = {1099--1121} } @Article{Carraro.ea1998:climate, author = {Carlo Carraro and Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Climate modelling and policy strategies. {T}he role of technical change and uncertainty}, journal = {Energy Economics}, year = 1998, volume = 20, number = {5/6}, pages = {463--471} } @Article{McFadden1999:rationality, author = {Daniel McFadden}, title = {Rationality for Economists?}, journal = {Journal of Risk and Uncertainty}, year = 1999, volume = 19, number = {1-3}, pages = {73--105}, url = {http://emlab.berkeley.edu/eml/nsf97/mcfadden.pdf} } @Book{Kippenberger1999:scenarios, editor = {Tony Kippenberger}, title = {Scenarios: the search for foresight}, publisher = {The Centre for Strategic Business Studies (CSBS)}, year = 1999, series = {The Antidote}, number = 22, url = {http://www.cnam.fr/lipsor/recherche/laboratoire/data/antidote.pdf} } @Book{Hull1997:options, editor = {John C. Hull}, title = {Options, futures and other derivatives}, publisher = {Prentice Hall}, year = 1997, edition = {third}, isbn = {978-0-13-186479-3} } @Article{Neilson2003:probability, author = {William S. Neilson}, title = {Probability transformations in the study of behavior toward risk}, journal = {Synthese}, year = 2003, volume = 135, pages = {171--192}, month = may, url = {http://econweb.tamu.edu/neilson/Papers/probtrans.pdf} } @Article{Witsenhausen1971:information, author = {H. S. Witsenhausen}, title = {On information structures, feedback and causality}, journal = {SIAM Journal of Control}, year = 1971, volume = 9, number = 2, pages = {149--160}, url = {http://locus.siam.org/SICON/volume-09/art_0309013.html} } @Article{Mena2000:introduction, author = {Sami Ben Mena}, title = {Introduction aux m\'ethodes multicrit\`eres d'aide \`a la d\'ecision}, journal = {Biotechnologie, Agronomie, Soci\'et\'e et Environnement}, year = 2000, volume = 4, number = 2, pages = {83--93}, url = {http://www.bib.fsagx.ac.be/library/base/text/v4n2/83.pdf} } @Misc{Casman.ea2004:bounding, author = {Elizabeth A. Casman and M. Granger Morgan}, title = {Bounding poorly characterized risk factors for lung cancer using elicited expert judgment}, howpublished = {personal communication, Carnegie Mellon University, Department of Engineering and Public Policy}, year = 2004, month = {24 } # aug } @InProceedings{Gutierrez.ea2004:strategies, author = {Jorge Guti\'errez and Jean-Luc Rouas and J\'er\^ome Farinas and R\'egine Andr\'e-Obrecht}, title = {Strat\'egies de fusion des d\'ecisions multiexpert en identification automatique des langues}, booktitle = {Identification des langues et des vari\'et\'es dialectales par les humains et par les machines - MIDL 2004 : Mod\'elisation pour l'identification des langues, Paris}, year = 2004, pages = {71--76}, month = {29-30 novembre}, publisher = {ENST - T\'el\'eom Paris, ISSN 1242-5125} } @TechReport{Haefeli.ea2004:carbon, author = {Susanne Haefeli and Martina Bosi and C\'edric Philibert}, title = {Carbon dioxide capture and storage issues - {A}ccounting and baselines under the {U}nited {N}ations {F}ramework {C}onvention on {C}limate {C}hange ({UNFCCC})}, institution = {International Energy Agency}, year = 2004, type = {IEA Information Paper}, month = may, url = {http://www.iea.org/textbase/papers/2004/css.pdf} } @Article{Gonzalez.ea1999:shape, author = {Richard Gonzalez and George Wu}, title = {On the shape of the probability weighting function}, journal = {Cognitive psychology}, year = 1999, volume = 38, pages = {129--166} } @Article{VanderMarck2003:weather, author = {Paul VanderMarck}, title = {Weather Risk. Marking to model - or to market ?}, journal = {Environmental Finance}, year = 2003, number = dec # { 2002 - } # jan # {2003}, pages = {36--37}, abstract = {Paul VanderMarck asks whether the growing maturity of the weather derivatives market means that risk managers can rely on market prices to value portfolios} } @Article{Neumaier2003:fuzzy, author = {Arnold Neumaier}, title = {Fuzzy modeling in terms of surprise}, journal = {Fuzzy Sets and Systems}, year = 2003, volume = 135, pages = {21--38}, url = {http://solon.cma.univie.ac.at/~neum/ms/fuzzy.pdf} } @TechReport{Brown.ea2004:origin, author = {Gordon D. A. Brown and Jing Qian}, title = {The origin of probability weighting: a psychophysical approach}, institution = {University of Warwick}, year = 2004, month = apr } @Article{Pacala.ea2004:stabilization, author = {S. Pacala and R. Socolow}, title = {Stabilization wedges: solving the climate problem for the next 50 years with current technologies}, journal = {Science}, year = 2004, volume = 305, pages = {968--972}, month = {13 } # aug } @PhDThesis{vanderSluijs1997:anchoring, author = {Jeroen P. van der Sluijs}, title = {Anchoring amid uncertainty. {O}n the management of uncertainties in risk assessment of anthropogenic climate change}, school = {Universieit Utrecht}, year = 1997, month = {21 } # jun, isbn = {90-393-1329-6}, url = {http://www.chem.uu.nl/nws/www/publica/PhDThesisJeroenvanderSluijs1997.pdf} } @Misc{Casman.ea2004:interview, author = {Elizabeth Casman and M. Granger Morgan}, title = {Interview protocol for asking experts about {T}he relative contributions of different risk factors to annual lung cancer mortality in the {U}nited {S}tates}, howpublished = {personal communication}, year = 2004, month = {8 } # jul } @Article{Monti.ea1998:boite, author = {R\'egine Monti and Fabrice Roubelat}, title = {La