My research objective is to improve uncertainty analysis in integrated assessment modeling.
I am interested in imprecise probabilities, especially using possibility theory for scenario-making and the Transferable Belief Model for expert opinion fusion, with applications to environmental and energy economics issues such as climatic change and carbon capture and storage... [ research statement]
Affiliations
Minh Ha-Duong
Chargé de Recherche, CNRS CIRED
Campus du Jardin Tropical, 45bis ave. de la Belle Gabrielle
F94736 Nogent-sur-Marne CEDEX, FRANCE
+33 1 43 94 73 81 (direct), +33 1 43 94 73 70 (fax)
Adjunct professor (honorary), Department of Engineering and Public Policy
Carnegie Mellon University
Source code
Models and code below are original works released as Logiciel Libre. Further license information is contained in the archives.
canalogues-0.1.zip (254M big file warning !)
Electronic supplement to Kopf et al. Using maps of city analogues to display and interpret climate change scenarios and their uncertainty. The archive contains regional climate simulation results files provided by the PRUDENCE project.
ultral.gms or ultral-Jan30204518.tar.gz or as .zip
ULTRAL, branched from DIAM in 1999. A numeric recursive utility model to study risk aversion, intergenerational equity and climate change, described in Minh Ha-Duong an Nicolas Treich (1999) Recursive Intergenerational Utility in Global Climate Risk Modeling. The GAMS compiler with any NLP solver is required for running the model.
BoundingLungCancerRisk.nb Electronic supplement to Ha-Duong, Casman and Morgan (2003) paper. Better viewed using the Mathreader viewer (free download) if you do not have Mathematica installed. To run this notebook you need to dowload also BeliefMatrices.m.
BeliefMatrices.nb or BeliefMatrices.m
A Mathematica package that implements Matrix calculus for belief functions, as described by Philippe Smets (2002). First public release, version as of March 25th, 2003.
Bibliographies
Formatted as BibTeX files.
Ha-Duong.bib
My scientific productions database from which this page was created. Subset of the following:
hdm-main.bib
Over 2500 references on climate change, decision-making under uncertainty, environmental economics and other interesting topics. With contributions from Patrice Dumas, Laurent Gilotte and Vincent Gitz.
Elizabeth Casman, Minh Ha-Duong, and M. Granger Morgan.Response to Sander Greenland's critique on bounding analysis.Risk Analysis, 24 (5):1093-1095, 2004.
K. Halsnæs, P. Shukla, Dilip Ahuja, G. Akumu, R. Beale, Jae A. Edmonds, Christian Gollier, Arnulf Grübler, Minh Ha-Duong, A. Markandya, M. McFarland, E. Nikitina, T. Sugiyama, A. Villavicencio, and J. Zou.Framing issues. In IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, Contribution of the Working Group III, chapter 2. 2007. http://www.mnp.nl/ipcc/pages_media/ar4.html. (Cited by...).
Minh Ha-Duong and David W. Keith.Carbon storage: the economic efficiency of storing CO2 in leaky reservoirs. In Subhas K. Sikdar, Ravi Jain, and Peter Glavič, editors, Technological Choices for Sustainability, pages 165-182. Springer, 2004. ISBN 3-540-21131-4. Updated from the article published in Clean Technology and Environmental Policy 5(2/3).
Michael J. Grubb, Thierry Chapuis, and Minh Ha-Duong.Optimizing climate change abatement responses: On inertia and induced technology development. In N. Nakicenovic, W. D. Nordhaus, R. Richels, and F. L. Toth, editors, Integrative Assessement of Mitigation, Impacts, and Adaptation to Climate Change, number CP-94-9, pages 513-534. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 1994. (Cited by...).
Minh Ha-Duong.CO2 sequestration: Normative economics of leakage. In Twelfth Annual Conference of the EAERE, Bilbao, Portugal, 27-29 June 2003. EAERE. https://www.gruponahise.com/eaere2003/. Session 4C.
Minh Ha-Duong and David W. Keith.Climate strategy with CO2 capture from the air. In NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Technological Choices for Sustainability, Piramida Hotel, Maribor, Slovenia, October13-17 2002.