bo\^{\i}te \`a outils de prospective strat\'egique et la prospective de d\'efense: r\'etrospective et perspectives}, journal = {Entretiens Science et D\'efense}, year = 1998, url = {http://www.cnam.fr/lipsor/lips/articles/references/boite_a_outils.pdf} } @TechReport{Berg.ea2004:preference, author = {Joyce E. Berg and John W. Dickhaut and Thomas A. Rietz}, title = {Preference {R}eversals: {T}he {I}mpact of {T}ruth-{R}evealing {I}ncentives}, institution = {UCLA Department of Economics}, year = 2004, month = jul, url = {http://www.biz.uiowa.edu/faculty/trietz/papers/prefrev.pdf} } @Book{Kuipers1994:qualitative, author = {Benjamin Kuipers}, title = {Qualitative reasoning: modeling and simulation with incomplete knowledge}, publisher = {MIT press}, year = 1994, isbn = {0-262-11190-X} } @MastersThesis{Huijts2003:public, author = {Nicole Huijts}, title = {Public perception of carbon dioxide storage. {T}he role of trust and affect in attitude formation}, school = {Eindhoven University of Technology}, year = 2003, month = dec, url = {http://www.energie.nl/index2.html?nel/nl05e0336.html} } @Article{Huijts.ea2007:social, author = {Nicole M. A. Huijts and Cees J. H. Midden and Anneloes L. 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The challenge for social science.{\textquotedblright} }, year = 2004, pages = {184--192}, publisher = {Global Governance Project: Amsterdam, Berlin, Potsdam and Oldenburg}, url = {http://www.glogov.org/upload/public%20files/pdf/publications/bc%20proceedings/bc2002/bc_2002_ch17_schiller_taenzler.pdf} } @TechReport{Shackley.ea2003:public, author = {Simon Shackley and Carly McLachlan and Clair Gough}, title = {The public perceptions of carbon capture and storage}, institution = {Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research}, year = 2003, number = {COAL R247, DTI/Pub URN 03/1348}, month = sep, url = {http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/working_papers/wp44.pdf} } @Misc{ClubCO22005:stockage, author = {{Club CO2}}, title = {Document de {T}ravail du {G}roupe de {T}ravail sur le {S}tockage du {CO}2}, year = 2005, bibkey = {ClubCO22005:stockage} } @Article{Allen1997:hypothesis, author = {David L. 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Thom}, title = {Normal degree days above any base by the universal truncation coefficient}, journal = {Monthly Weather Review}, year = 1966, pages = {461--465}, month = jul, doi = {10.1175/1520-0493(1966)094<0461:NDDAAB>2.3.CO;2} } @Article{Fasano.ea1987:multidimensional, author = {G. Fasano and A. Franceschini}, title = {A multidimensional version of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test}, journal = {Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society}, year = 1987, volume = 225, pages = {155--170}, url = {http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1987MNRAS.225..155F} } @Article{Peacock1983:two-dimensional, author = {J. A. Peacock}, title = {Two-dimensional goodness-of-fit testing in astronomy}, journal = {Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society}, year = 1983, volume = 202, pages = {615--627}, url = {http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1983MNRAS.202..615P} } @Article{Gosset1987:three-dimensional, author = {E. 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Peterson}, title = {Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century}, journal = {Climate Research}, year = 2002, volume = 19, number = 3, pages = {193--212}, url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v19/n3/p193-212/}, doi = {10.3354/cr019193} } @Article{Fronzek.ea2007:assessing, author = {Stefan Fronzek and Timothy R. Carter}, title = {Assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts on resource potential for {E}urope based on projections from {RCMs} and {GCMs}}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2007, volume = 81, pages = {357--371}, doi = {10.1007/s10584-006-9214-3} } @Article{Kaivo-oja.ea2004:defining, author = {Jari Kaivo-oja and Jyrki Luukkanen and Markku Wilenius}, title = {Defining alternative national-scale socio-economic and technological futures up to 2100: {SRES} scenarios for the case of {F}inland}, journal = {Boreal Environment Research}, year = 2004, volume = 9, number = 2, pages = {109--125}, url = {http://www.borenv.net/BER/ber92.htm} } @Article{Lorenzoni.ea2000:co-evolutionary, author = {Irene Lorenzoni and Andrew Jordan and Mike Hulme and R. Kerry Turner and Tim O'Riordan}, title = {A co-evolutionary approach to climate change impact assessment: Part {I}. 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United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)}, year = 1991, number = 4, address = {Nairobi, Kenya}, series = {GRID Case Study Series}, pages = 103 } @Article{vanAsseldonk2003:insurance, author = {Marcel A. P. M. van Asseldonk}, title = {Insurance against weather risk: Use of heating degree-days from non-local stations for weather derivatives}, journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology}, year = 2003, volume = 74, number = {1--2}, pages = {137--144}, month = jan, doi = {10.1007/s00704-002-0701-9} } {10.1016/S0959-3780(00)00012-1} } @Article{Monteith1981:climatic, author = {J. L. 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Johnson}, booktitle = {Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2001, chapter = 13, url = {http://www.grida.no/CLIMATE/IPCC_TAR/WG1/index.htm}, isbn = {0521-80767-0 hardback, 0521-01495-6 paperback} } @Article{Parry.ea1989:assessment, author = {M. L. Parry and T. R. Carter}, title = {An assessment of the effects of climatic-change on agriculture}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1989, volume = 15, number = {1--2}, pages = {95--116}, doi = {10.1007/BF00138848} } @TechReport{Deichmann.ea1991:global, author = {Uwe Deichmann and Lars Eklundh}, title = {Global digital data sets for land degradation studies: a {GIS} approach}, institution = {Global Environment Monitoring System (GEMS) and Global Resource Information Database (GRID). United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)}, year = 1991, number = 4, address = {Nairobi, Kenya}, series = {GRID Case Study Series}, pages = 103 } @Article{vanAsseldonk2003:insurance, author = {Marcel A. P. M. van Asseldonk}, title = {Insurance against weather risk: Use of heating degree-days from non-local stations for weather derivatives}, journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology}, year = 2003, volume = 74, number = {1--2}, pages = {137--144}, month = jan, doi = {10.1007/s00704-002-0701-9} } = jan, doi = {10.1007/s00704-002-0701-9} } R. Carter and Rick Leemans and M. Lal and P. Whetton}, title = {Climate scenario development}, editor = {J. T. Houghton and Y. Ding and D. J. Griggs and M. Noguer and P. J. van der Linden and X. Dai and K. Maskell and C. A. Johnson}, booktitle = {Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2001, chapter = 13, url = {http://www.grida.no/CLIMATE/IPCC_TAR/WG1/index.htm}, isbn = {0521-80767-0 hardback, 0521-01495-6 paperback} } @Article{Parry.ea1989:assessment, author = {M. L. Parry and T. R. Carter}, title = {An assessment of the effects of climatic-change on agriculture}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1989, volume = 15, number = {1--2}, pages = {95--116}, doi = {10.1007/BF00138848} } @TechReport{Deichmann.ea1991:global, author = {Uwe Deichmann and Lars Eklundh}, title = {Global digital data sets for land degradation studies: a {GIS} approach}, institution = {Global Environment Monitoring System (GEMS) and Global Resource Information Database (GRID). United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)}, year = 1991, number = 4, address = {Nairobi, Kenya}, series = {GRID Case Study Series}, pages = 103 } @Article{vanAsseldonk2003:insurance, author = {Marcel A. P. M. van Asseldonk}, title = {Insurance against weather risk: Use of heating degree-days from non-local stations for weather derivatives}, journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology}, year = 2003, volume = 74, number = {1--2}, pages = {137--144}, month = jan, doi = {10.1007/s00704-002-0701-9} } anAsseldonk2003:insurance, author = {Marcel A. P. M. van Asseldonk}, title = {Insurance against weather risk: Use of heating degree-days from non-local stations for weather derivatives}, journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology}, year = 2003, volume = 74, number = {1--2}, pages = {137--144}, month = jan, doi = {10.1007/s00704-002-0701-9} } -6 paperback} } @Article{Parry.ea1989:assessment, author = {M. L. Parry and T. R. Carter}, title = {An assessment of the effects of climatic-change on agriculture}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1989, volume = 15, number = {1--2}, pages = {95--116}, doi = {10.1007/BF00138848} } @TechReport{Deichmann.ea1991:global, author = {Uwe Deichmann and Lars Eklundh}, title = {Global digital data sets for land degradation studies: a {GIS} approach}, institution = {Global Environment Monitoring System (GEMS) and Global Resource Information Database (GRID). United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)}, year = 1991, number = 4, address = {Nairobi, Kenya}, series = {GRID Case Study Series}, pages = 103 } @Article{vanAsseldonk2003:insurance, author = {Marcel A. P. M. van Asseldonk}, title = {Insurance against weather risk: Use of heating degree-days from non-local stations for weather derivatives}, journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology}, year = 2003, volume = 74, number = {1--2}, pages = {137--144}, month = jan, doi = {10.1007/s00704-002-0701-9} } on Database (GRID). United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)}, year = 1991, number = 4, address = {Nairobi, Kenya}, series = {GRID Case Study Series}, pages = 103 } @Article{vanAsseldonk2003:insurance, author = {Marcel A. P. M. van Asseldonk}, title = {Insurance against weather risk: Use of heating degree-days from non-local stations for weather derivatives}, journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology}, year = 2003, volume = 74, number = {1--2}, pages = {137--144}, month = jan, doi = {10.1007/s00704-002-0701-9} } 9} } = 2003, volume = 74, number = {1--2}, pages = {137--144}, month = jan, doi = {10.1007/s00704-002-0701-9} } 74, number = {1--2}, pages = {137--144}, month = jan, doi = {10.1007/s00704-002-0701-9} } {Climatic Change}, year = 1989, volume = 15, number = {1--2}, pages = {95--116}, doi = {10.1007/BF00138848} } @TechReport{Deichmann.ea1991:global, author = {Uwe Deichmann and Lars Eklundh}, title = {Global digital data sets for land degradation studies: a {GIS} approach}, institution = {Global Environment Monitoring System (GEMS) and Global Resource Information Database (GRID). United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)}, year = 1991, number = 