Minh Ha-Duong and Patrice Dumas.Nonlinearity and uncertain climate impacts. In Challenges of a Changing Earth - Global Change Open Science Conference, Amsterdam, 10-13 July 2001. IGBP-IHCP-WCRP. Also presented at the EMF/IEW conference in Vienna, 15-18 June 2001.
Minh Ha-Duong and David W. Keith.Climate strategy with CO2 capture from the air. In AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, 10-14 December 2001. American Geophysical Union.
Minh Ha-Duong, Didier Hauglustaine, and Gérard Mégie.Modélisation intégrée et précaution: les leçons du dossier ozone. In Séminaire GICC-MATE, Toulouse, France, 27-28 September 2000. By invitation.
Minh Ha-Duong and Nicolas Treich.Uncertainty and intergenerational equity in the global warming problem: recursive preferences approach. In Ninth Annual Conference of the EAERE, Oslo, Norway, 25-27 June 1999. EAERE.
Minh Ha-Duong.Quasi-option value theory and the expected value of future information, illustrated by the climate change issue. In First World Congress of Environmental and Resource Economists, Venice, Italy, June 25-27 1998. EAERE, AERE. Proceedings deposited electronically at the GNEE archive.
Minh Ha-Duong.Option value and climate change: Theoretical elements for an empirical example. In Joint Meeting of IEW and EMF. EMF (Energy Modelling Forum), June 17-19 1998.
Jean-Charles Hourcade and Minh Ha-Duong.Uncertainties, induced technical change and timing of actions. In A. Sors, Angela Liberatore, S. Funtowicz, J.-C. Hourcade, and J.-C. Felous, editors, Prospects for Integrated Environmental Assessment: Lessons Learnt from the Case of Climate Change. European Commission, DG XII, 24-26 October 1996.
Thierry Chapuis and Minh Ha-Duong.DIAM: Un modèle dynamique pour etudier l'inertie et l'adaptabilité dans le problème de l'effet de serre. In François (coordinateur) Blasco, editor, Tendances Nouvelles en Modélisation pour l'Environnement. CNRS, publié chez Elsevier, January 1996.
Thierry Chapuis, Minh Ha-Duong, and Michael J. Grubb.The GreenHouse Cost model: an exploration of the implications for climate policy of inertia and adaptability in energy system. In International Energy Workshop. IIASA (International Institute of Applied System Analysis), 20-22 June 1995.
Thierry Chapuis, Minh Ha-Duong, and Michael J. Grubb.The issue of inertia and adaptability in integrated assessment: an analysis using DIAM. In R. Chen, D. Tuttle, and C. Linville, editors, Integrated assessment of Global Environmental Change: Science and Policy. NATO Advanced Research Workshop, 15-19 October 1995.
Thesis
Minh Ha-Duong.Modèles de précaution en économie: introduction aux probabilités imprécises. Mémoire d'habilitation à diriger les recherches en sciences économiques, Université de Paris I, December 7 2005. http://www.centre-cired.fr/forum/article.php3?id_article=131.
Sebastian Kopf, Stéphane Hallegatte, and Minh Ha-Duong.L'évolution climatique des villes européennes. Climat: Comment éviter la surchauffe? Dossier Pour la Science 54, 48-51, January / March 2007. http://www.pourlascience.com/.
Minh Ha-Duong and Éliane Daphy.Qui archive qui ? Poster présenté aux Rencontres des professionnels de l'IST, 5e édition, 18-20 June 2007. http://rpist.inist.fr/.
Teaching and experience sharing (NOT peer reviewed)
Minh Ha-Duong.CCS economics and acceptability. Lesson given at the Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris (IPGP), March 21 2008. Slides of a 2 hours class given to master's level students in geology.
Minh Ha-Duong.Modeling climate change uncertainty with imprecise probabilities. Lesson given at the workshop on Integrated Climate Models: An interdisciplinary assessment of climate impacts and policies, September 30 2003. Slides of a 3 1/2 hours, 3 parts tutorial to economist postdocs.
Minh Ha-Duong.An economic perspective on information warfare and security. Lesson given at Carnegie Mellon University, February 11 2002. http://www.centre-cired.fr/forum/article.php3?id_article=182. Annotated slides of a 2 hours talk to non-economist undergraduates.