4, address = {Nairobi, Kenya}, series = {GRID Case Study Series}, pages = 103 } @Article{vanAsseldonk2003:insurance, author = {Marcel A. P. M. van Asseldonk}, title = {Insurance against weather risk: Use of heating degree-days from non-local stations for weather derivatives}, journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology}, year = 2003, volume = 74, number = {1--2}, pages = {137--144}, month = jan, doi = {10.1007/s00704-002-0701-9} } Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)}, year = 1991, number = 4, address = {Nairobi, Kenya}, series = {GRID Case Study Series}, pages = = {http://www.grida.no/CLIMATE/IPCC_TAR/WG1/index.htm}, isbn = {0521-80767-0 hardback, 0521-01495-6 paperback} } @Article{Parry.ea1989:assessment, author = {M. L. Parry and T. R. Carter}, title = {An assessment of the effects of climatic-change on agriculture}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1989, volume = 15, number = {1--2}, pages = {95--116}, doi = {10.1007/BF00138848} } @TechReport{Deichmann.ea1991:= {207--228} } @Article{Rosnay.ea2003:integrated, author = {Patricia De Rosnay and Jan Polcher and Katia Laval and Maeva Sabre}, title = {Integrated parameterization of irrigation in the land surface model {ORCHIDEE}. Validation over {I}ndian Peninsula}, journal = {Geophysical Research Letters}, year = 2003, volume = 30, number = 19, pages = {HLS2--1 -- HLS2--4}, doi = {10.1029/2003GL018024} } @Article{Haddeland.ea2006:effects, author = {Ingjerd Haddeland and Dennis P. Lettenmaierand Thomas Skaugen}, title = {Effects of irrigation on the water and energy balances of the {C}olorado and {M}ekong river basins}, journal = {Journal of Hydrology}, year = 2006, volume = 324, pages = {210--223} } @Article{Purkey.ea2008:robust, author = {D. R. Purkey and B. Joyce and S. Vicuna and M. W. Hanemann and L. L. Dale and D. Yates and J. A. Dracup}, title = {Robust analysis of future climate change impacts on water for agriculture and other sectors: a case study in the {S}acramento {V}alley}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2008, volume = {87 (Suppl 1)}, pages = {S109--S122} } @Article{Wood.ea1997:assessing, author = {Andrew W. Wood and Dennis P. Lettenmaier and Richard N. Palmer}, title = {Assessing climatic change implications for water resources planning}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1997, volume = 37, pages = {203--228} } @Article{Medellin-Azuara.ea2008:adaptability, author = {Josu{\'e} Medell{\'i}n-Azuara and Julien J. Harou and Marcelo A. Olivares and Kaveh Madani and Jay R. Lund and Richard E. Howitt and Stacy K. Tanaka and Marion W. Jenkins and Tingju Zhu}, title = {Adaptability and adaptations of {C}alifornia's water supply system to dry climate warming}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2008, volume = {87 (Suppl 1)}, pages = {S75--S90} } @TechReport{Callaway.ea2007:berg, author = {John M. Callaway and Dani{\"e}l B. Louw and Jabavu C. Nkomo and Molly E. Hellmuth and Debbie A. 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Essays on Integrated Assessment}, publisher = {Springer}, year = 2005, volume = 22, series = {Advances in Global Change Research}, pages = {97--112}, isbn = {1-4020-3424-5}, file = {Dumas.ea-2004-AbruptStochasticDamage.pdf}, oai = {oai:halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr:halshs-00002451_v1}, doi = {10.1007/1-4020-3425-3_4}, dsi = 3707815518936083102 } @PhDThesis{Gitz2004:usage, author = {Vincent Gitz}, title = {Usage des terres et politiques climatiques globales}, school = {{\'E}cole nationale du g{\'e}nie rural et des eaux et for{\^e}ts}, year = 2004, type = {Th{\`e}se de doctorat}, address = {Paris} } @PhDThesis{Guimberteau2010:modelisation, author = {Matthieu Guimberteau}, title = {Mod{\'e}lisation de l'hydrologie continentale et influences de l'irrigation sur le cycle de l'eau}, school = {Universit{\'e} Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris VI}, year = 2010, type = {Th{\`e}se de doctorat}, address = {Paris} } @Article{Rosendahl2004:cost-effective, author = {Knut Einar Rosendahl}, title = {Cost-effective environmental policy: implications of induced technological change}, journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management}, year = 2004, volume = 48, pages = {1099--1121} } @Article{Carraro.ea1998:climate, author = {Carlo Carraro and Jean-Charles Hourcade}, title = {Climate modelling and policy strategies. {T}he role of technical change and uncertainty}, journal = {Energy Economics}, year = 1998, volume = 20, number = {5/6}, pages = {463--471} } @Article{McFadden1999:rationality, author = {Daniel McFadden}, title = {Rationality for Economists?}, journal = {Journal of Risk and Uncertainty}, year = 1999, volume = 19, number = {1-3}, pages = {73--105}, url = {http://emlab.berkeley.edu/eml/nsf97/mcfadden.pdf} } @Book{Kippenberger1999:scenarios, editor = {Tony Kippenberger}, title = {Scenarios: the search for foresight}, publisher = {The Centre for Strategic Business Studies (CSBS)}, year = 1999, series = {The Antidote}, number = 22, url = {http://www.cnam.fr/lipsor/recherche/laboratoire/data/antidote.pdf} } @Book{Hull1997:options, editor = {John C. Hull}, title = {Options, futures and other derivatives}, publisher = {Prentice Hall}, year = 1997, edition = {third}, isbn = {978-0-13-186479-3} } @Article{Neilson2003:probability, author = {William S. Neilson}, title = {Probability transformations in the study of behavior toward risk}, journal = {Synthese}, year = 2003, volume = 135, pages = {171--192}, month = may, url = {http://econweb.tamu.edu/neilson/Papers/probtrans.pdf} } @Article{Witsenhausen1971:information, author = {H. S. Witsenhausen}, title = {On information structures, feedback and causality}, journal = {SIAM Journal of Control}, year = 1971, volume = 9, number = 2, pages = {149--160}, url = {http://locus.siam.org/SICON/volume-09/art_0309013.html} } @Article{Mena2000:introduction, author = {Sami Ben Mena}, title = {Introduction aux m\'ethodes multicrit\`eres d'aide \`a la d\'ecision}, journal = {Biotechnologie, Agronomie, Soci\'et\'e et Environnement}, year = 2000, volume = 4, number = 2, pages = {83--93}, url = {http://www.bib.fsagx.ac.be/library/base/text/v4n2/83.pdf} } @Misc{Casman.ea2004:bounding, author = {Elizabeth A. Casman and M. Granger Morgan}, title = {Bounding poorly characterized risk factors for lung cancer using elicited expert judgment}, howpublished = {personal communication, Carnegie Mellon University, Department of Engineering and Public Policy}, year = 2004, month = {24 } # aug } @InProceedings{Gutierrez.ea2004:strategies, author = {Jorge Guti\'errez and Jean-Luc Rouas and J\'er\^ome Farinas and R\'egine Andr\'e-Obrecht}, title = {Strat\'egies de fusion des d\'ecisions multiexpert en identification automatique des langues}, booktitle = {Identification des langues et des vari\'et\'es dialectales par les humains et par les machines - MIDL 2004~: Mod\'elisation pour l'identification des langues, Paris}, year = 2004, pages = {71--76}, month = {29-30 } # nov, publisher = {ENST - T\'el\'eom Paris, ISSN 1242-5125} } @TechReport{Haefeli.ea2004:carbon, author = {Susanne Haefeli and Martina Bosi and C\'edric Philibert}, title = {Carbon dioxide capture and storage issues - {A}ccounting and baselines under the {U}nited {N}ations {F}ramework {C}onvention on {C}limate {C}hange ({UNFCCC})}, institution = {International Energy Agency}, year = 2004, type = {IEA Information Paper}, month = may, url = {http://www.iea.org/textbase/papers/2004/css.pdf} } @Article{Gonzalez.ea1999:shape, author = {Richard Gonzalez and George Wu}, title = {On the shape of the probability weighting function}, journal = {Cognitive psychology}, year = 1999, volume = 38, pages = {129--166} } @Article{VanderMarck2003:weather, author = {Paul VanderMarck}, title = {Weather Risk. Marking to model - or to market ?}, journal = {Environmental Finance}, year = 2003, number = dec # { 2002 - } # jan # {2003}, pages = {36--37}, abstract = {Paul VanderMarck asks whether the growing maturity of the weather derivatives market means that risk managers can rely on market prices to value portfolios} } @Article{Neumaier2003:fuzzy, author = {Arnold Neumaier}, title = {Fuzzy modeling in terms of surprise}, journal = {Fuzzy Sets and Systems}, year = 2003, volume = 135, pages = {21--38}, url = {http://solon.cma.univie.ac.at/~neum/ms/fuzzy.pdf} } @TechReport{Brown.ea2004:origin, author = {Gordon D. A. Brown and Jing Qian}, title = {The origin of probability weighting: a psychophysical approach}, institution = {University of Warwick}, year = 2004, month = apr } @Article{Pacala.ea2004:stabilization, author = {S. Pacala and R. Socolow}, title = {Stabilization wedges: solving the climate problem for the next 50 years with current technologies}, journal = {Science}, year = 2004, volume = 305, pages = {968--972}, month = {13 } # aug } @InProceedings{Socolow2006:stabilization, author = {Robert Socolow}, title = {Stabilization wedges: an elaboration of the concept}, editor = {Hans Joachim Schellnhuber and Wolfgang Cramer and Nebojsa Nakicenovic and Tom Wigley and Gary Yohe}, booktitle = {Avoiding dangerous climate change}, year = 2006, pages = {347--359}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, chapter = 36, isbn = 9780521864718, doi = {10.2277/0521864712} } @PhDThesis{vanderSluijs1997:anchoring, author = {Jeroen P. van der Sluijs}, title = {Anchoring amid uncertainty. {O}n the management of uncertainties in risk assessment of anthropogenic climate change}, school = {Universieit Utrecht}, year = 1997, month = {21 } # jun, isbn = {90-393-1329-6}, url = {http://www.chem.uu.nl/nws/www/publica/PhDThesisJeroenvanderSluijs1997.pdf} } @Misc{Casman.ea2004:interview, author = {Elizabeth Casman and M. Granger Morgan}, title = {Interview protocol for asking experts about {T}he relative contributions of different risk factors to annual lung cancer mortality in the {U}nited {S}tates}, howpublished = {personal communication}, year = 2004, month = {8 } # jul } @Article{Monti.ea1998:boite, author = {R\'egine Monti and Fabrice Roubelat}, title = {La bo\^{\i}te \`a outils de prospective strat\'egique et la prospective de d\'efense: r\'etrospective et perspectives}, journal = {Entretiens Science et D\'efense}, year = 1998, url = {http://www.cnam.fr/lipsor/lips/articles/references/boite_a_outils.pdf} } @TechReport{Berg.ea2004:preference, author = {Joyce E. Berg and John W. Dickhaut and Thomas A. Rietz}, title = {Preference {R}eversals: {T}he {I}mpact of {T}ruth-{R}evealing {I}ncentives}, institution = {UCLA Department of Economics}, year = 2004, month = jul, url = {http://www.biz.uiowa.edu/faculty/trietz/papers/prefrev.pdf} } @Book{Kuipers1994:qualitative, author = {Benjamin Kuipers}, title = {Qualitative reasoning: modeling and simulation with incomplete knowledge}, publisher = {MIT press}, year = 1994, isbn = {0-262-11190-X} } @MastersThesis{Huijts2003:public, author = {Nicole Huijts}, title = {Public perception of carbon dioxide storage. {T}he role of trust and affect in attitude formation}, school = {Eindhoven University of Technology}, year = 2003, month = dec, url = {http://www.energie.nl/index2.html?nel/nl05e0336.html} } @Article{Huijts.ea2007:social, author = {Nicole M. A. Huijts and Cees J. H. Midden and Anneloes L. Meijnders}, title = {Social acceptance of carbon dioxide storage.}, journal = {Energy Policy}, year = 2007, volume = 35, pages = {278--2789}, doi = {10.1016/j.enpol.2006.12.007} } @InProceedings{Schiller.ea2004:dissent, author = {Frank Schiller and Dennis T{\"a}nzler}, title = {Dissent about scientific uncertainties: implications in policy arenas}, editor = {{Frank Biermann and Sabine Campe and Klaus Jacob}}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 2002 {B}erlin Conference on the Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change {\textquotedblleft}Knowledge for the sustainability transition. The challenge for social science.{\textquotedblright} }, year = 2004, pages = {184--192}, publisher = {Global Governance Project: Amsterdam, Berlin, Potsdam and Oldenburg}, url = {http://www.glogov.org/upload/public%20files/pdf/publications/bc%20proceedings/bc2002/bc_2002_ch17_schiller_taenzler.pdf} } @TechReport{Shackley.ea2003:public, author = {Simon Shackley and Carly McLachlan and Clair Gough}, title = {The public perceptions of carbon capture and storage}, institution = {Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research}, year = 2003, number = {COAL R247, DTI/Pub URN 03/1348}, month = sep, url = {http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/working_papers/wp44.pdf} } @Misc{ClubCO22005:stockage, author = {{Club CO2}}, title = {Document de {T}ravail du {G}roupe de {T}ravail sur le {S}tockage du {CO}2}, year = 2005, bibkey = {ClubCO22005:stockage} } @Article{Allen1997:hypothesis, author = {David L. Allen}, title = {Hypothesis Testing Using an ${L1}$-Distance Bootstrap}, journal = {American Statistician}, year = 1997, volume = 51, number = 2, pages = {145--150}, month = may, issn = {0003-1305}, bibsource = {http://www.amstat.org/publications/tas/toc.html}, url = {http://www2.eou.edu/~dallen/lp_dist_code.html} } @TechReport{Dufour.ea2001:exact, author = {Jean-Marie Dufour and Abdeljelil Farhat}, title = {Exact Nonparametric Two-Sample Homogeneity Tests for Possibly Discrete Distributions}, institution = {CIRANO}, year = 2001, type = {CIRANO Working Papers}, number = {2001s-56}, month = oct, url = {http://ideas.repec.org/p/cir/cirwor/2001s-56.html} } @Article{McFadden2001:economic, author = {Daniel McFadden}, title = {Economic choices}, journal = {American Economic Review}, year = 2001, volume = 91, number = 9, pages = {351--378}, url = {http://emlab.berkeley.edu/users/mcfadden/nobel/final-nobel.pdf} } @Article{Pressman1970:mathematical, author = {Israel Pressman}, title = {A Mathematical Formulation of the Peak-Load Pricing Problem}, journal = {Bell Journal of Economics}, year = 1970, volume = 1, number = 2, pages = {304--326}, note = {available at http://ideas.repec.org/a/rje/bellje/v1y1970iautumnp304-326.html} } @Misc{GTAP1997:global, author = {GTAP}, title = {{G}lobal {T}rade {A}nalysis {P}roject}, year = 1997, url = {https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/default.asp} } @Article{Louvot1996:btp, author = {Claudie Louvot}, title = {Le {BTP} depuis 1945}, journal = {{INSEE} premi{\`e}re}, year = 1996, number = 472 } @Article{Thornthwaite1948:approach, author = {C. 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Thom}, title = {Normal degree days above any base by the universal truncation coefficient}, journal = {Monthly Weather Review}, year = 1966, pages = {461--465}, month = jul, doi = {10.1175/1520-0493(1966)094<0461:NDDAAB>2.3.CO;2} } @Article{Fasano.ea1987:multidimensional, author = {G. Fasano and A. Franceschini}, title = {A multidimensional version of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test}, journal = {Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society}, year = 1987, volume = 225, pages = {155--170}, url = {http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1987MNRAS.225..155F} } @Article{Peacock1983:two-dimensional, author = {J. A. Peacock}, title = {Two-dimensional goodness-of-fit testing in astronomy}, journal = {Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society}, year = 1983, volume = 202, pages = {615--627}, url = {http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1983MNRAS.202..615P} } @Article{Gosset1987:three-dimensional, author = {E. Gosset}, title = {A three-dimensional extended {K}olmogorov-{S}mirnov test as a useful tool in astronomy}, journal = {Astronomy and Astrophysics}, year = 1987, volume = 188, pages = {258--264}, url = {http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1987A&A...188..258G} } @Article{Schar.ea2004:role, author = {Christoph Sch{\"a}r and Pier Luigi Vidale and Daniel L{\"u}thi and Cristoph Frei and Christian H{\"a}berli and Mark A. Liniger and Christof Appenzeller}, title = {The role of increasing temperature variability in {E}uropean summer heatwaves}, journal = {Nature}, year = 2004, volume = 427, pages = {332--336}, doi = {10.1038/nature02300}, url = {http://www.vulnerabilitynet.org/OPMS/getfile.php?bn=seiproject_hotel&key=1140130200&att_id=930} } @Article{Christensen.ea2007:summary, author = {J. H. Christensen and O. B. Christensen}, title = {A summary of the {PRUDENCE} model projections of changes in {E}uropean climate by the end of this century}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2007, volume = 81, pages = {7--30}, url = {http://prudence.dmi.dk/public/publications/PSICC/Christensen&Christensen.pdf}, doi = {10.1007/s10584-006-9210-7} } @Article{deCastro.ea2007:use, author = {M. de Castro and C. Gallardo and K. Jylha and H. Tuomenvirta}, title = {The use of a climate-type classification for assessing climate change effects in {E}urope from an ensemble of nine regional climate models}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2007, volume = 81, pages = {329--341}, doi = {10.1007/s10584-006-9224-1} } @Article{Frich.ea2002:observed, author = {P. Frich and L. V. Alexander and P. Della-Marta and B. Gleason and M. Haylock and A. M. G. {Klein Tank} and T. Peterson}, title = {Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century}, journal = {Climate Research}, year = 2002, volume = 19, number = 3, pages = {193--212}, url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v19/n3/p193-212/}, doi = {10.3354/cr019193} } @Article{Fronzek.ea2007:assessing, author = {Stefan Fronzek and Timothy R. Carter}, title = {Assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts on resource potential for {E}urope based on projections from {RCMs} and {GCMs}}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 2007, volume = 81, pages = {357--371}, doi = {10.1007/s10584-006-9214-3} } @Article{Kaivo-oja.ea2004:defining, author = {Jari Kaivo-oja and Jyrki Luukkanen and Markku Wilenius}, title = {Defining alternative national-scale socio-economic and technological futures up to 2100: {SRES} scenarios for the case of {F}inland}, journal = {Boreal Environment Research}, year = 2004, volume = 9, number = 2, pages = {109--125}, url = {http://www.borenv.net/BER/ber92.htm} } @Article{Lorenzoni.ea2000:co-evolutionary, author = {Irene Lorenzoni and Andrew Jordan and Mike Hulme and R. Kerry Turner and Tim O'Riordan}, title = {A co-evolutionary approach to climate change impact assessment: Part {I}. Integrating socio-economic and climate change scenarios}, journal = {Global Environmental Change - Human and Policy Dimensions}, year = 2000, volume = 10, number = 1, pages = {57--68}, doi = {10.1016/S0959-3780(00)00012-1} } @Article{Monteith1981:climatic, author = {J. L. Monteith}, title = {Climatic variation and the growth of crops}, journal = {Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society}, year = 1981, volume = 107, number = 454, pages = {749--774}, doi = {10.1002/qj.49710745402} } @Book{UN2004:urbanization, author = {{United Nations, Department of Economic and Social affairs}}, title = {World urbanization prospects: The 2003 revision}, year = 2004, journal = {Environment and Urbanization}, isbn = {978-9211513967}, bibkey = {UN2004:urbanization}, url = {http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/wup2003/WUP2003Report.pdf} } @InCollection{Mearns.ea2001:climate, author = {Linda O. Mearns and Mike Hulme and T. R. Carter and Rick Leemans and M. Lal and P. Whetton}, title = {Climate scenario development}, editor = {J. T. Houghton and Y. Ding and D. J. Griggs and M. Noguer and P. J. van der Linden and X. Dai and K. Maskell and C. A. Johnson}, booktitle = {Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2001, chapter = 13, url = {http://www.grida.no/CLIMATE/IPCC_TAR/WG1/index.htm}, isbn = {0521-80767-0 hardback, 0521-01495-6 paperback} } @Article{Parry.ea1989:assessment, author = {M. L. Parry and T. R. Carter}, title = {An assessment of the effects of climatic-change on agriculture}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1989, volume = 15, number = {1--2}, pages = {95--116}, doi = {10.1007/BF00138848} } @TechReport{Deichmann.ea1991:global, author = {Uwe Deichmann and Lars Eklundh}, title = {Global digital data sets for land degradation studies: a {GIS} approach}, in {749--774}, doi = {10.1002/qj.49710745402} } @Book{UN2004:urbanization, author = {{United Nations, Department of Economic and Social affairs}}, title = {World urbanization prospects: The 2003 revision}, year = 2004, journal = {Environment and Urbanization}, isbn = {978-9211513967}, bibkey = {UN2004:urbanization}, url = {http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/wup2003/WUP2003Report.pdf} } @InCollection{Mearns.ea2001:climate, author = {Linda O. Mearns and Mike Hulme and T. R. Carter and Rick Leemans and M. Lal and P. Whetton}, title = {Climate scenario development}, editor = {J. T. Houghton and Y. Ding and D. J. Griggs and M. Noguer and P. J. van der Linden and X. Dai and K. Maskell and C. A. Johnson}, booktitle = {Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2001, chapter = 13, url = {http://www.grida.no/CLIMATE/IPCC_TAR/WG1/index.htm}, isbn = {0521-80767-0 hardback, 0521-01495-6 paperback} } @Article{Parry.ea1989:assessment, author = {M. L. Parry and T. R. Carter}, title = {An assessment of the effects of climatic-change on agriculture}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1989, volume = 15, number = {1--2}, pages = {95--116}, doi = {10.1007/BF00138848} } @TechReport{Deichmann.ea1991:global, author = {Uwe D {A co-evolutionary approach to climate change impact assessment: Part {I}. Integrating socio-economic and climate change scenarios}, journal = {Global Environmental Change - Human and Policy Dimensions}, year = 2000, volume = 10, number = 1, pages = {57--68}, doi = {10.1016/S0959-3780(00)00012-1} } @Article{Monteith1981:climatic, author = {J. L. Monteith}, title = {Climatic variation and the growth of crops}, journal = {Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society}, year = 1981, volume = 107, number = 454, pages = {749--774}, doi = {10.1002/qj.49710745402} } @Book{UN2004:urbanization, author = {{United Nations, Department of Economic and Social affairs}}, title = {World urbanization prospects: The 2003 revision}, year = 2004, journal = {Environment and Urbanization}, isbn = {978-9211513967}, bibkey = {UN2004:urbanization}, url = {http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/wup2003/WUP2003Report.pdf} } @InCollection{Mearns.ea2001:climate, author = {Linda O. Mearns and Mike Hulme and T. R. Carter and Rick Leemans and M. Lal and P. Whetton}, title = {Climate scenario development}, editor = {J. T. Houghton and Y. Ding and D. J. Griggs and M. Noguer and P. J. van der Linden and X. Dai and K. Maskell and C. A. Johnson}, booktitle = {Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2001, chapter = 13, url = {http://www.grida.no/CLIMATE/IPCC_TAR/WG1/index.htm}, isbn = {0521-80767-0 hardback, 0521-01495-6 paperback} } @Article{Parry.ea1989:assessment, author = {M. L. Parry and T. R. Carter}, title = {An assessment of the effects of climatic-change on agriculture}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1989, volume = 15, number = http://www.grida.no/CLIMATE/IPCC_TAR/WG1/index.htm}, isbn = {0521-80767-0 hardback, 0521-01495-6 paperback} } @Article{Parry.ea1989:assessment, author = {M. L. Parry and T. R. Carter}, title = {An assessment of the effects of climatic-change on agriculture}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1989, volume = 15, number = {1--2}, pages = {95--116}, doi = {10.1007/BF00138848} } @TechReport{Deichmann.ea1991:global, aututhor = {J. L. Monteith}, title = {Climatic variation and the growth of crops}, journal = {Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society}, year = 1981, volume = 107, number = 454, pages = {749--774}, doi = {10.1002/qj.49710745402} } @Book{UN2004:urbanization, author = {{United Nations, Department of Economic and Social affairs}}, title = {World urbanization prospects: The 2003 revision}, year = 2004, journal = {Environment and Urbanization}, isbn = {978-9211513967}, bibkey = {UN2004:urbanization}, url = {http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/wup2003/WUP2003Report.pdf} } @InCollection{Mearns.ea2001:climate, author = {Linda O. Mearns and Mike Hulme and T. R. Carter and Rick Leemans and M. Lal and P. Whetton}, title = {Climate scenario development}, editor = {J. T. Houghton and Y. Ding and D. J. Griggs and M. Noguer and P. J. van der Linden and X. Dai and K. Maskell and C. A. Johnson}, booktitle = {Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press}, year = 2001, chapter = 13, url = {http://www.grida.no/CLIMATE/IPCC_TAR/WG1/index.htm}, isbn = {0521-80767-0 hardback, 0521-01495-6 paperback} } @Article{Parry.ea1989:assessment, author = {M. L. Parry and T. R. Carter}, title = {An assessment of the effects of climatic-change on agriculture}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1989, volume = 15, number = {1--2}, pages = {95--116}, doi = {10.1007/BF00138848} } @TechReport{Deichmann.ea1991:global, author = {Uwe Deichmann and Lars Eklundh}, title = {Global digital data sets for land degradation studies: a {GIS} approach}, institution = {Global Environment Monitoring System (GEMS) and Global Resource Information Database (GRID). United Nations Envir on agriculture}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1989, volume = 15, number = {1--2}, pages = {95--116}, doi = {10.1007/BF00138848} } @TechReport{Deichmann.ea1991:global, author = {Uwe Deichmann and Lars Eklundh}, title = {Global digital data sets for land degradation studies: a {GIS} approach}, institution = {Global Environment Monitoring System (GEMS) and Global Resource Information Database (GRID). United Nations Envirress}, year = 2001, chapter = 13, url = {http://www.grida.no/CLIMATE/IPCC_TAR/WG1/index.htm}, isbn = {0521-80767-0 hardback, 0521-01495-6 paperback} } @Article{Parry.ea1989:assessment, author = {M. L. Parry and T. R. Carter}, title = {An assessment of the effects of climatic-change on agriculture}, journal = {Climatic Change}, year = 1989, volume = 15, number = {1--2}, pages = {95--116}, doi = {10.1007/BF00138848} } @TechReport{Deichmann.ea1991:global, author = {Uwe Deichmann and Lars Eklundh}, title = {Global digital data sets for land degradation studies: a {GIS} approach}, institution = {Global Environment Monitoring System (GEMS) and Global Resource Information Database (GRID). United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)}, year = 1991, number = 4, address = {Nairobi, Kenya}, series = {GRID Case Study Series}, pages = 103 } @Article{vanAsseldonk2003:insurance, author = {Marcel A. P. M. van Asseldonk}, title = {Insurance against weather risk: Use of heating degree-days from non-local stations for weather derivatives}, journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology}, year = 2003, volume = 74, number = {1--2}, pages = {137--144}, month = jan, doi = {10.1007/s00704-002-0701-9} }